2012 MLB O/U Record: 322-298-39, -$1,547 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
1-2 yesterday with small bets, which I will continue to do over the next couple of days before I get more comfortable juggling both baseball and football on my mind. That being said, if you are going to tail me, I advise doing it in small increments, as this is still kind of muddy waters for me in trying to maintain the stronghold I’ve had over baseball from a mental standpoint, while now having the same similar focus on another sport, which is tough to do. Last year, I kept my football betting to a minimum when baseball was still going on (Since I was having such a good season and it wouldn’t be smart to just suddenly change up the routine), which allowed me to pretty much apply all my concentration on my dear baseball over/unders, and the result, as I’ve mentioned before, was my most profitable month of the entire 2011 season. Of course, I can’t really accomplish the same thing this year, due to my great start in football, which automatically causes my mind to follow football happenings every day, thus taking away from my baseball time. Even so, it’s not an excuse and I have to overcome it - I know I will. Once I re-attain that rhythm that has seen me win nearly 60-percent of over/unders since August 2nd (Before football started), then I’ll be in my comfort zone again, and that will be the time to tail big. In the meantime, let’s see if this Wednesday helps me progress back to my normal level…
Kevin Millwood vs Ricky Romero UNDER 9 - Price TBD
I’ve said it before and I’ll say itagain: If I was asked, “Which pitcher more than any other would you equate yourself to the most?” I would say, without even thinking, Ricky Romero. I’ve been tracking him fairly closely since he first entered the bigs, especially throughout last year when I was 7-4 with him in over/unders. This year, it’s been a completely different story, as I probably have a losing record with him (I don’t figure out all my records with each pitcher, team, day of the week, etc.until after the season), and without question, he’s cost me hundreds. Simply put, he’s just been a different pitcher this year, with higher walks, mildly decreased velocity, and less command of the strike zone. Romero put it best himself when he described this as a “nightmarish season” a few weeks ago, and not even being able to look his “teammates in the eye.” The reason I compare myself to him is that even though I’ve never met the guy, I feel like we have such similar mindsets. I read his quotes after every start, not to mention read a lot of stuff he said in years’ past, and it’s just fascinating how much we think alike, as we are both perfectionists who intently accept nothing else. Wet hink and overanalyze every little thing without even knowing it, and sometimes that becomes something that haunts us. In addition, we unfortunately let things beyond our control dictate how we do from that point on in the present state (Ex. In his case, an error being made behind him, which will potentially snowball for him because his 100-percent focus is no longer on the batter and he might go through the motions afterward. In my case, the start of football season, which directs some of my focus away from baseball and could snowball as well to the point where I'm going through the motions. Just little things like that). Soo… yeah, me and Ricky Romero share a lot in common (Although I’m not left-handed), but if there’s a silver lining to his awful campaign, it’s that there has to be a light at the end of the tunnel. At the moment, Romero’s 5.87 ERA is the worst of any starter with enough innings to qualify for such a title, and obviously, he’s not that bad. Something we have in our favor tonight is that the Toronto southpaw is coming off nine days rest (Manager John Farrell pushed his start back to give him a little bit of a breather), and mentally, that’s a huge refresher that enables Romero to assert his full strength and mind into this one start, especially as he tries to end his “nightmarish season” on a high note. Meanwhile, there’s not much to discuss about Kevin Millwood, who has actually been quite steady for much of 2012. Millwood, as he showed at the end of last year in his brief and forgettable tenure with Colorado, still has something left in the tank, and considering his ERA has been hovering around four through these past several months, I expect nothing but the usual effortout of the wily veteran. He’s also coming off a start in which he yielded only one run over six innings against the Red Sox so that should serve as a nice little momentum boost as well. I don’t think this is going to be a pitcher’s duel or anything, but with the line as high as it is, we’re fine with 5-3 or 5-4 (Yes, at this point in time, I'm "fine" with an under pushing in a Ricky Romero start)
Recommend, But Not Betting On (Although I may add one of these before gametime):
Lohse vs Richard OVER 7
Wood vs Abad OVER 8
Gomez vs Dempster UNDER 10 (Dempster in a groove and Gomez contained Texas a little while ago)
Maholm vs Gallardo OVER 8
Scherzer vs Floyd OVER 9
Griffin vs Santana UNDER 8 (Still debating whether or not I should take this one)
Note: If you have extra money this week, I recommend throwing a small flat amount on each of these. You will most likely profit, as I have a very good record with my "Recommended" games that I don't bet on
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
1-2 yesterday with small bets, which I will continue to do over the next couple of days before I get more comfortable juggling both baseball and football on my mind. That being said, if you are going to tail me, I advise doing it in small increments, as this is still kind of muddy waters for me in trying to maintain the stronghold I’ve had over baseball from a mental standpoint, while now having the same similar focus on another sport, which is tough to do. Last year, I kept my football betting to a minimum when baseball was still going on (Since I was having such a good season and it wouldn’t be smart to just suddenly change up the routine), which allowed me to pretty much apply all my concentration on my dear baseball over/unders, and the result, as I’ve mentioned before, was my most profitable month of the entire 2011 season. Of course, I can’t really accomplish the same thing this year, due to my great start in football, which automatically causes my mind to follow football happenings every day, thus taking away from my baseball time. Even so, it’s not an excuse and I have to overcome it - I know I will. Once I re-attain that rhythm that has seen me win nearly 60-percent of over/unders since August 2nd (Before football started), then I’ll be in my comfort zone again, and that will be the time to tail big. In the meantime, let’s see if this Wednesday helps me progress back to my normal level…
Kevin Millwood vs Ricky Romero UNDER 9 - Price TBD
I’ve said it before and I’ll say itagain: If I was asked, “Which pitcher more than any other would you equate yourself to the most?” I would say, without even thinking, Ricky Romero. I’ve been tracking him fairly closely since he first entered the bigs, especially throughout last year when I was 7-4 with him in over/unders. This year, it’s been a completely different story, as I probably have a losing record with him (I don’t figure out all my records with each pitcher, team, day of the week, etc.until after the season), and without question, he’s cost me hundreds. Simply put, he’s just been a different pitcher this year, with higher walks, mildly decreased velocity, and less command of the strike zone. Romero put it best himself when he described this as a “nightmarish season” a few weeks ago, and not even being able to look his “teammates in the eye.” The reason I compare myself to him is that even though I’ve never met the guy, I feel like we have such similar mindsets. I read his quotes after every start, not to mention read a lot of stuff he said in years’ past, and it’s just fascinating how much we think alike, as we are both perfectionists who intently accept nothing else. Wet hink and overanalyze every little thing without even knowing it, and sometimes that becomes something that haunts us. In addition, we unfortunately let things beyond our control dictate how we do from that point on in the present state (Ex. In his case, an error being made behind him, which will potentially snowball for him because his 100-percent focus is no longer on the batter and he might go through the motions afterward. In my case, the start of football season, which directs some of my focus away from baseball and could snowball as well to the point where I'm going through the motions. Just little things like that). Soo… yeah, me and Ricky Romero share a lot in common (Although I’m not left-handed), but if there’s a silver lining to his awful campaign, it’s that there has to be a light at the end of the tunnel. At the moment, Romero’s 5.87 ERA is the worst of any starter with enough innings to qualify for such a title, and obviously, he’s not that bad. Something we have in our favor tonight is that the Toronto southpaw is coming off nine days rest (Manager John Farrell pushed his start back to give him a little bit of a breather), and mentally, that’s a huge refresher that enables Romero to assert his full strength and mind into this one start, especially as he tries to end his “nightmarish season” on a high note. Meanwhile, there’s not much to discuss about Kevin Millwood, who has actually been quite steady for much of 2012. Millwood, as he showed at the end of last year in his brief and forgettable tenure with Colorado, still has something left in the tank, and considering his ERA has been hovering around four through these past several months, I expect nothing but the usual effortout of the wily veteran. He’s also coming off a start in which he yielded only one run over six innings against the Red Sox so that should serve as a nice little momentum boost as well. I don’t think this is going to be a pitcher’s duel or anything, but with the line as high as it is, we’re fine with 5-3 or 5-4 (Yes, at this point in time, I'm "fine" with an under pushing in a Ricky Romero start)
Recommend, But Not Betting On (Although I may add one of these before gametime):
Lohse vs Richard OVER 7
Wood vs Abad OVER 8
Gomez vs Dempster UNDER 10 (Dempster in a groove and Gomez contained Texas a little while ago)
Maholm vs Gallardo OVER 8
Scherzer vs Floyd OVER 9
Griffin vs Santana UNDER 8 (Still debating whether or not I should take this one)
Note: If you have extra money this week, I recommend throwing a small flat amount on each of these. You will most likely profit, as I have a very good record with my "Recommended" games that I don't bet on
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
