Cnotes Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at LA Dodgers
The Dodgers look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 0-7 in Jaime Garcia's last 7 road starts with the total set at 7 to 8 1/2. Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.188; Cubs (Berken) 14.602
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-145); N/A

Game 953-954: Colorado at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 16.502; San Diego (Kelly) 15.660
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Houston (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.634; Houston (Keuchel) 14.214
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Mejia) 15.910; Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.977
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over

Game 959-960: Washington at Atlanta (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 16.336; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.139
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Over

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.799; Miami (Buehrle) 15.402
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Under

Game 963-964: San Francisco at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 16.289; Arizona (Miley) 15.090
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over

Game 965-966: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.072; LA Dodgers (Blanton) 14.582
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Under

Game 967-968: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.725; Toronto (Villanueva) 14.500
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Liriano) 14.429; Minnesota (Deduno) 14.978
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Under

Game 971-972: Detroit at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 14.239; Cleveland (Masterson) 14.564
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Over

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.646; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.165
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Greinke) 17.427; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.913
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Under

Game 977-978: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 14.728; Texas (Feldman) 14.237
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Over

Game 979-980: Baltimore at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.695; Oakland (Parker) 16.774
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, September 15

Hot pitchers
-- WRodriguez is 2-0, 1.37 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz has a 3.15 RA in his last five road starts.
-- Kendrick is 5-1, 1.49 in his last six starts.
-- Zito is 2-0, 3.74 in his last four starts.

-- Deduno is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- ASanchez has a 2.70 RA in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 4-1, 2.39 in his last five starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 1.88 in his last four starts. Guthrie is 4-0, 2.27 in his last seven starts.
-- Vargas has a 2.57 RA in his last couple starts. Feldman is 0-5, 6.49 in his last six outings.
-- Parker is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts. Britton is 4-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Berken was 6-12, 6.53 in 24 starts for Baltimore in '09; he's pitched in 82 games in relief since then, but spent this year in AAA.
-- CKelly allowed 13 runs in eight IP in his last two starts.
-- Keuchel is 0-3, 6.41 in his last four starts.
-- Marcum is 0-1, 6.86 in his last four starts. Mejia started three games for the Mets in 2010; overall, he is 0-4, 4.61 in 41 big league innings. He spent this season in the minors.
-- Hanson is 0-3, 5.33 in his last five starts. Jackson is 2-3, 4.60 in his last five starts.
-- Cueto is 1-2, 4.70 in his last four starts. Buehrle is 0-1, 5.14 in his last two outings.
-- Miley is 1-1, 5.21 in his last three starts.
-- JGarcia is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts. Blanton is 1-4, 6.82 in his last six outings.

-- Buchholz is 0-3, 6.11 in his last four starts. Villanueva is 1-3, 4.40 in his last five starts.
-- Former Twin Liriano is 0-1, 7.71 in his last four outings.
-- Masterson is 2-3, 7.45 in his last five starts.
-- Nova was 1-3, 8.59 in his last five starts before going on DL.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games.
-- Reds won three of their last four games.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 16 games.
-- Phillies won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Milwaukee won 18 of its last 24 games.
-- Giants won 11 of their last 16 games.
-- Padres won seven of their last nine games.

-- Rangers won 11 of their last 15 home games.
-- Oakland won 16 of its last 20 games. Baltimore won seven of eleven.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost their last seven games, outscored 38-18.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last fifteen games.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Astros lost 20 of their last 27 games.
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nine home games.
-- Cardinals lost 12 of their last 17 games. Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.
-- Detroit lost 16 of its last 23 road games. Indians lost their last six games, outscored 33-15.
-- Rays lost five of their last eight games. Bronx Bombers are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost three of their last five games overall. Kansas City lost four of its last five home games.
-- Boston lost 13 of its last 16 games.
-- White Sox are 6-8 in their last 14 games overall. Twins lost 15 of their last 21 home games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Chicago Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Houston games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 15 Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven St Louis games went over the total.

-- Under is 18-3-1 in last 22 Detroit games.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Seattle road games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Kansas City games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in White Sox' last five games.
-- Five of last six Oakland games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Holbrook games.
-- Col-SD-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Cuzzi games.
-- Phil-Hst-- Underdogs are 16-10 in last 26 Iassogna games.
-- NY-Mil-- Over is 6-2-1 in Layne's last nine games behind plate.
-- Wsh-Atl-- 11 of last 16 Foster games stayed under the total.
-- Cin-Mia-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Fairchild games.
-- SF-Az-- Underdogs won five of last seven Hoye games.
-- StL-LA-- Five of last six Nauert games stayed under total.

-- Bos-Tor-- Home side won five of last seven Davidson games.
-- Chi-Min-- Underdogs won 13 of last 20 Johnson games.
-- Det-Cle-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Winters games.
-- TB-NY-- Eight of last ten Darling games stayed under total.
-- LA-KC-- Home side won five of last six TBarrett games.
-- Sea-Tex-- Last five Schrieber games all went over the total.
-- Blt-A's-- Over is 8-3 in last 11 Hickox games; home side won last six.

MLB

Saturday, September 15

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

1:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Boston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing at home against Boston

1:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 23 games

4:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
NY Yankees are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

4:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Houston is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 18 of NY Mets's last 25 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 12 games
Milwaukee is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. KANSAS CITY
LA Angels are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 18 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Seattle

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco

8:35 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

9:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
LA Dodgers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing St. Louis

MLB

Saturday, September 15

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Kyle Kendrick, Philadelphia Phillies (9-10, 3.83)

Kendrick pitched seven innings of one-run ball to earn the victory Monday over the Marlins. The righty has allowed two runs or less in each of his last six starts and is 5-1 over that same stretch. He gets a chance to pad the stat sheet against the lowly Astros next.

James Shields, Tampa Bay Rays (14-8, 3.71)

Shields tossed a two-hitter, shutting down a potent Texas offense during Tampa Bay's 6-0 win Sunday. The righty-hander has tossed eight consecutive quality starts, going 6-1 with a 1.90 ERA during that span. He’ll have to maintain his recent form if he looks to pick up a victory in his next outing against the Yankees.

SLUMPING

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds (17-8, 2.71)

Cueto yielded four runs over four innings in the Reds' 5-1 defeat to Houston on Sunday. Cueto has surrendered eight runs over his past 11 frames and draws Miami on Saturday.

Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers (2-5¸4.40)

The wins haven't come easily for Sanchez in Detroit, as he has posted four straight quality starts with just one victory to show for it. He has faced the Indians twice since switching leagues, allowing four runs (one earned) in 12 innings. His first win for the Tigers came against Cleveland on Aug. 3. He takes the bump against those same Indians next time out.

Early Games:

MLB

Saturday, September 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 1:07 PM ET Toronto -117 500
Toronto - Over 8.5 500

Tampa Bay - 4:05 PM ET NY Yankees +104 500
NY Yankees - Over 9 500

Washington - 4:05 PM ET Atlanta -127 500
Atlanta - Over 8 500

Detroit - 4:05 PM ET Detroit -136 500
Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

Evening Games:

Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia -156 500
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET Miami +136 500
Miami - Over 7.5 500

NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET Milwaukee -154 500
Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET Kansas City +136 500
Kansas City - Over 8.5 500

Seattle - 8:05 PM ET Seattle +178 500
Texas - Under 9.5 500

San Francisco - 8:10 PM ET San Francisco +141 500
Arizona - Over 9.5 500

Colorado - 8:35 PM ET Colorado +122 500
San Diego - Over 7.5 500

Baltimore - 9:05 PM ET Oakland -133 500
Oakland - Under 7.5 500

St. Louis - 9:10 PM ET St. Louis +114 500
LA Dodgers - Under 8 500