The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - September 17, 2012 - YTD: 334-308-39

Search
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
2012 MLB O/U Record: 334-308-39, -$1,635 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Okay 3-3 day yesterday, which isn't too bad on a Sunday considering most of my focus is on football, so I always fear the worst in baseball with my concentration a bit less. Unfortunately, I had an off Week 2 (Although I do have a very good over/under bet for the MNF game so check out my write-up on that a little later in the football forum), so now it's back to my dear baseball over/unders taking the front seat, and let's see what we have to kick off the week...


Doug Fister vs Jose Quintana UNDER 9 - $36 for $30
Unique scenario we have here, as this is actually a make-up game from last week's washed out finale. However, because of it's important, it had to be made up, hence why both teams are flying into Chicago for this one-game affair, which is such an intriguing variable because baseball clubs are so used to playing 2-4 game series against one another. In the rare instance that teams meet simply for one game (Ex. The opener to the 2012 season between St. Louis and Miami. Lost that over, by the way, between Lohse and Johnson so perhaps I'm not too good with this variable), it might be tough to predict the mindset, but at the end of the day, you have to look at this way: This is a VERY critical game for both teams so you know both pitchers have to attempt to bring their A-game. That isn't too much to ask out of Doug Fister, who is usually excellent, and he's actually coming off his most recent start in which he shut down these same White Sox to two runs and two hits over seven innings. Then there is Jose Quintana, who has been surprisingly good all year long, but has mostly been erratic lately in seeing his ERA go up a full run over the past month. Still, he was terrific against the Tigers his last time out (7+ innings, 7 hits, 1 run, 7 Ks), and considering Detroit's potent offense isn't as good against lefties, there's a good chance he can duplicate that same success, or at least come close to it, which would be more than acceptable with the line at 9. Let's start the day off right in this rare Monday afternoon game.


I'll probably be back later on in the day with one or two more over/unders, but definitely check out my Monday Night Football over/under write-up on Broncos @ Falcons. It'll be a pretty significant bet.
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Oh, and I edited my article above simply because I posted it without finishing all my "record info." The bet, of course, is Fister vs Quintana UNDER 9, and no alterations were made to that. GL to whoever tails.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2007
Messages
47,388
Tokens
Total dipped down to 8.5 by gametime......i really liked the OVER in this matchup. But i just took the White Sox ML (+110) instead!
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Total dipped down to 8.5 by gametime......i really liked the OVER in this matchup. But i just took the White Sox ML (+110) instead!

I mostly took it because of the high line (Combined with the fact that a dominant starter like Doug Fister was going), which, as I've preached all year, is not a way to win over/unders consistently. Hope I can hang on for that push
 

New member
Joined
Nov 17, 2011
Messages
2,170
Tokens
Sox get thrown out at 3rd before the runner reached home on fly ball.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2007
Messages
47,388
Tokens
Sox get thrown out at 3rd before the runner reached home on fly ball.

Hopefully that insurance run doesn't come back to bite my White Sox. Hope u can get out of this w/ a push too, CAT.
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Wasn't watching the game, a runner got thrown out trying to tag up to home by leaving too early? If that's the case, that's a rare lucky break that I'll take. Fluke shit like that shouldn't decide an over/under, but fluke shit has single-handedly cost me so many wins this year that I deserved this one in my favor
 

New member
Joined
Nov 17, 2011
Messages
2,170
Tokens
Bases were loaded, 1 out, fly ball to deep left, runners on 2nd and 3rd, both tagged, the runner going from 2nd to 3rd got tagged out before the runner from 3rd reached home. Sorry for the run on sentence. On my phone.
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Bases were loaded, 1 out, fly ball to deep left, runners on 2nd and 3rd, both tagged, the runner going from 2nd to 3rd got tagged out before the runner from 3rd reached home. Sorry for the run on sentence. On my phone.

Haha it's perfectly fine, my last post was from my iPhone as well.

Just saw the play... wow, what a lucky break. I'd be flipping out right now if I had the over. Did not deserve a push, let alone a win, for this over/under and am thankful that I escaped without a loss because of that break. But remember, I received seemingly two-years' worth of fluke unusual breaks in the first half of the season so I'm not going to feel bad for whoever got jipped out of a win there. I deserve as much of these as possible with all that I put up with this year (Nick Punto's ONE home-run this year costing me an under in the 9th, Padres snapping their 112-game losing streak when trailing entering the 9th inning to cost me an under, Mike Nickeas' ONE home-run this year, which was a grand slam, costing me an under with 2 outs in the bottom of the 8th, etc. That's a $500+ swing there, by the way) so I don't feel sorry for anyone who had that over.

Anyway, I'm most likely going to add a small bet from one of the later contests (No 7 o'clock games for Cat tonight), but the real attention should be focused on my NFL over/under tonight, which will be posted in a bit so look out for that.
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Adding one of the late games...

Tillman vs Noesi OVER 7.5 - $20 for $21

Not worth a big bet because it COULD be 5-2, or even slightly less. But I'm believing it's toppling over
 
Joined
Apr 6, 2012
Messages
3,314
Tokens
Always good to win an over in the 2nd inning. Now I can fully put all my attention towards this Broncos/Falcons over
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,222
Messages
13,449,643
Members
99,402
Latest member
jb52197
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com