The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - September 24, 2012 - YTD: 339-317-43

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2012 MLB O/U Record: 339-317-43, -$1,821 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

Yesterday’s 1-0-1 day was more than acceptable, given that it came on a Sunday when my mind is more concentrated on football so that’s a plus. Overall, though, I feel like I’m just losing my tight grip on the season, as it enters its final days. As a result, I don’t know if I’m going to pull the trigger on any big over/under bets, nor would I really recommend it at this point in time, but let’s see how these next one or two days go before I make this decision. The last Monday of September (Crazy, right?) leads me to this…


Luke Hochevar vs Justin Verlander UNDER 7.5 - $46 for $40
Throughout his career, Justin Verlander has owned the Royals to the tune of a 2.76 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, which are his two best marks against any team in baseball whom he has made at least 20 starts against. Surprisingly, Verlander’s unquestionable worst performance of this season actually came against these same Royals, and it was only less than a month ago when it happened (5.2 IP, 12 H, 8 ER on Aug. 28). However, that was on the road, and as incredible as Verlander usually is, he’s even better at home, which is where he’ll be tonight. He’s been especially sparkling at Comerica in 2012, based on his 8-2 record, 1.60 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in such starts (By comparison, he’s only 7-6 on the road with a 3.78 ERA and 1.18 WHIP). Considering this game has extra meaning more than most, due to his team’s postseason chances hanging in the balance, that should mean we see the best Verlander has to offer, right? That means we’ll need a solid outing from Luke Hochevar, which isn’t too much to ask. While the right-hander’s ERA currently sits at 5.40, it was far worse throughout the beginning of the year, when he was flirting with the 6’s and even 7’s in the first three months. Overall since then, Hochevar has been acceptable, which is all we’ll need him to be tonight. He potentially steps up when pitted against an ace, such as his 1-0 extra-inning win against David Price (On the road) about a month ago. He’s coming off a good performance against fellow contender Chicago, so let’s hope he brings it here as well and maintains that playoff spoiler mindset.


Other 9/24 MLB Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Cahill vs Chatwood UNDER 10.5 - Price TBD
Straily vs Holland OVER 9 - $36 for $30
McPherson vs Mejia OVER 8 - $29 for $25


Would Also Recommend, But Not Taking:
Pettitte vs Hendriks OVER 9 (As much as I like Liam Hendriks)


**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**


**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
 
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1-1-2 day, with my half-run loss being in my exact worst-case scenario of 6-2 so I was still right on the game, which is good.

Doesn't even compare to how people are feeling after that Packer "loss." Most disgraceful call I've seen in any sport
 

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