2012 MLB O/U Record: 340-318-45, -$1,834 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
A tough 1-1-2 performance yesterday that was tough to swallow, considering my one “loss,” the Hochevar vs Verlander matchup, played exactly how I anticipated it, but unfortunately, it finished in my absolute worst-case scenario of 6-2 (Not 5-3, not 7-1, not 8-0. I exclusively thought 6-2). As a result, I can at least take solace in the fact that I was still 100-percent right about that game, but unfortunately, even when you have a matchup absolutely completely mapped out, you can still lose with a worst-case scenario, so I’ll just accept it. And hey, considering how that Packers bet turned out last night (Luckily I also had the UNDER, which offset my Packers -3 "loss" ugh), I think it’s safe to say that anything pales in comparison to what we all witnessed on ESPN last night. At the same time, when the NFL grabs headlines like that, it’s tough to concentrate on baseball, even after the week is completed, but let’s see what I could muster up anyway…
Josh Beckett vs Edinson Volquez UNDER 7 - $48 for $40
Yes, Edinson Volquez has dropped off considerably since setting a nice pace for himself throughout the first half of the year and beyond (3.30 ERA entering late-July), to the point where his ERA is now more than a full run higher. The majority of that reasoning has to do with his well-documented problem of walking opposing batters, which he has been doing even more frequently over the past month-and-change, but if his last start is any indication when he walked no batters for the first time all year in 30 starts (!), then perhaps we will see more of the early-2012 Edinson Volquez in action tonight. I mean, I’d say it’s more likely than not, considering the right-hander is home at cozy Petco Park on this Tuesday evening, where his home stats (3.11 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, .197 BAA) are much superior compared to his road splits (5.60 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, .266 BAA). That is a VERY significant difference. Meanwhile, speaking of pitchers performing like their old selves, I predicted Josh Beckett would do such a thing when he first came to the Dodgers in that blockbuster trade, and for the most part, I’ve been right, as he’s 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA in five starts since joining the club. It’s a very interesting vibe I had concerning Beckett, considering this is a guy I previously didn’t bet on much as it pertains to his over/unders in years past, as I simply felt a new change of scenery - one in which that is at least competing for a playoff spot - would bring out the vintage Beckett, and I think that will continue throughout this start. Furthermore, Beckett has always had success against the Padres and in Petco Park when he was in the NL, so hopefully meeting them once again rekindles some of that magic. When he’s motivated, the former Red Sox ace is a big-game pitcher who eats up innings in a positive way, and since every contest just might be like a playoff game down the stretch for LA, Beckett should enter this contest with the appropriate mindset and do what he’s been doing for the past month - keep his team in the ballgame and pitch effectively. This could be a potential duel, and the line is where we want it at 7.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
A tough 1-1-2 performance yesterday that was tough to swallow, considering my one “loss,” the Hochevar vs Verlander matchup, played exactly how I anticipated it, but unfortunately, it finished in my absolute worst-case scenario of 6-2 (Not 5-3, not 7-1, not 8-0. I exclusively thought 6-2). As a result, I can at least take solace in the fact that I was still 100-percent right about that game, but unfortunately, even when you have a matchup absolutely completely mapped out, you can still lose with a worst-case scenario, so I’ll just accept it. And hey, considering how that Packers bet turned out last night (Luckily I also had the UNDER, which offset my Packers -3 "loss" ugh), I think it’s safe to say that anything pales in comparison to what we all witnessed on ESPN last night. At the same time, when the NFL grabs headlines like that, it’s tough to concentrate on baseball, even after the week is completed, but let’s see what I could muster up anyway…
Josh Beckett vs Edinson Volquez UNDER 7 - $48 for $40
Yes, Edinson Volquez has dropped off considerably since setting a nice pace for himself throughout the first half of the year and beyond (3.30 ERA entering late-July), to the point where his ERA is now more than a full run higher. The majority of that reasoning has to do with his well-documented problem of walking opposing batters, which he has been doing even more frequently over the past month-and-change, but if his last start is any indication when he walked no batters for the first time all year in 30 starts (!), then perhaps we will see more of the early-2012 Edinson Volquez in action tonight. I mean, I’d say it’s more likely than not, considering the right-hander is home at cozy Petco Park on this Tuesday evening, where his home stats (3.11 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, .197 BAA) are much superior compared to his road splits (5.60 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, .266 BAA). That is a VERY significant difference. Meanwhile, speaking of pitchers performing like their old selves, I predicted Josh Beckett would do such a thing when he first came to the Dodgers in that blockbuster trade, and for the most part, I’ve been right, as he’s 1-2 with a 3.45 ERA in five starts since joining the club. It’s a very interesting vibe I had concerning Beckett, considering this is a guy I previously didn’t bet on much as it pertains to his over/unders in years past, as I simply felt a new change of scenery - one in which that is at least competing for a playoff spot - would bring out the vintage Beckett, and I think that will continue throughout this start. Furthermore, Beckett has always had success against the Padres and in Petco Park when he was in the NL, so hopefully meeting them once again rekindles some of that magic. When he’s motivated, the former Red Sox ace is a big-game pitcher who eats up innings in a positive way, and since every contest just might be like a playoff game down the stretch for LA, Beckett should enter this contest with the appropriate mindset and do what he’s been doing for the past month - keep his team in the ballgame and pitch effectively. This could be a potential duel, and the line is where we want it at 7.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**