2012 MLB O/U Record: 347-320-47, -$1,598 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Beautiful 5-0-1 performance last night, which is exactly what I needed to ensure I am in the right, positive mindset as we head into this final week of the baseball season. Yup, that’s right, this is the LAST THURSDAY of the year, which is significant because when you do this every single day for years now, with NO days off whatsoever (Except the all-star break, of course), you just get enamored with the whole grind and weekly cycle. You can disagree with me if you want but I do feel the day of the week can have an impact on a start (Ex. Pitching in a Saturday night game is different from pitching in your mundane Tuesday night game), and thus, this is the last time I’ll be dealing with the Thursday variable, which is widely referred to as “Getaway Day,” as teams finish up whatever series they’re in before getting ready for the always-fun weekend series ahead. That being said, let’s dissect a regular season Thursday one last time in 2012…
Luis Mendoza vs Doug Fister UNDER 8.5 - $28 for $25
It’s funny to think that when I initially fell in love with Luis Mendoza circa 2007 and 2008, when he was regularly stinking up the joint for my Rangers, I almost gave up on him because I thought his career would be over right then and there. He showed little potential during the end of his tenure, and I thought he would fade into obscurity like countless other pitchers have throughout all of time. But no, Mendoza never gave up on his journey, and after doing fine work in random audition with the Royals at the end of last year, he earned a stay with the club this year, and in actuality, he’s been good. At 8-9 with a 4.44 ERA, what else can you ask from a guy that came in with virtually no expectations, while occupying a role in the bottom of the rotation? Nothing really, which makes this 2012 campaign a success for Mr. Mendoza. It remains to be seen if he can sustain that success in the years to come, but at the very least, we hope he can simply sustain this success to wrap up his year, which seems like a tough task with one of his final (Or is it the final? I don’t look ahead at the schedule) starts coming in Detroit against the postseason-hungry Tigers, who suddenly find themselves atop the division. I don’t expect Mendoza to win this game so I’m just hoping he eats up innings and gives us a decent effort. The reason being that I expect Mendoza’s counterpart, Doug Fister, to lead us to an under victory, as he gets set for this big game. Fister has a track record of pitching well in big games, and that’s exactly what this is, as his team now controls their playoff destiny. As a result, they can’t waste any of these final games down the stretch, and when a guy like Fister is intently focused, especially at home where he excels even more, he can be really, really good. Here’s an interesting oddity as well: Doug Fister has started in seven straight games where the combined score was eight runs or more, with three of those being exactly eight. See, that might not be significant to you, but to me, it’s just an extra little thing to consider, as the Law of Averages, as I’ve stressed and often been right on this year, exists in much more ways than you think. You can write that off if you want, but it’s something I pay attention to, and it often comes through. At the end of the day, it’s a small bet that hopefully gets this final Thursday of the season started off right.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Beautiful 5-0-1 performance last night, which is exactly what I needed to ensure I am in the right, positive mindset as we head into this final week of the baseball season. Yup, that’s right, this is the LAST THURSDAY of the year, which is significant because when you do this every single day for years now, with NO days off whatsoever (Except the all-star break, of course), you just get enamored with the whole grind and weekly cycle. You can disagree with me if you want but I do feel the day of the week can have an impact on a start (Ex. Pitching in a Saturday night game is different from pitching in your mundane Tuesday night game), and thus, this is the last time I’ll be dealing with the Thursday variable, which is widely referred to as “Getaway Day,” as teams finish up whatever series they’re in before getting ready for the always-fun weekend series ahead. That being said, let’s dissect a regular season Thursday one last time in 2012…
Luis Mendoza vs Doug Fister UNDER 8.5 - $28 for $25
It’s funny to think that when I initially fell in love with Luis Mendoza circa 2007 and 2008, when he was regularly stinking up the joint for my Rangers, I almost gave up on him because I thought his career would be over right then and there. He showed little potential during the end of his tenure, and I thought he would fade into obscurity like countless other pitchers have throughout all of time. But no, Mendoza never gave up on his journey, and after doing fine work in random audition with the Royals at the end of last year, he earned a stay with the club this year, and in actuality, he’s been good. At 8-9 with a 4.44 ERA, what else can you ask from a guy that came in with virtually no expectations, while occupying a role in the bottom of the rotation? Nothing really, which makes this 2012 campaign a success for Mr. Mendoza. It remains to be seen if he can sustain that success in the years to come, but at the very least, we hope he can simply sustain this success to wrap up his year, which seems like a tough task with one of his final (Or is it the final? I don’t look ahead at the schedule) starts coming in Detroit against the postseason-hungry Tigers, who suddenly find themselves atop the division. I don’t expect Mendoza to win this game so I’m just hoping he eats up innings and gives us a decent effort. The reason being that I expect Mendoza’s counterpart, Doug Fister, to lead us to an under victory, as he gets set for this big game. Fister has a track record of pitching well in big games, and that’s exactly what this is, as his team now controls their playoff destiny. As a result, they can’t waste any of these final games down the stretch, and when a guy like Fister is intently focused, especially at home where he excels even more, he can be really, really good. Here’s an interesting oddity as well: Doug Fister has started in seven straight games where the combined score was eight runs or more, with three of those being exactly eight. See, that might not be significant to you, but to me, it’s just an extra little thing to consider, as the Law of Averages, as I’ve stressed and often been right on this year, exists in much more ways than you think. You can write that off if you want, but it’s something I pay attention to, and it often comes through. At the end of the day, it’s a small bet that hopefully gets this final Thursday of the season started off right.
**Will Definitely Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
