2012 MLB O/U Record: 360-328-47, -$1,446 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
You might as well say this is it right here because mentally, the second-to-last day of a season, or anything for that matter, could just as easily be viewed as the very last day itself, since it’s pretty much the final bit of normalcy, especially in an extensive six-month cycle. By that, I mean when you’re in the last day of something, that’s it right there - no normalcy or anything, as you simply go through the motions that one final time. Thus, this is our last day of normalcy together (There is nothing normal about a day with playoff games, with each day containing its own unique variables that need to be measured especially closely on a day-by-day case basis). Before these past several days, I suggested you all tail me hard, as I emphatically wanted to end this season strong, and that I have done for you well in each of these prior six days (Other than Saturday, when I was a harmless, albeit uncharacteristic, 2-3. 13-4-1 in the other five days). Now, here we are, the FINAL TUESDAY NIGHT of the season, so let’s see what we’ve got…
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks - $46 for $40
Jhoulys Chacin vs Patrick Corbin
UNDER 10
Not sure if this is going to be my final regular season Tuesday Night Best Bet of 2012, but it appears chances are it will end up as such. While it might be an unusual one, it’s still a promising one that features one of my most promising pitchers heading into 2013, that being Patrick Corbin. I mentioned over the summer how Corbin had really caught my eye, which came in the middle of a real nice run that ended up being his best stretch of the season, and I still stand by that comment even as he has struggled down the stretch through the month of September. In fact, Corbin has surrendered four runs or more in three of his past five starts, but I don’t think that’s truly indicative of how much progress the rookie southpaw has made this year. Early on in his freshman season, he didn’t really stick out to me, but after being re-inserted into the rotation thanks to injuries (I miss you, Daniel Hudson. A true unders machine in 2010 and 2011), Corbin developed a sense of comfort and confidence, which allowed him to register the aforementioned solid run he enjoyed over the summer. As a result, I think Corbin still has that potential to do something significant in a positive way, and based on some quotes I read from him coming into this last start, he comes off as genuine in wanting to really end his rookie season on the right note. With an extra sense of urgency, maybe that August version of Patrick Corbinre-emerges tonight and helps push us towards an under.
Speaking of promising pitchers, while I’m not nearly as invested into him as I am with Corbin, you could easily make that same argument for Rockies’ starter Jhoulys Chacin, who has actually been really, really good in his shortened-2012 campaign despite flying under-the-radar. At first glance, his 4.78 ERA for the season isn’t really good at all, but it was actually well over 7 before he went on the DL in early-May. Since then, however? 2-2 in eight starts with a 3.20 ERA… considering he wears a Rockies uniform, that’s excellent. Period. In the grand landscape of it all, it just may mean that Chacin is the kind of guy that can anchor the Colorado rotation in the near-future. Somebody has to step up for them, right? While I am personally a huge fan of Tyler Chatwood (And I certainly have the tremendous record with him these past two years to back it up), I don’t think he’s someone who could step us as their eventual ace. Chacin, though, can be that guy, especially if he starts striking out more hitters, which is a category he’s slightly less than average in. He’s got a fine assortment of pitches, good command, and with confidence at this point in time (Hasn’t lost since Sept. 6 and is coming off a win), Chacin should be poised to end his year strong, as he brightens his future with the club next year.
Note: Yup, no Bud Norris over/under bet tonight. Too much of a tricky matchup, especially with that line and at Wrigley.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
You might as well say this is it right here because mentally, the second-to-last day of a season, or anything for that matter, could just as easily be viewed as the very last day itself, since it’s pretty much the final bit of normalcy, especially in an extensive six-month cycle. By that, I mean when you’re in the last day of something, that’s it right there - no normalcy or anything, as you simply go through the motions that one final time. Thus, this is our last day of normalcy together (There is nothing normal about a day with playoff games, with each day containing its own unique variables that need to be measured especially closely on a day-by-day case basis). Before these past several days, I suggested you all tail me hard, as I emphatically wanted to end this season strong, and that I have done for you well in each of these prior six days (Other than Saturday, when I was a harmless, albeit uncharacteristic, 2-3. 13-4-1 in the other five days). Now, here we are, the FINAL TUESDAY NIGHT of the season, so let’s see what we’ve got…
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks - $46 for $40
Jhoulys Chacin vs Patrick Corbin
UNDER 10
Not sure if this is going to be my final regular season Tuesday Night Best Bet of 2012, but it appears chances are it will end up as such. While it might be an unusual one, it’s still a promising one that features one of my most promising pitchers heading into 2013, that being Patrick Corbin. I mentioned over the summer how Corbin had really caught my eye, which came in the middle of a real nice run that ended up being his best stretch of the season, and I still stand by that comment even as he has struggled down the stretch through the month of September. In fact, Corbin has surrendered four runs or more in three of his past five starts, but I don’t think that’s truly indicative of how much progress the rookie southpaw has made this year. Early on in his freshman season, he didn’t really stick out to me, but after being re-inserted into the rotation thanks to injuries (I miss you, Daniel Hudson. A true unders machine in 2010 and 2011), Corbin developed a sense of comfort and confidence, which allowed him to register the aforementioned solid run he enjoyed over the summer. As a result, I think Corbin still has that potential to do something significant in a positive way, and based on some quotes I read from him coming into this last start, he comes off as genuine in wanting to really end his rookie season on the right note. With an extra sense of urgency, maybe that August version of Patrick Corbinre-emerges tonight and helps push us towards an under.
Speaking of promising pitchers, while I’m not nearly as invested into him as I am with Corbin, you could easily make that same argument for Rockies’ starter Jhoulys Chacin, who has actually been really, really good in his shortened-2012 campaign despite flying under-the-radar. At first glance, his 4.78 ERA for the season isn’t really good at all, but it was actually well over 7 before he went on the DL in early-May. Since then, however? 2-2 in eight starts with a 3.20 ERA… considering he wears a Rockies uniform, that’s excellent. Period. In the grand landscape of it all, it just may mean that Chacin is the kind of guy that can anchor the Colorado rotation in the near-future. Somebody has to step up for them, right? While I am personally a huge fan of Tyler Chatwood (And I certainly have the tremendous record with him these past two years to back it up), I don’t think he’s someone who could step us as their eventual ace. Chacin, though, can be that guy, especially if he starts striking out more hitters, which is a category he’s slightly less than average in. He’s got a fine assortment of pitches, good command, and with confidence at this point in time (Hasn’t lost since Sept. 6 and is coming off a win), Chacin should be poised to end his year strong, as he brightens his future with the club next year.
Note: Yup, no Bud Norris over/under bet tonight. Too much of a tricky matchup, especially with that line and at Wrigley.
**Will Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
