***These Teams Can’t Score***
Canada vs. Cuba
· Cuba has been eliminated.
· Cuba is scoreless in its four (4) group stage matches.
· Cuba has lost their last 12 internationals.
· Cuba has only scored one (1) goal in their last 12 matches.
· Canada has only scored 2 goals in the four (4) group matches.
The last WCQ that Cuba played away from home in a cold weather climate was on October 11, 2008 in Washington DC against the USA. The weather that day was a LOW of 54°F and an average of 65°F. The weather was cool but not freezing cold. Cuba lost 6-1.
On Friday October 12th in Toronto, the weather will be a HIGH of 50°F and a LOW of 34°F. There is a 40% chance of rain and it will be windy. It will be close to freezing and if it rains....LOOK OUT!!!
The weather in Cuba this whole week has been a low of 77̊F and a high of 85°F with 89% humidity.
Cuba: ALL the players play in Cuba for local clubs with the exception of one forward that plays in El Salvador. None of the players are exposed or have ever played in the harsh cold Canadian autumn weather or any cold weather for that matter.
Canada: Seven (7) of Canada’s players play in the MLS and the balance play in Europe throughout the winter. Only the 2nd team keeper plays in Turkey and it’s in the 70’s there, but he will not play Friday.
Extra Info: The Cubans will be complaining about the weather. I am not Spanish but I speak it and I hope to attend the open practice that Cuba will have in Toronto. I expect to hear complaints from the players but not in front of the manager. Look, they don’t want to be here. The cold will bother them and their practice will end up being rather unproductive as they go through the motions.
I also expect Canada to push for as many goals as they can get in 90’. They have discussed this issue as a team. Canada knows that Goal Differential (GD) may be the decider for Canada when it comes down to the final match in Honduras and they don’t want to take chances. Honduras is currently +2 in GD and Canada is even.
Canada is missing 2 starters. Hume is in for injured DeRosario and Klukowski is in for Morgan (tactical).
If Honduras lose to Panama and Canada beat Cuba (the likely scenario) then even if Canada loses the final match it will be GD that decides it.
I don’t know what else to say with respect to this match, but based on what I have revealed above and the need to score; I think you can make an informed decision.
Canada is not a goal scoring machine, and I know that RoundRobin11 has made the Under 2.5 his play of the day. He in all likelihood should cash in on this wager. Both teams just suck at scoring goals. With DeRo out it makes it even tougher.
But I can't help but sense that there is a Perfect Storm Brewing Friday in Toronto. RR11 was at the last match and he should remember what I am about to reveal.
The last time a Warm Weather country played here was St. Kitts last year on November 16, 2011 for a WCQ. It was 36°F at game time (I was there on the sideline and it was cold). Canada just came back from playing in St. Kitts on November 12, 2011 and was only able to get a DRAW 0-0. In Toronto, with temperatures close to freezing, Canada Won 4-0.
Look I've been at field level for all of Canada's qualifiers and in many cases they should have scored at least one or two more goals than they have. Hitting posts and just missing on headers, this team is on the edge of a good goal scoring match and it won't be in Honduras Tuesday. Did I just say Simeon Jackson? OOPS!
Canada -2 (+120) 2 Units
Canada 3-0 EXACT SCORE (+450) 1 Units
Canada vs. Cuba Over 2.5 (-150) 3 Units
Have a great weekend!
I will be at the CAN vs. CUB match and immediately after heading to Ann Arbor for Homecoming Saturday against Illinois.
GO CANADA and GO BLUE!!!