2012 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 5-7, -$153
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
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2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Alright, that’s it. Four-game losing streak for the first time in over a month, including a game I was way off on last night that I did not think could get that out of hand, but sometimes, the hitters are just so locked in that there’s nothing you can do as a pitcher, and I believe that was the case last night. In any case, it’s embarrassing. As you guys know, I take this stuff very personal - more than the money - as it’s about pride to me. MLB Over/Unders are my baby, which is how I've been able to do this every single day for over six months for consecutive seasons, and for me to start scuffling like this in the playoffs, which I’ve always warned everyone is much, much tougher than regular season games because of the countless extra variables involved, it’s just inexcusable. No jokes, no fluff, let me just move to the sole game tonight and snap out of this…
Doug Fister vs Andy Pettitte OVER 8 - Price TBD (Wait to see if line drops to 7.5)
Anddd unfortunately, I’m dealt the task of trying to cure my woes in my most hated ballpark (To bet a game in. I like going to Yankee Stadium, everyone should visit it at least once), featuring a team that is just very hard to figure out in the postseason, that of course being the Yankees. Despite their ability and perseverance to escape the ALDS against Baltimore, it’s scary that once again, another postseason has revealed how much this team can struggle collectively offensively in these high-pressure games (Just about every postseason since ’03, a lot of their bats seemingly disappear).Even so, I think they’ll begin to break out in this series, perhaps as early as Game 1. Doug Fister, as much as I’ve admired his progression into a legitimate upper-rotation big-league starter from his days as a relative unknown in Seattle, can be hit on the road more consistently (His career splits have always been skewed that way by a considerable margin), and the most important trend of all to consider when predicting how he does tonight is probably his struggles against the Yankees over his career. In four starts, Fister has a 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP versus the Bronx Bombers, not including his two starts at Yankee Stadium in the postseason last year when he experienced mixed results. At the end of the day, though, I just think this becomes an instance where the Yankees perhaps feel a bit more relaxed at the plate, especially for someone like A-Rod. If you try and get into his head and figure out how he’s feeling mentally, could he be any lower right now? To be benched in an elimination game when you’re the highest-paid player in the sport is the absolute slap in the face to his reputation and his skillset (Not to mention we may never see such a scenario again), so that being said, he’s at rock bottom, and there might be a sense of, “Well, it can’t get any worse.” That kind of mindset might allow him to ease up more during his at-bats, and when he’s pressing less, that’s when we see more of the Alex Rodriguez of old. It's just like with AJ Burnett... just leave him alone, let him be, and he'll do his thing, and voila, he had a superb year with Pittsburgh this season. A lot of my best friends are Yankee fans but a lot of said fans don't realize they make it more difficult for guys who play in NY. You could address a similar philosophy to the others who were struggling in this series (Nick Swisher), while others who hit last night and perhaps started to break out, such as Curtis Granderson, may pick up where they left off tonight.
And then we have Andy Pettitte, who surprisingly has not adopted the official, albeit simple, nickname of “Playoff” Pettitte. I mean, he does have the most postseason wins in baseball history (Although that’s unfair to all the pitchers of years ago who couldn’t play in as many postseason games because of the format), and for most of his starts in this atmosphere, he just always comes out strong. Well, after a 6-0 win in their own elimination game, you have to believe Detroit’s offense came out of that series against Oakland strong, and I think it can continue. While the Tigers are not as effective against left-handed pitching (I mean, they were the *best* team in baseball this year against righties so that’d be hard to duplicate), but they did finish middle-of-the-pack, and I just think with the way they escaped that series, after blowing a 2-0 lead, will also lead them to be more relaxed - at least early on in the series - allowing them to maybe scratch across a few runs. The good thing about taking an over at Yankee Stadium, no matter what time of year it is, is that any innocent-looking fly ball can turn into a three-run bomb, and while Pettitte’s home-runs allowed have significantly decreased since he first came back this year, I actually do anticipate him surrendering at least one longball tonight. This Tiger offense can be so potent up and down the lineup, and while Prince Fielder is the one who most notably struggles against southpaws, I think we’ll see an impact elsewhere. Eight runs, especially at Yankee Stadium, is not a grueling challenge, so hopefully these clubs starts performing like their regular season predecessors. They have to break out at SOME point, especially the Yankees. Saturday night’s Game 1 looks like a good opportunity for that to happen, but it could also be close to the line of 8. We'll see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104
Alright, that’s it. Four-game losing streak for the first time in over a month, including a game I was way off on last night that I did not think could get that out of hand, but sometimes, the hitters are just so locked in that there’s nothing you can do as a pitcher, and I believe that was the case last night. In any case, it’s embarrassing. As you guys know, I take this stuff very personal - more than the money - as it’s about pride to me. MLB Over/Unders are my baby, which is how I've been able to do this every single day for over six months for consecutive seasons, and for me to start scuffling like this in the playoffs, which I’ve always warned everyone is much, much tougher than regular season games because of the countless extra variables involved, it’s just inexcusable. No jokes, no fluff, let me just move to the sole game tonight and snap out of this…
Doug Fister vs Andy Pettitte OVER 8 - Price TBD (Wait to see if line drops to 7.5)
Anddd unfortunately, I’m dealt the task of trying to cure my woes in my most hated ballpark (To bet a game in. I like going to Yankee Stadium, everyone should visit it at least once), featuring a team that is just very hard to figure out in the postseason, that of course being the Yankees. Despite their ability and perseverance to escape the ALDS against Baltimore, it’s scary that once again, another postseason has revealed how much this team can struggle collectively offensively in these high-pressure games (Just about every postseason since ’03, a lot of their bats seemingly disappear).Even so, I think they’ll begin to break out in this series, perhaps as early as Game 1. Doug Fister, as much as I’ve admired his progression into a legitimate upper-rotation big-league starter from his days as a relative unknown in Seattle, can be hit on the road more consistently (His career splits have always been skewed that way by a considerable margin), and the most important trend of all to consider when predicting how he does tonight is probably his struggles against the Yankees over his career. In four starts, Fister has a 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP versus the Bronx Bombers, not including his two starts at Yankee Stadium in the postseason last year when he experienced mixed results. At the end of the day, though, I just think this becomes an instance where the Yankees perhaps feel a bit more relaxed at the plate, especially for someone like A-Rod. If you try and get into his head and figure out how he’s feeling mentally, could he be any lower right now? To be benched in an elimination game when you’re the highest-paid player in the sport is the absolute slap in the face to his reputation and his skillset (Not to mention we may never see such a scenario again), so that being said, he’s at rock bottom, and there might be a sense of, “Well, it can’t get any worse.” That kind of mindset might allow him to ease up more during his at-bats, and when he’s pressing less, that’s when we see more of the Alex Rodriguez of old. It's just like with AJ Burnett... just leave him alone, let him be, and he'll do his thing, and voila, he had a superb year with Pittsburgh this season. A lot of my best friends are Yankee fans but a lot of said fans don't realize they make it more difficult for guys who play in NY. You could address a similar philosophy to the others who were struggling in this series (Nick Swisher), while others who hit last night and perhaps started to break out, such as Curtis Granderson, may pick up where they left off tonight.
And then we have Andy Pettitte, who surprisingly has not adopted the official, albeit simple, nickname of “Playoff” Pettitte. I mean, he does have the most postseason wins in baseball history (Although that’s unfair to all the pitchers of years ago who couldn’t play in as many postseason games because of the format), and for most of his starts in this atmosphere, he just always comes out strong. Well, after a 6-0 win in their own elimination game, you have to believe Detroit’s offense came out of that series against Oakland strong, and I think it can continue. While the Tigers are not as effective against left-handed pitching (I mean, they were the *best* team in baseball this year against righties so that’d be hard to duplicate), but they did finish middle-of-the-pack, and I just think with the way they escaped that series, after blowing a 2-0 lead, will also lead them to be more relaxed - at least early on in the series - allowing them to maybe scratch across a few runs. The good thing about taking an over at Yankee Stadium, no matter what time of year it is, is that any innocent-looking fly ball can turn into a three-run bomb, and while Pettitte’s home-runs allowed have significantly decreased since he first came back this year, I actually do anticipate him surrendering at least one longball tonight. This Tiger offense can be so potent up and down the lineup, and while Prince Fielder is the one who most notably struggles against southpaws, I think we’ll see an impact elsewhere. Eight runs, especially at Yankee Stadium, is not a grueling challenge, so hopefully these clubs starts performing like their regular season predecessors. They have to break out at SOME point, especially the Yankees. Saturday night’s Game 1 looks like a good opportunity for that to happen, but it could also be close to the line of 8. We'll see what happens.
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**
**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
