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THE GOLDSHEET
CHICAGO 34 - Detroit 19—Chicago has proven in its last three games
(9 ppg allowed, 10 sacks, 8 ints.) that it is no picnic for teams to play against the
Bear defense when all its key players are healthy. And, now, offensive
coordinator Mike Tice, QB Jay Cutler, WR Brandon Marshall, and LT J’Marcus
Webb all seem to be on the same page. Plus, RB Matt Forte has enjoyed
needed time to rest his gimpy ankle, and power backup Michael Bush (206 YR,
3 TDR) is well integrated into the attack. The Bears, eager to unseat the hated
Packers in the NFC North, can take another step in that direction vs. the
inconsistent, sometimes-underachieving Lions. Chicago is 9-1 vs. spread in
Cutler’s last 10 starts (the L was its Game Two fiasco this year at Lambeau)!
CABLE TV—ESPN
 
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NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = [/B]Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears - OVER 47 (-111)
(Note: I'm risking 2.22 units to win 2.00 units)
 
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NFL Trends & Angles - Week 7
October 19, 2012

Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (78-40-4, 66.1% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle won its only play in Week 6 with Tampa Bay.
Qualifiers: New Orleans -2½ and Chicago -6 (Monday).

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (162-105-5, 60.7% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, Bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. They have apparently over-adjusted, especially when the team coming off of the road game in now facing a familiar conference foe, which lessens the travel effect since the team usually know how to attack the foe and what to expect on defense. This angle won its only play in Week 6 with Denver.
Qualifier: Detroit +6 (Monday), which clashes with a previous angle.
 
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Monday Night Football: Lions at Bears

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-6, 47)

Coming off their bye week, the Chicago Bears attempt to extend their winning streak to four games and remain atop the NFC North when they host the division-rival Detroit Lions on Monday night. Chicago, which enters Week 7 with a half-game division lead over Minnesota, has outscored its opponents 98-27 over its last three contests. The Bears also are hoping to continue their dominance over Detroit as Chicago has won seven of the last eight meetings between the clubs.

The Lions are seeking their second consecutive victory as they are coming off a 26-23 overtime triumph in Philadelphia. Detroit scored 10 points in the final 3:32 of regulation and Jason Hanson kicked his fourth field goal of the game from 45 yards out to complete the comeback. The victory ended the Lions' three-game overall losing streak as well as their five-game skid against the Eagles.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Bears -6, O/U 47.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s with a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out of the south at 12 mph.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-3): S Louis Delmas and CB Chris Houston each had an interception in last week's victory. They were Detroit's first two interceptions of the season. QB Matthew Stafford is seeking his third straight game with 300 yards passing. He threw for 311 yards in the win over Philadelphia. RB Joique Bell is proving to be a dangerous weapon out of the backfield as he is second among NFC running backs with 178 yards receiving.

ABOUT THE BEARS (4-1): QB Jay Cutler has faced the Lions six times while with Chicago, throwing 10 touchdown passes and just one interception in five victories. The Bears are the first team in NFL history to return an interception for a touchdown five times in its first five games. CB Charles Tillman and LB Lance Briggs have both brought back an interception for a score in each of Chicago's last two contests. Tillman (seven) and Briggs (five) have the most TDs off picks in club history. The Bears have returned an interception for a score in a franchise-high three consecutive contests. DE Julius Peppers has registered 10 sacks in eight meetings with the Lions.

TRENDS:
* Over is 5-2 in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 7-1 in Bears’ last eight games following a win.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Lions’ last seven games overall.
* Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Bears are 8-2 on Monday night under coach Lovie Smith.

2. Chicago RB Matt Forte has registered 975 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns in his last eight games against the Lions.

3. Last week, Detroit became the first team to win despite committing 16 penalties since Cincinnati was flagged 17 times in a triumph over Minnesota on Sept. 18, 2005.
 
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Tale of the tape: Lions at Bears

Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears.

Offense

The Lions are coming off a 26-23 overtime triumph in Philadelphia. Detroit scored 10 points in the final 3:32 of regulation and Jason Hanson kicked his fourth field goal of the game from 45 yards out to complete the comeback. Quarterback Matthew Stafford is seeking his third consecutive game with 300 yards passing after racking up 311 yards in the air last week. Joique Bell is second among NFC running backs with 178 yards receiving.

Quarterback Jay Cutler is 5-1 as a Bears starter against the Lions and has a career 105.0 passer rating against them in seven starts overall - his best passer rating against any opponent with a minimum of four starts. Offensive coordinator Mike Tice has gone on the record saying the team plans to pick up the tempo, with its own version of a no-huddle offense this week against Detroit. Chicago has outscored its opponents 98-27 over its last three contests.

Edge: Bears

Defense

Lions S Louis Delmas and CB Chris Houston each had an interception in last week's victory - Detroit’s first two picks of the season. The Lions are allowing 3.7 yards per carry - 10th in the league – and may have their hands full with Matt Forte. The Pro Bowl back has ran all over the Lions in his last eight games in the series, compiling 975 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns.

The Bears are the first team in NFL history to return an interception for a touchdown five times in their first five games. CB Charles Tillman and LB Lance Briggs have both brought back an interception for a score in each of Chicago's last two contests. The Bears have returned an interception for a score in a franchise-high three consecutive contests and DE Julius Peppers has registered 10 sacks in his last eight meetings with the Lions.

Edge: Bears

Special Teams

Detroit K Jason Hanson was named NFC Special Teams Player of the Week after nailing all four of his field goals, including the game-winner, in last Sunday's victory over Philadelphia. The 42-year-old has made 16 of 17 field goals, including his last 12 attempts this year. The Lions have struggled to cover the opposition on special teams this season. Opponents are averaging 19.6 yards per punt return and 30.3 per kickoff returns.

The Bears have listed their top special teams tackler, CB Sherrick McManis, as questionable for Monday night due to a hip strain he suffered in the team's Week 5 win over the Jaguars. Return man Devin Hester (quad) and LB Blake Costanzo (thumb) are listed as probable on the official injury report, which is great news for Chicago.

Edge: Bears

Word on the Street

"I think teams are doing everything they can to take him away. Anytime we get inside about the 10-yard line, they’re ... rolling guys over the top -- whatever they’re doing to try and keep him out of the end zone. We just have to do a better job of finding other guys and other guys making plays, and me putting it on other guys to get sevens.” – Lions QB Matthew Stafford on how opposing defenses are attempting to contain WR Calvin Johnson and how he needs to adjust.

“We didn’t spend our bye week working on Monday night’s game. We didn’t start that until this week. We spent our time working on things that we feel like we need to improve on, looked at some things that we’d want to try to get to but we haven’t gotten to yet and then talked about things we need to throw out because we weren’t doing very well. Most teams do that during the bye week, I think.” – Bears offensive coordinator Mike Tice on the how the team used their practice time during the bye week.
 
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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Monday, October 22

DETROIT (2 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 1) - 10/22/2012, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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