The Cat's MLB Over/Under Bets & Detailed Writeups - October 29, 2012... Wait, NO MORE GAMES?? (Last Daily Thread of the Year)

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Final MLB Over/Under Records
2012 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 13-10-1, -$3 (Including a 4-0 SWEEP of World Series Over/Unders)
2011 MLB O/U Playoff Record: 14-11-3, +$5 (Including a 5-1-1 mark in the 2011 World Series)
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2012 MLB O/U Season Record: 361-329-47, -$1,490 (Was making much bigger bets earlier in the year, with countless fluke bad breaks, obviously. I also undoubtedly lead the country in half-run/one-run losses)
2011 MLB O/U Season Record: 366-270-42, +$1,104

So this is it, huh? The end of the road. The finale. The final article. If you’ve clicked on this link to read my final thoughts and commentary for the 2012 season, it most likely means you were a regular reader of mine for the season, and for that, I genuinely thank you. It is your messages, feedback, opinions, comments, etc. that has kept me going literally every single day these past seven months, so again, I thank you. At the same time, though, I’d like to apologize.

Yes, you read right: An apology. Although I did contribute more content and analysis concerning MLB Over/Unders - more so than ANY other writer on the Internet (I’ve looked and have found no one who did what I did every single day this year. Not one person. If you know of someone who has shown a similar interest or passion in baseball over/unders, which is doubtful, please let me know) - meaning that there was not a SINGLE person in this country that put more effort into baseball over/unders than I did (Countless hours every single day and night looking at each individual pitching matchup; please appreciate the tireless efforts I contributed in the form of my articles. I never took a day off all season long), the fact remains that I was actually down for the season, and if that led you to being down from tailing me, I apologize because to me, that’s embarrassing (Despite a respectable winning percentage; with flat-betting, I would have been even or up, since all over/unders average out to be -110 juice. Hopefully you’re better at money management than I am). I NEVER would have thought that I would have finished down for the season, but please also note that I was down a lot more at one point in the first half from making over-my-head-size bet amounts, and once I brought it down back to my 2011 levels (When I would rarely exceed $100 for a wager), that’s when I went back into my normal 2011 groove, hitting about 57-percent of my games. In fact, over the regular season from August 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] to the end, I was 108-82-20 (56.8%, and with -110 bets, that’s elite over a very large sample size, which proves to myself that I STILL *have it*, referring to my success from last year), not to mention 13-10-1 (56.5%) in this postseason with my over/unders. That’s three months of work right there, and it reveals to myself that I am as much a mentally-oriented bettor than anyone out there because it was clearly mindset, making huge bets that far exceeded the amounts that I should have been making all along given my very small bankroll (Which would lead to me thinking more about the money rather than the actual games, and to me, that's not how you win consistently. You win consistently from "feel" of the games), that led to my unexpected decline in the first half of the season (When I would uncharacteristically be making $200+ bets; didn’t even do that at all once last year).

It’s still surreal to me that this is the end of the road for baseball in 2012. It’s been quite the interesting year. Longtime and loyal members of The RX Baseball Forum might recall my constant whining about bad beats, especially throughout the first half when they were seemingly happening every day, and I’ll still stand by that behavior because if you were to go through each of my daily threads of every day in the first half and re-live it, you’d notice the unusual and quite bizarre fluke occurrences that seemingly plagued me on a daily basis. It was just unbelievable (Only my bad luck can lead to .160-hitting Mike Nickeas to hit a two-out, eighth-inning grand slam to cost me an under of mine that was about to win), and for those who actually believe “all breaks even out in the end,” my 2012 season was living proof that sentiment is FARRRRRR from true. Not even close, as all of you regular readers know I was painfully on the end of bad breaks completely significantly more than I was for the few - and I mean few - good breaks I received.

In any case, I hope I was able to teach the majority of you something. That in baseball betting, each game, each pitching matchup, is meant to be taken very delicately with its own identity. I often stressed the importance of knowing starting pitchers inside and out, and I hope I taught a lot of you that it’s also important to also know those “under-the-radar” pitchers who I often thrived with - guys such as Bud Norris (My favorite pitcher in baseball, remember), Blake Beavan, Lucas Harrell, Eric Stults, James McDonald, Henderson Alvarez, Patrick Corbin, Chris Volstad, Danny Duffy, Graham Godfrey… the list goes on - but that it’s crucial to simply just know as many starting pitchers as you can, at least for over/under bets. They are the root of it all, which is why I constantly refer to MLB Over/Unders as my baby (They are, by far, my favorite bet out of anything else in sports, and it will always be like that, hence why I have such a genuine passion and dedication for them). Just figure out a pitcher’s mentality going into a given start and you will more than likely be successful, so I hope my style of betting has also showed you something new as well. It’s the one position in sports more than ANY other that is most effected by the human mind, thus giving these bets, in my opinion, the most potential to be successful (Unless, as I painfully found out throughout the first half, the bullpens inexplicably blow it. They were historically bad this year, after all, but I don’t think they will be as consistently woeful next year). On top of it all, the most important lesson I hope I have taught everyone here: It's all mental. Sports AND Gambling.

As for myself, I hope to be back next year here at The RX. I really do. I enjoyed writing my content for all of you on a daily basis (Otherwise I wouldn’t have done it every single day for 7 months of my life), and I especially enjoyed interacting with the wonderful community we have here, not to mention engaging with the fellow great cappers (Skyla, BMM, etc.). As I’ve mentioned a few times, I’m 26-years old, fresh out of college with my Journalism degree (Hence how I’ve been able to do all of this baseball writing; I’ve wanted to be a sports writer my whole life), which is why I’m not 100-percent sure if I will indeed be back. You never know what can happen in several months - maybe I get that full-time job I’ve been looking for, which unfortunately, would cut into the time that I could put into my writing on this tremendous site. In a perfect world, I will find that full-time sports writing job and still have the time to write my articles here. We’ll see.

So one last time in 2012 in the baseball forum, thank you for reading. I loved my time here this season and I know, with much lower expectations heading into next season (Since they were very large coming into the season), I could potentially have my best year ever - even exceeding my success from 2011 (I had low expectations with little pressure going into football season, and now look; I’m winning almost 60-percent of my 100+ bets for the SEASON. It's all mental). At the very least, I am entering this offseason on a five-game winning streak (Although that doesn’t really compare to my season-high, and I believe RX-season-high, 10-game win streak from mid-August), although that won't really be relevant come Opening Day (Which hopefully features a start from my boy Lucas Harrell. He BETTER get more Rookie of the Year votes than Bryce Harper. Period).

Of course, if you like my betting style/writing/content, you can always catch me in the NFL Forum, where I’m having terrific success this season, and I think I’ll also be doing some work in the NBA Forum pertaining to over/unders (Although, in my opinion, NBA can be very tough; then again, last year’s lockout had a considerable impact on everything so there should be more of a norm this season) as well. Wow. Still can’t believe it’s over.

Two last words to end my baseball season (My No. 1 sleeper heading into 2012, and most likely, 2013 as well): Blake Beavan.

And that’s all.


(Yes, there’s no more games but I’m posting this anyway, since it was always at the bottom of my daily articles)
**May Add More Over/Under(s) Throughout Day Leading Up To Gametime**


**Remember that if you have a question concerning an over/under, I will gladly assist you with it if I see it before the game starts, even the ones I don't bet on, as I have at least a small vibe on every single over/under from studying this stuff every single day and night**
 

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appreciate the shoutout.. and i know SKY does too.. we were all here for the same reason my man... to come to a consensus and win some money.. you did an incredible job cats... even on days where i played some fun parlays that needed 1 or 2 more games... i would always throw your best bets and sometimes your recommended plays in... i deeply appreciate the time and effort you put into these over/unders... and we both know the REAL people here also appreciate it.. im gonna miss this thread.. but it was an incredible run in here... cheers brother, all the best to you..
 

Rx Post Doc
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You put much effort into the writeups this year and I want to thank you for your hard work and efforts.

I hope to see your posts next season starting around the 1st of April, 2013!!

Thanks much,

tulsa
 

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