2012-13 NBA Road System (Tony1)

Nitro3 · Oct 30, 2012

Hi Guys,

I have attached the two spreadsheets for this years plays. I know playr101 posted TeamNookmum spreadsheet in last years thread, but I had already did up my sheet and notice some errors so I corrected them and also put in the dates. The second spreadsheet is my original, which will give you all of the road games by team, not just the "3 series" games.

Here are Tony1 Rules for the NBA Road System...Good Luck !!!!!!!!!

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS

THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
6. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

SOONERWIN · Oct 30, 2012

TY for posting the schedule!

Ftballerlb · Oct 30, 2012

thank you for taking the time to get the schedule together

TimmyS99 · Oct 31, 2012

thanx for the spread sheet really appreciate it

Sherlock2011 · Oct 31, 2012

This is the link for the rules for the last "complete season." Last year was hybrid because of the late start. Check these rules out. Foremost is that there are not supposed to be any plays during the first 10 days of the season because the fatigue factor has not even begun to sink in. This is a great system and many thanks for posting the schedule. For one, I will not be jumping in until next weekend at the earliest.

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=804069

Sherlock2011 · Oct 31, 2012

Here are the rules from 10-11 season which I suggest should be used going forward.

10-19-2010, 06:40 PM

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 2010 - 11)

THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Any series that starts before the christmas break must conclude by dec. 22 or it is a no play.
6. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
7. NO PLAYS THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.
8. Optional: If a home team is favored by 5 points or more for the first half of game one, the series is eliminated.
9. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

Comments: I will post the schedule for Nov in a few days.

TimmyS99 · Nov 1, 2012

I know system is based on fatigue and right now that doesn't really come into play because its opening week but system is already 2-0 with Philly covering 1st half and same wit Chicago

Nitro3 · Nov 5, 2012

System is 5-0 for those who started early. Magic covered 2nd half in last nights game.

We will have to see what road teams will be optional plays, I know Tony1 had a few.

any suggestions?

brigade125 · Nov 6, 2012

6-0 spurs covered there 1st half ... let keep it going...

snizzal · Nov 6, 2012

I would have been posting had I known others where following too but thought most people wanted to wait the first 10 days. Anyways there are 3 games starting tomorrow Det @ Sac game 1 Phi @ NO game 1 and San Antonio @ LA Clippers Game 1

snizzal · Nov 6, 2012

I think tony's optional plays where just the teams that where the better teams in the league.....MIA, Lakers, OKC.......but even those teams lost at some point in the series last year.

brigade125 · Nov 6, 2012

the spurs vs clippers is not a play ...it wont be a play til friday aganist the kings....
spurs vs clippers 11\7
spurs vs kings 11\9
spurs vs blazers 11\10
spurs vs lakers 11\13
must start from the reamaining last three road games.....
Det @ Sac game 1
Phi @ NO game 1
2plays 2morrow....

snizzal · Nov 6, 2012

your right brigade125 I didn't have the game against Lakers marked so didn't see it for the spurs, so the last 3 games of the road series are Sac, Por and Lakers nice catch!!!!!

brigade125 · Nov 8, 2012

8-0 lets keep it going

snizzal · Nov 8, 2012

you got the next 2 games in the system tomorrow Cle @ Phx Game 1 and SA @ Sac Game 1 right?

MrGambles · Nov 8, 2012

can someone keep a sheet of the record with win lost percentage of past plays.. and what's up and coming .. Its a little confusing but this sounds interesting to follow

tony1 · Nov 9, 2012

I would like to wish everyone good luck this season with the system. It is good to see that some are still interested. I have to say it is very different this NBA season after posting this system for several years.

TONY1

HERETOWIN · Nov 9, 2012

tony1 said:
I would like to wish everyone good luck this season with the system. It is good to see that some are still interested. I have to say it is very different this NBA season after posting this system for several years.

TONY1

thanks tony , this season will be the 3rd for me using your system.by the way, what do you see diferent this season,thanks

ljigga · Nov 9, 2012

Nitro3 said:
System is 5-0 for those who started early. Magic covered 2nd half in last nights game.

We will have to see what road teams will be optional plays, I know Tony1 had a few.

any suggestions?

Maybe I'm confused but if they covered the 2nd half and lost the 1st, doesn't that mean the system is 5-1? Or am i missing something? Im not bashing or anything I just want to understand how the whole system works and the percentages behind it...

snizzal · Nov 9, 2012

the system works by playing against a team on the last 3 games of a road trip. You play against that team for only a half. So the first half of the first game is 1 of 6 in the series. If the team losses in the 1st half of the 1st game you add the lost wager to your unit bet and bet that on the 2nd half of the 1st game. If that losses you add your losses together add your unit bet and play against that team in the 2nd game 1st half.....or 3 of 6 in the series. So a team might win the first 1 or 3 plays of a series but the series is not a loss until the team makes it through all 6 halves. Does that make since ljigga?