Service Plays Friday 11/16/12

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GL!

Struggling Hawaii visits Air Force Friday night

Kickoff: Friday, 9:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Air Force -21.5, Total: 61.5

A pair of Mountain West teams eager to snap losing streaks meet on Friday night when Air Force hosts Hawaii.

The Warriors are riding a seven-game losing skid (SU and ATS), falling by a combined score of 339 to 112 (48-16 avg. score) with a total of 24 turnovers during this skid. The Falcons are on a similar slide, going 1-5 ATS in their past six contests, losing the past two games outright by a combined score of 69-30 due partly to an uncharacteristic nine turnovers. Air Force still ranks second in the nation in rushing offense though (335 YPG), and is 11-6-1 SU all-time versus Hawaii, but these schools have not met since 2001.

Hawaii QB Sean Schroeder has had a subpar season (9 TD, 10 INT), but he's been especially awful in his past three games, completing just 45-of-95 passes for 462 yards (4.9 YPA), 1 TD and 5 INT. Hawaii's ground game has also been non-existent for most of the season (99.8 YPG, 116th in FBS), especially with its minus-14 yards on 33 carries versus Boise State last week. The main problem with the Warriors has been carelessness with the football. They have at least three giveaways in six straight games, committing 22 turnovers in this span. And the defense hasn't been able to make up for this by forcing miscues on their own, tallying 0-to-1 takeaways in six of the past seven games.

Army thwarted Air Force's triple-option two weeks ago (103 yards on 43 carries, 2.4 YPC), but the team bounced back with its typical 320 yards on 68 carries (4.7 YPC) in last week's 28-9 loss at San Diego State. The school has had zero trouble rushing the ball at Falcon Stadium, galloping for an eye-popping 2,058 yards (412 per game) in five home games. With Hawaii surrendering 293 rushing YPG in the past two contests, Air Force will not deviate from this heavy ground game. QB Connor Dietz has attempted just 104 passes in 10 games, but after not throwing a pick in his first eight contests, he's tossed three interceptions during the two-game losing skid. That is just a small part of the Falcons turnover problems in the past four weeks, as they have 14 giveaways in these four games.

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Friday, November 16th - Free Member Play

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Friday, November 16th - Free Member Play

TOP (3 UNITS)
AIR FORCE -21 (-120) vs hawaii (6:30pm)
Soumi
*Lines at LV Hilton 11-15-12, 9:30pm
**All times Pacific

FRIDAY


• Play Florida Atlantic -1.5 over Florida International (TOP NCAA
PLAY)---50% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:00 PM EST


Florida International has lost 7 of the last 8 games and they have
also lost 13 of the last 15 games against the spread coming off a bye
week. Florida International has lost 9 of the last 10 games against
the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals and they are
allowing an average of 37 points a game on defense in road games this
season.




• Play Air Force -22.5 over Hawaii (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---20% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 9:30 PM EST


Hawaii has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread and they have
also lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread as an underdog.
Hawaii has lost 9 consecutive games against the spread when playing in
the 2nd half of the season and they are allowing an average of 47
points a game on defense in road games this season.


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SATURDAY


• Play Northwestern +6.5 over Michigan State (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL
PLAY)---40% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 12:00 PM EST


Northwestern has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games and they
have also covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games vs. Michigan
State on the road. Northwestern has covered the spread in 7 of the
last 8 games coming off a win against the spread and they have also
covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after committing one or less
turnovers in their last game.




• Play UCLA +4 over USC (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:00 PM EST


UCLA has covered the spread in 16 of the last 19 home games after
scoring 42 points or more in their last game and they have also
covered the spread in 26 of the last 37 games as a home underdog.
UCLA has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 home games against the
spread when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they are
only allowing an average of 17 points a game on defense at home this
season.




• Play Wisconsin -3 over Ohio State (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 3:30 PM EST


Wisconsin has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games and they
have also won 19 of the last 20 home games. Wisconsin has on 27 of
the last 32 games as a favorite and they are only allowing an average
of 17 points a game on defense this season.




• Play Oklahoma -11 over West Virginia (TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY)---25%
OF YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 7:00 PM EST


West Virginia has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread and
they have also lost 6 consecutive games against the spread after
allowing 37 points or more in their last two games. West Virginia has
lost 4 of the last 5 home games against the spread and they are
allowing an average of 41 points a game on defense this season.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SUNDAY


• Play Tampa Bay -1.5 over Carolina (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---30% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 1:00 PM EST


Tampa Bay has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games and
they have also covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 road games when
the total posted is between 45.5 and 49 points. Tampa Bay has covered
the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off an OVER the total and
they are averaging over 30 points a game on offense in road games this
season.




• Play New Orleans -4.5 over Oakland (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 4:00 PM EST


New Orleans has covered the spread in 10 consecutive games when
playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have also covered the
spread in 9 of the last 11 games coming off a home win. New Orleans
has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 overall games and they are
averaging over 27 points a game on offense this season.




• Play Baltimore -3.5 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY)---25% OF
YOUR BANKROLL
Starts at 8:30 PM EST


Baltimore has won 19 of the last 25 games when the total posted is
between 35.5 and 42 points and they have also won 13 of the last 16
games vs. division opponents. Baltimore has won 17 of the last 22
games coming off an OVER the total and they have also won 23 of the
last 26 games after having won two of the last three games.

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

NCCAF- HAWAII/AIRFORCE OVER 61.5 -110(930PM)

GOODFELLAS

NCAAF- FLORIDA ATL -1.5 -110 FLORIDA INTL (8PM)

CFB

Hawai'i is awful, 0-8 vs I-A teams; only game they covered was a 49-10 (+40) loss at USC- they've been outscored 77-10 in first half of last two games. Only one of their five road losses was by less than 35 points. Air Force lost its last two games, is just 1-5 vs spread as a favorite (1-2 as a home favorite). Warriors haven't played Air Force since 2001. MWC home favorites are 10-5 vs spread. Four of last five Hawai'i games went over total, five of last six Air Force games stayed under.

FAU covered its last games (2-6 SU) but was underdog in all eight; this is only their third home game vs I-A opponent (1-1). FIU (-17) pounded FAU 41-7 LY, ending five-game skid in local rivalry where faves covered five of last six games; Panthers lost last couple visits here, 21-9/28-21. FIU lost seven of last eight games; they're 2-2 as road underdogs. This is a busride game, so not like any travel involved. Sun Belt home favorites are 5-15 against spread. Three of last four FAU games went over total.

Florida Atlantic: Quietly Piling UP Money for Bettors
by Jon Campbell

The Florida Atlantic Owls have been one of the best kept secrets in sports betting this season. They’ve now amazingly covered the spread in eight straight games and rank in a tie as the sixth-most profitable team in the country for college football bettors at 8-2 ATS (against the spread).

The Owls have done it all quietly, tucked away neatly in the unheralded Sun Belt Conference, where the only games appearing on ESPN are on the “U” and they are played on days that end in “riday”. The Owls are also just 3-7 straight up this season, a record typically not associated with raking in profits for bettors.

Well the secret is out, for those who have been listening. FAU opened as a 1-point underdog for Friday’s home game against FIU in the Shula Bowl and sharps quickly propped the Owls up to a 2-point favorite.

It marks the first time FAU has been favored against an FBS squad since Nov. 13, 2010 when the team was an 11.5-point fave against La.-Lafayette. The closest the Owls came to being favored this season versus an FBS foe was when they were a 4.5-point dog on Oct. 20 at Southern Alabama and lost 37-34 in OT.

FAU has been slow to get rolling this season under new coach Carl Pelini with new systems while playing in a brand new stadium. But Pelini told the Palm Beach Post recently he thinks his team can win its final three games.

The Owls ended a 15-game road losing streak with a 37-28 win as a 15.5-point underdog over the weekend. One clear sign of improvement is in the yardage battle. FAU was badly out-gained in yards in its first three games against FBS competition this year. But then it lost the yardage battle by a mere 40 yards combined in its next two games and has now won the yardage war in three of its past four games.

One area they’ll want to clean up on to get past FIU is defense, though. FAU hasn’t held an opponent to fewer than 24 points in any of its past five games.

CBB

-- First road game for Rutgers; they were upset by St Peter's in opener; Knights have 3 starters back from 14-18/6-12 team; they're picked #11 in Big East, whose teams are 4-1 vs spread on road when spread is less than 10 points. Princeton won 59-57 at Rutgers last season.
-- Denver lost 80-59 at California LY; Bears won first two games by 13-17 points- they have 3 starters back from 24-10/13-5 team. Pac-12 clubs covered five of six games with single digit spread. Pioneers lost opener at Iona 65-58, after being down 23 at half- they're picked #2 in WAC.
-- Fresno State won 55-47 at Pacific LY; Bulldogs won a hideous 39-30 game at Cal-Riverside Wednesday- they led 13-11 at half!!!, but they did lose opener by hoop at Texas, so they must have some talent. Bulldogs has 3 starters back from LY. Pacific has all 5 starters back (11-19/6-10).
-- Vanderbilt's leading returning scorer averaged 3.1 ppg LY, so they're starting over; Commodores beat Oregon 78-64 in Nashville LY, but that team finished 25-11. Ducks have seven freshmen and two JC transfers after 3 of their 5 freshmen recruits LY transferred- they're rebuilding.

-- Long Beach State lost 84-78 in Chapel Hill LY, but they had seniors all over place; this 49er team has three transfers (not all of whom are in lineup yet) and five freshmen- they lost 62-44 at USC Tuesday. North Carolina is also young but lot more talented- they're on way to Maui.
-- Oklahoma State needed OT to beat Akron yesterday; they had couple guys play 40 minutes. OSU is picked #5 in Big X. Tennessee had three guys play 30+ minutes yesterday, but no one played more than 34 as Vols beat Asheville by 7 (up 10 at half). Vols are #3 pick in SEC.
-- UMass played seven guys 20+ minutes yesterday, none more than 34 in 77-75 win over Providence team with six scholarship players. UMass is #5 pick in A-16. NC State is picked to win ACC, high praise in itself; they survived Brown's 1-10 shooting Thursday to beat Penn St. by 19.
-- Baylor whacked Colorado 80-63 in 2nd round of NCAAs last March, but Bears graduated whole frontline- Jackson hit 6-10 from arc, had 31 in win yesterday, but Austin has gimpy ankle, minutes may be limited for this game. Well-coached Buffs held Dayton to 32% shooting yesterday.
-- St John's shot 50% inside arc in 64-53 win at Charleston yesterday, its second quality win (Detroit) of week; Red Storm had three guys play 35+ minutes. Murray State was up 45-19 at half over Auburn, won by 20- they made 11-23 from arc. No starter played more than 26:00.

-- Wake Forest is well-coached, but has only one junior, two seniors, so they're real young. Deacons beat Radford by 12 in opener- they're #11 pick in ACC, but improving. UConn beat Michigan State in Germany in its opener last week; they have new coach, good PG in Boatright.
-- Villanova was down 6 with 0:40 left last night, rallied to beat Purdue in OT; they had four kids play 33+ minutes, outscored Purdue 33-16 on foul line. Alabama already has 3-point wins over South Dakota State, Oregon State, two good teams- only one kid played 30+ min. last nite.
-- Notre Dame has 4 starters back from 22-12/13-5 team; they're #3 pick in Big East. Irish won by 9-27 in first two games, allowing 53 ppg. They step up in class playing St Joe's squad that has all 5 starters back from a 20-14/9-7 team- Hawks hammered Yale by 26 in their opener.
-- Clemson's team is five freshmen, six sophs, two seniors, so games on road could be dicey early on; Tigers beat Furman by 10 LY, have date vs Gonzaga Thanksgiving Day in Orlando. Paladins lost three starters from LY's 15-16 team. ACC favorites are 10-4 against spread this month.

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Thunder won five of last six games (1-1 as road favorite). Hornets are 5-1 vs spread this year, 2-1 as home underdog.
-- Minnesota covered five of last six games (3-1 as home favorite).
-- Memphis won/covered its last six games. Knicks won first six games, rallying from 12 down with 7:00 to go last night (2-0 as road dog).
-- Lakers covered last three games as a home favorite (3-1).

Cold Teams
-- Jazz lost five of six road games (0-3-1 as road dog). Philly lost its last three home games, all as a favorite (0-3).
-- Pistons lost eight of first nine games (0-2 at home, 0-1 as home fave). Orlando lost its last five games (1-1-1 as road dog).
-- Indiana lost five of its last six games (1-2 as home fave). Mavericks lost three of last four games (!-2 as road dog).
-- Warriors lost three of last five games (2-1-1 as road dogs).
-- Hawks lost three of last four games (2-2 as road dog). Sacramento lost six of first eight games (0-6-1 vs spread in last seven).
-- Trailblazers lost four of their last five games (0-2 as home favorite). Rockets lost four of last six games (2-1 as road dog).
-- Suns lost three of their four road games (1-2 as road dog).

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Utah games.
-- Last three Detroit games stayed under the total; under is 3-0-1 in last four Orlando games.
-- Seven of nine Indiana games, three of last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Six of nine Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Warrior road games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Last five Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland games stayed under total.
-- Six of Suns' last seven games went over total; four of last five Laker games stayed under.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/16/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 248-69 (.782)
ATS: 81-80 (.503)
ATS Vary Units: 320-373 (.462)
Over/Under: 20-21 (.488)
Over/Under Vary Units: 37-25 (.597)

2012 CvC Classic
Championship Semifinals at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Florida State 76, Byu 72
Notre Dame 66, Saint Joseph's 62

Subregional Round at Evansville, IN
Buffalo 65, Western Illinois 57
EVANSVILLE 72, Yale 64

2K Sports Classic
at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Purdue 79, Oregon State 76

Championship
Alabama vs. Villanova: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Subregional Round at Hempstead, NY
South Dakota State 76, HOFSTRA 64

Subregional Round at Niagara Falls, NY
Bucknell 76, NIAGARA 66

Barclays Center Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
KENTUCKY 93, Lafayette 58
MARYLAND 90, Long Island 77

Charleston Classic
at TD Arena, Charleston, SC
Dayton 72, Boston College 64
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON 64, Auburn 63

Championship Semifinals
Baylor 72, Colorado 67
Murray State 71, St. John's 63

Comfort Suites Invitational
Round Robin at Richmond, KY
EASTERN KENTUCKY 74, Kennesaw State 64
Radford vs. Towson: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Florida Global Sports Tournament
Round Robin at Montgomery, AL
Savannah State 61, ALABAMA STATE 49

George Gervin "Ice Man" Classic
Round Robin at Ypsilanti, MI
EASTERN MICHIGAN 60, Eastern Illinois 46
Fort Wayne 75, Texas-Pan American 65

Global Sports Hoops Showcase
Round Robin at Laramie, WY
North Carolina Central 74, South Dakota 70
WYOMING 65, Southern 46

Joe Cipriano Nebraska Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
KENT STATE 82, Chicago State 58
TULANE 77, Omaha 59

Nation of Coaches Classic
Round Robin at Athens, OH
OHIO 77, UNC Wilmington 55

NUCDF Basketball Challenge
Round Robin at San Diego, CA
Siena vs. Cal State Northridge: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Tulsa 72, SAN DIEGO 68

Puerto Rico Tip-Off
at Coliseo de Puerto Rico, San Juan, PR
Akron 75, UNC Asheville 73
Penn State vs. Providence: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Championship Semifinals
NC State 80, Massachusetts 73
Tennessee 68, Oklahoma State 66

Spartan Showcase
Round Robin at Houston, TX
UL Lafayette 66, TEXAS SOUTHERN 62

U.S. Virgin Islands Paradise Jam
1st Round at UVI Sports & Fitness Center, Charlotte Amalie, USVI
Connecticut 75, Wake Forest 58
Iona 81, Quinnipiac 71
Mercer 64, George Mason 61
New Mexico 76, Uic 51

USF Tournament
Round Robin at Tampa, FL
SOUTH FLORIDA 73, Umes 36
Western Michigan 62, Loyola (Chicago) 61

World Vision Classic
Round Robin at Reno, NV
Green Bay 68, Southern Utah 65
NEVADA 81, Cal State Fullerton 72

Non-Conference
Arkansas State 75, UT MARTIN 62
ARMY 72, Binghamton 56
CAMPBELL 75, Appalachian State 72
Clemson 67, FURMAN 56
CORNELL 67, Saint Peter's 55
DENVER 64, California 63
EAST CAROLINA 80, UNC Greensboro 67
FRESNO STATE 66, Pacific 54
HARVARD 70, Manhattan 58
Illinois 74, HAWAI'I 70
MIAMI (FLA.) 77, Jacksonville 60
MISSOURI 95, Nicholls State 60
North Carolina 75, LONG BEACH STATE 70
OLE MISS 76, Ualr 58
PRINCETON 69, Rutgers 59
Sacred Heart vs. HARTFORD: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SOUTH CAROLINA 72, Morgan State 59
UT ARLINGTON 73, Oklahoma 72
UTAH 68, Sacramento State 63
Vanderbilt 76, OREGON 74
Washington State 72, PEPPERDINE 57
Wofford vs. BALL STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WRIGHT STATE 71, North Carolina A&T 52
YOUNGSTOWN STATE 79, Saint Francis (Pa.) 56

DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 12 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 4-0 (1.000)
ATS: 2-1 (.667)
ATS Vary Units: 7-3 (.700)
Over/Under: 1-2 (.333)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2-5 (.286)

Season
Straight Up: 883-298 (.748)
ATS: 331-327 (.503)
ATS Vary Units: 2093-1986 (.513)
Over/Under: 298-292 (.505)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1014-690 (.595)

Friday, November 16, 2012
Mountain West Conference
AIR FORCE 44, Hawai'i 24
Sun Belt Conference
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 28, Fiu 24

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

11/16/12/ Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 72-44 (.621)
ATS: 50-66 (.431)
ATS Vary Units: 186-214 (.465)
Over/Under: 61-56 (.521)
Over/Under Vary Units: 130-109 (.544)

PHILADELPHIA 96, Utah 92
DETROIT 93, Orlando 90
INDIANA 98, Dallas 94
Oklahoma City 97, NEW ORLEANS 93
MINNESOTA 103, Golden State 101
MEMPHIS 97, New York 93
Atlanta 101, SACRAMENTO 96
PORTLAND 101, Houston 100
L.A. LAKERS 104, Phoenix 99

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Dolphins (+1 1/2) Thursday.

Friday it’s Ohio U. The deficit is 1418 sirignanos.

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