Service Plays Tuesday 12/11/12

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GL!

Knicks at Nets: What bettors need to know

New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets (+1.5, 191)

The New York Knicks have a score to settle with the Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday night, and it couldn't come at a more opportune time with their city neighbors mired in a four-game slide. New York will make its second trip to the brand-new Barclays Center and is seeking to avenge a 96-89 overtime loss to Brooklyn before a boisterous crowd on Nov. 26. That game left the Knicks and Nets tied atop the Atlantic Division with 9-4 records, but the teams have gone in opposite directions since the end of November.

New York has won six of its last seven and is 4-1 this month while Brooklyn has followed up a five-game winning streak by going 0-4 in December to fall 3 1/2 games off the pace in the division. The skid includes three straight home losses for the Nets, who had won seven of their first eight at the Barclays Center. Even the two-game absence of Carmelo Anthony failed to slow the Knicks, who went into Miami and pounded the defending NBA champions by 20 points without their superstar forward.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT NEW YORK (15-5, 13-7 ATS): Anthony returned to the lineup to score 34 points against his former teammates as the Knicks outlasted Denver on Sunday to improve to 8-0 at Madison Square Garden. New York is the only team that has yet to lose at home and has its next six games at MSG following the matchup with Brooklyn. Knicks C Tyson Chandler, who leads the league in field goal percentage (70.9), has five double-doubles in his last six games and torched the Nets for 28 points (on 12-of-13 shooting) and 10 rebounds in their last matchup.

ABOUT BROOKLYN (11-8, 10-7-2 ATS): Leading scorer Brook Lopez (18.5 ppg) has sat out the past five games with a sprained right foot - during which Brooklyn went 1-4 - but the biggest issue of late has come at the defensive end. After not allowing an opponent to reach 90 points during a five-game winning streak, the Nets have surrendered an average of 106.2 points during the four-game skid. The 7-0 center practiced on Monday and has been listed as a game-time decision. Lopez had 22 points and 11 boards in the first meeting.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Knicks are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings at the Nets.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at the Nets.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Nets (4-0) are the only Atlantic team with a perfect division record.

2. The Knicks, who average a league-best 11.9 3-pointers made, were only 6-for-21 in the first matchup.

3. New York has won six of the last eight meetings, including two of three last season.

THE GOLDSHEET



New York 97 - BROOKLYN 93—Quick turnaround from landmark Nov. 26
game at Barclays Center (which was a make-up game for season home opener
that was postponed due to the super storm Sandy), the first pro sports
matchups between Brooklyn and New York teams since the last time the
Dodgers and Giants played each other in 1957 before moving to California.
Brooklyn won first meeting by 7 when Knicks got a lot of scoring help from
Carmelo and Tyson Chandler (combined 63 points) but a puny 26 points from
everyone else. Avery Johnson’s Nets, however, will want to make sure they
have C Brook Lopez available after his recent foot injury, considering that the
big ex-Stanford frontliner scored a team-high 22 points and grabbed 11 boards
in that earlier win, which Brooklyn achieved despite subpar shooting from Gs
Joe Johnson & Deron Williams (combined 9 of 29 from floor). Not sure Knicks’
recent four-game win streak (thru Dec. 5 and achieved vs. mostly-lightweight
opposition) signals an extended uptick, but if Lopez is out or compromised, and
Carmelo is okay after last week’s finger injury, like New York’s chances for
revenge. 12-BRO +1' 96-89 (193-OT); 11-NY -6' 99-92 (196), Bro +9 100-92
(196), Ny -8 104-95 (193) CABLE TV—ESPN

LA Lakers 95 - CLEVELAND 94—Not sure what to make of Lakers, still in
adjust mode to Mike D’Antoni’s new offensive concepts. But until triggerman
Steve Nash returns to active duty, expect gears to grind on attack end for Lake
Show, and Pau Gasol’s status (sore knee) the latest situation to monitor. Prior
to Friday vs. Ok City, L.A. hadn’t won two in a row SU since Bernie Bickerstaff
was serving as interim HC in mid-November, and defensive issues remain a
concern. Can Cleveland (still minus Kyrie Irving) take advantage? Lack of
offensive punch (Cavs 85 points or fewer in 4 of last 6 thru Dec. 5) makes Byron
Scott’s team a tough sell, although if Cavs at least have Syracuse rookie G Dion
Waiters (ankle) available, could make a better case for them against L.A. squad
that’s just 2-5 SU away thru Dec. 6. 11-LA -10' 97-92 (188)

DETROIT 98 - Denver 96—Let’s see if Detroit can atone for 109-97 loss at
Pepsi Center on Nov. 6, which came during first weeks of campaign when
Pistons were very slow out of gate. On the plus side for Detroit, Denver couldn’t
handle Greg Monroe (scored 27) in first meeting, and HC Lawrence Frank has
tightened the Piston defense considerably since the early weeks of the season.
Now, let’s see if Detroit can relocate some offense after scoring just 85 ppg in
four-game stretch thru Dec. 6. Nuggets wobbling a bit, having lost four in a row
SU on road and last four overall vs. number thru Dec. 5. 12-DEN -10 109-97
(199); 11-DEN -8' 116-115 (200)

NEW ORLEANS 89 - Washington 88—At least the talk about challenging
Charlotte’s 7-win mark from last season has subdued a bit around D.C. after a
couple of recent Wizards’ wins, including a shocker at Verizon Center vs.
defending champ Miami on Dec. 4. But Washington in a far-from-healthy state,
with John Wall still sidelined and now defensive ace Trevor Ariza likely out for
a while with a strained calf (the sort of injury that doesn’t heal overnight). Now,
can we lay points with the future Pelicans, still probably minus Kentucky rookie
star Anthony Davis? That’s a tough call, with New Orleans scoring about 10 ppg
fewer with Davis sidelined than when he’s in the lineup. With New Orleans
struggling to score points and “under” its last four thru Dec. 5, perhaps that‘s a
better way to look. 11-Was +3’ 99-89 (194)

LA Clippers 90 - CHICAGO 84—Clippers had no trouble with Derrick Roseless
Chicago on Nov. 17 at Staples Center, romping by 21 when holding Bulls
to 33.7% FG shooting, while Blake Griffin ran roughshod (26 points and 10
boards) in paint. And L.A. now seems to be taking flight after a brief dip in form
following the first meeting vs. Bulls, as Clips have won and covered four in a row
thru Dec. 5, with return of vet G Chauncey Billups providing extra spark.
Chicago not quite the same with Luol Deng the first go-to option instead of Rose,
also perhaps contributing to its seven straight “unders” thru Dec. 6. 12-LA -6
101-80 (192); 11-Chi -1' 114-101 (192) CABLE TV—ESPN



Saint Joseph’s 78 - VILLANOVA 70—Nova’s 75-73 victory at totallyrebuilding
Vandy on Dec.1, snapping 3-game losing streak, is hardly a “buy
signal.” And we’ll toss St. Joe’s a mulligan for its 80-51 setback vs. riled-up
Creighton crew on Dec. 1. But we do expect the Hawks’ formidable G-duo of
Langston Galloway (12.8 ppg) & Carl Jones (15.5 ppg) to control the perimeter,
as they did in convincing 74-58 home series win LY, when they combined for 35
pts. & 10 assists. Big Five battles looking like a tall order for this year’s Nova
after last Wednesday’s humbling home loss vs. Temple. 11-SJU -3 74-58
CABLE TV—ESPN


NEVADA 64 - Cal Poly SLO 61—While we don’t mind taking ample points
with Nevada on the road thanks to their productive G combo of Deonte Burton
& Malik Story (combined 36 ppg), laying points has been a risk with the Wolf
Pack (1-5 as chalk), with coach David Carter getting no consistent scoring
production from his frontline. Cal Poly HC Joe Calero is expert at disguising
defenses and slowing the pace, and ex-Rice transfer F Chris Eversley (16.6
ppg) has emerged as legit go-to scorer for the Mustangs. 11-DNP

SAN JOSE ST. 73 - Santa Clara 68—“Rivalry Series” resumes between
schools about 10 minutes apart on the Old Alameda in the South Bay. Santa
Clara risking becoming over-reliant on Gs Kevin Foster and Evan Roquemore
and their three pointers, as Kerry Keating’s squad has not been looking much
into the paint and 6-9 Canadian Marc Trasolini (scored only six in recent
shocking home loss vs. UCSB). Payback for the Spartans after last year’s
humiliation at the Leavey Center, and SJSU getting some needed production in
the post from 6-9 Santa Clara transfer Chris Cunningham (11.3 ppg) to
complement hot G James Kinney (23.4 ppg). 11-SCU -10' 84-58

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won six of their last seven games (2-4 last six as AF).
-- Chicago won five of last six games (6-5 SU at home). Clippers won last six games, covered four of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost their last four games, the last three at home.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games (2-3 as AF). Cleveland lost five in row, 15 of last 17 games (2-5 SU at home).
-- Nuggets lost five of last seven games (5-9 SU on road). Detroit also lost five of last seven (5-5 SU at home).
-- Washington lost 15 of first 17 games (2-3 in last five, 4-3-1 as AU). Hornets lost 12 of last 14 games (1-0 as favorite).

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in New York's last six games. 10 of Nets' last 12 games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Laker road games stayed under total.
-- Last four Piston games, six of last seven Denver games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Washington games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Clipper games went over the total. Eight of last nine Chicago games stayed under.

CBB

-- St Joe's beat Villanova 74-58 LY, ending three-year losing streak to the Wildcats (losses by 11-8-3 points). 5-2 Hawks are 2-2 vs top 100 clubs, losing to Florida State by 7 on neutral floor, at Creighton by 29. A-16 road favorites of less than 5 points are 12-6 vs spread. Villanova is 2-4 in last six games; they're 1-3 vs teams in top 100, losing by 22-3-15.
-- Duquesne fired coach Everhart last spring after six years; he is now a West Virginia assistant coach. Teams didn't play LY, but WV won eight years in row before that, winning by 3-5-31-3 points in this gym. Dukes are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 6-14-21 points. WVU lost by 34 at Gonzaga in only true road game; they're 2-3 away from home.

-- George Washington is 4-5, losing last two games by total of 7 points; they're 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-17 points. Colonials turn ball over 25.5% of time. Rutgers won five of last six games, scoring 81+ in four of five wins. A-16 road underdogs are 20-18 vs spread, 14-14 if the spread is single digits. Big East single digit home favorites are 10-5.
-- Cal Poly is 2-3, 1-2 on road, losing by 7 at TCU, 18 at St Mary's, but winning at UCLA. 5-4 Nevada won at Washington Saturday, only team in top 100 they've played, after losing three of previous four games. Big West single digit road underdogs are 10-9. MWC home favorites are 7-15 against the spread, 1-7 if spread was single digits.
-- Santa Clara won eight of last nine games vs San Jose, winning last five in this gym, by 4-3-10-1-2 points. Broncos are 4-2 vs D-I teams, losing last two in OT, both at home- they won only road game by 12 at Saint Louis. San Jose won last three games by 8-9-5, after losing by 13 at Kansas; they're turning ball over 23% of time, shooting 44% inside arc.

-- LSU last played 12 days ago, coming back from 16 down to nip Seton Hall by 5, only team they've played ranked about #191; Tigers turn ball over 24% of time, but are #2 offensive rebounding team in county- they grab 47% of own misses. Chattanooga is 1-6 vs D-I teams, with 4 losses by 11+ points. Mocs are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 14-8-26.
-- 10-1 Minnesota won its last six games, after only to Duke; they're 4-1 vs top 100 teams, winning by 15-9-3-9 points. Gophers won six in row vs North Dakota State, with five of six wins by 13+. Bison are 6-2, 2-2 on road, losing by 26 at Indiana, 15 at Green Bay. Big Dozen favorites of 10+ points are 16-9 vs spread. Summit road underdogs are 15-21.

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]North Dakota State at Minnesota[/h] The Golden Gophers look to build on their 10-3-1 ATS record in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Minnesota is the pick (-14) according to Dunkel, which has the Golden Gophers favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-14). Here are all of today's games.

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]LA Clippers at Chicago[/h] The Clippers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games. LA is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/11/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1014-315 (.763)
ATS: 410-421 (.493)
ATS Vary Units: 1544-1701 (.476)
Over/Under: 121-104 (.538)
Over/Under Vary Units: 170-174 (.494)

Non-Conference
Army 72, NEW JERSEY TECH 70
AUBURN 75, Grambling State 48
HARVARD 66, Boston U. 54
ILLINOIS 79, Norfolk State 59
LSU 80, Chattanooga 55
MICHIGAN 84, Binghamton 42
MINNESOTA 79, North Dakota State 58
NEVADA 73, Cal Poly 65
RUTGERS 70, George Washington 60
SAINT MARY'S 84, Jackson State 50
SAN JOSE STATE 77, Santa Clara 73
Stony Brook 68, ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 63
UL LAFAYETTE 70, Lamar 66
VILLANOVA 71, Saint Joseph's 67
West Virginia 76, Duquesne 66

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/11/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 198-94 (.678)
ATS: 147-149 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 501-444 (.530)
Over/Under: 156-141 (.525)
Over/Under Vary Units: 291-239 (.549)

New York 99, BROOKLYN 95
L.A. Lakers 102, CLEVELAND 97
Denver 102, DETROIT 98
NEW ORLEANS 96, Washington 90
CHICAGO 93, L.A. Clippers 91

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Texans (+3) Monday.

Tuesday it’s the Knicks. The deficit is 1518 sirignanos.

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 950-704 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Tues: Rutgers -7

5Lines

JOE WIZ Bonus Play

North Dakota St. +15 over Minnesota

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB ST JOSEPHS at VILLANOVA

Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ST JOSEPHS) off a road win, playing with 5 or 6 days rest.
65-30 since 1997. ( 68.4% 32.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )

CBB W VIRGINIA at DUQUESNE

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (W VIRGINIA) terrible shooting team (<=40%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%)
223-352 since 1997. ( 38.8% 69.7 units )
2-8 this year. ( 20.0% -2.0 units )

CBB BINGHAMTON at MICHIGAN

Play On - Home favorites of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (MICHIGAN) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, on Tuesday nights.
27-7 since 1997. ( 79.4% 19.3 units )

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NBA LA CLIPPERS at CHICAGO

Play On - Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more.
104-55 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.4% 43.5 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% 3.7 units )

NBA DENVER at DETROIT

Play On - Any team vs the money line (DETROIT) after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
39-21 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.0% 26.1 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 2.0 units )

NBA LA CLIPPERS at CHICAGO

Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after a cover as a double digit favorite.
37-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.0% 22.7 units )

PAUL LEINER

100* Villanova +4.5

50* George Washington +7.5