Service Plays Thursday 12/13/12

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.

Apple Handicappers
Allan Eastman
PlusLineSports-
PowerPlay Wins
Pregame.com
The Real Animal
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
Any services represented by Stevo Design Inc.
ATSadv ice.com
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Tony Karpinski and 3G-Sports
Discreat Cat (do not post at all)
Doc Sports Services (do not post at all)
Big Al Mcmordie (do not post at all)
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
madduxsports
Red Zone Sports
Dennis Hill
Peter Gold at VI
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Mikelineback
Larry Ness
Al McMordie
zen_gambler
Tom Stryker
Lenny Delgenio
Scott Spreitzer
Matt Fargo
@ntonwins
Robert Ferringo
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
The Prez
Mike Rose
Gametimerepor t.com
LT Profits
Pregame.- which include (shaker,law,o'shea,jwip,creole,nover,rocketman,d'a ngelo,vrunner)
Alex Smart
JB Sports
ATS Consultants
Ken Jenkins
AJ Apollo
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Paul Stone
Ross Benjamin
Dave Cokin
Tony George
Fred Wallin
Rocky Atkinson
Jorge Gonzalez
Greg DiPalma
Vernon Croy
Ron Raymond
Dennis Macklin
Ben Lewis
Lucky Lester
Bruce Marshall
Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers)
Ben Burns
Fairway Jay
EZ Winners
Pointwise Sports
Pro Sports Info
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Tennessee Valley Sports
Trushel Sports Consulting
Sports Memo Crew which include:
Rob Veno,Brent Crow,Erin Rynning,Donnie Black,Marty Otto,Jared Klein,David Jones,Ed Cash
Sixth Sense Sports
Marc Lawrence, and/or
Playbook, and/or
Preferred Picks
Vegasadvisor s.com.
PayneInsider
Killersportslive
jumperjack (keith)
Oskiem Sports
Hittingpaydirt
-------
GL!

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Point Spread - Pick

Cincinnati Bengals (7-6 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (4-9 SU, 3-9-1 ATS)
NFL Week 15
Date/Time: Thursday, December 13th, 2012, 8:20 p.m. EST
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa.
TV: NFL Network/DirecTV 212
by Badger, Football Handicapper.

Point Spread: Cin -3/PHI +3
Over/Under Total: 46

The Cincinnati Bengals are letting an AFC playoff spot slip right through their fingers, but if they want to stay in position for a chance at the second season they'll need to find a way to win on the road this week when they travel to Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles in the season finale of Thursday Night Football on the NFL Network.

The Bengals were sitting in a good position for an AFC wild card spot and on the verge of a tough victory over the emotional Dallas Cowboys at home last Sunday, only to watch Tony Romo and the Cowboys put together a 13-play, 50-yard drive in the final minutes to set up a game-winning 40-yard field goal by Dan Bailey as time expired and hand the Bengals a 20-19 loss. The loss dropped Cincinnati into a tie for the final AFC spot, and with three weeks to play and games remaining against AFC North rivals Pittsburgh and Baltimore, the Bengals face almost a must-win situation in Philly this week in order to stay ahead of the chase pack.

Philadelphia finished on the opposite end of the last-second win or lose spectrum last week in Tampa, beating the Buccaneers, 23-21, when rookie QB Nick Foles hit Jeremy Maclin with a 1-yard score as time expired. The win snapped the Eagles eight-game losing streak and took some of the heat off of head coach Andy Reid for a week, at least until Thursday when the Bengals come calling with their backs starting to approach the wall.

With the Bengals likely to be playing with a sense of urgency, and Philly already in full-blown rebuilding mode, oddsmakers set the opening point spread for the TNF finale with Cincinnati as 3-point favorites on the road at the Linc. With the public already fading the Eagles no matter who or where they play, some sportsbooks have adjusted the number up to Cincy minus -3.5, but that's about as far as it's gone after the first few days of being up on the board.

The over/under total opened at 46 and it has held firm at a majority of sportsbooks both on the Web and in and around Las Vegas, but there are a few books starting to drop the game down the hook to 45.5 as the early money has been coming in on the under.

The Eagles have gone young on offense for a few weeks now, with Foles and fellow rookie Bryce Brown taking over the quarterback and running back roles for the rest of the year while Reid and Eagles management try and find new homes for Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy. Foles had his best game yet last week in Tampa, throwing for a rookie record 381 yards and two scores, but Brown was held in check for the first time since his ascension to the starting role.

Issues and injuries along the Eagles offensive line have seemed to taper off lately, but now Philly might have to play without TE Brent Celek (concussion) against a Bengals defense that is ranked 7th overall (328 ypg) and leads the NFL with 42 sacks. I'll let you draw your own conclusions, but on paper it doesn't look like a matchup Foles and Reid can expect to win consistently, especially if he calls upwards to 50 passes.

Cincinnati's offense under second-year QB Andy Dalton is pretty much middle of the pack, ranked 15th overall (355 ypg) and 11th in scoring with an average of 24.7 points per game. The Bengals have had a surge in the run game with BenJarvus Green-Ellis, who had a three-game 100-yard plus streak snapped last week, but you have to imagine the Bengals will like their chances with young stud A.J. Green going up against an Eagles secondary that has looked lost and been gutted in recent weeks and is also missing starting safety Kurt Coleman.

The last time these two played back in 2008 was the now famous game that ended with a 13-13 tie, when former Eagles QB Donovan McNabb told reporters afterwards he didn't know games could end in ties. Historically the AFC-NFC series between the Bengals and Eagles is dead even on the field (3-3-1 SU), but Philly is 3-2 SU in the games played in Philadelphia.

More importantly, the Bengals have OWNED the series at the betting window, going a perfect 6-0 ATS in the series going all the way back to the 1988 game (no line on the 1994 meeting? … hence only 6-0 ATS). The last time these two met in Philly (in 2005) the Bengals won 38-10 and covered as (ironically) 3.5-point favorites at the Linc.

Cincy is 4-1 ATS on the road the last five trips, but Philly does seem to play well on Thursdays, going 4-1 ATS in their last five mid-week games. The Eagles are however just 7-19-1 in their last 27 home games, so bet the Eagles as home dogs if you dare.

Badger's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Eagles appear to be back on track after pulling off a huge road win at TB. Nick Foles will continue to mature and the Eagles will win this game straight up which will appear to be an upset to many, and a payday for sharp handicappers.

Matt Fargo

10* NFL THURSDAY ENFORCER

Philadelphia Eagles+3

Tale of the tape: Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles
By SEAN MURPHY

The Philadelphia Eagles will aim to play spoiler when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. Find out which side has the edge with our tale of the tape.

Offense

After scoring at least 28 points in three consecutive games the Bengals offense has sputtered over the last couple of weeks, putting up only 39 points combined in splitting two games against the Chargers and Cowboys. Quarterback Andy Dalton has already thrown more interceptions this season (14) than he did in his entire rookie campaign last year (13). Of course, he's also thrown five more touchdown passes. Cincinnati has made a concerted effort to get its ground game rolling and RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has responded by running for 437 yards over the last four games.

The Eagles offense has shown steady improvement since rookie QB Nick Foles took over for an injured Michael Vick. Last Sunday, Foles threw for a career-high 381 yards and two touchdowns in a come-from-behind win over the Bucs. While RB Bryce Brown had been a force in the previous two weeks, he was held to only six yards on 12 carries in Tampa Bay. They'll need to get him going again with LeSean McCoy expected to miss at least one more game.

Edge: Bengals

Defense

When healthy, the Bengals own one of the more underrated defenses in the entire league. It looks like LB Rey Maualuga will be able to play Thursday after suffering an ankle injury against Dallas. You would have to go all the way back to November 4 to find the last time the Bengals allowed more than 20 points in a game. They've held four of their last five opponents to 13 points or less, paving the way for a five-game under streak.

The Eagles finally stopped the bleeding this past Sunday, holding the Bucs to 21 points after allowing at least 30 in four consecutive games. They limited Bucs QB Josh Freeman to only 14-of-34 passing, but didn't record a single turnover in the win. In fact, they haven't forced a turnover since November 5 in New Orleans. That's a streak that will need to come to an end if they're going to string together a second straight win this week. Corner Nnamdi Asomugha is questionable to play due to a quad injury.

Edge: Bengals

Special teams

Cincinnati has been terrific defending punt returns, holding the opposition to just north of eight yards per return. It has also been effective on the flip side, averaging 11.6 yards per punt return and 22.9 yards per kickoff return. Bengals kicker Mike Nugent is 19 for 23 on field goal attempts this season, but he was forced to miss last week's game due to a calf injury. Josh Brown made good on all four field goal attempts in Nugent's absence last Sunday.

The Eagles fall right around the league average in terms of punt and kick returning, but have struggled defending them, giving up 13.7 yards per punt return and 26 yards per kickoff return. Kicker Alex Henery has been a bright spot, connecting on 23 of 26 field goal attempts.

Edge: Bengals

Word on the street

“We have the opportunity to still control our own end, from now until the end. We still have an opportunity to win the division. We still have an opportunity to qualify for the playoffs in a couple of ways. That’s all we can ask for." -- Bengals head coach Marvin Lewis on his team's playoff prospects following last Sunday's loss to Dallas.

"More important than (playing the spoiler is to) play for yourself. Play for this organization. Those are the things we’re going to try to do right now and we have another good opportunity to do that Thursday." -- Eagles WR Jeremy Maclin on what's left to play for as the season winds down.

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Cincinnati at Philadelphia[/h] The Bengals look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Cincinnati is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bengals favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 15 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 120-77 (.609)
ATS: 89-113 (.441)
ATS Vary Units: 385-608 (.388)
Over/Under: 98-106 (.480)
Over/Under Vary Units: 378-350 (.519)

Thursday, December 13, 2012
Cincinnati 26, PHILADELPHIA 19

NFL
Write-Up

Week 15

Bengals (7-6) @ Eagles (4-9)—Tend to favor contending team in these short-week games, since injured guys more likely to suck it up and play, but Cincy gagged away game with Dallas last week, ending 4-game win streak; AJ Green caught three balls for 44 yards, dropped two passes in clutch spots that cost Bengals four points each in game they should’ve won. Bengals won last two road games, didn’t allow offensive TD on 21 drives; they are 3-3 as favorite this year, 1-1 on road. Since 2010, they’re 4-2-1 as road favorites. Iggles snapped 8-game skid with win at Tampa Sun day, scoring on last play of game; they’ve lost last four home games, allowing 31 ppg (13 TD’s/43 drives). Cincy leads this series 7-3-1, are 4-3 here; last time these teams met was 13-13 tie in ’08, last NFL tie until Rams-Niners last month. AFC North favorites are 9-11 vs spread, 4-4 on road; NFC East underdogs are 10-5, 1-2 at home. Last five Bengal games stayed under; five of six Philly home games went over.

Thursday Night Football: Bengals at Eagles

Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles (+4, 45.5)

The Cincinnati Bengals let a golden opportunity slip through their fingers against one NFC East team this past weekend. The Bengals would like to prevent the same from happening again on Thursday when they visit the struggling Philadelphia Eagles. Cincinnati's bid to record its fifth straight victory and eighth overall was thwarted by Dallas on the final play. As a result, the Bengals remained two games shy of AFC North-leading Baltimore and a tiebreaker behind Pittsburgh for the final playoff berth in the conference.

Postseason discussion has long been tabled in Philadelphia, which snapped an eight-game losing skid with a 23-21 triumph over Tampa Bay this past weekend. Nick Foles gave the Eagles some confidence for the future by throwing for a rookie franchise-best 381 yards. The third-round pick also engineered the game-winning drive, which was capped by his 1-yard touchdown pass to Jeremy Maclin.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Cincinnati opened as a field-goal favorite in Philadelphia and has since been bet up as high as -4.5. The total opened at 46 and has dropped to 45.5.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 30s. Winds will blow NW at 2 mph.

ABOUT THE BENGALS (7-6, 6-6-1 ATS): Cincinnati stud WR A.J. Green had a pair of inexplicable drops en route to being held out of the end zone for the third time in as many games on Sunday. Prior to this drought, Green had scored in nine straight contests. The Bengals can't afford to dwell on Sunday's loss or look beyond the Eagles, although a visit to Pittsburgh (Dec. 23) and a home game versus Baltimore (Dec. 30) could go a long way in deciding if they make the playoffs.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-9, 3-9-1 ATS): Maclin is clearly impressed with Foles, who has just four starts under his belt. "You guys are seeing Nick Foles grow into a phenomenal quarterback right in front of your eyes," Maclin said. "I think the sky is the limit for him." Foles hasn't thrown an interception in the last 14 quarters, although the aggressive Bengals defense could pressure him into mistakes. Cincinnati leads the league with 42 sacks.

TRENDS:

* Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Bengals are 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss.
* Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five Thursday games.
* Eagles are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Although Bengals RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis failed to notch his fourth consecutive 100-yard game, he sits just 26 shy of his second straight 1,000-yard season.

2. Philadelphia TE Clay Harbor, who reeled in the first of two touchdown passes by Foles, will likely start on Thursday in place of the concussed Brent Celek.

3. The teams played to a 13-13 tie in their last encounter on Nov. 16, 2008. The game is likely best remembered for then-Eagles QB Donovan McNabb admitting that he didn't know an NFL contest could end in a tie.

Gold Sheet

KEY RELEASE

CINCINNATI by 14 over Philadelphia (Thursday, Dec. 13)
*Cincinnati 27 - PHILADELPHIA 13—Andy Reid (who last week dismissed another assistant, DL coach Jim Washburn) is acting as if he thinks he’ll return as Philly HC next year. Which, as could be expected, has generated a pretty interesting response on 610 WIP. (Our thinking is that Andy is more likely to be in San Diego in 2013, but we digress.) Meanwhile, rookie QB Nick Foles has gained enough confidence to generate a last-second, game-winning drive at Tampa Bay to snap the Birds’ 8-game losing streak. But Cincy has a major pass rush (42 sacks) to attack the problematic Eagle OL and disrupt Foles, while Mike Zimmer’s Bengal stop unit has allowed just 12 ppg last five.
Even after its late loss to Dallas, Cincy still controls its wildcard prospects.
(08-CINCINNATI +9 13-13 (OT)...SR: Cincinnati 7-3-1)

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Fairfield (-11 1/2) Wednesday.

Thursday it’s the Knicks. The deficit is 1418 sirignanos.

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won 10 of their last 12 games (1-6-1 as HF).
-- Knicks won seven of their last eight games (6-1 as HF).
-- Spurs won five of last six games (9-2 in last 11 as an AF). Portland won four of its last five home games (2-1 as HU).

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost their last nine games (3-4 as AU).
-- Lakers lost five of last six games (2-7 on road, 1-2 as AU).

Totals
-- Five of last six Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Last four New York home games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen San Antonio games.

Back-to-backs
-- Bobcats are 3-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Spurs are 4-0-1 vs spread if they played night before.

CBB

-- Tennessee scored 36-38 points in losing its last two games; they're a shaky 4-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, scoring 39.9 ppg in those games, but those three games were away from home. 9-0 Wichita State won its two road games, by 2 at VCU, 3 at Air Force. Shockers are 2-0 vs top 100 teams, beating Iowa by 12 on a neutral court.
-- 4-4 Washington already has three home losses; technically, this game is on road, but its crosstown rivalry, so crowd will be mixed. Huskies are 4-0 vs Seattle as Redhawks step back into D-I, winning by 8-21-47-27 points. Seattle is 2-3 vs D-I teams, losing its three top 100 games, by 40-11-23 points. WAC single digit underdogs are 14-16.

-- 7-2 Middle Tennessee is 3-2 on road, losing in OT at Akron, by 21 at Florida; home team won seven of last eight MT-Belmont games- Middle lost last four visits here, last two both in double OT. Belmont split pair of top 100 games, winning at Stanford, losing by 10 at VCU. OVC home favorites are 2-6. Sun Belt simgle digit road underdogs are 6-8.
-- Fullerton is 2-5 vs D-I teams despite making 41.7% of 3's; they've lost two games to teams not in top 200, losing last three games overall under an interim coach. Titans lost 84-79 at Idaho State in Bracket Buster game two years ago; Bengals are 0-6 vs D-I teams, scoring more than 48 once in six games- they lost last game 87-35 at Oregon.

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]LA Lakers at New York[/h] The Knicks look to build on their 17-4 ATS record in their last 21 home games against teams with a losing road record. New York is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/13/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 207-103 (.668)
ATS: 156-158 (.497)
ATS Vary Units: 527-469 (.529)
Over/Under: 167-148 (.530)
Over/Under Vary Units: 309-249 (.554)

ATLANTA 103, Charlotte 85
NEW YORK 105, L.A. Lakers 95
San Antonio 108, PORTLAND 98

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/13/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1039-322 (.763)
ATS: 416-430 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 1567-1748 (.473)
Over/Under: 123-108 (.532)
Over/Under Vary Units: 173-178 (.493)

Non-Conference
BELMONT 75, Middle Tennessee 70
CAL STATE FULLERTON 83, Idaho State 64
FLORIDA GULF COAST 79, Fairleigh Dickinson 66
NEW JERSEY TECH 69, North Carolina A&T 66
Southern 62, ULM 61
Troy 68, ALABAMA STATE 62
UT ARLINGTON 80, Houston Baptist 59
Washington 81, SEATTLE 74
WASHINGTON STATE 75, Jackson State 47
Wichita State 64, TENNESSEE 62

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 950-706 (57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free Thurs: Atl Hawks -10

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Knicks -7

5Lines