Service Plays Saturday 12/15/12

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.

Apple Handicappers
Allan Eastman
PlusLineSports-
PowerPlay Wins
Pregame.com
The Real Animal
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
Any services represented by Stevo Design Inc.
ATSadv ice.com
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Tony Karpinski and 3G-Sports
Discreat Cat (do not post at all)
Doc Sports Services (do not post at all)
Big Al Mcmordie (do not post at all)
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
madduxsports
Red Zone Sports
Dennis Hill
Peter Gold at VI
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Mikelineback
Larry Ness
Al McMordie
zen_gambler
Tom Stryker
Lenny Delgenio
Scott Spreitzer
Matt Fargo
@ntonwins
Robert Ferringo
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
The Prez
Mike Rose
Gametimerepor t.com
LT Profits
Pregame.- which include (shaker,law,o'shea,jwip,creole,nover,rocketman,d'a ngelo,vrunner)
Alex Smart
JB Sports
ATS Consultants
Ken Jenkins
AJ Apollo
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Paul Stone
Ross Benjamin
Dave Cokin
Tony George
Fred Wallin
Rocky Atkinson
Jorge Gonzalez
Greg DiPalma
Vernon Croy
Ron Raymond
Dennis Macklin
Ben Lewis
Lucky Lester
Bruce Marshall
Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers)
Ben Burns
Fairway Jay
EZ Winners
Pointwise Sports
Pro Sports Info
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Tennessee Valley Sports
Trushel Sports Consulting
Sports Memo Crew which include:
Rob Veno,Brent Crow,Erin Rynning,Donnie Black,Marty Otto,Jared Klein,David Jones,Ed Cash
Sixth Sense Sports
Marc Lawrence, and/or
Playbook, and/or
Preferred Picks
Vegasadvisor s.com.
PayneInsider
Killersportslive
jumperjack (keith)
Oskiem Sports
Hittingpaydirt
-------
GL!

Rich Saber @ Gaming Today

College Football Saturday

At Albuquerque, NM

Nevada +10 vs. Arizona (75): I like the Wolf Pack in this 10 a.m. early game as they have already beaten a Pac 12 team with a win over California 31-24 as a +12 point dog. NEVADA.

Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today

BOWLS

Toledo vs. Utah St. (58½): Both teams put up points in bunches. They could reach this total by halftime. OVER 58½

Nevada +9½ vs. Arizona: UNR is 5-1 on the road and gave Boise a scare. Does Arizona have an interest in Reno? I think not. NEVADA.

Mighty Quinn
Bowl picks

Arizona -10
Utah St -10 1/2

POINTWISE PHONES:

2* Toledo

BEST OF LUCK

Teddy Covers

10* CFB Idaho Potato Bowl O/U
Tol / Utah St Over

Handicapping Kings

JIMMY

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL (BOWL GAME #2)

4:30PM Toledo vs Utah State
[204] Utah State -10 -115

GOODFELLAS

NEW MEXICO BOWL (BOWL GAME #1)

1:00PM Nevada vs Arizona U
[201] Nevada +10 -125

MARC

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL (BOWL GAME #2)

4:30PM Toledo vs Utah State
(LIGHTS OUT PLAY- 2 UNIT PLAY) [203] OVER 58.5 -110

Brian Edwards

LSU

South Carolina

NEWSLETTERS:

Pointwise

Bowl Releases
4* #202 ARIZ 45 - Nev 31
6* Utah St 38 - #203 TOLEDO 33

Power Sweep

Key Selections
1* #201 Nevada
2* #203 Toledo

Sports Reporter

Best Bets
#201 Nevada

Recommended
#203 Toledo

Winning Points

#201 Nevada
#204 Utah St.

WUNDERDOG

Game: Toledo vs. Utah State (Saturday 12/15 4:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toledo +10.5 (-110)

The Toledo Rockets bring a high-powered running game into the Idaho Potato Bowl vs. the Utah State Aggies. The Rockets' running attack is led by David Flullen who ran for 1,456 yards on the season with 13 TDs. He is complimented by QB Terrence Owens who threw for 8.1 yards per attempt, but has also carried for 381 yards and five TDs as well. This offense puts up 32.9 points per game which leaves a tall order for Utah State laying double digits. The Rockets defense hasn't been the greatest, allowing 27.3 points per game. But, they are very opportunistic, finishing the season with 17 INTs. Utah State ran the table in the WAC and comes into the game on a six-game winning streak. They are a more balanced team with an offense that generates over 30 ppg and a defense ranked No. 15 in the country, but will get a stiff test in this one. Both of these squads bring Bowl experience as Toledo tasted the fruits of a Bowl win a year ago over Air Force, while Utah State lost to another MAC team in
Ohio. There is definitely a different "pedigree" here when it comes to Bowls, as Toledo has been a very good Bowl team at 8-4, while Utah State is just 1-6. I think that Toledo's experience of winning a close one last year will propel them to the win here. Take Toledo.

Red Dog Sports

college BB

2pm Saturday
SMU at Rhode Island
pick: SMU

The opening line at betonline.com is pick'em/even. URI has just two wins and one was in overtime at Auburn. They lost at home to Norfolk State by 12 points and to George Mason (outrebounded 50-31). Only five players scored for URI in the NSU game and their top four scorers shoot 39% or less from the field. Munford scores 18 ppg and Malesevic 12.6 ppg but others are under 10ppg. Rhode Island is just 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 games on Saturday.

Larry Brown's SMU team is 3-0 on the road and beat Hofstra easily in their last road game. They are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games. They are 8-1 SU while URI is 2-7. The Mustangs get balanced scoring from 5 players at 9 ppg or more:

Jones 16
Russell 15
Manuel 13
Cunningham 9.5
Williams 9

Take SMU pick'em/even

Nevada Wolfpack vs. Arizona Wildcats
Point Spread - Pick

Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5 SU, 3-9 ATS) vs. Arizona Wildcats (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Gildan New Mexico Bowl Game
Date/Time: December 15, 2012. 1:00 p.m. EST.
Where: University Stadium, Albuquerque, NM.
TV: ESPN
by Wilson, Football Handicapper.

Point Spread: Nev +9.5/AZ -9.5
Over/Under Total: 76

The 2012 New Mexico Bowl features two of the nation's best running backs in Arizona's Ka'Deem Carey and Nevada's Stefphon Jefferson. These two backs have covered a ton of ground this season and look to out work one another in search of the NCAA rushing title. Arizona's Carey currently leads the nation in rushing yards per game at 146.4 per contest while Jefferson averages 141. Whoever rushes for more yards in this matchup will likely determine the outcome as well as a push for rushing title. Both RBs have over 20 TDs but it is Carey who may be considered the larger threat as he is also third in receiving on the Wildcats roster.

The Arizona Wildcats have won 3 of their last 5 games. The Nevada Wolfpack have dropped 4 of their last 5 and is really fortunate they started the season with 5 straight wins making them eligible for a bowl game. Obviously defense is a questionable factor in this contest in which 76 is the current total. Arizona's D is young, mixed with walk-on athletes, and a bit bruised up! The Wildcats have collectively lost five defensive players to injuries. Thus, the rushing attack of the Wolf Pack will definitely be a test on this beaten down crew of Cats.

Nevada, however has struggled with the running game in nearly all of their past seven consecutive bowl games-it's become an awkward pattern the Wolf Pack hopes to change this time around. Over the span of previous seasons the Wolf Pack averaged over 285 yards rushing per game but in bowl games they have averaged just 154 yards on the ground. This is likely due to a number of factors which include longer prep time for opposing defenses and too much time off which causes a breakdown in the flow of any offensive line and scheme. Both of these teams allow approximately 200 yards or more rushing per contest, so even with an off-par running game both should be able to move the ball effectively; especially with the high caliber RBs in either backfield.

Wildcat's QB Matt Scott may be the other major factor in this bowl game. Scott needs to limit his turnovers and take care of the ball-he turned the pigskin over four times in the Cat's loss to Arizona State. If he can clean his game up and make sound decisions the Wildcats should have the advantage over the Pack. Scott is a fifth year senior who wants to go out on a good note.

Nevada's QB Cody Fajardo can also put up the numbers. Fajardo has tossed 17 TDs this season and the longer he can keep his defense on the bench the better chance the Pack has of sneaking away with a win.

Bowl games are as unpredictable as March madness at times, but I don't see the Wolf Pack hanging on down the stretch. Arizona is the better team and their powerful offense will outlast and out score Nevada. Ka'Deem Carey gets his yards and a win.

Wilson's Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I like the Cats to cover the 9.5 in this high scoring bout. My New Mexico Bowl prediction is Cats 52, Wolf Pack 35.

Wayne Root
Millionaire - Utah State

Cobra, or anyone, can you post Accuscore's Director Soccer Picks? Went 3-1 last weekend.

NCAAF
Write-Up

Bowl Season

Saturday, December 15

New Mexico Bowl
Arizona won four of last six games after 54-48 OT loss at Stanford Oct. 6; Wildcats played six games this year (3-3) where losing team scored 31+ points; so did Nevada (2-4). Wolf Pack lost four of last five games, with only win over New Mexico team (on this field) that didn't complete a pass (0-2); they are 2-1 as underdogs this year, upsetting Pac-12's Cal 31-24 (+10). Nevada lost four of last five bowls, including 23-0 loss in this game to host Lobos five years ago; dogs covered their last four bowls. Arizona went 10 years with no bowls, but is bowling now for 4th time in last five years; they lost last two bowls, in ’09-‘10, 33-0/36-10. Seven of last eight Arizona games, four of last six Nevada games went over the total. Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 4-11 against spread. MWC underdogs are 16-5.

Idaho Potato Bowl
Utah State is 10-2, losing 16-14 (+14) at Wisconsin, 6-3 (+6.5) at BYU; Aggies are 10-1 vs spread this year; only non-cover was 45-9 win as a 38-point favorite- they won 49-27 at San Jose, 48-41ot at La Tech, two bowl teams. Toledo is 5-0 vs spread as an underdog this year- they lost opener in OT at Arizona, then won eight games in row, then gave up 34-31 points in losses to Ball State/Northern Illinois. Rockets played couple of exciting bowls last two years, losing 34-32 in ’10, winning 42-41 LY; average total in their last five bowls is 66.6. Utah State lost Potato Bowl 24-23 LY, in their first bowl since 1997. WAC favorites are 5-5 against spread out of conference; MAC underdogs are 17-15.

[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Toledo vs. Utah State[/h] The Aggies look to follow up their 45-9 win over Idaho in the regular season finale and build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Utah State is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Aggies favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-10). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

NCAAF

Saturday, December 15

New Mexico Bowl: What bettors need to know

New Mexico Bowl: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Arizona Wildcats (-9.5, 75.5)

GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL STORYLINES

1. The game will feature two of the nation's top four runners in Arizona sophomore Ka'Deem Carey (second) and Nevada junior Stefphon Jefferson (fourth). Carey’s 1,757 rushing yards is already a single-season school record while Jefferson stands at 1,703 yards and needs 30 to break the Wolf Pack’s single-season mark.

2. The stage is set for both runners to have memorable games. Nevada, which ranks seventh in the country in rushing and 20th in scoring, will square off against Arizona’s 89th-ranked rush defense and 103rd scoring defense. Similarly, the Wildcats’ ground game and scoring offense – both ranked 17th in the nation – will face the Wolf Pack’s 112th-ranked rush defense and 95th-ranked scoring defense.

3. Two of college football’s most innovative coaches will be matching wits for the first time. Arizona’s Rich Rodriguez is considered as a pioneer of a no-huddle, run-oriented version of the spread offense while Nevada’s Chris Ault is credited as the creator of the “Pistol” offense that has only accentuated the athletic ability of quarterbacks such as Colin Kaepernick since he began using it in 2005.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Arizona opened as an 8-point favorite and has been bet up as high as -10. The total has climbed from 75 to 75.5.

WEATHER: There is a 9 percent chance of snow for University Stadium and temperatures will dip into the high 30s. Winds are expected to blow west at 8 mph.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of Covers Consensus players are picking Arizona while 53 percent are on the over.

TRENDS:

* Wolf Pack are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
* Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. MWC.
* Under is 5-1 in Wolf Pack's last six Bowl games.
* Over is 7-1 in Wildcats' last eight games overall.

ABOUT NEVADA (7-5, 4-4 Mountain West, 3-9 ATS): Unlike the “Pistol” attack that saw the quarterback (Kaepernick) overshadow the running back (Vai Taua) two years ago, Jefferson has been the main beneficiary this season. But sophomore quarterback Cody Fajardo certainly did his best impression of Kaepernick in 2012, throwing for 2,530 yards and 17 touchdowns while running for 981 yards and 11 more scores. However, the Wolf Pack – and the defense in particular – have been in a tailspin since a 6-1 start as they went 0-4 against the top four teams in their conference over the second half of the schedule. In those four losses, Nevada surrendered an average of 277 rushing yards, 471 total yards and 41.5 points.

ABOUT ARIZONA (7-5, 4-5 Pac-12, 6-6 ATS): While the running game is the primary focus, the passing game is hardly without playmakers. Sophomore receiver Austin Hill posted 1,189 receiving yards and nine receiving touchdowns – the fourth and seventh-best single-season totals in school history, respectively – while Matt Scott’s 3,238 passing yards is the third-highest mark for a Wildcats quarterback in a season. Despite all the offensive success and surprising wins over the likes of Oklahoma State and USC, this is the same team that scored a combined 10 points in losses to Oregon and UCLA. Rodriguez’s seven wins in his rookie campaign were the most by an Arizona coach in his first season since Jim Young led the Wildcats to an 8-3 mark in 1973.

NCAAF

Saturday, December 15

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: What bettors need to know

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Toledo Rockets vs. Utah State Aggies (-10, 58.5)

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL STORYLINES

1. Toledo’s talented running back David Fluellen and quarterback Terrance Owens both missed the last regular-season game on Nov. 20 against Akron with ankle injuries, but will have almost four weeks to recover.

2. Utah State set a school record for victories this season, won an outright conference title for the first time since 1936 by finishing 6-0 in the Western Athletic Conference and tries to win its first bowl game since 1993.

3. Toledo averages 32.9 points and 456.1 yards (28th in the nation), while 20th-ranked Utah State is eighth in the nation in scoring defense (15.4) and 15th in total defense.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Utah State opened as low as -8 and has been bet up to as high as -10.5. The total has moved from 57.5 to 58.5.

WEATHER: Snow is in the forecast for Boise, with an 18 percent chance of precipitation. Temperatures will be in the low 30s.

CONSENSUS: 53 percent of Covers Consensus players are on Utah State while 60 percent are on the over.

TRENDS:

* Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. WAC.
* Aggies are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games.
* Under is 5-0 in Rockets' last five games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Aggies' last six non-conference games.

ABOUT TOLEDO (9-3, 6-2 MAC, 7-5 ATS): The Rockets hope to have Fluellen and Owens back for Utah State, although senior quarterback Austin Dantin threw for five touchdowns and David Pasquale rushed for 93 yards in the 35-23 victory over Akron to end the regular season. The versatile Fluellen fuels the Rockets' offense, averaging 132.7 yards with 13 touchdowns. Owens, who has completed 62.8 percent of his passes and averaged 243.4 yards through the air, has also thrown for 14 scores. Bernard Reedy is the top target with 82 receptions for 1,051 yards. The Rockets will need some big plays from their defense, which has 17 interceptions but has allowed an average of 27.3 points. Toledo edged Air Force 42-41 in the Military Bowl last year to improve its bowl record to 8-4.

ABOUT UTAH STATE (10-2, 6-0 WAC, 10-1-1 ATS): The Aggies come into the game with six straight victories and have won 15 of their last 18 overall. Utah State lost 24-23 in the Potato Bowl last year to Toledo’s MAC rival Ohio and its two defeats this season have come by a combined five points to Wisconsin (16-14) and Brigham Young (6-3). The Aggies are the only team in the nation not to allow a touchdown in the first quarter. Utah State’s offense has also produced, averaging more than 30 points led by quarterback Chuckie Keeton. The sophomore has completed 67.6 percent of his passes, thrown for 27 touchdowns and rushed for more than 500 yards. Senior running back Kerwynn Williams leads the team in rushing (1,277 yards) and receiving (663), while scoring 17 times. The Aggies are 1-6 in bowls.