Would you want to book this type of player?

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

for arguments sake..hypothetical given this scenario would you want to book this guys action...And before you just say yes consider all factors...

credit: 3k
limits: 300 sides and totals
PARLAYS 4 Teams Max: Max 200
same deal with teasers....

So lets say this player of yours plays ALL Parlays all the time...He is taking 4 teamers for the max all day across all sports..he will make side plays about 10% of the time and on hedges of the last leg of a parlay....so basically you are looking at 200 to win 2000 at least 4 or 5 times a day...and lastly he takes ALL FAVORITES ALL THE TIME.....

He will also make parlays with all 2nd halves of NBA or College and again all faves....

Now the answer is obvious if you have a bank of 100k or so...But what if you are much smaller??

Any thoughts?

Betallsports · Dec 15, 2012

Love a Guy that Plays ALL Parlay's .....

Nothing wrong with this guys action... and Don't think you need $100K to book this guy.

Yeah he might hit you a few weeks out of the year, but in the Long Run... This is Money in the Bank.

NES · Dec 15, 2012

Yeah I have a guy that bets just like that. Over the last three months its been the same story every week. Either he loses 1-2k or wins 100-200. Last week he got lucky though and turned around and cracked me for 3k.

SECplayer · Dec 15, 2012

Looks like my card when I was a freshman.

Betallsports · Dec 15, 2012

NES said:
Yeah I have a guy that bets just like that. Over the last three months its been the same story every week. Either he loses 1-2k or wins 100-200. Last week he got lucky though and turned around and cracked me for 3k.

LOL, Yep... would take Ten of these guys...

Once had a guy just like that... even had him playing up to 8 Teams... Poor guy had 50 Losing weeks, I paid him with a Smile those two weeks.

Guy never bet a straight wager in his life.
he lost on Avg. $42K a the year

was sad when I lost him after only 3 years

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

the anxiety with this guy is unreal...if the faves are having a good week or even a good day its just relentless....and it never stops....for example her may do a 4 teamer all first half faves....then if that loses all second half faves....so lliterally your looking at this type of pressue all day all night all sports...

and the thing about this hypothetical character is he pays faster than anyone...So he is gold....just concerned that 1 or 2 real hot streaks and the show is over...

NES · Dec 15, 2012

Betallsports said:
LOL, Yep... would take Ten of these guys...

Once had a guy just like that... even had him playing up to 8 Teams... Poor guy had 50 Losing weeks, I paid him with a Smile those two weeks.

Guy never bet a straight wager in his life.
he lost on Avg. $42K a the year

was sad when I lost him after only 3 years

This guy is down 10k since I picked him up in Sept. Wish I had a hundred of him.

NES · Dec 15, 2012

gmenknicks said:
the anxiety with this guy is unreal...if the faves are having a good week or even a good day its just relentless....and it never stops....for example her may do a 4 teamer all first half faves....then if that loses all second half faves....so lliterally your looking at this type of pressue all day all night all sports...

and the thing about this hypothetical character is he pays faster than anyone...So he is gold....just concerned that 1 or 2 real hot streaks and the show is over...

Welcome to the sweat box.

JudgeWapner · Dec 15, 2012

Would def book him.

RaoulDuke · Dec 15, 2012

100% dream player......Now if it was some $25 dollar bettor firing away parlays that's a different story.

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

oh something i forgot to mention.he will do something like this also

lets say this is his 4 teamer

knicks
bulls
heat
jazz

he will pick his real fave out oof these and bet 330 on the side for the game and both half plays...so if the knicks are his best play and they have a good game he basically will win 900 and then still have the parlay going....so its maddening bc he is pretty good t picking one or 2 faves that will have a good night

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

you guys would fcking die laughing if i showed you a history of one day of his action.....i have never, ever EVER seeen this little symbol + next to any team he picks

but the motherfucker is up BIG

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

just kills everything....and when he does drop a parlay its usually only 1 team....i swear to fucking gd this dude is the luckiets guy in the world...hes not sharp or anything...just relentless on the faves and has no fear

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

i know all logic says that he will lose it all eventually but short term the pain is big....

Murphy8276 · Dec 15, 2012

gmenknicks said:
i know all logic says that he will lose it all eventually but short term the pain is big....

he will lose it back man.. its inevitable.. if you can ride it out it is beyond +EV in your advantage to try

-murph

JustinCruise · Dec 15, 2012

parlays are a sucker bet. Take this guy's action all day long

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

yes thank you for that thoughtful response...I am obvioulsy aware of the mathematical fact that parlays are a sucker bet....that is not pragmatic guidance given the scenario I explained

JustinCruise said:
parlays are a sucker bet. Take this guy's action all day long

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

my immediate concern is the guy being able to turn the light out before the turn happens

NES · Dec 15, 2012

gmenknicks said:
my immediate concern is the guy being able to turn the light out before the turn happens

Guys who bet like that don't just wake up and stop betting one day. Especially if they are winning.

gmenknicks · Dec 15, 2012

NES said:
Guys who bet like that don't just wake up and stop betting one day. Especially if they are winning.

I meant MY LIGHTS....i dont know if i could absorb much more of this....

Would you want to book this type of player?

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