Service Plays Monday 12/17/12

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GL!

Dave Tuley ESPN INSIDER

Matchup: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Spread: Titans minus-1.5
Public consensus pick: 60 percent picked Titans
Public perception: The public seems to be backing the Titans by default. Not even the news that the 6-7 Jets have an outside shot at the playoffs has people thinking they're in a must-win situation and might come through. If the Steelers lose to give the Jets more hope, you might see more support on the Jets.
Wiseguys' view: Unlike the other unattractive matchups, this will get action just because it's on ESPN's "Monday Night Football." The books will be cheering against getting middled on a Titans cover (at minus-1.5) and a Jets' teaser win (plus-7.5).
Tuley's Take: As strange as it sounds, the Jets have played better of late, except for the Patriots' rout; and, well, the ugly non-covering win over the hapless Cardinals. But they're still more consistent than the Titans. Note: This is probably my least-confident play of the weekend (though for some reason those plays have been doing better than my "best bets").
The pick: Jets.

Jimmy Boyd

3* NY Jets +2

Coach Thompson's International Club, Inc

Week 15

Tennessee-1 - 5% Of Bankroll

Football Betting Sheet

“Exclusive for VIP Clients” December 16, 2012

Plays based upon a five-point scale. Plays over a 4.0 are strong plays. Plays above 4.5 are mandatory plays.
LAST WEEK RECORD: 4-1
GAME OF THE YEAR: 1-0 (7 STRAIGHT)
SEASON RECORD: 53-36-1

NEW YORK JETS 20 – Tennessee Titans 14 (8:30 ET MON) – The line opened at New York +1.5 and has held firm all week long. The Jets are just a game back of the playoffs, while the Titans just keep finding ways to lose games and have gone just 1-5 SU and ATS over the course of the L/6 games. The Jets are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS since the middle of November. More importantly though, New York is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in this series dating back to 1996.
NEW YORK +1.5 Rating: 4.5/5

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL

TOP (3 UNITS)

JETS +3 (-135) at titans

NFL Trends & Angles - Week 15

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (171-111-5, 60.6% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference games only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle went 1-3 in Week 14.
Qualifiers: New York Jets +1 (Monday).

NFL Poolies Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 15

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-1, 41)

The Jets have posted ugly back-to-back wins, totaling 559 yards of offense over the last two games. Mark Sanchez continues to struggle, passing for just 208 yards with three interceptions during the win streak. The Titans, who have dropped three straight, were dealt a blow last Sunday when TE Jared Cook was lost for the year with a torn right rotator cuff. Cook is second on the team in receptions (44) and third in yards (523). The Jets are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Giants (+1) Sunday.

Monday it’s the Titans. The deficit is 1428 sirignanos.

Monday Night Football: Jets at Titans

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (-1, 42)

The New York Jets remain an unlikely contender for a postseason spot and will seek their third straight victory when they visit the Tennessee Titans on Monday night. Despite an offense that remains in shambles, New York has posted back-to-back victories over the Arizona Cardinals and Jacksonville Jaguars - teams with a combined one win in the last nine games - to stay within striking distance of the No. 6 seed in the AFC. The Titans are the latest struggling opponent for the Jets, having lost three straight and five of six. Tennessee has issues on both sides of the ball, with the defense surrendering at least 30 points in seven of the first nine games and the offense having bogged down since quarterback Jake Locker returned from injury.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Titans -1, O/U 42

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 8 mph.

ABOUT THE JETS (6-7): With Mark Sanchez continuing to flounder, New York finally reverted to its preseason promise of a ground-and-pound attack in last week's 17-10 win at Jacksonville. Bilal Powell rushed for 78 yards and a TD on 19 carries and Shonn Greene had 77 yards and a score on 20 rushes. That allowed coach Rex Ryan to keep the ball out of the hands of Sanchez, who threw for only 111 yards after being benched the previous week in favor of third-stringer Greg McIlroy. New York's receiving corps has been decimated by injuries, leading to the decision to bring back well-traveled veteran Braylon Edwards earlier this week. The Jets' defense has permitted a combined 16 points in the last two games after getting shredded for 49 by New England on Thanksgiving night.

ABOUT THE TITANS (4-9): Locker missed five games earlier in the season due to injury and he has shown little progression since returning to the lineup. The second-year QB has thrown seven interceptions in the past three games, including one from his own end zone that helped wipe out Tennessee's 13-point halftime lead against Indianapolis a week ago. Despite his struggles - among the reasons for the dismissal of offensive coordinator Chris Palmer - the Titans are not shy about having Locker air it out. He's attempted an average of 40 passes in the last three games, and they are not coming when the team is forced to play catch-up. Running back Chris Johnson has rushed for 1,000 yards for five straight seasons, but he is averaging only 3.3 yards per carry in the last three games.

TRENDS:

* Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Jets are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 6-0-1 in Titans’ last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Tennessee has won four of its last five Monday night games.

2. Edwards was claimed off waivers from Seattle this week despite posting on his Twitter account that New York's management was "idiots" for the way Sanchez has been utilized.

3. Titans TE Jared Cook, the team's second-leading receiver, is done for the season after suffering a torn rotator cuff in last week's game.

Tale of the tape: Jets at Titans

Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the New York Jets and Tennessee Titans.

Offense

Mark Sanchez has continued to struggle despite less-than-stellar competition. The Jets' embattled quarterback is 22 of 40 for 208 yards with three interceptions and a fumble over the last two games. With Sanchez continuing to flounder, New York finally reverted to its preseason promise of a ground-and-pound attack in last week's 17-10 win at Jacksonville. Bilal Powell rushed for 78 yards and a TD on 19 carries and Shonn Greene had 77 yards and a score on 20 rushes. New York's receiving corps has been decimated by injuries, leading to the decision to bring back well-traveled veteran Braylon Edwards (hamstring) earlier this week. He is probable to suit up Monday night.

Titans QB Jake Locker missed five games earlier in the season due to injury and he has shown little progression since returning to the lineup. The second-year QB has thrown seven interceptions in the past three games, including one from his own end zone that helped wipe out Tennessee's 13-point halftime lead against Indianapolis a week ago. Running back Chris Johnson has rushed for 1,000 yards for five straight seasons, but is averaging only 3.3 yards per carry in the last three games. Tight end Jared Cook, the team's second-leading receiver, is done for the season after suffering a torn rotator cuff in last week's game.

Edge: Titans

Defense

The Jets' defense has permitted a combined 16 points in the last two games after getting shredded for 49 by New England on Thanksgiving night. But keep in mind those dominant performances the past two weeks were against the NFL’s two worst offenses (Arizona, Jacksonville).

The Titans put together a dominant defensive first half — holding the Colts to 111 total yards, sacking Andrew Luck three times last week. The Tennessee stop unit limited the league’s third-best offense at the time to 269 yards and 4-of-12 third-down conversions. It also scored a touchdown. The Titans allow an average of 127 rushing yards, tied for 23rd in the league.

Edge: Jets

Special teams

The Jets rank eighth in opponents’ kickoff-return average and lead the league with 22 opponents’ drives starting inside their own 20. Kicker Nick Folk has made only 76 percent of his field goal attempts this season, ranking him 32nd in the league in that category.

Titans return specialist Darius Reynaud enjoyed success early in the season, but teams are now avoiding him. He returned just one punt for 14 yards in last week’s loss to the Colts and was ripped by the local media for his poor decision-making the week before against Houston. Rob Bironas and Brett Kern are one of the better kicking/punting duos in the league.

Edge: Titans

Word on the street

“Big, talented, physical guy (Locker). Almost has a mentality of a running back when he takes off with it. Obviously, he’s a great athlete, he has a big arm. He’s a guy, certainly, you have to worry about. Not only with his arm, but his scrambling ability as well.” – Jets head coach Rex Ryan on Jake Locker.

“We have a young quarterback and most teams have to decide, do we want to try to confuse him and go after him, or make him read coverage? I'm sure they'll do a little bit of both.” – Titans head coach Mike Munchak on what he expects from the Jets defense.

Jets or Titans? Bloggers debate who will cover

Monday Night Football welcomes two fringe teams to the primetime spotlight. The New York Jets are on playoff life support while the Tennessee Titans, who are 1-point favorites, are trying to save face after an up-and-down season.

THREE REASONS WHY NEW YORK WILL COVER

Ground and pound

The New York Jets have got back to effectively running the football, thanks to a 1-2 punch of Bilal Powell and Shonn Greene. When the Jets can run the football successfully, they can protect Mark Sanchez and open up their play-action passing attack. They are 6-1 this season when running at least 30 times.

Pride

The Jets were humiliated in their last primetime game, butt-fumbling their way to a 30-point loss against the Patriots. Losing like that has to be fresh in everybody’s mind and provides an extra layer of motivation for a prideful, veteran team. Beyond that, the Jets are in the thick of the AFC wildcard chase and absolutely can’t afford a loss if they have any hopes of playing in January.

Defensive line growth

Defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson is peaking right now and looking every bit like a Pro-Bowl player. Alongside him, rookie end Quinton Coples is coming off his best game of the season. Tennessee is down four starting offensive lineman and their starting tight end. They will struggle to get a push up front in the running game, which could force them to rely too heavily on quarterback Jake Locker.

THREE REASONS WHY TENNESSEE WILL COVER

Defensive pressure

The Titans were terrible on defense early in the season. Back then, Jerry Gray had his defense sitting in a soft Cover-2 and only rushing four most of the game. They were giving up passes and missing tackles. That led to a lot of points allowed. About six weeks ago, Gray completely changed his philosophy. He has been dialing up blitzes all over the field and the Titans have gotten a lot of pressure as a result. This will make things challenging for Mark Sanchez, who doesn't deal well with pressure.

Chris Johnson

The Jets are 29th in the league against the run. That will make for a huge night for Chris Johnson. Getting C.J. going will allow the Titans offense to stay balanced and open things up for Jake Locker down the field. Locker has struggled at times, but he has not had trouble throwing the ball down the field.

Primetime home-field advantage

The Titans have struggled mightily this year, but they tend to play well at home in primetime. They took down the Steelers at LP Field on a Thursday night earlier this season. This team also knows they're playing for Mike Munchak's job and they seem to really like Munch as their coach.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

12/17/12 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1131-345 (.766)
ATS: 445-471 (.486)
ATS Vary Units: 1646-1863 (.469)
Over/Under: 131-117 (.528)
Over/Under Vary Units: 181-186 (.493)

Continental Tire Las Vegas Classic
at campus sites
BRADLEY 69, Georgia Southern 60
COLORADO STATE 75, North Florida 61
PORTLAND 70, CSU Bakersfield 69

Gotham Classic
Round Robin at campus sites
SYRACUSE 84, Detroit 62
TEMPLE 82, Alcorn State 52

Big Sky Conference
NORTHERN ARIZONA 75, Montana State 72
SOUTHERN UTAH 69, North Dakota 63

Non-Conference
BAYLOR 81, USC Upstate 64
Bucknell 74, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 53
CANISIUS 93, Longwood 71
CONNECTICUT 82, Umes 47
Eastern Washington 79, UC DAVIS 78
FLORIDA STATE 81, Ulm 51
GEORGIA TECH 68, Alabama State 47
Louisiana Tech vs. UALR: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MISSOURI 92, South Carolina State 54
NORTHWESTERN 81, Texas State 63
NOTRE DAME 78, Fort Wayne 52
SANTA CLARA 72, Cal Poly 66
SEATTLE 80, Jackson State 62
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 85, New Orleans 61
Unlv 68, UTEP 60
Valparaiso 72, OAKLAND 71
VANDERBILT 75, Cornell 52

Status Update
By Scott Spreitzer
Sad news today - heard Doc Moseman passed away a few days ago. A true pioneer in the business. I can remember seeing the "Doc Sports" logo as a kid in Omaha. First met him a decade ago - nice man. Condolences to his son Wade and family.



RIP Doc Moseman

PLAYBOOK by Mark Lawrence

NY Jets over TENNESSEE by 3
Despite the fact that the Jets are frauds posing as playoff contenders,
they hit the Music City with just too many good numbers too ignore. For
starters, they are 8-1 ATS on the road off a previous road game versus
losing opposition and 6-1 ATS away against the AFC South. They are also
5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in this series since 1999, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS
in Nashville. And though the Titans have been ready for some football
(3-0 SU and ATS last three Mondays) and are playing hard (4-0 ‘ITS’ last
four) for second-year head coach Mike Munchak, one problem is they
are going nowhere while the Jets are trying to steal a Wild Card spot
(it would be criminal if they got in) in this year’s playoff race. The other
concern is a nasty 0-8 ATS mark off a SU loss versus a sub. 500 foe off a
SU and ATS win in ‘fourth-quarter games.’ It may not be pretty but we’re
basically forced to grab the spot with sexy Rexy in this Monday night
affair. Hopefully, there’s a new episode of ‘Castle’ on, ‘cause this looks
to be the Jets in a snoozer.

The Goldsheet

★ ★ ★ ★KEY RELEASES ★ ★ ★ ★
OKLAHOMA CITY by 14 over San Antonio (Mon., Dec. 17)
UTEP by 4 over Unlv (Monday, December 17)
★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★★ ★ ★ ★

Goldsheet Confidential Tip Off

LOUISIANA TECH over *Arkansas Little Rock ...UALR out to avenge earlier 70-52 setback at La Tech, but doubt payback attempt pays off
vs. seasoned, deep, surging Bulldogs (7-1 SU last 8 thru Dec. 11) effectively executing 2nd-year HC Michael White's fast-paced attack.
La Tech's nifty G duo of Appleby & Gibson (combined 4 of 21 FGs) figures to shoot straighter in rematch vs. Trojans (faced Tulsa on Sat.)
off short rest, so WAC contender Bulldogs likely adds to their 11-2 spread mark last 13 reg.-season tilts.
LOUISIANA TECH 79 - *Arkansas-Little Rock 70 RATING - 10

Goldsheet MNF

*TENNESSEE 21 - NY Jets 16—Both teams hurting on offense—the Jets at
the skill positions, and the Titans with injuries in their OL. And New York is
managing to hang around in the AFC wildcard race...barely. But, with this game
“meaningless” for Tennessee, the Titans can afford to play with abandon, and
swift QB Jake Locker (22 of 36, 51 YR, but 2 ints. last week) might be just the
perfect weapon vs. a Jets defense that has been slow on the pass rush this
season. If Locker can get it going just a little bit, does he not have a better group
of skill players to work with (RB Chas. Johnson, WR Kenny Britt, TE Jared
Cook, etc.) than NYJ counterpart Mark Sanchez? Sometimes, so-called “mustwin”
games are the hardest to win in the NFL.

POINTWISE PHONES

BEST BETS:
(7:00) SYRACUSE 99 - Detroit 68 (ESPN)
(8:05) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 110 - Chicago Bulls 94

MNF- TENNESSEE 22 - New York Jets 19 - (8:35 - ESPN) -- Despite all
of their highlypublicized problems, the Jets have quietly won 3-of-4, & are just a game back in
the WildCard chase. But amassing 17 pts in 1 & 7 pt wins over Arizona & J'Ville
(combined 6-20) is hardly praiseworthy. As a matter of fact, the Jets didn't score
a pt in the 1st half vs those 2 giants, altho they did run for 343 yds. The Titans
dropped their last 2 HGs by a combined 75-30 score (-42 pts ATS), & Locker is
struggling. Stepping out with either team certainly scary. Meek Monday host call.

SPORTS REPORTER

*NY JETS over TENNESSEE by 2
NY JETS, 19-17.