Consistency Ratings: Week 17

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Consistency Ratings: Week 17

By Tristan H. Cockcroft | ESPN.com

Anything goes in Week 17.

The NFL history books are littered with examples of teams resting starters in the regular season's final week to get them prepared for the playoffs, and this season sure has a healthy share of playoff seeds already locked up.

The AFC's six playoff teams are already decided, the race for first-round byes between the Denver Broncos, Houston Texans and New England Patriots the only truly compelling battle remaining, while the NFC has four spots decided, the primary remaining competitions being the East Division title and the No. 2 seed (and a first-round bye).

As such, fantasy owners need to be creative with their final-week lineups, in some instances slotting lesser-known, free-agent pickups over players who had carried them this far. So now let's use our "Consistency Ratings" to identify some lesser-heralded Week 17 options, going position-by-position as in the past few weeks:

[h=3]Quarterback[/h]
Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles (@NYG)
(Owned in 74.2 percent of ESPN leagues; 27th among QBs in fantasy points)

With Nick Foles sidelined for the season's final week due to a hairline fracture in his right hand, Vick will be thrust back into the Eagles' starting lineup, only three weeks after Vick was formally declared a backup through year's end. It'll happen in a classic "spoiler's" game, and against a reeling New York Giants defense; the Giants have afforded an average of 18.3 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in their past nine games, and six "Start"-worthy fantasy performances. Vick has made four starts against the Giants during his Eagles career, averaging 20.5 points in those contests.


[h=4]CONSISTENCY RATINGS BENCHMARKS[/h]Using 2012 statistics, and fantasy points determined by ESPN's standard scoring, the charts contained in this column rate players based upon how consistently reliable they are. To familiarize you with some of the terminology:
Start: The number of times that the player's point total in a given week was worthy of having had him active in an ESPN standard league.
Stud: The number of times the player's point total ranked among the top at his position.
Stiff: The number of times the player's point total ranked among the worst at his position, making almost any waiver-wire option a smarter choice.
These are the benchmarks for what constitutes a "Start," "Stud" or "Stiff" performance, numbers identifying the player's rank at his position:
<center>Start</center><center>Stud</center><center>Stiff</center>
QBTop 10Top 221st+
RBTop 25Top 551st+
WRTop 25Top 551st+
TETop 10Top 221st+
KTop 10Top 221st+
D/STTop 10Top 221st+

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Sat: The number of times the player missed a game. Players are not charged "Stiff" points for sitting out, but it hurts their overall Consistency Rating.
%: The player's overall Consistency Rating, calculated as number of "Start" performances divided by scheduled team games.



[h=3]Running back[/h]
Jackie Battle, San Diego Chargers (OAK)
(Owned in 15.7 percent of ESPN leagues; 49th among RBs in fantasy points)

In the Chargers' first game following Ryan Mathews' season-ending collarbone injury, Battle dominated the backfield, leading the team in carries (19), touches (20) and snaps played (33) in Week 16, hinting at a similar role for the finale against the Raiders' poor run defense. Though the Oakland Raiders have afforded opposing running backs only the fifth most fantasy points this season, they've also allowed an NFL-high six "Stud" games to the position, three of those in the past five weeks combined (BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Week 12; Trent Richardson, Week 13; Knowshon Moreno, Week 14).

Vick Ballard, Indianapolis Colts (HOU)
(Owned in 73.9 percent of ESPN leagues; 29th among RBs in fantasy points)

Ballard has exactly one 100-yard rushing game in his career, and it came against these very Houston Texans, just two weeks ago (105, Week 15). That resulted in one of only seven fantasy performances of 10-plus points by a running back against the Texans this season, yet one of the six "Start"-worthy fantasy games the team has allowed to the position in 2012. The Colts, locked firmly into the No. 5 playoff seed, might aim to rest Ballard, as well as other key starters, but without official word to that effect, the matchup shouldn't be feared.

[h=3]Wide receiver[/h]
Justin Blackmon, Jacksonville Jaguars (@TEN)
(Owned in 74.5 percent of ESPN leagues; 38th among WRs in fantasy points)

Cecil Shorts is out for the season -- he was recently placed on injured reserve -- due to a concussion, paving the way for rookie Blackmon to make a big final-week statement. Despite Shorts' performance the past several weeks, Blackmon's own efforts shouldn't be ignored; he has averaged 9.8 targets, 5.0 catches and 65.0 snaps played in Chad Henne's five starts -- and understand that excludes Blackmon's stats from his 29-point explosion in Henne's Week 11 relief appearance. Most importantly, Blackmon has eight red zone targets in those five games, and now he benefits from a matchup against the Tennessee Titans, who have allowed seven "Start"-worthy fantasy performances to wide receivers the past five weeks combined, most in the league.

Alshon Jeffery, Chicago Bears (@DET)
(Owned in 5.6 percent of ESPN leagues; 78th among WRs in fantasy points)

Call it a super-deep, Hail Mary-style pick, but this one's all about one thing: the matchup. The Detroit Lions have been getting slaughtered by opposing wide receivers the past five weeks, allowing seven "Start"- and three "Stud"-worthy performances, both of those most in the league. The Bears remain in the hunt for a wild-card spot, and Jeffery, a 15-point fantasy performer from Weeks 2-4 whose season has since been derailed by knee surgery, could provide a useful weapon against their division rival.

[h=3]Tight end[/h]
Lance Kendricks, St. Louis Rams (@SEA)
(Owned in 1.5 percent of ESPN leagues; 18th among TEs in fantasy points)

Kendricks' production has seen an uptick of late; he has 43 fantasy points in his past five games, three of them "Start"-worthy outings, and has 21 targets the past four weeks combined, two of them in the red zone. In a season that has seen both inconsistency and numerous injuries at the tight end position, certainly some fantasy owners might be digging deep for fill-ins at this spot. Kendricks warrants a look, considering that the opposing Seattle Seahawks have allowed two "Stud"-worthy fantasy games in the past five weeks combined (Charles Clay, Week 12; Delanie Walker, Week 16).

[h=3]Consistency Ratings chart[/h]
Players are initially ranked in order of their Consistency Rating, calculated as the percentage of the player's scheduled games -- not games played, scheduled games -- in which his fantasy point total registered a "Start" score. All categories are sortable both ascending and descending; just click on the headers to sort. Players must have met at least one of the following minimums for inclusion in the chart: 20.0 percent Consistency Rating in standard scoring leagues, 20.0 percent Consistency Rating in PPR formats. All defense/special teams are included, regardless of whether they met those minimums.

These statistics are for 2012 only. Statistics for games since 2010 can be found here.


<style type="text/css">.mod-inline td img {margin: 0px;}</style>
Player<center>Team</center><center>%</center><center>Pos</center><center>G</center><center>Start</center><center>Stud</center><center>Stiff</center><center>Sat</center><center>PPR%</center>
Adrian PetersonMin93.3%RB1514700100.0%
Arian FosterHou93.3%RB151431093.3%
Ray RiceBal86.7%RB151340093.3%
Marshawn LynchSea86.7%RB151360086.7%
Doug MartinTB86.7%RB151330080.0%
Brandon MarshallChi80.0%WR151251080.0%
C.J. SpillerBuf80.0%RB151231073.3%
Alfred MorrisWsh80.0%RB151220073.3%
Trent RichardsonCle73.3%RB151140080.0%
Calvin JohnsonDet73.3%WR151151080.0%
LeSean McCoyPhi73.3%RB111110473.3%
Frank GoreSF73.3%RB151110066.7%
Steven JacksonStL73.3%RB151110066.7%
BenJarvus Green-EllisCin73.3%RB151122060.0%
Stevan RidleyNE73.3%RB151141060.0%
A.J. GreenCin66.7%WR151021080.0%
Robert Griffin IIIWsh66.7%QB141041166.7%
Peyton ManningDen66.7%QB151001066.7%
Bears D/STChi66.7%D/ST151042066.7%
Drew BreesNO66.7%QB151031066.7%
Randall CobbGB66.7%WR151022066.7%
Dez BryantDal66.7%WR151043060.0%
Jamaal CharlesKC66.7%RB151032053.3%
Reggie WayneInd60.0%WR15911080.0%
Matt ForteChi60.0%RB14921173.3%
Matt BryantAtl60.0%K15914060.0%
Cecil ShortsJac60.0%WR14912160.0%
Texans D/STHou60.0%D/ST15934060.0%
Tom BradyNE60.0%QB15931060.0%
Demaryius ThomasDen60.0%WR15932060.0%
Stephen GostkowskiNE60.0%K15920060.0%
Eric DeckerDen60.0%WR15943060.0%
Matt RyanAtl60.0%QB15923060.0%
Vincent JacksonTB60.0%WR15932060.0%
Julio JonesAtl60.0%WR15943060.0%
Seahawks D/STSea60.0%D/ST15923060.0%
Michael TurnerAtl53.3%RB15810060.0%
Mikel LeshoureDet53.3%RB13830260.0%
Reggie BushMia53.3%RB15821060.0%
Darren SprolesNO53.3%RB12800360.0%
Rob GronkowskiNE53.3%TE10831553.3%
Patriots D/STNE53.3%D/ST15822053.3%
Chris JohnsonTen53.3%RB15832053.3%
Jimmy GrahamNO53.3%TE14833153.3%
Matt PraterDen53.3%K15825053.3%
Roddy WhiteAtl53.3%WR15823053.3%
Cam NewtonCar53.3%QB15842053.3%
James JonesGB53.3%WR15814053.3%
Aaron RodgersGB53.3%QB15833053.3%
Broncos D/STDen53.3%D/ST15823053.3%
Cardinals D/STAri53.3%D/ST15833053.3%
Bengals D/STCin53.3%D/ST15811053.3%
Kyle RudolphMin53.3%TE15826046.7%
Shonn GreeneNYJ53.3%RB15811046.7%
Vick BallardInd53.3%RB15804040.0%
Heath MillerPit46.7%TE15731060.0%
Tony GonzalezAtl46.7%TE15732060.0%
DeMarco MurrayDal46.7%RB9710660.0%
Wes WelkerNE46.7%WR15711060.0%
Miles AustinDal46.7%WR15704053.3%
Andy DaltonCin46.7%QB15704046.7%
Andrew LuckInd46.7%QB15733046.7%
Shaun SuishamPit46.7%K15703046.7%
Connor BarthTB46.7%K14714146.7%
Lawrence TynesNYG46.7%K15734046.7%
Ravens D/STBal46.7%D/ST15714046.7%
Phil DawsonCle46.7%K15724046.7%
Victor CruzNYG46.7%WR15736046.7%
Lance MooreNO46.7%WR14713146.7%
Darren McFaddenOak46.7%RB11701446.7%
Packers D/STGB46.7%D/ST15713046.7%
Justin TuckerBal46.7%K15721046.7%
Mike WilliamsTB46.7%WR15714046.7%
Adam VinatieriInd46.7%K15704046.7%
Matthew StaffordDet46.7%QB15713046.7%
Chargers D/STSD46.7%D/ST15723046.7%
Blair WalshMin46.7%K15744046.7%
Russell WilsonSea46.7%QB15715046.7%
Steve SmithCar46.7%WR15711040.0%
Andre BrownNYG46.7%RB10713526.7%
Jason WittenDal40.0%TE15623073.3%
Andre JohnsonHou40.0%WR15643066.7%
Steve JohnsonBuf40.0%WR15603053.3%
Mike WallacePit40.0%WR15624053.3%
Dennis PittaBal40.0%TE15625053.3%
Ryan MathewsSD40.0%RB12610346.7%
Ahmad BradshawNYG40.0%RB13621246.7%
Michael CrabtreeSF40.0%WR15625046.7%
Malcom FloydSD40.0%WR14602140.0%
Willis McGaheeDen40.0%RB10630540.0%
Felix JonesDal40.0%RB15616040.0%
49ers D/STSF40.0%D/ST15623040.0%
Josh FreemanTB40.0%QB15615040.0%
Giants D/STNYG40.0%D/ST15604040.0%
Jets D/STNYJ40.0%D/ST15624040.0%
Martellus BennettNYG40.0%TE15606040.0%
Shayne GrahamHou40.0%K15612040.0%
T.Y. HiltonInd40.0%WR14626140.0%
Falcons D/STAtl40.0%D/ST15605040.0%
Aaron HernandezNE40.0%TE9623640.0%
Larry FitzgeraldAri40.0%WR15607040.0%
Joe FlaccoBal40.0%QB15626040.0%
Torrey SmithBal40.0%WR15624040.0%
Steelers D/STPit40.0%D/ST15604040.0%
Vikings D/STMin40.0%D/ST15615040.0%
Rams D/STStL40.0%D/ST15634040.0%
Tony RomoDal40.0%QB15613040.0%
Brandon LaFellCar40.0%WR13606233.3%
DeAngelo WilliamsCar40.0%RB15615026.7%
Anquan BoldinBal33.3%WR15516053.3%
Joique BellDet33.3%RB15502053.3%
Percy HarvinMin33.3%WR9511646.7%
Jermaine GreshamCin33.3%TE15503046.7%
Danny WoodheadNE33.3%RB15513046.7%
Marques ColstonNO33.3%WR15523040.0%
Antonio BrownPit33.3%WR12504340.0%
Robbie GouldChi33.3%K13513233.3%
Golden TateSea33.3%WR14525133.3%
Owen DanielsHou33.3%TE14514133.3%
Daniel ThomasMia33.3%RB12503333.3%
Ryan SuccopKC33.3%K15516033.3%
Sidney RiceSea33.3%WR15516033.3%
Buccaneers D/STTB33.3%D/ST15506033.3%
Bills D/STBuf33.3%D/ST15516033.3%
Rob BironasTen33.3%K15537033.3%
Browns D/STCle33.3%D/ST15515033.3%
David AkersSF33.3%K15504033.3%
Sebastian JanikowskiOak33.3%K15512033.3%
Dan BaileyDal33.3%K15513033.3%
Greg OlsenCar33.3%TE15514033.3%
Jason HansonDet33.3%K15523033.3%
Josh ScobeeJac33.3%K15528033.3%
Jeremy MaclinPhi33.3%WR14515133.3%
Mason CrosbyGB33.3%K15516033.3%
Kai ForbathWsh33.3%K10501533.3%
Danario AlexanderSD33.3%WR9532633.3%
Antonio GatesSD33.3%TE14517133.3%
Vernon DavisSF33.3%TE15519026.7%
Santana MossWsh33.3%WR15515026.7%
Jonathan DwyerPit33.3%RB12502326.7%
Joel DreessenDen33.3%TE15508026.7%
Mark IngramNO33.3%RB15506026.7%
Brandon MyersOak26.7%TE15425040.0%
Jacquizz RodgersAtl26.7%RB15402040.0%
Brandon LloydNE26.7%WR15413040.0%
Pierre ThomasNO26.7%RB15402040.0%
Jeremy KerleyNYJ26.7%WR15407033.3%
Denarius MooreOak26.7%WR14404133.3%
Jordy NelsonGB26.7%WR11424433.3%
Andre RobertsAri26.7%WR14424133.3%
Matt SchaubHou26.7%QB15425033.3%
Josh GordonCle26.7%WR15417033.3%
Brandon GibsonStL26.7%WR15405033.3%
Pierre GarconWsh26.7%WR9403633.3%
Justin BlackmonJac26.7%WR15416033.3%
Knowshon MorenoDen26.7%RB7411833.3%
Greg ZuerleinStL26.7%K15417026.7%
Nick FolkNYJ26.7%K15419026.7%
Christian PonderMin26.7%QB15407026.7%
Daryl RichardsonStL26.7%RB15405026.7%
Ryan FitzpatrickBuf26.7%QB15408026.7%
Jay CutlerChi26.7%QB14408126.7%
Carson PalmerOak26.7%QB15414026.7%
Alex HeneryPhi26.7%K15404026.7%
Jonathan StewartCar26.7%RB9401626.7%
Brandon StokleyDen26.7%WR14408126.7%
Rian LindellBuf26.7%K15417026.7%
Fred JacksonBuf26.7%RB10413526.7%
Michael VickPhi26.7%QB9402626.7%
Maurice Jones-DrewJac26.7%RB6411926.7%
Philip RiversSD26.7%QB15405026.7%
Eli ManningNYG26.7%QB15415026.7%
Ben RoethlisbergerPit26.7%QB12412326.7%
Sam BradfordStL26.7%QB15405026.7%
Dan CarpenterMia26.7%K14404126.7%
Danny AmendolaStL26.7%WR10412526.7%
Panthers D/STCar26.7%D/ST15425026.7%
Raiders D/STOak26.7%D/ST15409026.7%
Colin KaepernickSF26.7%QB12405326.7%
Titans D/STTen26.7%D/ST15419026.7%
Dolphins D/STMia26.7%D/ST15416026.7%
Donald BrownInd26.7%RB10402520.0%
Jared CookTen26.7%TE13405220.0%
Joe MorganNO26.7%WR13409213.3%
Kenny BrittTen26.7%WR13406213.3%
Anthony McCoySea26.7%TE154011013.3%
Lance KendricksStL26.7%TE15418013.3%
Marcel ReeceOak20.0%RB15316046.7%
Brian HartlineMia20.0%WR15317033.3%
Dwayne AllenInd20.0%TE15308033.3%
Jacob TammeDen20.0%TE15309033.3%
Chris GivensStL20.0%WR14317126.7%
Brandon PettigrewDet20.0%TE13305226.7%
Hakeem NicksNYG20.0%WR12313326.7%
Scott ChandlerBuf20.0%TE15316020.0%
Marcedes LewisJac20.0%TE15309020.0%
Michael BushChi20.0%RB13313220.0%
Donnie AveryInd20.0%WR15317020.0%
DeSean JacksonPhi20.0%WR11313420.0%
Kendall HunterSF20.0%RB11303420.0%
Mike NugentCin20.0%K12301320.0%
Ryan BroylesDet20.0%WR10306520.0%
Davone BessMia20.0%WR13303220.0%
Titus YoungDet20.0%WR10316520.0%
LaRod Stephens-HowlingAri20.0%RB13325220.0%
Dustin KellerNYJ20.0%TE8324720.0%
Shane VereenNE20.0%RB12315320.0%
Cowboys D/STDal20.0%D/ST15315020.0%
Cedric BensonGB20.0%RB53011020.0%
Redskins D/STWsh20.0%D/ST15303020.0%
Andrew HawkinsCin20.0%WR13306220.0%
Bilal PowellNYJ20.0%RB13314220.0%
Colts D/STInd20.0%D/ST15307020.0%
Jay FeelyAri20.0%K15316020.0%
Mike GoodsonOak20.0%RB11305420.0%
Steven HauschkaSea20.0%K15315020.0%
Greg LittleCle20.0%WR15306020.0%
Jermichael FinleyGB20.0%TE15307020.0%
Nick NovakSD20.0%K12302320.0%
Garrett HartleyNO20.0%K15305020.0%
Ryan TannehillMia20.0%QB15307020.0%
Nate WashingtonTen20.0%WR15304013.3%
Rashad JenningsJac20.0%RB10303513.3%
Isaac RedmanPit20.0%RB13314213.3%
Mohamed SanuCin20.0%WR9305613.3%
Rod StreaterOak20.0%WR15309013.3%
Darrius Heyward-BeyOak20.0%WR14305113.3%
Anthony FasanoMia20.0%TE15309013.3%
David ThomasNO20.0%TE143010113.3%
Aldrick RobinsonWsh20.0%WR14301016.7%
Alshon JefferyChi20.0%WR930666.7%
Delanie WalkerSF20.0%TE15311106.7%
Dwayne BoweKC13.3%WR13214220.0%
James CaseyHou13.3%RB15207020.0%
Rob HouslerAri13.3%TE15209020.0%
Dallas ClarkTB13.3%TE15207020.0%
Dexter McClusterKC13.3%RB15206020.0%
Leonard HankersonWsh13.3%WR15209020.0%
Benjamin WatsonCle13.3%TE15208020.0%
Tony SchefflerDet13.3%TE142010120.0%
Lions D/STDet13.3%D/ST15205013.3%
Saints D/STNO13.3%D/ST15209013.3%
Ronnie BrownSD6.7%RB13103220.0%
Kendall WrightTen6.7%WR14107120.0%
Chiefs D/STKC6.7%D/ST1510706.7%
Eagles D/STPhi6.7%D/ST1510706.7%
Jaguars D/STJac6.7%D/ST1510706.7%

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