Service Plays Friday 1/4/13

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GL!

Cotton Bowl: What Bettors Need to Know

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Sooners (+3, 73.5)

WHEN: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, January 4, 2013
WHERE: Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas

AT&T COTTON BOWL GAME STORYLINES

1. Former Big 12 rivals Oklahoma and Texas A&M are set to square off in the Cotton Bowl, which features the added attraction of Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel. The freshman quarterback accounted for 4,600 yards and 43 touchdowns and led the Aggies to a 10-2 record in their first season in the SEC.

2. Oklahoma has dominated the series against Texas A&M in recent years, with the Sooners going 11-2 under coach Bob Stoops, including wins in eight of the last nine meetings.

3. Texas A&M’s first 10-win season since 1998 was highlighted by a 29-24 victory over then-No. 1 Alabama on No. 10, while the Sooners’ two losses came by a combined eight points against opponents with a combined 21-3 record.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Texas A&M opened as a 3-point favorite and was bet up to as high as -4.5 before money on OU brought the spread back to -3. The total has moved from 71.5 to 73.5.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Aggies are the Texas team in this matchup at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (10-2, 6-2 SEC, 7-5 ATS): This figures to be a high-scoring contest with the Aggies ranked third in the country in scoring at 44.8 points per game and Oklahoma tied for 12th at 40.2 points. Both teams are riding five-game winning streaks, with the Aggies’ only losses coming to Florida and LSU. Manziel is a true duel threat for the Aggies, who are 7-0 when he rushes for more than 100 yards. Texas A&M ranks 13th in the country in rushing offense at 235.1 yards per game, and the Aggies will look to establish their ground game behind offensive tackle Luke Joeckel, who received the Outland Award as the nation’s top interior lineman. Texas A&M allowed only 22.5 points per game, led by defensive end Damontre Moore's 12.5 sacks. The Aggies’ return game has been solid, but kicker Taylor Bertolet only made 13 of his 22 field goal attempts.

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (10-2, 8-1 Big 12, 6-6 ATS): Senior quarterback Landry Jones, who ranks fifth in the nation with 332.4 passing yards per game, is 3-0 in bowl games heading into his 50th and final career start. The Sooners scored 125 points in their last three games, and their offensive line allowed only six sacks in nine Big 12 contests. Wide receiver Kenny Stills has a team-high 11 touchdown receptions and junior Damien Williams led the ground attack with 902 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns. The Sooners boast the Big 12’s top pass defense, and safety Tony Jefferson led the team with 113 tackles. Oklahoma has forced 14 turnovers in the last nine games, with 11 coming off interceptions. The Sooners could be without wide receiver/punt returner Jalen Saunders, whose status is in doubt after he was arrested for marijuana possession on Dec. 2.

Bowl Teams Playing Close to Home are 12-4 ATS

Home-field advantage during bowl season is a wishy-washy fact, since the games are all played at “neutral sites”. However, there are more than a few programs that enjoyed a short trip to their bowl game and those teams proved profitable for football bettors.

Back in December, we highlighted 18 teams playing their bowl games close to home. As of prior to the Fiesta Bowl, 16 of those schools have played and 12 of them have won SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread) in their postseason matchup.

Utah State, Central Florida, UL Lafayette, Central Michigan, Rice, Syracuse, Texas, Vanderbilt, Clemson, Oklahoma State, Stanford, and Florida State all cashed in close to home. In fact, heading into Thursday’s Fiesta Bowl, teams tabbed as the “home team” are 20-10 SU and 19-11 ATS.

The only four teams playing close to home that failed to cover were San Diego State in the Poinsettia Bowl, Duke in the Belk Bowl, UCLA in the Holiday Bowl, and UL Monroe in the Independence Bowl.

There are two more teams remaining from our original list of 18 that have yet to take the field this postseason.

Texas A&M hosts Oklahoma in the Cotton Bowl at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas - just 184 miles from College Station. Oddsmakers have the Aggies set as 3-point favorites. The Sooners, however, are tabbed as the “home” side and traveled only 196 miles from Norman for the Cotton Bowl.

Mississippi also has a home-field edge over Pittsburgh in the Compass Bowl, having to only make a 180-mile trek to Legion Field in Birmingham, Alabama. Ole Miss is set as a 3.5-point favorite for Saturday’s bowl game.

Northcoast

3* Oklahoma+3

Top opinion
OVER 73 Texas A&M / Oklahoma

Gold Sheet

Projected Scores

Oklahoma 39 - TEXAS A&M 37

Winning Points

COTTON BOWL (at Arlington, TX)
Oklahoma over Texas A & M by 1

OKLAHOMA 36-35.

Sports Reporter

COTTON BOWL
Cowboys Stadium – Arlington, TX
BEST BET
TEXAS A&M over OKLAHOMA by 17

TEXAS A&M, 41-24

Pointwise

COTTON BOWL
TEXAS A&M (10-2) vs OKLAHOMA (10-2)

RATING: 6: TEXAS A&M 41 - Oklahoma 34

TOM FREESE 10* NBA "THREE PACK" FRIDAY! *#! NBA CAPPER!*


Philadelphia 76ers at Oklahoma City Thunder Jan 4 2013 8:05PM
Tom Freese plays are rated 10 UNIT, 15 UNIT, and 20 UNITS (#813) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS @ (#814) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER 8:05 PM EST The 27-7 Thunder are at Home for a Match up with the 15-18 76ERS on FRIDAY. Although Oklahoma City lost James Harden to the Rockets, they are still one of the Elite Teams in the NBA. Superstar Kevin Durant returns and even though it would be hard to improve on his stats from last season, He is poised to once again be one of the Top 5 in the quest for the 2012-2013 Scoring title. With the addition of Kevin Martin, also an outstanding scorer who was acquired during the trade, the Thunder look to make another run at an NBA Championship. The Thunder are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a Double Digit Loss at Home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against NBA Atlantic Clubs. The Sixers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against Western Conference Squads and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on One days rest. Look for The Thunder to Showcase their talent in a Big way again Tonight! OKC wins and COVERS easily again! PLAY ON THE (#814) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (-) PTS FOR 10 UNITS TONIGHT!


Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder






Scott Rickenbach *10* NBA *TEXAS TEA TOTAL*! 46-25 RUN!


Sacramento Kings at Toronto Raptors Jan 4 2013 7:05PM
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA *10* (TOP Play) OVER in Sacramento at Toronto @ 7:05 ET - The Sacramento Kings travel to Toronto to take on the Raptors on Friday night. Both teams come in with identical 12-20 SU records overall this year. Sacramento is allowing 101.6 points per game overall this year and 101.9 points per game on the road this season. Sacramento is scoring 101.8 points per game their past five games overall while allowing 101.4 points per game during that time. Toronto is scoring 100.4 points per game their past five games overall. The Over is 4-0 last 4 games when Sacramento plays on one days rest. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games for Sacramento when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Over is 11-3-1 last 15 games for Sacramento when they play a team with a winning percentage of less than .400. The Over is 14-5-1 last 20 games when Sacramento faces the Eastern Conference. The Over is 6-1 last 7 games after Toronto scores 100 points or more. Lots of points scored here tonight. Play OVER in Toronto as a *10* TOP Play selection Friday.


Prediction: over

STATFOX

Forecaster:
TEXAS A&M 37
OKLAHOMA 31
• OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 70 over the L2 seasons.
• Kevin Sumlin is 19-4 OVER off a home win.
• Bob Stoops is 11-2 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 70 as coach of OKLAHOMA.

Pointwise

CBB

FRIDAY, JANUARY 4 SCORE
(7:00) GEORGIA 66 - George Washington 63
(7:00) RHODE ISLAND 62 - Brown 61
(7:00) VALPARAISO 71 - Cleveland State 51
(8:00) TENNESSEE 76 - Memphis 75 (ESPN2)
(9:00) MISSISSIPPI 80 - Fordham 54

BEST BETS: BROWN

NBA

FRIDAY, JANUARY 4 SCORE
(7:05) TORONTO RAPTORS 95 - Sacramento Kings 90
(7:05) Cleveland Cavaliers 110 - CHARLOTTE 'CATS 105
(7:05) Brooklyn Nets 94 - WASHINGTON WIZARDS 89
(7:35) Atlanta Hawks 106 - DETROIT PISTONS 103
(7:35) MIAMI HEAT 106 - Chicago Bulls 90
(8:05) BOSTON CELTICS 99 - Indiana Pacers 98 (ESPN)
(8:05) OKLA CITY 112 - Philadelphia 76ers 100
(8:05) Portland Blazers 98 - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES 96
(8:35) MILWAUKEE BUCKS 118 - Houston Rockets 113
(9:05) PHOENIX SUNS 99 - Utah Jazz 93
(10:35) LA CLIPPERS 111 - LA Lakers 101 (ESPN)

BEST BETS: INDIANA, PORTLAND, LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (3)

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Toronto won eight of last nine games (4-2 as HF). Kings are 5-3 in last eight games, covering seven of the eight.
-- Nets are 3-1 since changing coaches (2-1 as AF).
-- Hawks won five of last six games (5-2 as AF). Detroit won five of its last six games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Miami won eight of last ten games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Pacers won nine of last eleven games (2-8 last ten AU).
-- Thunder won 15 of last 18 games (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Portland won eight of last eleven games (2-7 last nine AU).
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games (5-6-1 as AU).
-- Lakers won six of last eight games (1-5 vs spread as an U).

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost nine of last eleven games (4-16 SU on road). Bobcats snapped 18-game losing skid Monday (lost last 10 home games).
-- Wizards lost 11 of last 12 games (5-6-2 as HU).
-- Bulls lost three of last five games (3-4 as AU).
-- Celtics lost eight of last ten games (4-7-1 as HF).
-- 76ers lost three of last four games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Memphis lost three of last five games (9-5-1 as HF).
-- Bucks are 4-5 in last nine games (4-1 last five aa HF).
-- Jazz lost seven of last ten games (3-9-1 as AU)' Phoenix lost six of its last seven (4-6 as HF, but covered last three).
-- Clippers lost last two games after winning previous 18 (8-1 last nine as HF).

Totals
-- Five of last six Sacramento games went over total.
-- Six of last nine Cavalier games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Miami home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Thunder games went over the total.
-- 10 of Grizzlies last 12 games stayed under. Five of last seven Portland road games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Houston games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Clipper games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- None.

CBB

-- George Washington turns ball over 24.8% of time; they're 2-3 on road, losing by 3 at Rutgers, 4 at Bradley on last two road trips. Colonials are 0-5 vs teams in top 130, 6-1 otherwise. #132 Georgia won its last three games after losing seven of previous eight; they're 4-3 at home, with two losses in OT. Dawgs also turn ball over a lot (21.7% of time).
-- Brown upset Rhode Island 65-56 LY, as Rams were so awful they've changed coaches; Bruins had lost previous nine visits to URI, with six of nine wins by double digit margin. Rams are 4-3 in last seven games after 0-5 start; they're 4-1 vs teams outside top 150, winning by 6-10-22-5 points. Brown upset Providence, then lost at Albany in last two games.
-- Cleveland State lost last four games vs D-I teams (two non-D-I wins) by 17-34-30-17 points; Vikings lost last three visits to Valparaiso by 6-6-7 points. State's best win is over #187 Toledo. Crusaders got upset in last game by Valparaiso; they're 7-0 vs teams outside top 200, beating bad teams by 31-23-31-13-11-8-20 points.

-- Memphis beat Tennessee twice LY, once in double OT on a neutral court, by 18 at home; hosts are 5-2 in last eight series games, as Tigers lost two of last three visits here. Memphis' three losses are all teams in top 20- they beat Ohio by 26, in other top 100 game. Tennessee scored 45-36-38 points in its losses, all to top 50 teams, by 17-1-8 points.
-- 10-2 Ole Miss forces turnovers 24.2% of time; they're 8-0 vs teams outside top 200, with seven of eight wins by 15+ points. Rebels start SEC play Wednesday vs Tennessee; this is their first game in 10 days. Fordham is 1-6 vs top 100 teams, with five of six losses by 15+ points; they turn ball over 23.4% of time, but they've played #32 schedule.
-- 3-9 Manhattan turns ball over 27% of time, shoots 31.3% from arc, 64.1% from line, all bad numbers; Jaspers lost four of last five visits to St Peter's, winning here LY after losing previous four visits by 17-28-3-10 points. Peacocks lost seven of last ten games after 3-0 start; four of their last five games were decided by six or less points.

-- Siena lost its last nine games; their last win was seven weeks ago, but they've beaten Iona here six years in row. 2-11 Saints lost to LaSalle by 28 in only game vs top 100 team this year- they turn ball over 23.8% of time, shoot just 58.9% from foul line. Erratic Gaels play #9 pace in US but are just 7-6- they've won four of last six games.
-- Loyola lost four of last six games after 7-1 start, but they're 7-0 when playing teams outside top 200, with six of seven wins by 12+ points. Home side won four of their last six games with Rider; Broncs lost two of last three visits here. Rider turns ball over 24.1% of time; they've lost last four games, are 2-6 vs teams in top 150, losing by 8-11-13-17-12-7.
-- Wofford had won four of last five games before losing by 35 last game at Virginia; Terriers beat Tulane by 11 at home LY, so despite turning ball over 22% of time and shooting 39.7% inside arc, they won't get lot of sympathy from Green Wave squad that won 11 of last 13 games, and won at Alabama last game. Tulane has played schedule #342 so far.

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Iona at Siena[/h] The Saints look to bounce back from their 80-52 loss to LaSalle and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after losing by more than 20 points in their previous game. Siena is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Gaels favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick Siena (+13). Here are all of today's games.

[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma[/h] The Sooners look to take advantage of a Texas A&M team that is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Aggies favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4 1/2). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Chicago at Miami[/h] The Heat look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games in Miami. Miami is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8). Here are all of today's picks.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

01/04/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 1608-467 (.775)
ATS: 643-664 (.492)
ATS Vary Units: 2291-2435 (.485)
Over/Under: 178-175 (.504)
Over/Under Vary Units: 225-254 (.470)

Horizon League
VALPARAISO 69, Cleveland State 59

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
Iona 83, SIENA 70
LOYOLA (MD.) 67, Rider 60
SAINT PETER'S 61, Manhattan 59

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 68, Jackson State 62
ALABAMA STATE 69, Grambling State 54
ALCORN STATE 63, Texas Southern 62
SOUTHERN 68, Prairie View A&M 54

Non-Conference
GEORGIA 61, George Washington 56
HOLY CROSS 66, Yale 60
OLE MISS 83, Fordham 62
RHODE ISLAND 71, Brown 56
SAINT LOUIS 59, Savannah State 40
TENNESSEE 64, Memphis 61
TULANE 60, Wofford 54

DCI College Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Week 19 Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 7-1 (.875)
ATS: 4-4 (.500)
ATS Vary Units: 20-20 (.500)
Over/Under: 2-6 (.250)
Over/Under Vary Units: 7-14 (.333)

Season
Straight Up: 1063-353 (.751)
ATS: 434-402 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 2516-2322 (.520)
Over/Under: 384-375 (.506)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1251-921 (.576)


Friday, January 4, 2013
AT&T Cotton Bowl
at Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Texas A&M 48, Oklahoma 46