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DCI Pro Football
The Daniel Curry Index

Wild Card Round Predictions

Saturday, January 5, 2013

AFC Wild Card Round
Cincinnati 21, HOUSTON 20

NFC Wild Card Round
GREEN BAY 29, Minnesota 26

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Cincinnati at Houston[/h] The Bengals look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Cincinnati is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Texans favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

Accuscore

Analyst’s Top 2 NFL Wildcard Picks

Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 at Houston Texans
People didn’t have faith in the Texans all season, and that paid off at the end of the year with Houston losing three of their last four games and having to play this round. Cincinnati has gone the other way winning seven of their last eight games needing to continue to win to get into the payoffs. Houston is very banged up on defense, outside of J.J. Watt, already without Brian Cushing. Linebacker Brooks Reed is very questionable to play, and Tim Dobbins is also banged up and didn’t practice Wednesday. Because of this, I don’t think Houston’s defense is quite as good as they appear on paper. The real difference between these two teams appears to be the divisions with Houston going 5-1 against the weak South and Cincinnati going 3-3 against the stronger North. I think this is a field goal game either way, which automatically leads me to take the points.

I thought he was done for, year....instead like turkey day, he just took Christmas/New Years off.

Colins picks * * * *RJ Bell

Cinn * * * * * * * * slight agreement (lean)

GB * * * * * * * * * *slight agree

Indy * * * * * * * * *Balt

Was * * * * * * * * * Was * strongest play of wk. *"If you like Was bet it now, big $$ coming on w/e for Was.


RJ made big point of saying Flacco has more playoff starts than the other 7 qb's playing this weekend. *Colin went nuts, when he heard this stat, heaping praise on RJ.

Only problem, its wrong. Its a tie. * Flacco has 9. *Rodgers 7, Ponder 1, Dalton 1. *Still pretty impressive.

Link to RJ Bells 5-6 minute segment on colins show. *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8813164


link to colin making his picks *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8812806

Colin's Picks	Result
Bengals (+4.5)*at Texans
Vikings at*Packers (-8)
Colts (+7)*at Ravens
Seahawks at*Redskins (+3)

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS
7-UNIT
SUPER-HYDRAS
MISSISSIPPI - 3 vs pittsburgh **(Saturday, January 5th - 10am) -
COMPASS
BOWL***

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WILDCARD ROUND - Saturday &
Sunday

7-UNIT SUPER-HYDRAS*
*BENGALS +4.5* at texans *(Saturday -
1:30pm)*
*PACKERS -7 (-125)* vs vikings *(Saturday - 5pm)*

***Lines at LV Hilton 1-4-13, 3am
**All times Pacific
*5-UNIT HYDRA*
*DENVER BRONCOS TO WIN SUPER BOWL
AT 2.5 TO 1* *(Risking 5
UNITS to WIN 12.5 UNITS)*
*

*The Packers are -7.5 across the board
currently, and we STRONGLY
ADVISEbuying the half-point
in order to reduce
the line to -7. If for some reason you are unable to do
so, we would still play the PACKERS -7.5 as a 7-UNIT SUPER-HYDRA, but would
feel much safer by
reducing the line to -7.*

Wunderdog

Cincinnati at Houston
Pick: Cincinnati +4.5

Through 12 games at 11-1, the Texans looked like a team destined for the Super Bowl. As they often do in the NFL, things changed dramatically for this team over the last month of the season where they went just 1-3 straight-up and ATS. The offense, which went for over 30 points in six of their first 11 games, failed to do so once over their last five. Their average points per game dropped from over 30 to just over 16. They were held to less than 17 points just one time in their first 12 games, but failed to get there in three of their last four games. It appears that defensive coordinators have figure out this Texans offense to some extent and Houston hasn't been able to react positively. The offense wasn't their only problem, as the mighty Texans’ defense that limited their first nine opponents to 17 points per game, broke down and allowed 27 per game in their last seven. The Bengals endured a painful 0-4 stretch themselves this season, but fortunately it came early enough for them to work out their problems. They then came roaring back after the skid to finish 7-1 both SU and ATS. Outside of that one bad stretch, the Bengals were an impressive 10-2 on the season. The difference here is that the Texans have gone from looking Super at 11-1, to in a funk. The Bengals have left their funk behind to look Super at 7-1 in their last eight. Houston's pythagorean wins (a truer measure of a team's strength than actual wins) is 10, compared to 12 actual wins. They aren't as good as advertised. Cincinnati has gone 6-2 this season on the road. One team is off their game and favored, the other is on their game and is a dog, setting the stage for a live dog here. Cincy is coming in off a win and under Marvin Lewis, this team is 28-15 ATS on the road after a win. Take Cincinnati with the points.

uscmd said:

I thought he was done for, year....instead like turkey day, he just took Christmas/New Years off.

Colins picks * * * *RJ Bell

Cinn * * * * * * * * slight agreement (lean)

GB * * * * * * * * * *slight agree

Indy * * * * * * * * *Balt

Was * * * * * * * * * Was * strongest play of wk. *"If you like Was bet it now, big $$ coming on w/e for Was.


RJ made big point of saying Flacco has more playoff starts than the other 7 qb's playing this weekend. *Colin went nuts, when he heard this stat, heaping praise on RJ.

Only problem, its wrong. Its a tie. * Flacco has 9. *Rodgers 7, Ponder 1, Dalton 1. *Still pretty impressive.

Link to RJ Bells 5-6 minute segment on colins show. *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8813164


link to colin making his picks *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8812806

Colin's Picks	Result
Bengals (+4.5)*at Texans
Vikings at*Packers (-8)
Colts (+7)*at Ravens
Seahawks at*Redskins (+3)

Click to expand...

Normally would never clutter a thread with this, but since it's the first page, I'll do it. RJ is correct. Flacco has nine. Dalton has one. Rodgers has seven. That's 9 to 8 in Flacco's favor. Ponder has never played in a playoff game. Vikings didn't make it to the playoffs last year.

Awesome that you included Cowherd in this. Best of luck to you this weekend.

Cowerd said if he had to make it a "Blazen Five" he'd add Notre Dame for Monday's game!!!

uscmd said:

I thought he was done for, year....instead like turkey day, he just took Christmas/New Years off.

Colins picks * * * *RJ Bell

Cinn * * * * * * * * slight agreement (lean)

GB * * * * * * * * * *slight agree

Indy * * * * * * * * *Balt

Was * * * * * * * * * Was * strongest play of wk. *"If you like Was bet it now, big $$ coming on w/e for Was.


RJ made big point of saying Flacco has more playoff starts than the other 7 qb's playing this weekend. *Colin went nuts, when he heard this stat, heaping praise on RJ.

Only problem, its wrong. Its a tie. * Flacco has 9. *Rodgers 7, Ponder 1, Dalton 1. *Still pretty impressive.

Link to RJ Bells 5-6 minute segment on colins show. *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8813164


link to colin making his picks *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8812806

Colin's Picks	Result
Bengals (+4.5)*at Texans
Vikings at*Packers (-8)
Colts (+7)*at Ravens
Seahawks at*Redskins (+3)

Click to expand...

The Chicago Sports Connection
*************************
Saturday's Top Play

NBA [518] TOTAL u202-110 (UTA JAZZ vrs DEN NUGGETS)

Energy preservation day for Nuggets ...@ Lakers tomorrow ...
....recent trends point to a 99-91 type game.

GL2us
TIN

I see Colin is on the other side of both prediction machine sides with the Indy pick and packers pick....what to do now?

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Pitt, Houst

2* GBay, over GB/Minny

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won nine of last eleven games (6-3 last nine HF).
-- Hawks won five of last seven games (3-9-1 as HF).
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games (10-6 as F, 0-1 as AF).
-- Kings are 6-3 in last nine games, covering eight of the nine. Nets won four of five since changing coaches (1-7 last eight HF).
-- Portland won nine of last twelve games (3-7 last ten AU). T'wolves won five of last six home games (6-3-1 as HF).
-- Spurs won seven of last eight games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Nuggets won eight of last nine home games (9-3 as HF).
-- Warriors won four in row, 12 of last 15 games (8-2-2 as AU).

Cold Teams
-- Bucks are 4-6 in last ten games (7-3 as AU).
-- Orlando lost its last seven games (4-5 as HU). Knicks are 4-5 in last nine games (3-7 as AF).
-- Celtics lost eight of last eleven games (2-6-2 as AU).
-- Cavaliers lost nine of last eleven games (3-7 as HU).
-- 76ers lost four of last five games (3-8 last 11 as AU).
-- Mavericks lost 10 of last 12 games (5-4 as HF). New Orleans is 2-14 in its last 16 games (10-5 as AU).
-- Jazz lost seven of last eleven games (4-9-1 as AU).
-- Clippers won 19 of last 21 games (9-1 last ten as HF).

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland games stayed under the total.
-- Philly's last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen New Orleans road games.
-- Last four Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Golden State games went over total.

Back-to-backs
-- Celtics are 1-4-2 vs spread on road if they played night before; Hawks are 7-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Bucks are 1-6 vs spread if they played night before. Indiana is 5-4 if it played the night before.
-- Kings are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played night before. Brooklyn is 2-6 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Rockets are 3-5 vs spread if they played night before. Cleveland is 5-5 vs spread if it played night before, 0-2 at home.
-- Portland is 2-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- 76ers are 2-7 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Utah is 3-5 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Clippers are 2-5 vs spread if they played night before.

Gold Medal Club Selections 05/01/2013
NFL:
#104 Green Bay -7.5
#108 Washington +3
CBB:
#542 Marquette -2.5
#553 Ohio State -4

CBB

-- Michigan State won last three games vs Purdue by 18-25-14 points; Boilers won two of last three visits here, but are 1-4 away from home this year, with an awful loss to Eastern Michigan. Spartans are turning ball over 22.9% of time; they're 3-3 vs top 100 teams, winning by 3-4-11 points. Purdue is making just 27.8% outside the arc.
-- Notre Dame won nine of last ten games vs Seton Hall, winning three in row, by 12-12-13 points; Pirates lost last five visits here, by 3-12-12-9-12 points. Irish are 12-1 vs schedule #312; they're 3-1 vs top 100 teams, winning by 10-14-13 points. 12-2 Seton Hall played #329 schedule; vs top 100 teams, they're 1-1, with only win by point over Stony Brook.
-- Kansas State beat Oklahoma State twice LY, by 8-19 points, after 2-7 skid in previous nine series games; three of their last four series wins are by 19+ points. Wildcats are 1-2 vs top 20 teams, losing to Michigan and Gonzaga, upsetting Florida; they're making only 31% behind arc. OSU is 4-1 vs top 100 teams- they lost at home by point to Gonzaga Monday.
-- Home side won seven of last nine Georgetown-Marquette games, as Hoyas lost last three visits here by 12-3-14 points. Georgetown is 3-1 vs top 100 teams, winning by 8-1-23 points, but they haven't played a good team since Dec 4. Eagles are 8-0 at home, beating UConn in OT in Big East opener- they're 3-2 vs top 100 teams (wins by 10-4-6).

-- Baylor won six of last eight games with Texas, sweeping Longhorns by 5-5 points LY; Texas had won 13 series games in row before that- they're 1-2 in last three visits here, losing by 15-5. Baylor split its six games vs top 100 teams; they've lost to both Charleston/Northwestern at home. Texas is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 23-2-11 points.
-- Ohio State won 11 of last 13 games vs Illinois, but lost 79-74 here in LY's visit; 11-2 Buckeyes lost to only top 100 teams they played, with its best win over #109 Washington. OSU lost only true road game by 5 at Duke. Illini lost two of last three games after 12-0 start; they get 37% of points behind arc, so when shooting skips, they're more vulnerable.
-- Miami won eight of last ten games with Georgia Tech, sweeping Tech by 15-18 points LY, but with star Johnson (hand) out, they're just not same team. Hurricanes are top 20 team with Johnson in lineup. Jackets won last six games, but last five were vs teams ranked #248 or lower, so hard to tell. Tech is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15-11 points.
-- Home side won 14 of last 17 Creighton-Indiana State games; State lost last nine visits here, by 4-19-16-5-17-11-13-14-26 points. Sycamores won three of last four games vs top 100 teams, with all three wins by 2 points each- three of their last eight games went OT. Bluejays had solid win at Illinois State Wednesday; their 59.5eFG% is #1 in country. .
-- Stanford gagged away Pac-12 opener by hoop at USC after being up nine at half; Cardinal lost 10 of last 12 games with UCLA, losing its last seven visits here, by 17-14-10-34-4-11-11 points. Stanford is 3-4 away from home- their last three games were all decided by six or less points. UCLA won its last six games, scoring 90.2 ppg in last five.

-- West Virginia is 0-4 vs top 100 teams because they can't shoot, with 27.5% mark behind arc; best team they've beaten is #132 Va Tech, by a point. WVa lost 77-70 to Oklahoma six weeks ago at Disney World, as Mountaineers shot 36%, missed 10 FTs. #67 Sooners' last two losses are by combined total of 4 points; they're 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
-- Home side won 14 of last 18 Florida State-Clemson games; FSU is 1-8 in last nine trips to Littlejohn, losing last three by 10-18-20 points. FSU lost its first true road game by 6 at Auburn last game; they turn ball over 22.7% of time. 8-4 Clemson is 0-3 vs top 100 teams; they won only one game over team ranked higher than #199 (by 21 vs #127 UTEP).
-- Gonzaga won three in row, 20 of last 22 games with Santa Clara; they won eight of last nine visits here, winning by 16-4-13-8-5-8-11 points. Broncos won six of last seven games, with loss at Duke (they led Duke in second half); their other two losses were both in OT. Zags won last five games; they're 3-0 in true road games, winning by 2-1-16 points.
-- Washington won four of last five games after 4-4 start; they're 2-3 vs top 100 teams, 1-1 in true road games, losing by 8 at UConn, winning at crosstown rival Seattle by 13. Huskies won seven of last nine games vs Washington State; they won three of last four visits to Pullman, winning by 20-7-4 points. Wazzu won seven of last eight games; their best win is over #144 Fresno State. Washington is #109.

CFB

Compass Bowl (Birmingham, AL)

Pitt is playing in this game for third year in row, which usually raises a red flag towards player apathy, but Panthers breathed sigh of relief when coach Chryst didn't bolt to Wisconsin; that would've been nightmare for Pitt program that is headed to ACC next year. Chryst is Pitt's 4th coach in last three years; they're 2-3 in last five bowls, scoring just 11.8 ppg. Ole Miss is in first bowl since '09; they figure to have crowd edge, since new coach Freeze has raised hopes in Oxford. Rebels won three of last four bowls, but last three were all Cotton Bowls- their last minor bowl was '02 win over Nebraska in Shreveport. Ole Miss is 8-3 vs spread this year, 4-1 as a favorite; all six teams that beat team are better than Pitt, whose QB Sunseri is son of former Alabama assistant coach who was at Tennessee this year, but Vols didn't play Ole Miss. Underdogs are 16-15 vs spread in bowls this season; under is 19-13. Big East teams are 3-1 in bowl games this year, 3-0 vs spread as underdogs. SEC teams are 4-3 SU/ATS; they've been favored in every game.

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Oklahoma at West Virginia[/h] The Mountaineers look to take advantage of an Oklahoma team that is coming off a 72-42 win over TX-Corpus Christi and is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games following a SU victory. West Virginia is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Mountaineers favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-3). Here are all of today's early games.