Service Plays Sunday 1/6/13

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The Daniel Curry Index

Wild Card Round Predictions

Week
Straight Up: 1-1 (.500)
ATS: 0-2 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-13 (.000)
Over/Under: 1-1 (.500)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1-9 (.100)

Season
Straight Up: 153-92 (.624)
ATS: 121-131 (.480)
ATS Vary Units: 502-696 (.419)
Over/Under: 123-130 (.486)
Over/Under Vary Units: 422-411 (.507)

Sunday, January 6, 2013

AFC Wild Card Round
INDIANAPOLIS 25, Baltimore 21

NFC Wild Card Round
Seattle 27, WASHINGTON 22

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Seattle at Washington[/h] The Redskins look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is coming off a 20-13 win over St. Louis and is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Washington is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Redskins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

Accuscore

Analyst’s Top 2 NFL Wildcard Picks

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts Under 47 Points
The Under occurs in 58.2 percent of simulations averaging 44 points per. This game will be outdoors which should limit some of what the Colts do. The Ravens will also have some emotion of their own to counter the vibes for Indy with the retirement of Ray Lewis.

I thought he was done for, year....instead like turkey day, he just took Christmas/New Years off.

Colins picks * * * *RJ Bell

Cinn * * * * * * * * slight agreement (lean)

GB * * * * * * * * * *slight agree

Indy * * * * * * * * *Balt

Was * * * * * * * * * Was * strongest play of wk. *"If you like Was bet it now, big $$ coming on w/e for Was.


RJ made big point of saying Flacco has more playoff starts than the other 7 qb's playing this weekend. *Colin went nuts, when he heard this stat, heaping praise on RJ.

Only problem, its wrong. Its a tie. * Flacco has 9. *Rodgers 7, Ponder 1, Dalton 1. *Still pretty impressive.

Link to RJ Bells 5-6 minute segment on colins show. *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8813164


link to colin making his picks *http://espn.go.com/espnradio/play?id=8812806

Colin's Picks	Result
Bengals (+4.5)*at Texans
Vikings at*Packers (-8)
Colts (+7)*at Ravens
Seahawks at*Redskins (+3)

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WILDCARD ROUND - Saturday & Sunday
7-UNIT SUPER-HYDRAS*
*RAVENS -7* vs colts *(Sunday - 10am)*
*SEAHAWKS -3 *at redskins *(Sunday -
1:30pm)*

***Lines at LV Hilton 1-4-13, 3am
**All times Pacific
*

*5-UNIT
HYDRA*
*DENVER BRONCOS TO WIN SUPER BOWL
AT 2.5 TO 1* *(Risking 5 UNITS to
WIN 12.5 UNITS)*

Marc Lawrence NFL Playoff Round GOY - Redskins

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Wash

2* Ark St, Balt

BEST OF LUCK

THE GOLDSHEET

INDIANAPOLIS (11-5) at BALTIMORE (10-6)

Indianapolis 27 - BALTIMORE 26—How important are intangibles once the
postseason begins? We’ll find out in this matchup. And if they are as impactful
as some believe, it’s advantage Indy, which enters having won 9 of its last 11
while playing with a purpose for stricken coach Chuck Pagano, who made a
triumphant return to the sidelines last week after missing almost three months
due to leukemia treatments. Pagano also gets to match wits against his former
Ravens team, for which he served as d.c. before taking the Indy assignment
after the 2011 campaign.
The case for host Baltimore? Surely not current form, as the Ravens enter
having lost 4 of their last 5 SU, with added internal distractions of o.c. Cam
Cameron’s mid-December dismissal. Instead, the Ravens count playoff
experience as an edge against a Colts side employing so many rookies (including
QB Andrew Luck) in key positions. Indeed, Baltimore has reached the postseason
in all five of HC John Harbaugh’s seasons.
Yet, despite some recurring errors (such as 18 picks), Luck is hardly a
normal rookie QB; stat lines can’t quantify resilience or leadership, qualities that
Luck continues to exude, rubbing off on other Indy rookies (such as RB Vick
Ballard & WR T.Y. Hilton) playing key roles. Luck also isn’t facing the sort of
rock-ribbed “D” that Baltimore fielded in recent years, even if vet LB Ray Lewis
returns from injury. And, despite an experience edge, Baltimore QB Joe Flacco
hardly looked preferable to Luck down the stretch and rarely helped his team
extend margins. The Ravens’ low-variance tendencies make them a very risky
proposition vs. an Indy side riding quite a wave of momentum into the postseason.

SEATTLE (11-5) at WASHINGTON (10-6)


WASHINGTON 26 - Seattle 23—Two hot teams. Two excellent rookie QBs.
So edges are small in this one. Washington has won & covered seven straight
games. Seattle has won five straight; covered six of its last eight. Give Robert
Griffin III the running edge (815 YR, 7 TDR) over Russell Wilson (489 YR), but
give Wilson (26 TDs, 10 ints.) a slight edge over Griffin (20 TDs, 5 ints.)
orchestrating a pro-style passing attack. The 26 TD throws by Wilson tie
Peyton Manning’s record for rookie QBs.
The ultra-aggressive Seahawks go into the game full of confidence, having
outscored their last five foes 193 to 60! And one must recognize that the
Seahawks (8-0 at home TY) have become much tougher on the road. Seattle
has won its last two excursions—at Chicago in OT and at Toronto vs. the Bills.
Moreover, under the fiery Pete Carroll, the Seahawks never fall easily on the
road, with their five losses TY by 4, 6, 7, 4 & 3 points.
The early line movement on this game was solidly in support of the
Seahawks, who still have a veteran core on the team that has playoff
experience from Seattle’s unlikely playoff run two years ago, when the Hawks
ran past New Orleans before losing in Chicago. Plus, this season’s team is
healthier, deeper and faster now with Carroll in his third season.

It has been obvious the past two weeks that RG3 hasn’t been his normal self,
still limited somewhat by his recent sprained knee, with HC Mike and offensive
coordinator Kyle Shanahan altering their playcalling just a bit to help protect
him. But Griffin (6 for 63 YR and a TD vs. the Cowboys) was closer to his old
self last week, showing that he is making a rapid recovery. Also, it will be
interesting to see if Carroll’s defense can deal with Washington’s pro-style
spread-option, considering that Carroll’s USC teams always seemed mystified
a bit when facing the scheme.
Lastly, it was clear last week vs. Dallas’ Tony Romo that Jim Haslett’s
Redskin defense had reached a new level in terms of blitz pressure, thanks to
ever-improving coverage in the Washington secondary.
One thing is sure. The hype surrounding this meeting of rookie QB
sensations will be awesome, even by NFL standards. But certainly don’t mind
siding with a hot team as a home dog in the wildcard round, with the spread
Seattle -2½ at our deadline.

KEY RELEASE
★★★UNDER THE TOTAL Memphis 86 - PHOENIX 85—Memphis’ form
has been a bit erratic in recent weeks, as Grizzlies had covered just 5 of last 14
vs. number prior to Jan. 4 game Portland. Keeping team afloat on the SU side,
however, has been consistently solid defense, as Memphis’ 89.8 ppg allowance
ranks as NBA’s best. Still, Phoenix has proven a tough nut to crack lately for the
Grizzlies, who were pushed into OT vs. the Suns on Dec. 4 at FedEx Forum
before losing outright at US Airways Center eight nights later. Memphis needed
almost all of Zach Randolph’s 38 points to survive first meeting, but Suns got
their payback in rematch when doing a much better job off glass (Phoenix 44-
40 rebound edge in second meeting after being outboarded 50-32 in earlier
clash). Suns still looking for a “closer” after blowing many late leads in recent
weeks, and had lost 6 of last 7 SU thru Jan. 3. But Phoenix had still covered
8 of last 11 prior to facing Jazz on Jan. 4. “Totals” alert—Grizzlies “under” 16-5
last 21 thru Jan. 3.

Sixth Sense

3% Ravens

3% Colts / Ravens Over

Nelly's
Sunday
2* Baltimore -7

Teddy covers
15* nfl* big ticket: Baltimore ravens over 46 -110
10* nfl* seattle seahawks -3 -105

Rob Veno

20* Seahawks / Redskins Under

10* Seahawks

Steve merril

10* nfl* playoffs powerhouse: Seattle seahawks -2.5 -110

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Bengals (+4 1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Seahawks. The surplus is 40 sirignanos.

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000♦
AFC Best Bet


Baltimore Ravens -7



Adams Note: If your price is -7 or even -7', go ahead and buy the half point down on Baltimore.

Love2Fade said:

CHARLES COVERS - Slight setback yesterday with Sooners. BR is 2875*
1000* Going Out On Mississippi minus 3 and Greenbay minus 7
750* Going Out on Kent State plus 4 and Seattle minus 3

Click to expand...

CHARLES COVERS - BR Going Into Sunday is 4875*. The above plays remain Live. If you were playing 5 bucks a unit u'd be up over 20k, my service is such good value!

NFL TotalSun, 01/06/13 - 1:00 PM [SUP]¡²[/SUP]

double-dime bet105 IND / 106 BAL UNDER 47.0 5Dimes
Analysis:The Ravens have played 13 playoff games in franchise history. This is the first in which they are off a loss. We expect a return to a conservative offense and a tough defense – especially as a heavy favorite vs a team that has a rookie QB and a defense that has trouble stopping the run.


As a team, the Ravens are 0-18 OU since the start of the 2005 season as a favorite off a regulation game in which they forced more than six punts, and their opponent failed on fewer than three red zone attempts, as long as they did not win the game by more than 24 points. The SDQL text is:
po:RZF<3 and team=Ravens and F and pounts>6 and p:margin<=24 and p:OT=0 and season>=2005
The final scores in their two qualifying games from this season were: 9-6 vs the Chiefs and 16-13 over the Chargers in overtime.

Also, the Ravens have buckled down as a significant favorite over a team on a winning streak. Baltimore is 0-9 OU as a FG-plus favorite vs a team that has won at least their last three games. The SDQL text is:
team=Ravens and H and line<=-3 and o:streak>=2 and 20061101<=date
Note that the average final score of these nine games have been 15.8 to 9.8. In their last two, the Ravens won 13-7 and 16-6.
The Colts had a few long drives in their game vs the Texans – including a 9:46 drive to end the game – and they ran back a kickoff for a TD. This limited the number of possession they had and this points to a low-scoring game. The Colts are 0-11 OU the week following a game in which they had ten or fewer possessions and dog and punted fewer than six times. The SDQL text is:
p:drives<=10 and team=Colts and p and NB and punts<6 and season>=2005

Note that the Colts were 0-3 OU in this spot THIS season.
The return of Ray Lewis and the fact that this will be the last home game of his career will have the defense primed to send him out on a positive note. Take the UNDER.

MTi’s FORECAST: BALTIMORE 20 Indianapolis 16