Brotherwo's 2013 PGA

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Maestro
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Going to start posting PGA again in 2013. I've been running well in the first 4 tournaments so let's hope it continues!

Final 2012 Record was 111-72-15 60.66% +25.923units


:toast:
 

Maestro
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AT&T Pebble Beach National
February 7th-10th

Let's start off the year with a long-long-long shot tournament winner. Risking 0.1 units on each.

Greg Owens +38500 - The guy hasn't played well in '13 however he has a great feel for Pebble. He finished 9th last year and in other years placed 3, 4 and 21st at Pebble. Would be a nice way to start the season :)
 

Maestro
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B2

Thanks for your contributions. You have proven to know this game well.

Thanks hopefully I can put together some winners for us.

Matchups are now up at 5dimes, only one I'm locking in right now...
Molder over Noh +100

Once again all my matchup bets are risking 1 unit, whether negative or positive money. Futures are 0.1 units
 

Maestro
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Molder over Noh +100

Adding:
Walker over De Jonge -110
Marino over Palmer +140
Estes over Sabbatini -110 (1st Rd)
 

Maestro
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Most lines moving against me, uhoh! Molder up to +140 and tempting to grab another unit but I'm sticking with the plan

Adding:
Mahan over Simpson +105
 

Maestro
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AT&T Pebble Beach National
February 7th-10th

Let's start off the year with a long-long-long shot tournament winner. Risking 0.1 units on each.

Greg Owens +38500 - The guy hasn't played well in '13 however he has a great feel for Pebble. He finished 9th last year and in other years placed 3, 4 and 21st at Pebble. Would be a nice way to start the season :)

1 shot back of the lead @)
 

Maestro
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Rd 3
Cantlay over Know -105
Estes over Baddeley +105
Watney over Simpsom-105
Harrington over Furyk +110
Mahan over Westwood +100
 

Maestro
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Did well on my Full Tournament plays 3-1 but had awful round 3 plays, ending the week...
5-6-1 -1.323units

DateTournamentRoundBetRiskOddsGradeW/L
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach Future Greg Owens to win +385000.138500L (0.100)
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach FT Molder over Noh +1001100W 1.000
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach FT Walker over De Jonge -1101-110W 0.909
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach FT Marino over Palmer +1401140L (1.000)
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 1Estes over Sabbatini -110 (1st Rd)1-110W 0.909
2/7/2013AT&T Pebble Beach FT Mahan over Simpson +1051105W 1.050
2/8/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 2Owen over Knox-1151-115L (1.000)
2/9/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 3Cantlay over Know -1051-105L (1.000)
2/9/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 3Estes over Baddeley +1051105L (1.000)
2/9/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 3Watney over Simpsom-1051-105L (1.000)
2/9/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 3Harrington over Furyk +1101110L (1.000)
2/9/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 3Mahan over Westwood +1001100Push -
2/10/2013AT&T Pebble Beach 4Stadler over Jacobson-1101-110W 0.909
Total (1.323)
 

Maestro
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Northern Trust Riviera C.C. February 14-17th 2013

As you will be able to see I don't like betting favorite futures. If you do I'd take a look at Baddeley and Moore at +4000 but I just dont see much value in betting those for the long haul. Here are the long shots that I've bet...

John Rollins +15500
Cameron Tringale +22500
Jhonattan Vegas +43500

Each risking 0.1units
 

Maestro
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Full tournament matchups (all risk 1 unit)
Kuchar over Mahan -120
DJ over Watson +100
Baddeley over Piercy -115
Simpson over Kirk -135
Stadler over Clark -130
Holmes over Woodland +105 *
Couples over Ogilvey -115
Tringale over Steele -120 **

* = Best bets
 

Maestro
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Good news most moved in my favor except Baddeley/Piercy (-105) and DJ/Watson (+110)

Last year Riviera was one of the highlights of the 2012 season, hopefully this year will live up to it. Phil's birdie on 18 to push the tourney into a playoff followed by Keegan's was simply amazing theater!
 

Maestro
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Riviera 5-3 +1.013
Overall 10-9-1 -0.31 units

Season Futures 0-3-1 -0.3 units


2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera Future John Rollins +155000.115500L (0.100)
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera Future Cameron Tringale +225000.122500L (0.100)
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera Future Jhonattan Vegas +435000.143500Push -
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Kuchar over Mahan -1201-120L (1.000)
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT DJ over Watson +1001100W 1.000
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Baddeley over Piercy -115 1-115L (1.000)
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Simpson over Kirk -1351-135W 0.741
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Stadler over Clark -1301-130W 0.769
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Holmes over Woodland +105 *1105L (1.000)
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Couples over Ogilvey -1151-115W 0.870
2/14/2013Northern Trust Riviera FT Tringale over Steele -120 **1-120W 0.833
 

Maestro
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On to one of my favorite golf tournaments of the year,
WGC Matchplay February 20th - 24th 2013

Futures to win WGC matchplay
Choi +25000 (shocked by this number!)

Here are day 1 matchups, matchup odds havent been released at 5dimes yet..
7:25 a.m.: Sergio Garcia vs. Thongchai Jaidee
7:35 a.m.: Matt Kuchar vs. Hiroyuki Fujita
7:45 a.m.: Ian Poulter vs. Stephen Gallacher
7:55 a.m.: Bo Van Pelt vs. John Senden
8:05 a.m.: Charl Schwartzel vs. Russell Henley
8:15 a.m.: Zach Johnson vs. Jason Day
8:25 a.m.: Jason Dufner vs. Richard Sterne
8:35 a.m.: Hunter Mahan vs. Matteo Manassero
8:45 a.m.: Justin Rose vs. K.J. Choi
8:55 a.m.: Bill Haas vs. Nicolas Colsaerts
9:05 a.m.: Adam Scott vs. Tim Clark
9:15 a.m.: Jamie Donaldson vs. Thorbjorn Olesen
9:25 a.m.: Bubba Watson vs. Chris Wood
9:35 a.m.: Jim Furyk vs. Ryan Moore
9:45 a.m.: Lee Westwood vs. Rafael Cabrera-Bello
9:55 a.m.: Martin Kaymer vs. George Coetzee
10:05 a.m.: Keegan Bradley vs. Marcus Fraser
10:15 a.m.: Ernie Els vs. Fredrik Jacobson
10:25 a.m.: Steve Stricker vs. Henrik Stenson
10:35 a.m.: Nick Watney vs. David Toms
10:45 a.m.: Dustin Johnson vs. Alexander Noren
10:55 a.m.: Graeme McDowell vs. Padraig Harrington
11:05 a.m.: Webb Simpson vs. David Lynn
11:15 a.m.: Peter Hanson vs. Thomas Bjorn
11:25 a.m.: Louis Oosthuizen vs. Richie Ramsay
11:35 a.m.: Branden Grace vs. Robert Garrigus
11:45 a.m.: Luke Donald vs. Marcel Siem
11:55 a.m.: Paul Lawrie vs. Scott Piercy
12:05 p.m.: Rory McIlroy vs. Shane Lowry
12:15 p.m.: Rickie Fowler vs. Carl Pettersson
12:25 p.m.: Tiger Woods vs. Charles Howell III
12:35 p.m.: Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano vs. Francesco Molinari
 

Maestro
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Rd 1
Schwartzel over Henley -225 *
Choi over Rose +150
Westwood over Cabrera -200
Sterne over Dufner +125
Moore over Furyk -110
 

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