Service Plays Saturday 2/9/13

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★★★THE GOLDSHEET★★★


AKRON by 20 over Miami-Ohio (Saturday, Feb. 9, Day)
SAINT LOUIS by 8 over Richmond (Saturday, February 9)
XAVIER by 17 over Duquesne (Saturday, February 9)
LONG BEACH ST. by 11 over CS Northridge (Sat., Feb. 9)
OVER the total in the Golden State-Dallas game (Sat., Feb. 9)
YOUNGSTOWN ST. by 16 over Ill.-Chicago (Sun., Feb. 10, Day)

Picks for Saturday's big games

Projecting ATS winners for Mizzou-Ole Miss, Louisville-Notre Dame and more


Updated: February 8, 2013, 4:26 PM ET
By Ted Sevransky | ESPN Insider

• PRINT​

Phil Pressey and the Missouri Tigers look to remain unbeaten at home this season.
Every Friday during the college basketball season, Ted Sevransky (better known as Teddy Covers) will provide ESPN Insiders with his picks on Saturday's biggest games and a few under-the-radar matchups. He'll give a projected point spread and pick for each.

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Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers

Projected point spread: Missouri -3 to -5Missouri has a sharp home/road dichotomy. It has played five true road games this season, losing all of them in straight-up fashion while notching just a single spread cover (by a measly half point). Even coach Frank Haith has called his squad "soft" in hostile environments.
But in Columbia, the Tigers have been nothing short of outstanding, a perfect 13-0 at home this season. At home, the Tigers' big frontcourt ofLaurence Bowers, Alex Oriakhi and Tony Criswellhas been able to dominate the offensive glass while keeping opponents out of the paint. It's something the Tigers will need to do again if that home winning streak is to remain intact.
Rebels sharpshooter Marshall Henderson was contained in the first meeting between these two teams, held nine points below his season average of 20 per contest. Ole Miss still won the game by 15 thanks to Missouri failures: a 2-for-18 shooting effort from 3-point range and 19 turnovers. Expect a different level of performance from the home team Saturday.
The ATS pick: Missouri

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Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma Sooners

Projected point spread: Kansas -3 to -5


Since the calendar turned to January, Bill Self's squad has a grand total of two point-spread covers, one of which came by a half-point (at Kansas State). The other ATS victory came at home on national TV against Baylor on a night where the Bears were simply awful (23 percent shooting).
Kansas is coming off back-to-back straight-up losses as 10-point chalk against Oklahoma State and 17-point chalk against Big 12 bottom-feeder TCU. That's clearly a wake-up call, as evidenced by this Bill Self quote following the loss to the Horned Frogs: "It was the worst team that Kansas has ever put on the floor since Dr. Naismith was there."
Oklahoma was outclassed the first time these two teams met, a 13-point Jayhawks victory that finished right on the closing point spread. When forward Romero Osby isn't lighting up the scoreboard, the Sooners aren't beating quality foes. Expect a strong bounce-back effort from the focused road favorite.
The ATS pick: Kansas

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Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Projected point spread: Louisville -2 to -4Louisville's three-game losing streak in January appears to have paid long-term dividends for the Cardinals. Coach Rick Pitino has been running brutal practices, even sending seniors to the treadmill as punishment for missing defensive assignments. The Cardinals are a focused team these days, with a talent base that is capable of beating anyone in the Big East on any floor.
Notre Dame was held below 36 percent shooting when these teams met in the Big East tournament last March and shot less than 32 percent from the floor in its double-overtime win at Louisville last January. Primary Irish distributors Jerian Grant and Eric Atkins (11.7 assists per game between them) aren't likely to find many open shooters for an Irish team that doesn't create well off the dribble.
The ATS pick: Louisville

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Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin Badgers

Projected point spread: Near pick 'emThe Badgers have been a point-spread disaster all season -- a woeful 7-14 ATS heading into the weekend, including a 1-5 run following their double-overtime win (but no cover) against Iowa on Wednesday. They were noncompetitive in their lone meeting against the Wolverines last season, losing by 18 in Ann Arbor against a weaker Michigan team than this one.
The problems that plagued Bo Ryan's club in that matchup are likely to plague them again here -- only six assists and two made free throws for the entire game. Combo guards Ben Brust and Traevon Jackson combine for only five assists per game. And none of the Badgers' top five scorers hits better than 70 percent from the charity stripe, a major weakness that has kept them from extending margins late in games.
Michigan is back to full health with forward Jordan Morgan (ankle) and forward Nik Stauskas(flu) back in the lineup. The Wolverines are the class in this matchup, a game I expect them to win.
The ATS pick: Michigan

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Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils

Projected point spread: Near pick 'emStanford remains a great 3-point shooting team, hitting nearly 45 percent from beyond the arc in Pac-12 play. Guards Chasson Randle and Aaron Bright and matchup nightmare 6-foot-10 forward John Gage are all capable of getting hot from downtown. With reigning Pac-12 Player of the Week Josh Huestis joining Dwight Powell as a low-post force, the Cardinal aren't short on talent in the paint or on the perimeter.
But last season's NIT champs are only a fringe bubble team -- their loss at Arizona was nothing short of devastating to their at-large bid chances. Arizona State is fighting to hang on to an at-large spot of its own, but the Sun Devils had a different expectation level coming into the season, as they were projected as the 11th-best team in a 12-team conference. Herb Sendek's squad is playing free and easy, with none of the self-imposed pressure that seems to be holding the Cardinal back.
The ATS pick: Arizona State

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Illinois State Redbirds at Creighton Bluejays

Projected point spread: Creighton -9 to -11There aren't many teams in the Missouri Valley Conference that are capable of trading points with Creighton's high-octane attack. Illinois State is one such squad, thanks to the inside/outside duo of big man Jackie Carmichael and perimeter threat Tyler Brown. The Redbirds just roared back from a 17-point deficit to win at Drake on Wednesday, their fifth victory in their last six games. In December, the Redbirds won straight up at Dayton and took Louisville to the wire in a three-point road loss, demonstrating the type of guts and guile I like to see from my road underdogs.
The ATS pick: Illinois State

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Texas A&M Aggies at Georgia Bulldogs

Projected point spread: Georgia -1.5 to -3.5Georgia has played its best basketball of the season over the course of the past few weeks and is an ascending team in the SEC. The Bulldogs have won four straight and five of their last six, with the lone loss coming against mighty Florida. Sophomore guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a one-man wrecking crew, leading Mark Fox's squad in points, rebounds and steals. The Bulldogs beat the Aggies by seven as eight-point road underdogs just two weeks ago. It was one of only three point-spread losses for Texas A&M all season.
The ATS pick: Georgia

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Saint Joseph's Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen

Projected point spread: UMass -2 to -4Both the Minutemen and the Hawks rank a notch or two below the A-10's elite teams (Butler, Saint Louis and VCU). UMass is a great perimeter shooting team, loaded with tall, athletic wingers like Freddie Riley and Terrell Vinson. Pint-sized point guard Chaz Williamsranks in the top 10 nationally in assists per game. St. Joe's is not loaded with athleticism this season, and Phil Martelli's squad really lacks quality depth off the bench. The home team has won and covered each of the last five meetings between these squads, a trend worth riding again.
The ATS pick: UMass

Ted Sevransky

ESPN Insider

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Ted Sevransky, better known as Teddy Covers, has been handicapping sports in Vegas since 1998.

POINTWISE

INDIANA STATE over So Illinois (Sat) RATING: 2
MICHIGAN STATE over Purdue (Sat) RATING: 2
AIR FORCE over Nevada (Sat) RATING: 3
CAL-FULLERTON over Riverside (Sat) RATING: 3
BYU over San Francisco (Sat) RATING: 4
WEST VIRGINIA over Tcu (Sat) RATING: 5

Study group: Saturday's Top 25 NCAAB betting notes

Top 25 teams seem to have a target on them in recent weeks. Which ranked program will be the next to fall? We preview all the action involving Top 25 teams on Saturday's slate.

Georgetown Hoyas at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+4)

Defense has helped guide Georgetown to a four-game winning streak and a return appearance in the Top 25 and the Hoyas will try to keep it going Saturday afternoon when it visits Rutgers. Georgetown allows the second-fewest points in the Big East (55.3) and the second-lowest shooting percentage (37.5). Since a three-point loss at South Florida on Jan. 19, the Hoyas have allowed 51.5 points while knocking off Notre Dame, Louisville, Seton Hall and St. John's. Rutgers is on the opposite end of the spectrum from Georgetown.

The Scarlet Knights have dropped five straight since beating South Florida on Jan. 17. They have the league's third-worst offense (66.9 points), the second-worst defense (66.9) and have averaged 56.4 points in losses to Notre Dame, St. John's, Connecticut, Cincinnati and Louisville.

Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin Badgers (+2)

Primarily regarded as an efficient and explosive offensive team, No. 3 Michigan turned to its defense late to pull out an important conference win Wednesday. The Wolverines likely need to follow a similar script on Saturday when they visit Wisconsin. Michigan is tied for second in the Big Ten standings with Michigan State and in the midst of a four-game stretch where it will play each of the other top-five teams in the conference.

Michigan, the second-highest scoring team in the conference, rebounded from last Saturday’s loss at Indiana with a thrilling overtime home victory over Ohio State on Wednesday. The Wolverines have won five of six, but will be forced to take on the Big Ten’s stingiest defense in the Badgers. Wisconsin needed two overtimes Wednesday to down Iowa at home. The Badgers are starting a stretch where they face three consecutive ranked opponents.

Mississippi Rebels at Missouri Tigers (-6)

Mississippi tries for a season sweep of Missouri when the No. 23 Rebels visit the No. 20 Tigers on Saturday. Mississippi led the entire game when it beat then-No. 12 Missouri 64-49 on Jan. 12 in Oxford in the teams' first-ever meeting.

Missouri played without leading scorer Laurence Bowers, who was sidelined with a sprained MCL in his right knee. He is back now for the Tigers. Mizzou is coming off a 70-68 loss at Texas A&M but is 13-0 at home. The Rebels, who are 5-2 on the road, are coming off a 93-75 victory at home against Mississippi State on Wednesday.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns (+3.5)

Texas attempts to stretch its homecourt win streak over No. 24 Oklahoma State to nine when it hosts the Cowboys on Saturday. The Longhorns are 9-2 at home but are struggling overall with seven defeats in nine games since the start of Big 12 play. Oklahoma State has won four consecutive games. The Cowboys pulled out a dramatic 69-67 victory over Baylor on Wednesday when junior guard Markel Brown scored on a layup with two-tenths of a second remaining in overtime.

Oklahoma State notched a road win at Kansas prior to the squeaker against Baylor. Texas lost 60-58 to West Virginia on Monday. The defeat dropped the Longhorns to 1-7 in games that were decided by six or fewer points or went into overtime. “We are close but it’s the mental things – a couple possessions here and there – that we need to get,” coach Rick Barnes said afterwards.

Butler Bulldogs at George Washington Colonials (+4)

No. 14 Butler may be the only ranked team in its conference, but there is no shortage of conference foes vying for the regular-season crown. The Bulldogs will attempt to bring a bit more clarity to the Atlantic-10 picture on Saturday when it travels to George Washington for the first time in school history. Butler is locked into a three-way tie atop the conference standings at 6-2, but five more teams trail Butler, VCU and St. Louis by one game.

The Colonials are one of those teams and have won four of five following Wednesday’s victory over cellar-dweller Duquesne. The Bulldogs have won two in a row after defeating St. Bonaventure on Wednesday, but have dropped two straight away from home after going 4-1 in true road games prior to conference play. It’s an otherwise small blemish for a Butler team that has won 16 of 18 overall.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)

No. 11 Miami puts its unbeaten home record and perfect ACC mark on the line against North Carolina, a team the Hurricanes earlier defeated on Jan. 10 in Chapel Hill, 68-59. That game featured 11 lead changes and seven ties before the Hurricanes used a late 8-0 spurt to pull away. Miami is 10-0 at the BankUnited Center this year and owns a seven-game home ACC winning streak dating back to last season including a 90-63 blowout of then-No. 1 Duke on Jan. 23.

North Carolina has won six of its last seven games since losing to the Hurricanes including the last three in a row. The Tar Heels come in off a 87-62 victory over visiting Wake Forest on Tuesday, the third time in the last four games North Carolina topped the 80-point mark after not scoring 80 or more in the previous five ACC contests. Despite losing to Miami at home in the first meeting last month, the Tar Heels still own a 18-3 series lead over the Hurricanes.

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma Sooners (+4)

Fifth-ranked Kansas figures to have plenty of motivation when it looks for its 11th straight victory over host Oklahoma on Saturday. The Jayhawks were embarrassed by lowly Texas Christian on Wednesday in an effort that peeved coach Bill Self. “It was the worst team that Kansas ever put on the floor, since Dr. Naismith was there,” Self said. “I think he had some bad teams when he lost to Topeka YMCA in the first couple years.” Both the Jayhawks and Sooners are attempting to end two-game losing streaks.

Oklahoma is well aware that its NCAA tournament hopes will receive a huge boost by knocking off Kansas. “Saturday’s game has to mean more to us than it means to Kansas,” senior forward Romero Osby said. “They’ve already made the NCAA tournament. We’re trying to get there.” The Jayhawks defeated the Sooners 67-54 on Jan. 26. The two-game skid is Kansas’ first since the 2005-06 campaign. The Jayhawks scored just 13 first-half points in the 62-55 loss to TCU. Kansas started the game by making just one of its first 17 shots.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Florida Gators (-28)

Florida was rolling along until a trip to Arkansas on Tuesday, when it allowed 13 more points than in any other game. The second-ranked Gators must rebound from a defeat for the first time since before Christmas as they host struggling Mississippi State on Saturday. Florida had won 10 straight games before the 80-69 loss to the Razorbacks with an efficient offense and stifling defense.

The Gators, one game up on Mississippi and Kentucky in the SEC, should be focused to avoid a letdown against the Bulldogs who they beat 82-47 on Jan. 26. Mississippi State has dropped seven straight in SEC play for the first time since 2006 after winning its first two conference games. The Bulldogs, hampered by injuries all season, have allowed the most points in conference games and struggle mightily putting the ball in the basket at times.

Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats (-5)

No. 15 Kansas State tries to keep pace with Kansas atop the Big 12 when the Wildcats host Iowa State on Saturday. Kansas State has won three straight, including two in a row on the road, while the Cyclones have won three of four to move into a third-place tie in the conference.

Iowa State has won three straight meetings with Kansas State for the first time since 2000-01, when the Cyclones won four in a row. Iowa State is 2-1 in its last three visits to Manhattan, Kan., and defeated Kansas State 73-67 in Ames, Iowa on Jan. 26. The Wildcats are 10-1 at home.

Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs (-15)

San Diego State's bid to stay in the Mountain West Conference race got a big boost with a dramatic victory Wednesday night. The Aztecs will look to keep the heat on the league front-runners when they host Fresno State on Saturday. After blowing a 17-point lead, San Diego State got a Chase Tapley 3-pointer with 2.8 seconds left to steal a 63-62 win over Boise State. It left the 25th-ranked Aztecs two games behind No. 16 New Mexico with eight games to play.

The Bulldogs snapped a four-game losing streak with a 64-55 victory over UNLV on Wednesday. It was the 10th time that Fresno State has held an opponent under 60 points. Coach Rodney Terry's team had a slightly different look to it. Freshman 7-footer Robert Upshaw sat out the first game of a three-game suspension, but Kansas transfer Braeden Anderson made his collegiate debut after being forced to sit out the first 20 games of the season. Anderson had two rebounds in 12 minutes, but figures to see more action.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Cincinnati Bearcats (Pick)

Pittsburgh had just snuck into the back of the top 25 before opening their Big East slate with a home loss to Cincinnati. Now back at No. 25, the Panthers will be looking for some revenge when they visit the 17th-ranked Bearcats on Saturday. Pittsburgh went on to drop three of its first four conference games but has picked things up with wins in six of the last seven.

Cincinnati is coming off a loss at Providence. The Bearcats rely heavily on Sean Kilpatrick to create offense but the junior guard has struggled with his shot over the last four games, which include two losses. Kilpatrick did most of his damage at the free throw line in the win over the Panthers on Dec. 31 but has settled for 3-point shots more recently instead of attacking the basket. Pittsburgh spreads out its offense more and slows the pace, preferring to work the ball inside before looking for the 3-pointer.

Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers (+2.5)

Purdue has been able to hover around .500 in the Big Ten by picking at the bottom of the conference. A date with visiting Michigan State on Saturday will give the Boilermakers another crack at the top tier in the league. The eighth-ranked Spartans dominated Purdue in the first meeting on Jan. 5 and have won eight of their last nine.

The Boilermakers snapped out of a two-game funk with a win at Penn State on Tuesday. Michigan State avenged one of its two Big Ten setbacks with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday and will have to be careful not to overlook Purdue with a date against No. 3 Michigan coming up early next week. The Spartans have been dealing with several injuries lately but expect to have everyone back for Saturday. That can only be bad news for the Boilermakers, who have lost their last two games against top 10 teams by an average of 26 points.

Missouri State Bears at Wichita State Shockers (-17)

No. 22 Wichita State looks to snap a three-game slide when the Shockers host Missouri State on Saturday night. Wichita State has averaged 56.3 points per game in that span, losing to Indiana State, Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois. The Shockers blew a 17-point first-half lead in its 64-62 loss to the Salukis on Tuesday night and committed a 35-second violation with the game tied and 11 seconds left.

Wichita State defeated Missouri State 62-52 on Jan. 23. The Bears have lost six of their last eight games, most recently losing to Northern Iowa 48-37 on Tuesday. The 37 points marked a season-low and a program-low in Mississippi Valley Conference play. The Bears are 6-20 all-time at Wichita, though two of their last three losses came by one-point margins.

Utah Utes at Oregon Ducks (-13)

Dominic Artis can’t return soon enough for Oregon, which has lost three straight entering Saturday’s matchup against Utah. The Ducks are 1-3 since the freshman point guard suffered a knee injury two weeks ago, and there’s no timetable for his return. Oregon, which was unbeaten in league play at the time of Artis’ injury, had its 20-game home winning streak snapped by Colorado on Thursday.

Utah’s pattern of surprising wins and perplexing losses continued Wednesday when the Utes were blown out by Oregon State, 82-64. The loss came four days after the Utes defeated Colorado for their first home win in league play. Freshman point guard Brandon Taylor scored a career-high 21 points and had six assists against the Beavers, and he’s provided a much-needed spark since being inserted into the starting lineup last week.

Loyola Marymount Lions at Gonzaga Bulldogs (-24.5)

Gonzaga’s Kelly Olynyk is putting together league player of the year numbers. The 7-1 junior center has scored in double figures in every game since Nov. 23 and shoots 64.3 percent from the field as the sixth-ranked Bulldogs prepare for a visit from struggling Loyola Marymount on Saturday night. Olynyk has been a big part of one of the nation’s top offenses, which has helped Gonzaga to its highest ranking since December of 2008.

The Bulldogs, unbeaten in the West Coast Conference, have won five consecutive games since the loss at No. 14 Butler. Loyola Marymount has lost seven straight games and eight of 10 overall on the road. The Bulldogs will have to contain junior guard Anthony Ireland, who is second in the WCC in scoring. The Lions did recently lose in overtime to San Diego, which only lost by two points to Gonzaga.

Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+4)

After losing three straight games No. 12 Louisville is back on track and carries a three-game winning streak into its Big East showdown at Notre Dame paced by player of the year candidate Russ Smith. The Cardinals, however, have never won at Notre Dame since joining the Big East. The Cardinals are in third in the Big East standings, a half-game behind Syracuse and Marquette.

Notre Dame had its own three-game winning streak snapped last time out falling at sixth-ranked Syracuse. Fighting Irish coach Mike Brey announced n Thursday that his team will remain in the Big East Conference for one more year before leaving for the ACC so you can expect more tight games in this series. Six of the last eight games between these two teams have gone to overtime.

New Mexico Lobos at UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-4)

The Mountain West Conference has seen its share of upsets in recent weeks, but New Mexico has won seven of its last eight games to emerge as the clear front-runner. The Lobos look to maintain their lead Saturday when they visit UNLV, which has lost three of its last four, including a stunning 64-55 loss to last-place Fresno State on Wednesday.

With the first half of Mountain West play complete, New Mexico holds a one-game edge over Colorado State and leads the fourth-place Rebels by three games. The Lobos have won three straight against UNLV, including a 65-60 victory at The Pit on Jan. 9. New Mexico sophomore center Alex Kirk, averaging 11.2 points and 7.3 rebounds, had a season-high 23 points and nine boards in the first matchup with the Rebels.

Illinois State Redbirds at Creighton Bluejays (-9.5)

Creighton is seeing red, and not only because that will be the primary color of the opponent's uniforms when it hosts Illinois State on Saturday. The No. 13 Bluejays are coming off their worst loss of the season - 76-57 at Indiana State on Wednesday, and will have an opportunity to take their frustrations out on the Redbirds, who are in a three-way tie for seventh in the 10-team Missouri Valley Conference. After winning its first six MVC games, first-place Creighton has split its last six, but maintains a one-game lead over Wichita State and Indiana State.

Creighton junior forward Doug McDermott, a national player of the year candidate, is averaging 23.3 points, but was held to eight Wednesday - the second time this season he hasn't reached double figures. The Bluejays begin a stretch of four games against teams at .500 or below in the conference before a showdown at Saint Mary's (20-4) on Feb. 23. Illinois State has won two straight following its 94-86 victory at Drake on Wednesday, and has won five of its last six games since an 0-6 start in conference play.

Dave Essler's

Saturday Cliff Notes

Michigan at Wisconsin: Michigan now in a three-way tie w/Indiana and Michigan State for first place. I told you a week ago to watch out for the Spartans, who had already played a meatier schedule. Anyhow, Wisconsin is a game back, but probably more importantly is who they need to stay ahead of for a first round bye, and that's a lot of teams. Hence, this is a bigger game than it appears as far as post season implications. Obviously the Wolverines are going to be a high, if not #1, seed. However, the Badgers sit a 16-7 overall and aside from the win at Indiana they really don't have an auto-claim to the Dance, IMO, yet. They really need to beat Michigan and perhaps Ohio State next week as well to get a reasonable seed. A few losses in the wrong place and they could be somewhere else, especially with their weak non-conference schedule. Neither team is going to turn the ball over (much) at this pace, and it certainly appears to me that this will be a jump shooting contest. Since Wisconsin defends them the best in the Conference and is at home, I do lean to the Badgers, especially with Michigan having to play the dreaded Spartans on Tuesday. I just hate their FT shooting. It ALL depends on the number.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati: The Bearcats come in chilly after losing at Providence, as we predicted, while Pittsburgh comes in having taken care of Syracuse and Seton Hall at home. The Panthers lost at HOME to Cincinnati and are obviously well aware of that and may get some attention BECAUSE of that. While Cincinnati, aside from THAT game, hasn't ahad a good conference win, and to me that's a total reflection on a shitty non-conference schedule, and they've played the 12th (out of 15) worst schedule in the Big East. I can clearly see how the Bearcats won that game, since the strength of their defense is interior, and of course that where the Panthers want to score. On paper, these teams are very evenly matched, and I thought I'd lean Pittsburgh, but I simply cannot take the fact that they have, bar none, the worst FT percentage in the Big East. That will clearly cost them, if not now, somewhere. Cincinnati's going to want to score OUTSIDE, which plays right into the hands of Pitt's defense. Again, got to go with the home team, even though this has been their worst shooting year in some time. No doubt, another one that depends on the actual number we can get, but should be a last minute game, as most are. That's why when in doubt, pass, take the home team and/or the better FT shooting team.

Mississippi at Missouri: Mississippi solidly in third in the SEC right now with a two game lead in the loss column over the Tigers. Mississippi doesn't have a bad loss yet this season, but aside from the Florida game this is and WILL be their biggest road test. Having said that, there is a futures bet their, given their schedule. I don't even see Mississippi listed on 5D as a potential NCAA winner, and Missouri is. I was looking simply for the SEC, if any book might have it. Missouri is a different Tiger at home, still being undefeated, and clearly under valued after their losses to/at LSU and A & M, and they have no look-ahead playing Mississippi State next while Mississippi is at A & M next Wednesday. Tigers are perhaps a little more balanced and bigger, and are a great FT shooting team, so all things being equal I'd lean that way. They ARE one of the few teams in the SEC that can perhaps match speed with Mississippi, but I'd look for them (the Tigers) to perhaps try and slow it down SOME, which I why I do think the under may be a play. Should there be a total it will be 155 or so, and that's going to take both teams getting near 80 to lose. These guys are too good defensively for me to see that happening.

Kansas at Oklahoma: So now it's KANSAS who is under valued, and well the should be. Whether we can take advantage of that remains to be seen. The Jayhawks are now tied w/K-State (still amazed at what they're doing) and guess who they play on MONDAY. Yes, K-State at home. And guess who has played THE toughest schedule in the Big 12. Yes, that would be the Sooners. Already thinking we like Oklahoma here, especially after getting drilled at Iowa State and having lost at Kansas already this season. The trouble I might have is that Kansas is just bigger and their interior defense is so tough, and that's where the Sooners score two-thirds of their points. In Conference play Kansas has actually turned the ball over a fair bit, so there could be an edge there, but that may be negated by the number of times they get to the FT line and the fact that Self simply won't allow anything less than 110% effort. Tough to take a side here without seeing a number yet, but I do lean to the under, simply because Oklahoma will want to play slower and rebounds well enough to perhaps limit Kansas' fast break points. Tough one.

Iowa State at K-State: Let's not forget we just mentioned that K-State plays Kansas Monday, so already thinking PERHAPS Iowa State could be a hidden gem here. We'll see. Technically ISU is still in the Big-12 regular season title picture, but in reality they've got five tough road games left. Now, they COULD do some damage in the Conference tournament since perhaps the top teams might be eyeing a bigger prize. Futures bet, perhaps. the bad part here is that ISU's stock is so high after the last two home wins, however they haven't played or beaten a decent Conference team on the road, so I do think they're going to hit a wall soon. ISU obviously a more one dimensional team that simply doesn't get to the line enough for me to back on the road. They'll have their spots, and if K-State isn't focused could be a surprise. But, K-State is simply a little more balance, albeit a little less athletic. I would have a slight issue with THEIR FT shooting, or lack of it, especially late. This will be an interesting line to say the least. I'd have to think BECAUSE it's ISU the total might be a tad high, and given that the Wildcats with Weber simply won't get dragged into a track meet.

New Mexico at UNLV: Rebels a full three games back of New Mexico in the MWC and actually behind even Air Force at this point. What's interesting is that New Mexico has played the softest Conference schedule to date. All three New Mexico losses have come on the road, and it wasn't that long ago they were held to a mere 34 points at San Diego State. Conversely the Rebels only home loss was back in November to Oregon, BUT, they're only decent win (I will leave off Cal) at home was to a depleted Wyoming team, and they didn't exactly run them out of the gym. The tendency might be to think their pissed after losing at Boise and mysteriously to Fresno, but losing can be contagious. They each won big on their own home court last season, but UNLV lost to New Mexico (at home) in the Conference Tournament last season, so perhaps some added motivation there. Obviously UNLV will push this pace, and what I don't like about New Mexico is that they're just not a great offensive rebounding team, which could create fast break points. On the plus side, New Mexico scores 26% of their point from the charity stripe (second most in the nation) which could negate something. UNLV CAN get sloppy with the ball on offense, so perhaps the thing to do here is if they want to give New Mexico points, take them. It doesn't happen often and probably will only one more time when they play at Colorado State. The total, may come out in the 138 range, I would think, and it's real tempting to want the over, but I would bet that unless the Rebels DO go off, they don't get there.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Columbia (-11 1/2) Friday.

Saturday it’s Wisconsin. The deficit is 140 sirignanos.

CAPPERS ACCESS

Wisconsin
Miami-Fla
Kansas
Alabama

Chicago Sports Connection

STRAIGHT BET Feb 09 NBA [506] DAL MAVERICKS -5-120 (B+½)
STRAIGHT BET Feb 09 NBA [508] MIL BUCKS -7-110

LARGE play on DALLAS as they are rested and play vs a GST team that is playing their 4th in 5 nights ,and are playing their last game of road trip....it's a very tough spot for them....especially since DALL is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 and are getting comfy during this 5 game homestand.
LARGE on DALLAS for Tincup

MEDIUM play on MILW because they are playing a DETR team that is playing their 5th in 7 nights.DETR beat the Spurs last night in Detroit ,so this could be a letdown spot also.
MILW-who beat DETR by 27 in DETR on 01-29- was on a good roll before this last 5 game stretch where they had 4 very tough games.
I forget the games now ,but I remeber them losing @ Denver + Utah and VS Chicago and @ NY also....
Good spot for a rebound effort here.

I think this has a good shot at a 2-0 day , so , although not a big fan of parlays...may make a small PAR too.

But that's off the record (don't tell anyone).

GL2us
TIN

Levittown Italian said:

★★★THE GOLDSHEET★★★

AKRON by 20 over Miami-Ohio (Saturday, Feb. 9, Day)

Click to expand...

CONFIRMATION:

Head to Head STATS

Akron Zips are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Akron is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Akron Zips are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami (OH).

PROFITBETS

Australia A League:
SYDNEY ML 25UNITS


England Premier League:
CHELSEA -1.5 20UNITS


Spain La Liga:
REAL MADRID -1 20UNITS


Italy Serie A:
JUVENTUS ML 20UNITS

MICHIGAN -1.5 (Buy pt) 25UNITS


BUTLER -3 15UNITS


WESTERN KENTUCKY -2.5 15UNITS


NORTH CAROLINA +8 20UNITS

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Nuggets won their last eight games (5-5 AF). Cleveland won six of its last eight games (6-9 HU).
-- 76ers won three of their last four games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Utah won four of its last six games (lost three of last four on road).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost its last six games (11-14 AU).
-- Warriors lost last three games, by 31-21-6 points (2-7 last nine AU). Dallas is 4-5 in its last nine games (7-2 last nine HF).
-- Milwaukee lost four of last five games (7-8-1 HF). Pistons lost five of last seven games (4-10 last 14 AU).
-- Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games (1-5 last six at home).

Totals
-- Last six Denver games went over the total.
-- Five of Bobcats' last six games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Utah games stayed under the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Cleveland is 7-7 vs spread if it played night before, 1-3 at home.
-- Charlotte is 5-7 vs spread if it played night before, 3-4 on road.
-- Warriors are 5-3-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Detroit is 5-7 vs spread if it played night before, 4-4 on road.
-- Utah Jazz is 3-6 vs spread on road if it played night before.

CBB

-- Michigan's 59-41 win over Wisconsin LY ended Badgers' 10-game win streak over Wolverines, who are 3-2 on Big Dozen road, losing at Ohio State/Indiana- their road wins are all by 8+ points. Michigan lost its last seven visits here, by 11-26-13-3-5-6-16 points. Wisconsin won three of last four games- its last four wins are all by 6 or less points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
-- Ole Miss lost two of last three games (Kentucky/Florida) after 17-2 start; they're 3-1 on SEC road, winning at Tennessee/Vandy/Auburn and losing by 14 at Florida. Missouri is 5-0 at home in SEC, woth four wins by 14+ points (they're 0-4 on road in SEC). SEC home favorites of 9 or less points are 7-16 vs spread. Ole Miss is 3-0 vs spread as an underdog this season- their last three games went over the total.
-- Miami (+4) won 68-59 at North Carolina Jan 10, making 59.4% inside arc, outscoring UNC 20-9 over last 10:00; 'canes are 4-0 at home in ACC with three wins by 22+ points. Teams split last four series games; UNC won last five visits here, by 10-16-4-3-9 points. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 17-8 vs spread. Tar Heels won six of last seven games, are 2-2 on ACC road- their ACC losses are by 9-9-8 points.
-- Butler lost its last two road games, at LaSalle/Saint Louis, only losses for Bulldogs in last 18 games. Butler scored 53-58 points in conference losses, 62+ in its wins. George Washington won four of last five games, but they lost two of last three at home; they're turning ball over 23.4% of time. GS is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, losing by 17-3-15-9-2 points. A-16 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-6 against the spread.

-- Southern Miss beat Memphis 75-72 here LY, ending a 17-game series skid; Eagles got upset at UCF last game, losing first league game- they're 3-0 at home in C-USA, 1-4 vs top 100 teams, scoring 58.4 ppg (win vs #53 Denver by 11). C-USA home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-5 vs spread. Memphis forces turnovers 23% of time; they've won 13 games in row, winning C-USA road games by 16-26-7-8 points.
-- Kansas lost last two games, with TCU loss a red flag; Jayhawks held Oklahoma to 35.6% from floor in 67-54 (-12.5) home win Jan 26- they never led by more than 15. Big X home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread, 0-2 if getting 5 or less points. Seven of last eight Kansas games stayed under total. Sooners lost four of last six games, are 3-1 at home in Big X, losing by hoop to K-State. Kansas foes shoot just 38% inside the arc.
-- Kansas State (+4) lost 73-67 at Iowa State despite making 58% of its 2-point shots; Cyclones were 11-22 from arc- both teams shot less than 50% from foul line. Wildcats are 3-1 at home in league, winning by 6-9-26 points, losing by 4 to Kansas. ISU is 1-3 on Big X road, with losses all by 5 or less points, or in OT. Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-4 vs spread. Last four Cyclone games went over the total.
-- Cincinnati won five of last seven games, are 4-2 on Big East road, with losses at Syracuse (by 2), Providence (by 4). Bearcats (+6) won 70-61 at Pitt Dec 31 after trailing by 8 at half; Panthers were 0-10 from arc, 15-25 on line. Pitt won six of last seven games, with only loss at Louisville by 3; they've won three of their last four road games. Big East home teams are 4-18 against the spread if number is 5 or less points.
-- Louisville-Notre Dame split three of last six meetings, as three of last seven series games went OT; home team won seven of last eight series games- Cardinals lost last three visits here, by 16-33-10 points. Notre Dame is 3-2 at home in league, with wins by 19-5-3 points. Louisville is 3-2 on Big East road, with three wins by 15+. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 4-9 against the spread.

-- VCU won 15 of last 17 games; they're 3-1 on A-16 road, with wins by 7-27-6 points and loss at Richmond when they led by 7 with 0:39 left. Rams force turnovers 29.3% of time, #1 in country. Charlotte split pair of 1-point decisions since tossing leading scorer off team; they're 4-0 at home in conference. A-16 home dogs are 8-9 vs spread, 4-3 if getting 7+ points. 49ers turned ball over 25%+ of time in four of last five games.
-- Michigan State is banged up; star G Appling's shoulder popped out at end of Minnesota game Tuesday- caution advised. Spartans pulled away for 84-61 (-11) win over Purdue Jan 5, making 8-15 from arc. Big Dozen home underdogs of 7 or less points are 4-8 vs spread. State is 3-2 away from home in league, winning by 3-2-9 points, losing at Minnesota by 13, Indiana by 5. Boilermakers lost three of their last five games.
-- Arizona State won four of last five games; they're 5-1 in Pac-12 home tilts, with three wins by 5 or less points. ASU lost its last five games vs Stanford, losing four of last six played here. Cardinal is 1-4 in conference road games, with losses by 2-8-21-7 points. Pac-12 underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in games where spread is 3 or less points. Four of ASU's last five games were decided by five or less points.
-- UNLV has no PG, little chemistry, but they're 3-0 at home in MWC, winning by 5-12-12 points; Rebels were outscored 15-4 on line, made 8 of 23 behind arc in 65-60 (+3.5) loss at Pit Jan 9, their third series loss in row. New Mexico lost last seven regular season games here, by 11-4-19-2-10-1-17 points. Lobos are 7-1 in league, but lost 55-34 at San Dego in only loss. MWC home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-4 vs spread.

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Mississippi at Missouri[/h] The Tigers look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 home games. Missouri is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/09/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 2721-898 (.752)
ATS: 1210-1254 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 3675-3935 (.483)
Over/Under: 327-315 (.509)
Over/Under Vary Units: 352-381 (.480)

America East Conference
Albany 66, MAINE 63
Boston U. 68, BINGHAMTON 54
Stony Brook 58, HARTFORD 53
Vermont 66, UMBC 53

Atlantic 10 Conference
Butler 66, GEORGE WASHINGTON 61
DAYTON 72, Temple 69
LA SALLE 81, Fordham 63
MASSACHUSETTS 74, Saint Joseph's 69
Saint Louis 68, RICHMOND 63
St. Bonaventure vs. RHODE ISLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vcu 72, CHARLOTTE 69
Xavier 72, Duquesne 62

Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State 69, WAKE FOREST 66
MIAMI (FLA.) 75, North Carolina 67
VIRGINIA TECH 65, Georgia Tech 64

Atlantic Sun Conference
FLORIDA GULF COAST 79, USC Upstate 69
Jacksonville 74, KENNESAW STATE 65
MERCER 69, North Florida 59
STETSON 80, East Tennessee State 68

Big 12 Conference
BAYLOR 79, Texas Tech 57
Kansas 67, OKLAHOMA 63
KANSAS STATE 70, Iowa State 66
Oklahoma State 66, TEXAS 63
West Virginia 62, TCU 55

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 59, Pittsburgh 58
Georgetown 62, RUTGERS 55
Louisville 66, NOTRE DAME 59
MARQUETTE 82, DePaul 63
VILLANOVA 66, South Florida 54

Big Sky Conference
MONTANA 74, North Dakota 61
MONTANA STATE 76, Northern Colorado 72
NORTHERN ARIZONA 74, Eastern Washington 67
SACRAMENTO STATE 74, Portland State 67
WEBER STATE 79, Southern Utah 64

Big South Conference
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 80, Campbell 68
GARDNER-WEBB 68, Liberty 62
HIGH POINT 68, Coastal Carolina 65
RADFORD 68, Presbyterian 62
WINTHROP 78, Longwood 57

Big Ten Conference
IOWA 69, Northwestern 61
Michigan 63, WISCONSIN 60
Michigan State 65, PURDUE 59
NEBRASKA 62, Penn State 53

Big West Conference
CAL POLY 73, UC Davis 65
Cal State Fullerton 78, UC RIVERSIDE 74
HAWAI'I 78, UC Irvine 69
Long Beach State 77, CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 76
Pacific 68, UC SANTA BARBARA 65

Colonial Athletic Association
GEORGE MASON 72, Delaware 62
GEORGIA STATE 70, Towson 63
Northeastern 70, OLD DOMINION 63
UNC WILMINGTON 65, Hofstra 58

Conference USA
HOUSTON 70, Tulane 69
Memphis 68, SOUTHERN MISS 67
Smu 63, RICE 61
UAB 76, Marshall 70
UCF 75, East Carolina 69
UTEP 65, Tulsa 57

Great West Conference
CHICAGO STATE 71, Njit 67
UTAH VALLEY 72, Texas-Pan American 66

Horizon League
Detroit vs. GREEN BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Valparaiso 68, CLEVELAND STATE 61
Wright State 63, WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE 56

Ivy League
CORNELL 69, Dartmouth 58
Harvard 67, COLUMBIA 60
PENN 62, Brown 61
PRINCETON 68, Yale 54

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 60, Manhattan 51
IONA 82, Rider 74

Mid-American Conference
Akron 73, MIAMI (OHIO) 60
BUFFALO 65, Northern Illinois 55
KENT STATE 76, Central Michigan 61
OHIO 70, Bowling Green 56
TOLEDO 61, Eastern Michigan 55
Western Michigan 68, BALL STATE 59

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
HOWARD 55, Umes 50
Morgan State vs. COPPIN STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NORFOLK STATE 66, Delaware State 57
NORTH CAROLINA A&T 64, Bethune-Cookman 58
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 78, Florida A&M 53
SAVANNAH STATE 68, South Carolina State 45

Missouri Valley Conference
CREIGHTON 81, Illinois State 69
INDIANA STATE 73, Southern Illinois 54
WICHITA STATE 66, Missouri State 53

Mountain West Conference
BOISE STATE 62, Wyoming 57
NEVADA 68, Air Force 67
New Mexico 66, UNLV 64
SAN DIEGO STATE 67, Fresno State 53

Northeast Conference
BRYANT 84, Sacred Heart 74
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE 77, Quinnipiac 76
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 71, Monmouth 70
Mount St. Mary's 69, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 67
ROBERT MORRIS 71, Wagner 63

Ohio Valley Conference
Belmont 88, AUSTIN PEAY 67
Jacksonville State 65, TENNESSEE TECH 61
MOREHEAD STATE 71, Eastern Kentucky 70
MURRAY STATE 72, Tennessee State 64
Siue 68, UT MARTIN 67
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI 70, Eastern Illinois 66

Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA STATE 70, Stanford 69
OREGON 71, Utah 56
UCLA 72, Washington State 61

Patriot League
AMERICAN 64, Colgate 58
Bucknell 71, ARMY 62
Lafayette 65, NAVY 55
Lehigh 70, HOLY CROSS 59

Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 64, Lsu 54
Arkansas 66, VANDERBILT 65
FLORIDA 80, Mississippi State 48
GEORGIA 58, Texas A&M 52
KENTUCKY 77, Auburn 57
MISSOURI 77, Ole Miss 76

Southern Conference
College of Charleston 73, CHATTANOOGA 66
DAVIDSON 80, Appalachian State 65
Elon 71, FURMAN 65
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 69, Western Carolina 67
SAMFORD 71, The Citadel 62
WOFFORD 70, UNC Greensboro 62

Southland Conference
McNeese State 66, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 63
NICHOLLS STATE 69, Southeastern Louisiana 68
NORTHWESTERN STATE 93, Central Arkansas 74
SAM HOUSTON STATE 68, Lamar 57
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 65, Oral Roberts 54

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA STATE 71, Alabama A&M 62
Alcorn State 61, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 60
Prairie View A&M 66, GRAMBLING STATE 53
Southern 63, ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF 59
Texas Southern 72, JACKSON STATE 62

Summit League
IUPUI 83, Omaha 78
North Dakota State 69, FORT WAYNE 57
South Dakota 74, KANSAS CITY 70
South Dakota State 77, OAKLAND 75

Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fairleigh Dickinson 71, NORTH TEXAS 68
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 73, Troy 54
SOUTH ALABAMA 72, Florida Atlantic 60

West Coast Conference
BYU 82, San Francisco 70
GONZAGA 85, Loyola Marymount 55
PORTLAND 63, Pepperdine 61
Saint Mary's 74, SAN DIEGO 62

Western Athletic Conference
DENVER 69, Idaho 55
LOUISIANA TECH 84, Texas State 62
NEW MEXICO STATE 80, Seattle 60
UT ARLINGTON 74, UT San Antonio 59

Non-Conference
NEW ORLEANS 74, Houston Baptist 73

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/09/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 483-235 (.673)
ATS: 378-355 (.516)
ATS Vary Units: 1048-928 (.530)
Over/Under: 381-355 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 548-502 (.522)

Denver 109, CLEVELAND 102
PHILADELPHIA 100, Charlotte 87
MILWAUKEE 101, Detroit 94
DALLAS 107, Golden State 103
Utah 104, SACRAMENTO 101

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

02/09/13 Predictions

Season: 54-36 (.600)

BOSTON 4, Tampa Bay 3
Pittsburgh vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Carolina vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Winnipeg vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DETROIT 3, Edmonton 2
SAN JOSE 3, Phoenix 2
Toronto vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Buffalo vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WASHINGTON 3, Florida 2
ST. LOUIS 3, Anaheim 2
Nashville 3, MINNESOTA 2
VANCOUVER 3, Calgary 2

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Saturday

Ottawa -155