Service Plays Sunday 2/17/13

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Study Group: Sunday's Top 25 NCB Betting Notes

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Sunday’s ranked college basketball games:

Penn State at (5) Michigan (-23.5)

Losers of three of four, the Michigan Wolverines have an excellent opportunity to right the ship when they host last-place Penn State. The Nittany Lions came close to their first conference win Thursday, falling 74-72 to Iowa. Penn State has lost 14 consecutive road games in the Big Ten but at the very least, it might be getting closer, as three of the Lions' last four games have been decided by single digits. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

(14) Ohio State at (19) Wisconsin (-2)

When Ohio State and Wisconsin played on Jan. 29, the Buckeyes used a second-half tear to pull out a win. But Sunday's rematch in Madison features a much-improved Badger squad that has gone 3-1 since that defeat, including a win over then-No. 3 Michigan. Both these teams, as well as Michigan, are two games behind Big Ten co-leaders Indiana and Michigan State. The loser of this game will have its conference championship hopes essentially dissolved, while the winner lives to see another day. The Badgers have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Buckeyes, with the lone Ohio State victory since 2000 coming last season.

(12) Louisville at South Florida (+13)

Louisville recovered from its epic 104-101 five-overtime loss at Notre Dame last weekend, defeating St. John’s 72-58 at home. The Cardinals are back on the road on Sunday, visiting the South Florida Bulls, who haven’t won in seven games. Louisville has outscored its opponents 975-767 in the second half this season and is holding foes to 39.6% scoring from the field. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.

(9) Arizona at Utah (+9)

When Arizona defeated Utah in early January, the Wildcats were in the midst of a run where just about everything was going their way, especially late in games. Arizona hopes to recapture some of the same magic to avoid its first three-game losing streak in nearly three years when they visit the Utes. Arizona improved to 14-0 with its Jan. 5 victory over Utah, capping a three-game stretch in which it won each game in the final seconds or overtime. The Wildcats are 6-4 since that contest and have dropped two straight following a four-game winning streak. Utah is 2-2 over its last four after losing seven of eight to begin conference play. The Utes have won both of their home games in February and are coming off a 60-55 victory over Arizona State. The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

(4) Miami-Florida at Clemson (+7)

Miami was unranked as recently as four weeks ago, but turned heads with a 27-point victory over then-No. 1 Duke on Jan. 23. Historically, the Hurricanes have struggled at Clemson, owning a 1-5 all-time record, but Miami has had no problems playing on the road this season. They’ve won nine straight away from home, which is tied for the second-most road wins in the nation heading into the weekend. Clemson is coming off a 56-53 win Thursday against Georgia Tech but the Tigers are 0-4 against ranked teams this season. The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings.

NBA All-Star Game: What Bettors Need to Know

Eastern Conference All-Stars at Western Conference All-Stars (-3, 291)

The best basketball players in the world will gather Sunday for the 62nd annual NBA All-Star Game at the Toyota Center in Houston.

This year’s event will feature seven first-time All-Stars, the most since 2005. It’s the third time Houston will host the event. The last time was in 2006 when the East toppled the West, 122-120, earning LeBron James his first All-Star Game MVP.

TV: 8:00 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE EAST: Chris Bosh will start in the All-Star game in place of injured Boston PG Rajon Rondo, giving the NBA champion Miami Heat three starters for the Eastern Conference. Bosh says he was told Friday by Miami coach Erik Spoelstra, who will lead the East, that he had earned the starting nod. Dwyane Wade, who will be the only guard starting for the East, and LeBron James complete the trio of Heat starters. Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony will also be in the starting lineup despite suffering a deep right arm contusion against the Raptors Wednesday. The Celtics’ Kevin Garnett rounds out the starting cast for the East.

ABOUT THE WEST: The Los Angeles Lakers' Kobe Bryant (1,591,437) edged the Miami’s LeBron James (1,583,646) as this year's leading vote-getter in All-Star Balloting, earning his record 15th consecutive All-Star nod. Bryant breaks a tie with Jerry West, Karl Malone and Shaquille O'Neal for the most consecutive NBA All-Star selections.Bryant's partner at the guard position in the Western Conference starting lineup is the Clippers' Chris Paul. The West's starting frontcourt features the Thunder's Kevin Durant, the Lakers' Dwight Howard, and the Clippers' Blake Griffin. San Antonio Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will coach the West for the third time in his career.

TRENDS:

* The West has won three of the last four meetings straight up and covered in four of the last six (4-1-1 ATS) All-Star Games.

* The East holds a 37-24 all-time SU advantage in the event.

* The over is also an impressive 5-0-1 in the last six glorified track meets. Teams have combined to score an average of 280.6 points during that span and have played over the number by an average of 14.3 points.

* The 291-point total is 7.5 points higher than last year's All-Star Game total of 283.5. The 2011-12 All-Star clash (West 152, East 149) was the highest-scoring regulation time finish in the 61-year history of the event.

Kings at Blackhawks: What Bettors Need to Know

Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks (-128, 5)

The Chicago Blackhawks opened their season with a 5-2 victory at Los Angeles. On Sunday, the Blackhawks host the Kings sporting the best record in the NHL. Chicago is the only team without a regulation loss this season, and not even an upper-body injury to starting goaltender Corey Crawford could cool its hot start. Ray Emery made 27 saves in a 4-1 win over San Jose on Friday. Emery is 4-0-0 this season and will likely start until Crawford is ready to return.

Los Angeles has won two straight since benching starting goaltender Jonathan Quick, who has not played close to his Vezina-nominated form from last season with a .891 save percentage in 10 starts. Jonathan Bernier has held opponents to one goal in each of his two starts this week as the Kings won back-to-back games in regulation for the first time this season. Los Angeles was 1-for-5 on the power play in both wins and is 3-1-1 when scoring with the man advantage.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, NBC, TSN 2

ABOUT THE KINGS (5-5-2): Anze Kopitar leads the team with eight points and is on a three-game scoring streak. Jeff Carter has a team-leading six goals, while Justin Williams has one goal on a team-leading 44 shots. Defenseman Drew Doughty is a team-worst minus-9 but leads the team with 16 blocked shots. Defenseman Slava Voynov has five points in six games this month. Kyle Clifford has seven points to go with his team-leading 42 hits.

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS (11-0-3): Patrick Kane leads Chicago with nine goals and 21 points and has been held off the scoresheet just once this season. Kane has seven goals and 12 points on an eight-game scoring streak. Captain Jonathan Toews and Marian Hossa each have six goals thus far. The Blackhawks have the second-best penalty-killing in the league, allowing only four goals on 51 opportunities for 92.2% effectiveness.

TRENDS:

* The under is 7-0 in Blackhawks’ last seven home games.
* Under is 2-0-2 in Kings’ last four overall.
* Blackhawks are 6-1 in their last seven vs. Pacific foes.
* Road team is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

OVERTIME:

1. The Kings won both visits to Chicago last season after going winless in six trips over the previous three seasons.

2. The Blackhawks tied the 1943-44 Canadiens for the third-longest point streak to open the season at 14 games. Only the 1984-85 Oilers (15) and 2006-07 Ducks (16) have had better starts.

3. Toews has four goals and three assists in his last five games against Los Angeles.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Marquette (+1 1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it’s Wisconsin. The ledger is zero sirignanos.

DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

02/17/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3042-1034 (.746)
ATS: 1387-1419 (.494)
ATS Vary Units: 4041-4356 (.481)
Over/Under: 377-365 (.508)
Over/Under Vary Units: 403-428 (.485)

America East Conference
BOSTON U. 68, New Hampshire 53

Atlantic Coast Conference
Miami (Fla.) 65, CLEMSON 55

Big East Conference
Louisville 67, SOUTH FLORIDA 52

Big Ten Conference
Illinois 64, NORTHWESTERN 63
IOWA 67, Minnesota 64
MICHIGAN 77, Penn State 51
WISCONSIN 60, Ohio State 57

Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 69, James Madison 62

Horizon League
CLEVELAND STATE 70, Wisconsin-Milwaukee 61
Green Bay 68, YOUNGSTOWN STATE 66

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
MANHATTAN 68, Niagara 65
RIDER 72, Marist 61

Missouri Valley Conference
ILLINOIS STATE 70, Wichita State 66

Pacific-10 Conference
Arizona 68, UTAH 59
CALIFORNIA 69, Usc 61

Patriot League
AMERICAN 60, Holy Cross 55

Southern Conference
Appalachian State 75, UNC GREENSBORO 74

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

02/17/13 Predictions

Season: 67-53 (.558)

Pittsburgh 4, BUFFALO 3
Boston vs. WINNIPEG: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DALLAS 3, Calgary 2
CHICAGO 3, Los Angeles 2
MINNESOTA 3, Detroit 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Washington 2
VANCOUVER 3, St. Louis 2

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Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Friday

New Jersey Devils -110

Guaranteed Picks Today

11-5 on Sat.

Mich -22
Wisconsin -3.5
Louisville -14
Iowa pk
NW +3.5
Illinois St -1.5
Cal -7
Holy Cross +5
JMU +5
Miami -6.5

POWER PLAY WINS

MINNESOTA (+1) Over IOWA

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CBB WI-MILWAUKEE at CLEVELAND ST.

Play Against - A home team (CLEVELAND ST.) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) - 15+ games.
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

CBB HOLY CROSS at AMERICAN

Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (AMERICAN) poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's)
100-21 since 1997. ( 82.6% 49.5 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% -3.0 units )

CBB PENN ST at MICHIGAN

Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 making 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in February games.
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -0.2 units )

62nd NBA ALL-STAR GAME

Game tips off Sunday in Houston
by Brian Graham

Toyota Center - Houston, TX
Tip-off: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: West -3.5, Total: 291

Another expected offensive showcase will take place on Sunday night with the 62nd edition of the NBA All-Star Game at Toyota Center in Houston.

This will be the third All-Star Game in Houston, with the first game held in 1989 at the Astrodome and 2006 event at this same Toyota Center. A 21-year-old LeBron James won the MVP in that '06 game with 29 points, leading his East team to a 122-120 victory. His current teammate Dwyane Wade scored 20 points on 9-of-11 FG in that contest, making the game-winning layup with 16 seconds left in regulation. But a lot has changed in the past seven seasons, and the West roster is clearly the superior roster now, especially in terms of point guards Chris Paul, Tony Parker and Russell Westbrook, who should have their way with East point men Jrue Holiday and Kyrie Irving. The East's starting PG Rajon Rondo is out for the season with a torn ACL. This game is all about scoring and the West has six 20-point scorers (Parker, Westbrook, Kevin Durant, Kobe Bryant, James Harden and LaMarcus Aldridge), while the East has just four (James, Wade, Irving and Carmelo Anthony). The West also has superior frontcourt talent on offense with Aldridge, Dwight Howard, Blake Griffin and Tim Duncan all scoring at least 16.3 PPG, compared to the East's low-scoring big men of Kevin Garnett, Tyson Chandler and Joakim Noah who all score 15.1 PPG or lower. And finally, don't forget to factor in the hometown MVP angle, where players from the host city have a tendency to get more shots and hoist the MVP trophy in front of his home fans.
This makes Rockets SG James Harden a good bet to lead his WESTERN CONFERENCE team to the comfortable win on Sunday night.

Experience could be a huge factor in this game, as Harden is the only West player that will be making his All-Star debut, compared to six first-timers for the East squad: Chandler, Noah, Holiday, Irving, Paul George and Brook Lopez, who was named the replacement for Rajon Rondo. The All-Star teams combined for 301 points in Orlando last year, the third straight season where at least 280 points were scored in this exhibition.

Kobe Bryant is playing in a record 15th straight All-Star Game, a run that has included four MVP awards. In last year's 152-149 West win, Bryant broke Michael Jordan's NBA record for most career All-Star Game points, as Bryant poured in 27 points in 35 minutes of action. But it was teammate Kevin Durant who took home the MVP with 36 points (14-of-25 FG), seven rebounds and three steals. Chris Paul didn't shoot much in Orlando (8 points on 3-of-7 FG), but had 12 assists and just two turnovers. His Clippers teammate Blake Griffin finished with 22 points (9-of-12 FG) and eight rebounds. Russell Westbrook provided a spark off the bench for the West in last season's game with 21 points (10-of-17 FG) and five rebounds, all on the offensive glass. Although Tim Duncan (knee) returned to action on Wednesday, he is questionable to play in his 14th All-Star Game, especially with his cautious head coach Gregg Popovich leading the West in this game.

The East certainly has its work cut out, but showed great determination in last year's contest, cutting a 21-point deficit to one point in the final minute of its three-point defeat. LeBron James scored 36 points with seven assists and six boards in last year's game, while Wade produced a triple-double with 24 points (11-of-15 FG), 10 rebounds and 10 assists. Miami head coach Erik Spoelstra will actually start three of his players, with James, Wade and Chris Bosh replacing the injured Rondo in the starting lineup. However, Bosh had just seven points on 3-of-9 FG in last year's game. The East will certainly rely on Carmelo Anthony who leads the conference with 28.6 PPG this season. Anthony produced solid numbers in last year's game with 19 points and nine rebounds (four offensive) in his 30 minutes of action. Starting C Kevin Garnett should log a good number of minutes on Sunday too, as he is likely playing in his 15th -- and final -- All-Star Game. He didn't play in last year's contest, but did take home the MVP in the 2003 event in Minnesota, scoring 37 points on 17-of-24 shooting. The only East reserve that has played in an All-Star game is Luol Deng, who saw a team-low six minutes in last year's loss, going 0-for-2 from the field.

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Miami (FL) at Clemson[/h] The Hurricanes look to build on their 6-2-1 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Miami (FL) is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-6). Here are all of today's games.

[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]St. Louis at Vancouver[/h] The Canucks look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Vancouver is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-140). Here are all of today's picks.