Service Plays Thursday 3/7/13

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Study group: Thursday's Top 25 NCAAB betting notes

Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (-4, 126)

Oregon continues its run at the Pac-12 regular-season title when it visits Colorado on Thursday. The No. 25 Ducks are tied for first place with UCLA with two games remaining and will win the crown if they win both games, no matter how UCLA or third-place California fare. The Buffaloes are tied for fifth place and seeking a regular-season sweep of the Ducks. Colorado notched a 48-47 victory on Oregon’s homecourt on Feb. 7.

The Buffaloes are 2-2 over their last four games after suffering a 16-point loss to California last Saturday. Colorado’s NCAA tournament prospects would be bolstered by a second victory over Oregon. The Buffaloes close the regular season by hosting Oregon State on Saturday. Oregon is 6-3 on the road entering the two-game swing against Colorado and then Utah on Saturday. The Ducks have won five of their last six games and haven’t played since beating Oregon State on Feb. 28. Oregon won its lone meeting against UCLA and holds the tiebreaker edge with the Bruins.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT OREGON (23-6, 12-4 Pac-12, 11-15-1 ATS): Senior forward Carlos Emory scored a career-best 21 points against Oregon State and is averaging 16.6 points over the last five games. Emory is shooting 54.4 percent over the hot stretch. Freshman point guard Dominic Artis played 12 minutes off the bench against the Beavers after missing the previous nine games with a foot injury. Artis averages 10 points per game and could see more action with junior Johnathan Loyd battling an illness this week. Artis ranks fourth on the squad behind senior forward E.J. Singler (11.5), Emory (11.2) and freshman guard Damyean Dotson (11 per game). Dotson injured his hip in the Oregon State contest and is expected to play against Colorado. Senior forward Arsalan Kazemi (9.4 points, 9.9 rebounds) has eight double-doubles this season.

ABOUT COLORADO (19-9, 9-7 Pac-12, 15-11-0 ATS): The Buffaloes seek a fast rebound from a poor effort against California in which they set season lows for points scored (46) and field-goal percentage (23.1). Freshman forward Josh Scott was back in the lineup after missing two games with a concussion and had 11 rebounds for his third double-digit effort on the boards. Scott ranks third on the Buffaloes in scoring at 11.2 per game. Sophomore guard Spencer Dinwiddie averages a team-best 15.2 points, sophomore guard Askia Booker contributes 12.8 points and junior forward Andre Roberson averages 10.8 points and leads the nation in rebounding (11.5). Roberson ranks second in school history with 1,019 career rebounds and is 36 away from surpassing leader Stephane Pelle (1999-2003).

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
* Buffaloes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 4-1 in Ducks last five road games.
* Under is 12-3 in Buffaloes last 15 home games.

TIP-INS:

1. Colorado has won the last two meetings and holds a 6-3 series edge against the Ducks.

2. Dinwiddie has topped 20 points seven times this season.

3. Singler and Loyd each have 105 career steals, tying for 10th on Oregon’s all-time steals list.

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (-4.5, 116)

Seeding for the conference tournament — and perhaps even a shot at a conference title — will be on the line when No. 12 Michigan State hosts No. 21 Wisconsin in a Big Ten showdown Thursday. Both teams are one game behind league leader Indiana in the loss column and caught in a logjam for the Nos. 2-5 seeds. It's the fourth consecutive meeting with a ranked team for Michigan State, which is trying to snap a three-game losing streak.

The Badgers are looking to bounce back after having a three-game winning streak snapped with a 69-56 home loss to Purdue. It was a rare home defeat for Wisconsin, which closes the regular season with road contests at Michigan State and Penn State. The Spartans have won the past four meetings, including a 49-47 slugfest earlier this season in Madison. Michigan State has won 32 of its last 34 games at Breslin Center.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT WISCONSIN (20-9, 11-5 Big Ten, 11-15-1 ATS): The Badgers are experienced, especially in the frontcourt where three seniors start. Big man Jared Berggren (11.6 points, 7 rebounds) and junior guard Ben Brust (11.3 points, 5.4 rebounds) are the team's top scorers, but freshman reserve Sam Dekker is an outstanding outside shooter and one of the top sixth men in the Big Ten. Dekker has scored in double figures in six straight games. The Badgers' real strength, though, is their defense. They hold opponents to 55.8 points per game (ninth in the nation) and 39.4 percent shooting (42nd).

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (22-7, 11-5, 11-13-2 ATS): The Spartans also are terrific at the defensive end, holding opponents to 59.8 points (32nd) and 39.3 percent shooting (40th), but they also boast four double-digit scorers and another on the cusp. Outstanding freshman Gary Harris (13.3 points) and junior Keith Appling (13.2 points) form one of the top backcourt duos in the Big Ten, and junior forward Adreian Payne (10.1 points, 7.4 rebounds) has come up big lately. Payne has six double-doubles this season and has averaged 15.3 points and 12 rebounds over the past four games.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Michigan St.
* Badgers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Michigan St.
* Badgers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. The home team has won 13 of the past 15 meetings played on campus, with the exceptions being Michigan State's wins at Wisconsin the past two seasons.

2. Wisconsin has won its past two road games against top-10 teams, beating No. 8 Ohio State in 2012 and No. 2 Indiana earlier this season.

3. Payne has 102 blocks, the fourth-most in school history. He needs four more to tie Delvon Roe for third all-time.
 
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WGC-Cadillac Championship: Golf betting preview and picks
By MATT FARGO

The PGA Tour continues on the Florida swing, heading to Doral for the WGC-Cadillac Championship. This is the second time in three weeks that bettors have a World Golf Championship event, giving them a star-studded field with close to the entire Top 50 in the world playing.

The Doral-Blue Monster Course is an interesting one. It has the reputation of causing havoc and a lot of that is due to the intimidating finishing hole. Last year, the 18th hole played as the most difficult finishing hole of all non-majors and two years ago was the second-hardest hole overall, averaging 4.31 for the week.

Overall though, the course can be tamed. Hitting fairways is difficult which makes it hard to hit greens but because of the size of the putting surfaces, scrambling is easy. This is the ninth year that the WGC event has been played here but Doral has been a host course since 1962, which is one of the longest runs on tour.

There are only 65 players in the field this week, which means there is no cut on the weekend and players are more likely to take chances they would not normally risk. Weather should not be a factor this week with the exception of some possible wind, which is par for the course at this time of the year.

Tiger Woods (+600) is the overwhelming favorite this week. He has won three times on this track but the last came in 2007 when he took a four-shot lead into Sunday and won by two shots. His recent play has been spotty. After winning the Farmers, he was ousted in the first round of the Accenture Match Play and then finished a disappointing 37th at PGA National last week. There’s no value with Woods this week.

Charl Schwartzel (+1,800) is one of five players sitting as the second favorite between 18-1 and 20- 1. He is coming off a Top-10 finish at the Honda and he has been playing so good that it was his lowest finish in his last eight medal play events. His track record here promises another great finish. He is coming off a T4 last year, a T24 in 2011 and a solo second in 2010.

Luke Donald (+2,000) is among the favored fivesome and his success at Doral should continue. He is one of the best scramblers on tour and, while he hasn't played enough to qualify this year, he finished fifth in scrambling a year ago. He was in contention at the Northern Trust Open until a Sunday 75 pushed him into a T16 finish. He backed up a T6 at Doral in 2011 with a T6 last year.

Nick Watney (+3,000) got off to a great start this year with a T13 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T4 at the Farmers. While he has stumbled since then, this could be his return to the winners circle. He won this event in 2011 and followed that up with a T17 last year. His first ever start here as a WGC event was 2009 which resulted in a solo second, so he is undoubtedly comfortable at this track.

Geoff Ogilvy (+4,000) is a live underdog as the corner may have finally been turned. Thanks to his solo second last week, he moved from 79th to 47th in the OWGR to qualify this week after missing the Accenture. He has won three WGC events, the match play twice and this event back in 2008. He missed four straight cuts on the West Coast and his putting was to blame but is better now. He was sixth on tour in scrambling in 2012.

With a small field and everyone making the cut, we get good value at this end and that is the case with Martin Kaymer (+5,000). It wasn't that long ago that he was the top-ranked player in the world but with his short game faltering, he fell to 28th in the OWGR. He claims it is back and we saw glimpses of it at the Accenture and at the Honda early last week. He has finished in the Top 25 here the last three years including a T3 in 2010.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the WGC-Cadillac Championship - all for 1 unit

Charl Schwartzel (+1,800)
Luke Donald (+2,000)
Nick Watney (+3,000)
Geoff Ogilvy (+4,000)
Martin Kaymer (+5,000)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with South Carolina (-9) Wednesday.

Thursday it’s Southern Illinois. The surplus is 130 sirignanos.
 
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Exposing the Top 25: Where the Polls Went Wrong

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most Underrated Top 25 Team - Oregon Ducks (23-6 SU, 11-15-1 ATS)

Oregon struggled without its starting PG Dominic Artis, losing three straight games to Stanford, Cal and Colorado in the first week of February. Artis returned to the lineup this week and logged just 12 minutes, scoring only six points in the Duck's win over the Beavers. He did nail a key 3-pointer that put Oregon ahead 55-52 at the 11:29 mark.

With the win over the Beavers, the Ducks have climbed back into the Top 25. Oregon now sits tied with UCLA for the lead in the Pac-12 standings and both teams will finish the season with back-to-back games away from home. Oregon plays Colorado Thursday and Utah in the final game of the season Saturday. With UCLA playing both Washington teams in its final games, the Ducks may have the easier path to the Pac-12 title.

Most Overrated Top 25 Team - VCU Rams (23-6 SU, 9-13 ATS)

The Rams blew out the Butler Bulldogs last weekend and have jumped up in the rankings. VCU is terrible at covering the points with a 9-13 ATS record heading into Wednesday’s game with Richmond. The Rams have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 outings.

VCU is second in the A-10, behind Saint Louis. It lost to the Billikens on the road by a score of 76-62 on the road last week. VCU has only had four games against ranked opponents, going 2-2 and losing two of the last three. It will finish the season on the road against Temple, facing an Owls team that has won five in a row entering this week.

Unranked Team That Should Be Ranked – Creighton Bluejays (24-7 SU, 15-13 ATS)

The Bluejays finished the season at the top of the Missouri Valley Standings. Creighton owns the best field goal percentage in the nation, shooting 51.1 percent from the field. The Bluejays fizzled out a little in the second half of the MVC schedule, however, they did win back-to-back games to close out the season and four of their last five.

They haven't faced a Top 25 opponent all year, but it's difficult to ignore the impressive numbers they put up in the Missouri Valley Conference.
 
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DAVE ESSLER

CBB Thursday Cliff Notes

La Tech at New Mexico State: La Tech is a projected #13 seed, perhaps a tad higher if the win the WAC, while New Mexico State is out, unless of course THEY win the WAC, which may mean beating LaTech twice. I do know before looking much further that LaTech has played the weakest Conference Schedule, and their non-conference schedule wasn't great either, so they ARE beatable. And the DO play one more road game at Denver this weekend, and Denver is in the same position as New Mexico State, so they (LaTech) WILL get both teams' best efforts. Since playing both NMSU and Denver back around the end of the year, they (La Tech) haven't played a good team on the road, period. Having said there there is almost no chance I can take them here, especially given that NMSU's only home loss was to New Mexico.

Oregon at Colorado: Well, we know Artis is back and we know Oregon is in, and we know that Colorado is not. So, how can we build a case for the Buffalo's. Well, first thing is that Oregon has played the 12th worst (the worst) SOS in the Pac-12 and Colorado has played the fourth toughest. Ducks would surely LIKE the number one see, but I'm not sure at what expense, because there's not a huge benefit. Buff's at home in Conference play lost to UCLA by three and ASU in overtime, so winning this game is not out of the question. The only thing that might concern me is that their final home game is only two days away, so it is going to take some focus. They did give Oregon a game (48-47 loss) but that was without Artis. Colorado is super-young and under sized here, and I just don't know if their offense can score enough points. They'll slow the game down, or try to, and I look back to a game Colorado lost at UTEP, another slow team, in triple OT, I believe. Usually, I'd be all over the home team here, but this one's ALL about motivation, and without really having a handle on how Altman wants to play this, it's tough. I do think it stays under the total, because I doubt Oregon, if they're ahead, don't rest people, and don't think Colorado can score enough.

Butler at UMass: Well, the last Conference meeting between these two already. That would tell be that UMass is probably pissed and it's their last home game and Amherst is a tough place to play, for no other reason than it's a tough place to travel to. Add to that the fact that although Butler is fading a bit, they're technically in the Dance, so they've got a big target on their backs, here and throughout the A-10 Tournament.

Virginia at Florida State: Well, this ones' hard to figure. Usually I have some lean before I even get into it, and it's not usually to the road favorite. However, it may have to be that way. FSU ought to to motivated, having been held to 36 points in their last game, but this team has mentally lost whatever they may have had coming into the season. they remind me, and I've said it before, of their football team, mentally. Fragile. They do have another home game Saturday, so this isn't their Senior night. Quite frankly, the Civic Center might not have many people in it other than a few thousand Alumni about my age. I'm a little concerned that for all the accolades UVA has rec'd that they don't really have a marquee road win, and that would bother me. Right now they're slated, in Linardi's bracket, to play their polar-opposite Oregon Ducks, but a loss here and there could have them playing their way out just as easy. That BC loss killed them, so now they've got to refocus quick, and they're an awful young team to be doing that, which may bring me back to taking the points with FSU. That almost hurts my fingers to type, actually.

Wisconsin at Michigan State: My initial thought might be that there's some value to the Badgers, having been hosed by Purdue. That was about as classic a game "taking Purdue for granted" as you'll ever see, since Wisconsin actually went up by about ten fairly quickly. I've been a Spartan buyer most of the last few weeks, mainly because they have played the toughest schedule in the Conference and can play defense, so don't discount them in your futures or brackets by any means. The Badgers are currently a projected #5 seed and dropping, so I could see a scenario where they lose this game and get bounced early enough in the Conference tournament to where they're an NIT team. They (Wisconsin) beat Indiana and Illinois on the road, so it's possible, but that was a long time ago in a far away place. The Spartans have lost three straight, but none of them bad losses. However, they need to get this one. If it weren't for Izzo I could see them being a little scared after those losses, the last one a heartbreaker, but I don't think even he can instill the confidence they need overnight. They beat the Badgers by two in a typical Wisconsin home game score, 49-47, earlier. I suspect Michigan State may, I said may, run a little trying to get the Badgers out of sync. But, Wisconsin DOES have the number one ranked defense in the Conference in terms of efficiency. But, because they shoot three point shots and don't get to the line (they suck when they do) I would be breaking a rule of mine not to take such teams on the road. Probably more value in the total, and probably have to make the square play in the Spartans. I could easily see using Michigan State in a ML parlay, however.
 
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McIlroy Looks to Bounce Back at Blue Monster
by Steve Bennet

World Golf Championship – Cadillac Championship

Tees Off: Thursday, March 7
TPC Blue Monster at Doral – Miami, FL
Odds to Win Tournament

Golfer Odds
Tiger Woods 6-to-1
Rory McIlroy 18-to-1
Charl Schwartzel 18-to-1
Justin Rose 18-to-1
Luke Donald 20-to-1
Matt Kuchar 20-to-1
Lee Westwood 25-to-1
Keegan Bradley 25-to-1
Graeme McDowell 30-to-1
Phil Mickelson 30-to-1
Bubba Watson 30-to-1
Nick Watney 30-to-1
Webb Simpson 30-to-1
Ian Poulter 30-to-1
Rickie Fowler 30-to-1
Adam Scott 30-to-1
Hunter Mahan 30-to-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-to-1
Jason Day 40-to-1
Sergio Garcia 40-to-1
Steve Stricker 40-to-1
Geoff Ogilvy 40-to-1
Robert Garrigus 40-to-1
Bill Haas 40-to-1
Jason Dufner 40-to-1
Dustin Johnson 40-to-1
Bo Van Pelt 50-to-1
Martin Kaymer 50-to-1
Fredrik Jacobson 50-to-1
Scott Piercy 50-to-1
Jim Furyk 50-to-1
Peter Hanson 55-to-1
8 golfers 65-to-1
4 golfers 80-to-1
5 golfers 100-to-1
FIELD (Any other golfer) 10-to-1

After a bizarre week at the Honda Classic highlighted by Rory McIlroy's wisdom tooth WD, golf fans figure to see a more star-studded finish this week at Doral. This will be one of the strongest fields to play all year, and these top golfers will take on one of the nation’s easier courses this week. In addition to heavily-favored Tiger Woods, here’s a look at the best bets to come out on top…

Charl Schwartzel (18/1): Schwartzel seems to always be hanging around at Doral. He was the runner-up in 2010 and last year finished T4, three strokes behind winner Justin Rose, after shooting no higher than a 70. After a T9 at last week’s Honda Classic (he’s gone top-10 in each of his four stroke-play starts worldwide), he’s ready to make another run at the Cadillac.

Matt Kuchar (20/1): Doral has always brought out the best in Kuchar, who has gone top-10 in each of his three starts at Blue Monster (including a T8 last year). He’s coming off a win at the Accenture Match Play Championship two weeks ago, and has gone top-10 in two of his four stroke-play starts this year.

Justin Rose (18/1): Could a repeat be in the making? Rose posted a T4 at last week’s Honda Classic, his second top-5 in three stroke-play starts worldwide in 2013. He was one of only three players to shoot 70 or better in each round at last year’s Cadillac.

Fredrik Jacobson (50/1): His string of three straight top-10's was snapped at last week’s Honda Classic, where Jacobson slipped to a T25 finish. Still, the Swede’s putter is on fire (1.211 strokes gained, fourth on the Tour). That should be enough to keep him in contention at Doral.

Steve Stricker (40/1): The “semi-retired” Stricker hasn't shown any rust this year, with a runner-up at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions to start 2013, then a 3-1 week at the Accenture Match Play in his only other event. He’s finished top-20 in each of his starts at Doral, including a T8 last year.
 
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NBA

Hot Teams
-- New York won five of last six games (2-1 as HU). Thunder won five of last six games (2-7 last nine AF).
-- Nuggets won their last six games (6-1 last seven HF). Clippers won seven of last ten games (7-3 AU).

Cold Teams
-- None.

Totals
-- Last four New York games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Denver games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Thunder is 3-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Clippers are 5-6 vs spread on road if they played night before.
 
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CBB

-- Virginia (-6) beat Florida State 56-36 Jan 19; Seminoles were 1-15 on arc, Cavaliers 7-13, as UVa ended 7-game series skid- they've lost seven games in row here, by 19-5-14-2-11-7-3 points. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 16-9 vs spread. Virginia is 2-3 in last five games, getting upset at BC after beating Duke; they're 2-5 in ACC road. FSU is 2-5 in last seven games, 3-5-1 vs spread as an ACC underdog.
-- Kentucky won five of last six games vs Georgia, winning four of last five visits here, winning by 5-23-12-13 points, but Wildcats lost all three road games since Noel got hurt, losing by 17-30-13 points. UK split last six games, turning ball over 23%+ of time in losses, less than 20% in the wins. Georgia won four of last five home games- they covered 10 of last 11 overall. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-9 vs spread.
-- Butler is 2-3 in last five games, scoring 61-52 points in losing last two, to St Louis/VCU; Bulldogs are 2-3 in last five road games. UMass is 4-1 in last five home games, losing to Temple by a point; they've scored 77+ points in six of its last seven games. A-16 home teams are 4-13 if spread is 2 or less points. UMass plays fastest tempo in league; Butler has best FG% defense in league; can Minutemen get easy hoops against them?
-- Colorado (+6.5) outscored Oregon 8-0 over last 4:26 to edge Ducks by point Feb 7, Buffs' third win in last four series games, with all three wins by a point. Oregon is 5-1 since then; PG Artis played 12 minutes in last game, after missing previous nine games (foot). Pac-12 home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-19 vs spread. Colorado is 8-3 in last 11games, 4-1 in last five at home- underdogs covered five of their seven home games.

-- Louisiana Tech won its last 18 games, with five of seven WAC road wins by 6 or less points; Tech (-5.5) beat New Mexico State 81-72 Dec 31, just its second series win in last 13 series games- they lost seven in a row in Las Cruces, losing last two by 18-11 points. Aggies won all seven WAC home games, with last three home wins by 2-3-4 (4-3 as favorite at home). WAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-11 vs spread.
-- Denver won eight games in row, 15 of last 16, with three of last four by 6 or less points; Pioneers (+2) won 50-35 in Arlington Dec 31- they were 11-35 from arc that day, only 6-10 inside arc. Pioneers held UTA to 27.7% from floor, forced 18 turnovers. Mavericks have now won last six WAC games- they're 5-2-1 vs spread as WAC dog. WAC double digit home favorites are 7-11 against the spread.
-- Michigan State won four in row, eight of last 10 vs Wisconsin, beating Badgers 49-47 (+5) Jan 22, in brickfest where Wisconsin shot 29.6% on both 2/3 pointers, 7-18 from foul line. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 15-8 vs spread. Spartans lost last three games, are 3-3 as home favorites, with four of six home wins by 10+ points. Badgers won six of last eight games, but they they've lost three of last five on road.
-- Pacific's five starters shot 5-22 (22.7%) from floor in 68-59 loss Feb 20 at Cal-Irvine, Anteaters' third win in last four series games. UCI won here LY, after losing its previous four visits to Stockton by 6-10-13-24 points. Pacific is 7-0 at home in league, 4-3 as home favorite, with last five home wins by 7+. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 14-21 vs spread. Irvine lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.
-- Long Beach (-8) beat Cal-Davis 71-65 Feb 20, after trailing by 11 in second half; 49ers won eight in row, 15 of last 16 series games, winning last seven visits here, last two by 24-20 points. First ESPN game for the Aggies, who've won five of last six games, last three by 1-7-3. Big West home teams are 11-16 if spread is 3 or less points. Davis makes 40.2% behind arc (#8 in nation). 49ers lost last two games, by 8-3 points.

-- Home side won both Drake-Bradley games this year; Drake had 38-17 edge from foul line in OT win Feb 20, after losing by 10 in Peoria, with a -10 (18-8) turnover ratio. Bradley lost five of last seven games, eight of last nine on road. Drake won three of last four games, but lost six of last nine on road. Bulldogs have only one MVC tourney win last four years. MVC underdogs are 20-14 if spread is 5 or less points.
-- Southern Illinois coach Hinson was formerly coach at Missouri State; Salukis won six of last eight games, winning last three by 6-6-3. Home side won both SIU-Missouri State games, with Bears 10-17 from arc in 70-59 home win, 2-12 in 62-54 road loss. MVC underdogs are 20-14 if spread is 5 or less points. Last six State games were decided by 8 or less points- they've lost seven of last eight games away from home.
-- San Diego lost nine of last 12 games after starting 4-0 in WCC; they've won five games in row vs Pepperdine, beating Waves by 7-12 points in this year's games. Pepperdine lost four in row, nine of last 12; three of its four WCC wins were by 4 or less points. Toreros won first tourney game seven of last eight years. WCC favorites are 8-6 if spread is 5 or less points. San Diego just beat Waves 76-69 five days ago.
-- LMU snapped 14-game losing streak with win over Portland last nite, while San Francisco had night off; Lions lost twice to USF this year, by 7-2 points. LMU played three guys 35+ minutes last night, with couple subs playing 17-27 minutes. Dons won five of last seven games; they're 3-2 in this event last two years, after winning only once in previous six WCC tourneys. USF beat LMU 67-60 in this event LY, after getting swept by Lions during season.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Columbus won last two games, allowing four goals; their last four games went OT/SO.
-- Washington won four of its last five games.
-- Carolina won its last four games, scoring 17 goals. Canadiens won five of last seven away games.
-- Rangers won last three games, allowing five goals. Islanders won last two games.
-- Penguins won seven of their last ten games. Flyers won three of last four at home.
-- Maple Leafs won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Detroit won three of last four home games.
-- Coyotes won four of their last five home games.
-- Los Angeles won seven of last eight games. Dallas Stars won five of their last seven on road.

Cold teams
-- Canucks lost four of their last five games.
-- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.
-- New Jersey lost last six games, outscored 25-11. Sabres lost eight of their last twelve.
-- Bruins lost last two games, both by 4-3 scores.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of last six games. Jets lost their last two games, scoring one goal.
-- Oilers lost four of their last five games.
-- Blues lost five of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Vancouver games.
-- Three of last four Washington games stayed under total.
-- Last four Montreal games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Islander home games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Penguin games went over the total.
-- Last five Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in Winnipeg's last four visit to Tampa Bay.
-- Last four Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Last five Phoenix-St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over the total.

Series records
-- Canucks won eight of last nine games with Columbus.
-- Panthers lost their last five games with Washington.
-- Canadiens won six of last nine games with Carolina.
-- Sabres won three of last four visits to New Jersey.
-- Rangers won five of last seven games with the Islanders.
-- Penguins are 6-5 in their last 11 games at Philly.
-- Bruins won last seven games vs Toronto, shutting them out in last two.
-- Lightning won three in row vs Winnipeg, beating them 8-3 Feb 1.
-- Oilers lost nine of last ten games with Detroit.
-- Blues won three of last four games against Phoenix.
-- Kings lost three of last four games with Dallas.
 
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Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI College Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/07/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 3566-1212 (.746)
ATS: 1660-1688 (.496)
ATS Vary Units: 4729-5031 (.485)
Over/Under: 467-435 (.518)
Over/Under Vary Units: 487-511 (.488)

Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at University Center, Macon, GA
Stetson 77, East Tennessee State 68
USC Upstate 72, Jacksonville 69

Big South Conference Tournament

Quarterfinals at HTC Center, Conway, SC
Charleston Southern 68, Winthrop 60
Gardner-Webb 72, Campbell 62
High Point 75, Liberty 70
Vmi 89, Longwood 84

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament

1st Round at Scottrade Center, St. Louis, MO
Drake 73, Bradley 69
Southern Illinois 60, Missouri State 58

Ohio Valley Conference Tournament

2nd Round at Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, TN
Eastern Kentucky 79, Southeast Missouri 74
Tennessee State 81, Morehead State 75

West Coast Conference Tournament

2nd Round at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
San Diego 66, Pepperdine 64
San Francisco 73, Loyola Marymount 65

Atlantic 10 Conference

MASSACHUSETTS 74, Butler 70

Atlantic Coast Conference

Virginia 64, FLORIDA STATE 58

Big Sky Conference

IDAHO STATE 68, Eastern Washington 65
MONTANA 75, Sacramento State 58
MONTANA STATE 75, Northern Arizona 73
NORTHERN COLORADO 81, Southern Utah 69
WEBER STATE 86, Portland State 62

Big Ten Conference

MICHIGAN STATE 60, Wisconsin 55
NORTHWESTERN 63, Penn State 55

Big West Conference

CAL POLY 68, UC Riverside 50
Hawai'i 80, CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE 77
Long Beach State vs. UC DAVIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PACIFIC 66, UC Irvine 64
UC SANTA BARBARA 73, Cal State Fullerton 72

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Bethune-Cookman 66, COPPIN STATE 64
Delaware State 60, SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 55
MORGAN STATE 73, Florida A&M 55
NORFOLK STATE 64, North Carolina A&T 54
North Carolina Central 59, HAMPTON 57
SAVANNAH STATE 60, Umes 41

Pacific-12 Conference

COLORADO 66, Oregon 62
UTAH 68, Oregon State 67

Southeastern Conference

Kentucky 65, GEORGIA 63

Southland Conference

NICHOLLS STATE 79, Lamar 62
NORTHWESTERN STATE 82, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 65
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA 65, McNeese State 61
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 62, Sam Houston State 43

Western Athletic Conference

DENVER 65, UT Arlington 50
NEW MEXICO STATE 68, Louisiana Tech 67
UT San Antonio vs. SAN JOSE STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
UTAH STATE 80, Texas State 63
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

03/07/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 590-287 (.673)
ATS: 468-431 (.521)
ATS Vary Units: 1205-1092 (.525)
Over/Under: 459-440 (.511)
Over/Under Vary Units: 640-580 (.525)

Oklahoma City 105, NEW YORK 101
DENVER 106, L.A. Clippers 104
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

03/07/13 Predictions

Season: 121-84 (.590)

BOSTON 3, Toronto 2
NEW JERSEY 3, Buffalo 2
N.Y. Rangers vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pittsburgh vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WASHINGTON 3, Florida 2
Montreal vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TAMPA BAY 4, Winnipeg 3
DETROIT 3, Edmonton 2
PHOENIX 3, St. Louis 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Dallas 2
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 995-738(57 + %) over the last 4 1/2 years !

Free winner THURS: SanDiego -3
 

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Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
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Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -130 over Winnipeg Jets
(System Record: 27-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 27-17

 

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Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
5,733
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Basketball Crusher
Florida State +4.5 over Virginia
(System Record: 69-4, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 69-50-3

 

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