Been waiting for this card since Bellator 89(losing both plays Spang and Rogers) so revenge was on my mind. I zeroed in on the Sultan Aliev/Doug Marshall fight thinking the line would be about -180 and hoping for less. To my surprise it opened near -300 and has since gone higher so now this is the only fight I won’t be playing. Its a trap, Aliev 3-1 against Marshall is no value at all. Almost looking at Marshall to possibly get the upset and make it to the finals(well not really, just going to pass) I never make a play until the night before, i don’t “look ahead” anymore and it has served me well. Too many factors come into play leading up to the fight(interviews, training, injuries, and the very important weigh in) and i’m happy to say I really like the other 3 main card fights;
Alexandre Bezzera -150 vs Mike Richman +130 – i hope i’m not alone on this one, but i am overly excited to play Bezzera as i see Richman with NO chance to win. When i picture these 2 in the ring, I just have no faith in Richman getting his boxing going and connecting with anything. Bezzera will dominate all facets, he’s faster, stronger, and a distinct grappling advantage that is no contest. Easy.
3 units Alexandre Bezzera -150
Brett Cooper -150 vs Dan Cramer +130 – picked against Cramer last time out and paid the price. I knew he was on a learning curve of great improvement and i didnt’ think he could match Rogers power. I was wrong, he hung in there took some great shots, got thrown to the ground numerous times and kept getting up and ended up being the stronger fighter with more reserve. Cooper a very powerful guy, good wrestling and good power but poor defense in my opinion. Going with the improving Dan Cramer.
2 units Dan Cramer +130
Marlon Sandro -150 vs Magomedrasul “Frodo” Khasbulaev +130 – this line has bounced up and back down to near pick’em. No matter what I’m with Sandro. Sure the clock is ticking, but against Frodo he will be just fine. i think there’s an idea that Sandro really lost to Stepanyan, so it seems Sandro time has passed. Thing is Sandro is extremely durable(only ko’d once) and he won’t get submitted by Frodo, for a featherweight Sandro is a very strong grappler able to take most people down and control them. Frodo doesn’t have the offense he needs to beat Sandro, and I don’t believe he will be the more powerful guy. Frodo has already tapped out in 4 of his 5 losses.
2 units Marlon Sandro -150
good luck with your plays,
-boldtiger
Alexandre Bezzera -150 vs Mike Richman +130 – i hope i’m not alone on this one, but i am overly excited to play Bezzera as i see Richman with NO chance to win. When i picture these 2 in the ring, I just have no faith in Richman getting his boxing going and connecting with anything. Bezzera will dominate all facets, he’s faster, stronger, and a distinct grappling advantage that is no contest. Easy.
3 units Alexandre Bezzera -150
Brett Cooper -150 vs Dan Cramer +130 – picked against Cramer last time out and paid the price. I knew he was on a learning curve of great improvement and i didnt’ think he could match Rogers power. I was wrong, he hung in there took some great shots, got thrown to the ground numerous times and kept getting up and ended up being the stronger fighter with more reserve. Cooper a very powerful guy, good wrestling and good power but poor defense in my opinion. Going with the improving Dan Cramer.
2 units Dan Cramer +130
Marlon Sandro -150 vs Magomedrasul “Frodo” Khasbulaev +130 – this line has bounced up and back down to near pick’em. No matter what I’m with Sandro. Sure the clock is ticking, but against Frodo he will be just fine. i think there’s an idea that Sandro really lost to Stepanyan, so it seems Sandro time has passed. Thing is Sandro is extremely durable(only ko’d once) and he won’t get submitted by Frodo, for a featherweight Sandro is a very strong grappler able to take most people down and control them. Frodo doesn’t have the offense he needs to beat Sandro, and I don’t believe he will be the more powerful guy. Frodo has already tapped out in 4 of his 5 losses.
2 units Marlon Sandro -150
good luck with your plays,
-boldtiger
