In all seriousness.
I estimate on betting -110 lines there is only about a 9% or 10% difference in the winning percentage of the very best handicapper in the world vs the worlds very worst handicapper in the world.
3 or 4 points of that 9 or 10% is made up by the good ones with line shopping and getting the best number at the right time.
Then you have the money management thing and the access to info thing.
There is really not much difference in the best capper and the worst capper.
Its a very fine line.
But that fine line is what determines which side of the fence you are on.
98% of us are on the wrong side of that fine line.
Most of us are capable of being on the other side(like I use to be)but have learned that its no longer worth the effort that it takes to be on that other side because the reward does not equal the price that you have to pay to get there.
I know exactly what it takes to be in that 2%.
But why go through all the trouble getting there when the reward for doing it is just not there?
When you have to jump through hoops just to pray that you will get a $3000 check from a 3rd world country the effort is just not worth it.
So I would rather just donk an unsubstantial amount of money just for shits and giggles just for the hell of it.
I estimate on betting -110 lines there is only about a 9% or 10% difference in the winning percentage of the very best handicapper in the world vs the worlds very worst handicapper in the world.
3 or 4 points of that 9 or 10% is made up by the good ones with line shopping and getting the best number at the right time.
Then you have the money management thing and the access to info thing.
There is really not much difference in the best capper and the worst capper.
Its a very fine line.
But that fine line is what determines which side of the fence you are on.
98% of us are on the wrong side of that fine line.
Most of us are capable of being on the other side(like I use to be)but have learned that its no longer worth the effort that it takes to be on that other side because the reward does not equal the price that you have to pay to get there.
I know exactly what it takes to be in that 2%.
But why go through all the trouble getting there when the reward for doing it is just not there?
When you have to jump through hoops just to pray that you will get a $3000 check from a 3rd world country the effort is just not worth it.
So I would rather just donk an unsubstantial amount of money just for shits and giggles just for the hell of it.
I honestly use to think it was just the lack of knowledge and preparation...
and I wouldn't call it luck, but uncontrollable/unforeseen factors I am going to say 25%... Which that's still a huge margin IMO... But I like to believe that preparation and knowledge counts for something in sports betting, otherwise we are saying that the line is just a number.... because the number comes from some kind of knowledge and it's pretty accurate...
and I wouldn't call it luck, but uncontrollable/unforeseen factors I am going to say 25%... Which that's still a huge margin IMO... But I like to believe that preparation and knowledge counts for something in sports betting, otherwise we are saying that the line is just a number.... because the number comes from some kind of knowledge and it's pretty accurate...
