Not 100% comparable since Rogers Centre can be way more HR friendly and TAM (even more at that pt last season) & MIA aren't exactly offensive juggernauts, but he threw a 1H CG shutout @Tropicana Field vs Tampa and posted a 2.13 @MIA (not sure about the roof status there, but the CG game shutout at the end of August should have been with a closed roof).
Didn't search further since before 2011 he was a different pitcher/his numbers across the board were worse.
Again, not implying he will end up with 15+ wins. But with that offense behind him, he should have a decent shot at the over, esp. since as a knuckleballer he should be likely to stay healthy and rack up at least close to 30 starts (and their bullpen also looks ok). Interesting for sure, especially if he can limit the amount of HRs given up in that park.