Mlb Friday discussion thread 4.5. 13

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Friday, April 05, 2013
Line Changes made within the last 15 Minutes will have a Grey background.

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3:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3005San Diego Padres J Marquis -R -160 -120 +130
3006 Colorado Rockies J Francis -L -1½+140 10½+100 -140

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3:35 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3007St Louis Cardinals J Westbrook -R -220 -105 -102
3008 San Francisco Giants B Zito -L -1½+180 8-115 -108

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6:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3009Miami Marlins A Sanabia -R -145 -115 +152
3010 New York Mets J Hefner -R -1½+125-105 -162

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6:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3011Washington Nationals D Haren -R -210 +105 +103
3012 Cincinnati Reds H Bailey -R -1½+175-125 -113

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6:30 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3013Chicago Cubs S Feldman -R -140 -105 +160
3014 Atlanta Braves M Minor -L -1½+120 8-115 -170

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7:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3015Arizona Diamondbacks W Miley -L -210 -120 +105
3016 Milwaukee Brewers K Lohse -R -1½+175 8+100 -115

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9:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3017Pittsburgh Pirates J Sanchez -L -125 -105 +185
3018 Los Angeles Dodgers Z Greinke -R -1½+105 7-115 -200

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12:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3019New York Yankees I Nova -R -130 -105 +172
3020 Detroit Tigers D Fister -R -1½+110-115 -182

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1:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3021Los Angeles Angels J Vargas -L -180 -115 +106
3022 Texas Rangers D Holland -L -1½+160 10-105 -116

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2:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3023Minnesota Twins L Hendriks -R -155 +105 +140
3024 Baltimore Orioles J Arrieta -R -1½+135-125 -150

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6:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3025Boston Red Sox F Doubront -L -145 +152
3026 Toronto Blue Jays J Johnson -R -1½+125 -162

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6:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3027Cleveland Indians Z McAllister -R -140 -105 +156
3028 Tampa Bay Rays M Moore -L -1½+120 8-115 -166

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7:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3029Oakland Athletics D Straily -R -1½ +115 8 -140
3030 Houston Astros B Peacock -R -135 +130

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7:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3031Seattle Mariners B Beavan -R -170 +100 +125
3032 Chicago White Sox J Quintana -L -1½+150-120 -135

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3:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3033Kansas City Royals W Davis -R -180 -115 +115
3034 Philadelphia Phillies K Kendrick -R -1½+160-105 -125

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Definitely some live dogs tomorrow..

Twins +140
Arrieta had what a 6.1ERA and 1.45WHIP? Hendriks has been a stud in the minors so hes capable, didn't do too good last year but neither did Arrieta.
Twins are sort of being disrespected by the books I'm noticing. They aren't good but aren't that bad either.

Indians +156
Another team the books dont respect.. Moore historically is a slow starter, Not sure how the Rays are dominant to anyone, Lineup is kinda brutal.
Value
 

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Giants and Nats look good to me and agree with Cleveland
 

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If you can score 4 against the Cubs, Pitt, Miami, or Houston, I know who I'm betting. If you can fade any of those teams without their ace at PK or close, I know who I want also.
 
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Haren has had a bad spring dude.. He was sketchy at times last year as well.. He's on my fade and watch list.
 
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If you can score 4 against the Cubs, Pitt, Miami, or Houston, I know who I'm betting. If you can fade any of those teams without their ace at PK or close, I know who I want also.



I said in my preview of the Pirates that they will struggle to score runs.. Lineup gets lame after 5. 6-9 will be a lot of 1-2-3 innings.
 
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Maybe Astros +130?
Peacock was in the A's org, they told him to go fuck himself. Maybe he will tell the A's to go fuck themselves tomorrow with a big performance. Stros lineup is brutal though.. Not sure.
 

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When was the last time the Yankees a +170 dog?
 
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Not sure.. Probably were a couple of times last year, maybe when team had injuries and went against a stud..
 

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look at the astros batting avg. i am in houston and they are awful. miami and houston should both be terrible this year.
 

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Maybe Astros +130?
Peacock was in the A's org, they told him to go fuck himself. Maybe he will tell the A's to go fuck themselves tomorrow with a big performance. Stros lineup is brutal though.. Not sure.

43 k's in first series 43!!!!
 

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lmao . i had great seats and gave them away after watching them hit. a bunch of kids. maybe three years from now
 

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lmao . i had great seats and gave them away after watching them hit. a bunch of kids. maybe three years from now

I'll be in the seats for the trip to Arlington, along with my buddy from area who is a stro's fan.
 

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Not sure how the Rays are dominant to anyone, Lineup is kinda brutal.
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Disagree with you on that one, think their offense is kind of underrated. Not much power, nobody besides Longoria really standing out, but I like their balance, timely hitting & good baserunning...imo as long as they stay healthy (since they have no depth) and even more so once Scott is coming back, that offense is very decent (f.e. Loney should improve away from Dodgers Stadium and Escobar gives them way better offense from their SS spot, Longoria probably won't miss half a year again and Joyce is healthy, so should improve compared to last year) and more than good enough if their pitching stays on last year's level (bullpen struggled vs BAL though, so that will be worth watching).
But agree that TAM/Moore this early shouldn't be favored that much over a vastly improved CLE ballclub.

Tomorrow at first glance I like some kind of over bet @MIL: Lohse last year very good and strong starts vs MIL, but might not be at 100% yet (though his start vs COL last week looked good). His H2H vs ARIs current batters is nothing special though. Brewers bullpen once again seems to be really horrific, so if Lohse could go just 5 or 6, that should help the over, too.
Miller park very hitter friendly, playing towards the over and Miley struggled badly vs MIL in his two starts last year. MILs offense looked good vs COL, Miley got hit pretty badly in his final two spring starts (9.1IP, 8R, 15H, 3BB), so not sure yet if I prefer the over 8 or a MIL team total.
 

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Also will have to take a look at Bailey since Haren looked bad, esp. looked prone to the longball which doesn't really bode well for a start @Great American Ballpark...
 

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And COL at home: Their offense looked very good vs MIL and Marquis @Coors is always a worth betting against, even more so with their current offense (without Headley).
 
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Disagree with you on that one, think their offense is kind of underrated. Not much power, nobody besides Longoria really standing out, but I like their balance, timely hitting & good baserunning...imo as long as they stay healthy (since they have no depth) and even more so once Scott is coming back, that offense is very decent (f.e. Loney should improve away from Dodgers Stadium and Escobar gives them way better offense from their SS spot, Longoria probably won't miss half a year again and Joyce is healthy, so should improve compared to last year) and more than good enough if their pitching stays on last year's level (bullpen struggled vs BAL though, so that will be worth watching).
But agree that TAM/Moore this early shouldn't be favored that much over a vastly improved CLE ballclub.

Tomorrow at first glance I like some kind of over bet @MIL: Lohse last year very good and strong starts vs MIL, but might not be at 100% yet (though his start vs COL last week looked good). His H2H vs ARIs current batters is nothing special though. Brewers bullpen once again seems to be really horrific, so if Lohse could go just 5 or 6, that should help the over, too.
Miller park very hitter friendly, playing towards the over and Miley struggled badly vs MIL in his two starts last year. MILs offense looked good vs COL, Miley got hit pretty badly in his final two spring starts (9.1IP, 8R, 15H, 3BB), so not sure yet if I prefer the over 8 or a MIL team total.


I said kinda brutal not totally brutal. They play great small ball and do get on base but they aren't a team who is going to beat you with their sticks. I personally don't like their lineup. But I can see how it can be viewed as underrated. Lots of .230ish hitters on it, too many for my taste but they do make the most of what they got year after year. . TB wins with their pitching and defense. Moore started slow last year, took a while to get going.
 

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