Saturday: Rays for 2 YTD: 13-3, + 21.35 units

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Friday: 2-0, + 3 units

Tampa -1 (-116). 2 units. Love Joe Madden. A great small market manager who often outthinks his opposition. Of course, Terry Francona, is also a pretty good strategist too. But I like Maddon against meathead Trevor Bauer tomorrow. Bauer, he of the weird warm-up routines, seems more like an attention whore than a pitcher. His catchers in Arizona said he never wanted to listen and refused to learn from their experience. Bauer has great stuff, but even with the Indians having pitching problems, was slated for the minors. This start for Bauer is a one and done back to the minors gig. I think Bauer will try too hard, and the Indians' middle relief is not too good. Alex Cobb is just the opposite. Not as good stuff, but scrappy, tough and smart. The Rays have a great bullpen to back him up. Other than a couple of Indians, most of their hitters haven't come to life yet.
 

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KC Royals. ML (+125). 2 units. The Royals are about to catch fire. You saw it in the last few innings tonight. The Phils bullpen now has a 10.50 ERA. Lannan, Saturday's starter for the Phils, is a guy with marginal control, gives up plenty of hits and is good in pitching out of jams. Your typical 5th starter. But I think the Royals will make him pay. Lannan throws to get ground balls, and the Phillies infield, especially at the corners, is none too good. Lannan will need some relief about mid-innings, and then the same bums from Friday night(or new ones) will throw gas on the flames. Mendoza has had a pretty good spring, and throws 4 pitches and gets a lot of downward motion on his pitches. Many grounders; and the Phillies haven't seen him yet( except for Revere). The Royals also have a much better bullpen than Philadelphia. If I had any guts, I'd make this 3 units.
 

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SF Giants -1 (+112). One unit. Vogelsong gets no respect. He must be the best 5th starter in the mlb. Has great IP: HR ratio, good control, pitches well at home, and generally just wins. Shelby Miller is the top prospect of the Cards, and might be an ace some day. Right now, he is no where near as good as Vogelsong, and even the Cardinal management admits he has a lot of room to grow. I also like that the Cardinals, though they hit a lot of singles, are not really hitting for power yet. STL's lineup probably gives their opponents some line value when they are not quite on their game. In SF, HRs are especially tough to come by. Giants have the bullpen edge too.
 

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Seattle. Ml (-132) One unit. Don't like to give up this kind of juice, but I have a feeling that King Felix will win a tight one. He has not dominated the White Sox over the past couple of years, but this time the Mariners face Axelrod, not one of those really good Oakland starters. So I think Felix will give up a few runs, but Seattle will get to Axelrod for more. Both teams are hitting fairly well, both have decent bullpens, but I can't resist the starter matchup here. The White Sox have also not looked too sharp in the field. Morse hits his 4th homer, Mariners win.
 

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Atlanta -1 (-106) 3 units. Julio Teheran might have had the best spring of any NL pitcher, except for maybe teammate Paul Maholm. He had a dominant spring throughout. 26 IPs, only 7 hits (3 hitless outings), 9 walks and 35 Ks. As the Monkees sang "I'm a Believer". Combine that with the horrible Cubs attack, and this looks like a possible shutout or one run Cub game. The Braves face Carlos Villanueva, who languished on the free agent roles for a long time before being signed. Why? He is a homer magnet. Last year he gave up a homer every 5 IPs. He has decent stuff, but often hangs 1 or 2 or 3 curves or off-speed pitches and sayonarra. Braves at home, off to a good start, better bullpen, why isn't this a 4 unit game?
 

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Atlanta -1 (-106) 3 units. Julio Teheran might have had the best spring of any NL pitcher, except for maybe teammate Paul Maholm. He had a dominant spring throughout. 26 IPs, only 7 hits (3 hitless outings), 9 walks and 35 Ks. As the Monkees sang "I'm a Believer". Combine that with the horrible Cubs attack, and this looks like a possible shutout or one run Cub game. The Braves face Carlos Villanueva, who languished on the free agent roles for a long time before being signed. Why? He is a homer magnet. Last year he gave up a homer every 5 IPs. He has decent stuff, but often hangs 1 or 2 or 3 curves or off-speed pitches and sayonarra. Braves at home, off to a good start, better bullpen, why isn't this a 4 unit game?
This is now officially 4 units. Braves have so many advantages, and a good number at -106
 

KSB

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Thx for these write-ups seriously, brings home alotta perspective.
 

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Great job o fred, look forward to your posts daily and love that you post so early, keep rolling along my friend :)
 

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Keep it going pal. You are off to a great start and know you're MLB. My bankroll thanks you.
 

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Detroit. RL.(+120) 2 units. This would be 3 units, but I don't trust the Tiger bullpen. Max Scherzer, like Phillip Hughes, is a slow starter to each season. But this year, Scherzer has looked absolutely dominating in the spring, and his control is much better. In 16 IPs, only, 6 hits, 6 walks, 20 Ks. Hughes has had a neck or back problems, and has had a okay spring, but this start could be more like a get ready for the season spring start. The Yankees aren't expecting much, and I think that's what we'll get. Also, I'm pissed at myself for not playing against the Yankees yet this year. They are truly a BAD team. If not for Youk, they'd be much worse. Cano hasn't started hitting, the infield defense is poor, and even the middle relief is so-so. Worst of all is the cobbled together lineup of has beens, cast-offs and never will be's. The home fans and the Tigers, though, will STILL love beating up the Yankees. This is not like the Indians or Padres coming to town. Opponents will love beating the Yankees while they're down. My first RL of the year, and I might go 3 units later.
 

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Houston (+105). First 5 innings. I'll take Bud Norris at home, but not the Astros bullpen. The A's have been hitting, in their 2 series, some poor pitching. When faced with a solid guy like Norris, they've struggled. Bartolo Colon, the unjuiced version, goes for the A's. This spring he has faced a lot of minor leaguers, some major leaguers, and is his usual self. Many hits, almost no walks, and the same 2 seam, 4 seam fastballs. I think the Astros can get a few runs off of him.
 

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Detroit. RL.(+120) 2 units. This would be 3 units, but I don't trust the Tiger bullpen. Max Scherzer, like Phillip Hughes, is a slow starter to each season. But this year, Scherzer has looked absolutely dominating in the spring, and his control is much better. In 16 IPs, only, 6 hits, 6 walks, 20 Ks. Hughes has had a neck or back problems, and has had a okay spring, but this start could be more like a get ready for the season spring start. The Yankees aren't expecting much, and I think that's what we'll get. Also, I'm pissed at myself for not playing against the Yankees yet this year. They are truly a BAD team. If not for Youk, they'd be much worse. Cano hasn't started hitting, the infield defense is poor, and even the middle relief is so-so. Worst of all is the cobbled together lineup of has beens, cast-offs and never will be's. The home fans and the Tigers, though, will STILL love beating up the Yankees. This is not like the Indians or Padres coming to town. Opponents will love beating the Yankees while they're down. My first RL of the year, and I might go 3 units later.
This is now officially 3 units. I see no reason why Hughes is really ready for the season. He was tired at the end of 5 IPs vs. Single A guys in his late March outing.
 

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Thanks and good luck today my friend!!!!

XS :103631605
 

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