STP 500 @ Martinsville

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Joined
Sep 3, 2005
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906
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CUP YTD

Daytona: PASS
Phoenix: -1.50 units
Vegas: +1.77 units
Bristol: +13.05 units
California: +6.10 units



Total: +19.42 units

MATCH-UPS

2.50 units Ryan Newman (+115)
over Martin Truex
Dimes had this match-up listed twice (the other had Newman @ -125) if this gets cancelled I will play it @ sportsbook.ag for -115.
Newman has pretty good numbers here and was Top 5 in final practice and 8th in 10 lap avg. Truex admits this is not his favorite place even though he has 2 Top 10's in his last 4 starts but overall a 21.5 career avg in 14 races

2.50 units Dale Jr. (+100) over Kasey Kahne
Great start for Jr so far in '13 and his past history on short tracks is very good. Has a potential 5th place car going in and if he gets some breaks(he has had those type things going for him this yr) he could challenge for a win. Not one of Kahne's best tracks but wouldn't be surprised if he ran Top 10, but the 88 has some mojo going right now

2.50 units Kurt Busch (-125) over Juan Montoya
As long as they keep throwing this match-up out there I'll keep taking it


PROPS

2.00 units Ryan Newman (+110)
under 11.5
11th, 1st and 10th last 3 starts at Martinsville, I'll take a swing

1.50 units Clint Bowyer (+240) to win group (over Biffle/Logano/Martin/Truex)
I'm a little weary of this one it looks too easy. Bowyer has the best ride going in today


OUTRIGHTS

If you look at the numbers its a 3 horse race goin in. Since Johnson's odds are terrible I'll take the other 2 and a few longshots

1.00 unit Jeff Gordon (+600)
0.75 unit Clint Bowyer (+900)
0.40 unit Dale Jr (+1700)
0.25 unit Brian Vickers (+2500)
0.20 unit Ryan Newman (+3800)

Good luck





 

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