Monday: The Anatomy of a Slumping Team YTD: 20-11-2, + 22.39 units

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Sunday: 4-5-1, -1.20 units. Good week, but ended with a losing day. Sunday's thread got over 3,000 views. I hope all of you are practicing good money management, if you're tailing. There will be more losing days ahead (but more winning days, we hope).

Arizona -1 (+105) 3 units. The Pirates remind me of the Mariners of 2012 and 2011, and the Padres on many occasions. Only McCutcheon is hitting a bit. They have 7 runs in 6 games, and 3 of those runs are off of Carlos Marmol- so not sure if those 3 runs should count. The Pirates hit poorly the last 2 weeks of spring training so this is just a continuation of that. In these situations, the young players press and lose confidence, and the veteran players know things will get better, but also press and make adjustments that usually don't help. The Pirates slumped badly last April too, and ended the year that way. Now they face the very tough Trevor Cahill, whom these Pirates are hitting .162 lifetime. He lost weight in the preseason, and looked dominating in the spring. While he pitched fairly well against the Cardinals, I expect this outing will be much better. He is an extreme ground ball pitcher, and fields the position very well himself. Wandy Rodriquez pitched very well vs. the Cubs, but right now, the Cubs are slumping almost as bad as the Pirates are. Wandy is facing a hot hitting D-Back team who just swept the Brewers in Milwaukee. They love hitting in Chase Field. This might be 4 or 5 units except the D-backs have only faced one LHP and didn't fare well(J. Garcia). But they hit very well vs. LHP last year and led the NL in runs vs. LHP. This game matches up 2 lineups, who at this point, are just polar opposites in recent production.
 

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NY Mets. ML (+106). 3 units. Roy Halladay has the same name, but that is about it. He no longer possesses the pitches that made him such a stud all these years. His fastball is about 88-90, and his cutter is somewhat flattened out. He throws too many off speed pitches, and against the Braves went to many 3 ball counts, nibbling around the plate. When he got ahead of hitters he was able to strike them out, and had 9 Ks(of course the Braves have plenty of whiffers). But as in spring training, he is struggling to reinvent himself. Matt Harvey was crazy good in his first start, although it was vs. the Padres. The Padres pounded him last summer in what was one of his worst starts. I love this kid's confidence and composure and willingness to throw any pitch almost any time. He is not just throwing fast- he has 3 other pitches that are working well for him, and looked this good in the spring. The Phillies will not get to face Greg Holland, the Royals closer, who they lit up 2 games in a row. Neither bullpen is very good, but I think the Phillies might need theirs more.
 

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O'Fred, curious as to why you decided to play 10 games on Sunday but only 23 throughout the week?
 

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O'Fred, curious as to why you decided to play 10 games on Sunday but only 23 throughout the week?
I have more time on the weekend to research plays, but its' probably to my own demise. I should be more selective. For example, I had far too many totals today, and they have not gone well for me since last year.
 

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Atlanta-1 (-127), 3 units. Paul Maholm may have the best stats of NL pitchers since July 1st last year. He has been that good. He pitched 24 scoreless innings in a row this spring. Miami was dreadful vs. lefties last year, hitting just .227. Maholm pitched 21 IPs last year vs. Miami and only yielded 3 runs. His variety of pitches and speeds and ability to command have placed him into the category of ace if you ask me. Kevin Slowey pitched well in his opening start, but from accounts of the game, he got a little lucky. His fastball was in the 85-88 range and got away with some meatballs. He is also known to hang a curve sometimes. His placement was mostly good, and his sequencing too, in the Washington, but knowing his past, I'm not sure he can do it too often. Slowey rarely walks anyone, but if Atlanta has scouted him well, they'll know he throws enough mistakes in a game to give up plenty of runs. He is likely a 5 inning pitcher, and his bullpen is none too good. Atlanta's bullpen gets a big edge.
 

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Enfuego,

I thought the same thing. Being more selective typically results in better results. At least for me it does.
After all I'm 0-1 so far.
 

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I don't believe being more selective gives you better results ...

Like Ofred said, it all depends on money management and how you scale your plays ...

My totals are usually all $100 dollars each, and I usually have 2-4 per day...

but then my sides are usually 3-5 plays per day, but a different unit strength ...

' it all comes down to the individual, find what works for you, and stick to it.


Great work in here ofred... We're usually on the same side of things, I like the way you roll
 

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To each is his own. I believe do whatever makes you happy. Fred having a good run. If he wants to play more games its his choice, however if respectful advice given is the answer than by god use it. The tone in the advice seemed more helpful than hurtful, unlike most peoples posts that bash. I think en fuego was trying to help.
 

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o fred I enjoy your analysis of each game. I take the same approach with the games I'm going to bet on. We are on the same page a good amount of the time. Well done and good luck this season.
 

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Beyond fred, I will put up the MLB cappers on RX against any forum bunch out there...and that certainly includes enfuego and BMM among many others. Nice work gentlemen and thank you for sharing
 

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Atlanta-1 (-127), 3 units. Paul Maholm may have the best stats of NL pitchers since July 1st last year. He has been that good. He pitched 24 scoreless innings in a row this spring. Miami was dreadful vs. lefties last year, hitting just .227. Maholm pitched 21 IPs last year vs. Miami and only yielded 3 runs. His variety of pitches and speeds and ability to command have placed him into the category of ace if you ask me. Kevin Slowey pitched well in his opening start, but from accounts of the game, he got a little lucky. His fastball was in the 85-88 range and got away with some meatballs. He is also known to hang a curve sometimes. His placement was mostly good, and his sequencing too, in the Washington, but knowing his past, I'm not sure he can do it too often. Slowey rarely walks anyone, but if Atlanta has scouted him well, they'll know he throws enough mistakes in a game to give up plenty of runs. He is likely a 5 inning pitcher, and his bullpen is none too good. Atlanta's bullpen gets a big edge.
Braves, except for Upton, can't hit, but Maholm has pitched a filthy game so far.
 

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Beyond fred, I will put up the MLB cappers on RX against any forum bunch out there...and that certainly includes enfuego and BMM among many others. Nice work gentlemen and thank you for sharing

I appreciate the kind words. Some of these guys in here are killing it.
 

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