MLB TUES discussion thread for 4.9.2013 (going to do this everyday)

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5:40 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3005Los Angeles Dodgers J Beckett -R -1½ +130 -135
3006 San Diego Padres C Richard -L -150 +125

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6:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3007New York Mets D Gee -R -165 -115 +145
3008 Philadelphia Phillies C Lee -L -1½+145 7-105 -155

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6:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3009Atlanta Braves K Medlen -R -1½ 7-120 -177
3010 Miami Marlins W LeBlanc -L +100 +167

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7:05 pm (WGN) Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3011Milwaukee Brewers W Peralta -R -103
3012 Chicago Cubs T Wood -L -107

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7:15 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3013Cincinnati Reds B Arroyo -R -180 -105 +105
3014 St Louis Cardinals L Lynn -R -1½+160-115 -115

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8:40 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3015Pittsburgh Pirates Ja McDonald -R -160 -105 +135
3016 Arizona Diamondbacks B McCarthy -R -1½+140 9-115 -145

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9:15 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3017Colorado Rockies J Nicasio -R -170 -120 +139
3018 San Francisco Giants T Lincecum -R -1½+150 7+100 -149

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12:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3019Toronto Blue Jays B Morrow -R -175 +120
3020 Detroit Tigers A Sanchez -R -1½+155 8 -130

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6:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3021New York Yankees A Pettitte -L -1½ +145-105 -107
3022 Cleveland Indians C Carrasco -R -165 -115 -103

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7:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3023Tampa Bay Rays R Hernandez -R -150 -105 +135
3024 Texas Rangers N Tepesch -R -1½+130 10½-115 -145

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7:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3025Minnesota Twins M Pelfrey -R -165 -105 +139
3026 Kansas City Royals J Guthrie -R -1½+145-115 -149

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9:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3027Oakland Athletics J Parker -R -155 +145
3028 Los Angeles Angels C Wilson -L -1½+135 -155

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9:10 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3029Houston Astros E Bedard -L -170 +125
3030 Seattle Mariners B Maurer -R -1½+150 -135

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6:05 pm Pitchers RunLine Total MoneyLn

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3031Chicago White Sox J Peavy -R -165 +145
3032 Washington Nationals G Gonzalez -L -1½+145 7 -155

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Going with MIN +0 (after 4.5inn., special bet imo just offered by bet365), HOU team total over3 -110, MIA team total under3 +100, a combination out of ATL ML -155, RL +107 and them leading after 4.5 and winning +120. And Cahill over 6IP -117.

MIN already over, so not getting into that one.
HOU actually pretty decent vs LHP so far (8,3,3 runs) Saunders looked bad in spring and @OAK, also think o/u @Safeco Field not adjusted to the new dimensions yet. Also Saunders doesn't benefit from NL rules anymore, so his numbers should go up.
Cahill imo was a bit unlucky on some of the groundballs he induced vs STL, statline looks worse than he actually pitched. Pretty good spring and got his grounders vs STL, only pitched once vs PIT and dominated & PIT so far has been plain out awful offensively. So unless he walks a bunch or PIT fouls off lots of pitches, he should at least go 6, especially since ARIs pen has pitched a lot thanks to the extra inning marathon vs STL and 10IP @MIL, returning from MIL without an off day, so Gibson shouldn't be too quick on pulling Cahill out.
MIA was terrible vs LHP in 2012, got shut down by Gio (only LHP they faced so far) and Maholm had an impressive spring & first start vs PHI. Braves Bullpen also strong, Marlins offense besides Stanton the worst lineup in MLB (imo) and last year vs Maholm, they scored a measly 3 runs in 21.1IP, on 14H & 2BB while striking out 15times).
So even with Freeman out, they still should win this one, even though I think Slowey might offer decent value at times this year, just don't see him shutting the Braves down completely and should get pretty much no run support at all.
 

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Sep 24, 2012
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I like the Mariners today and a bounceback performance by the rookie.



I would also lean yankee's (but didn't bet them)
 

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Sep 24, 2012
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I also like colorado tonight. I don't buy Lincecum returning to form yet. And SF bat's looked bad last night even in the win. But the price just isn't there to bet it.
 

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