I have one client. I analyze the KC Royals every day, in every possible way. I can tell you in advance when they will lose or win, and usually predict the game score.
By focusing exclusively on one team, I can "feel" how they will play in their next game. I know the Royals hitters' tendencies. I know if the pitcher is nervous about a particular hitter. And I have not been wrong.
Those of you who have seen me post at another forum, I have a message. I can no longer post there because that website has been blocked by my employer. I cannot even log in there anymore. However this site is not blocked. This is my new home. I ask that someone please go into my thread at the other site and explain why I can no longer post there, and that I have moved here.
Overall: 2-0 (from the "other" site)
Starting Bankroll: $4,900
Current Bankroll: $5,350
Welcome to The RX. This is the first I've seen of you post, and I
rarely offer this compliment to newer people when they first come here, but just from this one post, I can tell you are genuine and legitimate. I LOVE this unique style that you have here, focusing on only team, because why not? If you focus on solely one team, you DO see them as well as anyone out there, as opposed to someone like myself who studies all 15 pitching matchups extensively on a daily basis, but may miss certain little things with a team that could ultimately decide a bet in future days.
Above all, I LOVE that you mention the word "feel"... this is a talent in handicapping that I feel is very underrated, as most people, unfortunately, choose to rely on certain meaningless stats and garbage coincidental trends more than this key trait. You CANNOT teach "feel," as it is something you can only acquire from hard work and consistent studying. So when you say you have a "feel" and a beat for the Kansas City Royals, I absolutely 100-percent believe you, and I appreciate you using that word choice because it is something so often overlooked. People, I've never talked to this person before but I feel he might be a useful asset here, at least as it pertains to Kansas City Royals games.
It also helps that I agree with your under. As soon as I saw the pitching matchup of Happ vs Mendoza, I instantly leaned towards under. Unfortunately, I now see that it went from 8.5 to 8 (I saw it last night at 8.5 and waited too long when I knew the line would go down. My own fault), but I still may grab it anyway, as this is a great spot for BOTH pitchers. I've always loved both, too, actually. Happ was one of my favorite pitchers when he was in Houston, where he unfairly got shafted of certain opportunities (Even getting sent down at one point despite mostly steady, good pitching). He's throwing with a world of confidence right now, has a permanent job in the rotation, which didn't even look possible in spring training, and I see him continuing to ascend once again. And then there's Luis Mendoza (I'm a Rangers fan so I've been tracking him VERY closely since '07. Very, very happy to see you guys gave him a chance and that he's doing well. He deserves it), who, like Happ, is also pitching with confidence in his newfound opportunity and appears like he can roll with it.
My worst-case scenario for this game is 6-2, so if the worst I do is a push, I'll take it. I'm most likely going to take this game now thanks to you, and you should take that as a compliment because I
never take bets or ideas from anyone else. But I was leaning under the whole way, and your obvious expertise on the Royals has me convinced further. Hopefully we both hit it.
Keep doing what you do and you'll have a very nice niche here, as I'm very intrigued by someone who locks in on one team. Again, welcome to the boards.