Thursday: Battle of the Phenoms YTD: 40-32, + 24.47 units

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Wednesday: 2-2 +.1 units. Just kind of washing around .500 lately, or a little worse. But that's better than getting hammered in one day, which happens too. Haven't had one of those - 7 or -8 unit days yet, which is a good thing.


Reds -1 (-109). 3 units. Why am I going against Miami phenom Jose Fernandez? He has been nothing short of amazing so far in his first 2 starts. Granted, he had only pitched at A ball last year, and this is a big jump. Matt Harvey, Price, Sale and all the great new young pitchers though had to suffer some bumps along the way. The total on this game, to me , is revealing at 8. The Reds are throwing their own young stud out there, Tony Cingrani. This guy looks every bit as good as Fernandez. He got a short call up last year, and pitched well. In AAA he has toyed with the competition, 14 IPs, 2BBs, 26 Ks and 3 hits. I expect him to pitch as well against the almost AAA Miami lineup. How bad is Miami's lineup? They have Polanco batting 3rd, a guy who had 19 RBIs last year in 303 ABs . Their hitting .190 in the past week, with one HR, and a slugging pct. of .245. The Reds have a far superior lineup and bullpen and they're at home. The Reds also play better defense. The total at 8 tells me that Vegas expects this to NOT be a 2-1 type of game, but a close, low scoring game until Hernandez gets pulled in the 6th, and the Reds batter the Miami bullpen. Another reason I like this is that young pitchers, even mediocre ones, that come up usually pitch well their first outing- if they have some poise- which Cingrani does. I've seen this so many times.

Reds RL. One unit (+135)
 

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SF Giants -1 (+100).One unit. Matt Cain had one ghastly inning vs. the Cardinals. That can happen with a good, high contact team like St. Louis. But he is fine. He also rarely has 2 outings even close to that in the same month. The Brewers are sending out Yovani Gallardo, who has been roughed up in all 3 starts this year. Maybe he has a drinking problem because of his pitching, or maybe he is pitching poorly because he gets wasted in the middle of a baseball season. And at .22 blood alcohol level, he wasn't tipsy. For most of us we couldn't even find our car, and Gallardo is trying to drive home. Maybe he was drowning his sorrows over the Milwaukee bullpen prospects for this season. Anyways, the Brewers bullpen is always an adventure. I don't expect Gallardo to be at his best when the focus is on his DUI and whether he has a problem and should go to rehab.
 

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Great write up my man. BOL
 

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Reds chased Fernandez, Maine in. Hoping to add to the lead.
 

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nice reds cash...should have tailed...contemplated it back and forth...then passed on it...should have been on it with you...nice job...look forward to the plays for tomorrow
 

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