Miami Heat/OKC Thunder/SA Spurs To Win NBA Championship (-486)

HacheMan · Apr 21, 2013

Seems like a steep price but worth wagering to win a unit...

5dimes

Sun 4/21		25033 MIA / OKC / SAS wins NBA Champ		<INPUT id=checkboxx type=checkbox name=M1_175>-486
1:00PM		25034 Field wins NBA Championship		<INPUT id=checkboxx type=checkbox name=M2_175>+386

HuskerFan1 · Apr 21, 2013

its steep but its a winner....i honestly think its a winner after the conf finals

HarryCaray · Apr 21, 2013

Wow that does seem to have a 99.9% chance of winning. Who would threaten this? The Knicks? Nah. Clips? Nah. Indy? IF they got past MIA they would have nothing left for the finals IMO. Would be more worried about Denver as a threat but not anymore with their injuries.

Nice find Hache, I'll probably hop on this.

seanjohn007 · Apr 21, 2013

too steep. i htink i would rather put a bet in for miami/thunder final. i dont think the spurs have a chance in hell this year. if they get past the lakers theyll lose in the second round, so your paying more juice for a team thats irrelevant

JasonBiggz · Apr 21, 2013

I think Clippers have a great shot this year. LA vs OkC will be a great series and I think Clippers can take them. Will definitely be the most exciting series in the playoffs in my opinion

Mr_Mark · Apr 22, 2013

As much as I am rooting for the Clipps to win I think that MIA / OKC / SAS is a very safe bet.... It is a steep price but those were the top 3 teams this year...
it really should be more like -1500

CHOPTALK · Apr 22, 2013

If you historically take the top 3 teams going into the playoffs the last 15 years or so and calculate how many times the top 3 teams going into the playoffs have won the title my estimation would be every time except for the season Dallas won.

I could be wrong about this correct me if im wrong but that is what I came up with.

So Mr Marks -1500 seems about right.

Especially this season.
It is more top heavy then ever.

Only team I can see that has any kind of prayer of screwing it up would be the clips.
And I would lay the -486 against that.

gynecologist · Apr 22, 2013

Clippers can do it.

Shub · Apr 22, 2013

I can see the Knicks beating Miami

motowner · Apr 22, 2013

if healthy, heat won't lose more than 3 games during the playoffs.

gynecologist · Apr 22, 2013

Shub said:
I can see the Knicks beating Miami

I think game 1 in that series is so key. I was thinking if the Knicks can win game 1 of that series, they would have a decent shot. Game 1 key in that series.

motowner · Apr 22, 2013

gynecologist said:
I think game 1 in that series is so key. I was thinking if the Knicks can win game 1 of that series, they would have a decent shot. Game 1 key in that series.

heat would/will lose 1 game max against the knicks. the knicks defense is atrocious outside of chandler and shumpert, and they're just way too old. plus the heat are even better this year than they were last year and even last year they killed the thunder after losing game 1 to them. and that was a very good thunder team too (far better than this year's knicks team). knicks are a farce.

JasonBiggz · Apr 22, 2013

motowner said:
if healthy, heat won't lose more than 3 games during the playoffs.

Including the finals? I'll bet you on that

PatsFan1283 · Apr 22, 2013

You can get way better odds if you just take the Spurs out and try to pick a winner.

OMT says never lay - odds on a future though so take that for what it is worth.

JustinCruise · Apr 22, 2013

Those of you saying knicks can beat the heat are crazy. The knicks might not even get past boston. The only way heat don't win it all is an injury to lebron. Even without wade or bosh I see them winning. If lebron were to go out, the thunder would basically be a lock. I don't think spur's have a prayer but even so this bet is a winner.

PatsFan1283 · Apr 22, 2013

JustinCruise said:
Those of you saying knicks can beat the heat are crazy. The knicks might not even get past boston. The only way heat don't win it all is an injury to lebron. Even without wade or bosh I see them winning. If lebron were to go out, the thunder would basically be a lock. I don't think spur's have a prayer but even so this bet is a winner.

If everyone thinks nobody has a chance beat the Heat, why not just pound the Heat future?

If you really think a team is that good, the equity you have in them at -150 or so far outweighhs the risk of injury. If they keep dominating this ship is going to leave the station very soon

JustinCruise · Apr 22, 2013

PatsFan1283 said:
If everyone thinks nobody has a chance beat the Heat, why not just pound the Heat future?

If you really think a team is that good, the equity you have in them at -150 or so far outweighhs the risk of injury. If they keep dominating this ship is going to leave the station very soon

Low limit's on future wagers.

5dimes won't let you put more then 700 on it.

PatsFan1283 · Apr 22, 2013

JustinCruise said:
because of the low future wager limits. 5dimes won't let you bet more then $715.

Don't think this is true. Either way if someone thought team A is likely going to win NBA title and team A was only given a 58% chance to do so by the free world, they would be wise to find outs to bet this.

JustinCruise · Apr 22, 2013

PatsFan1283 said:
Don't think this is true. Either way if someone thought team A is likely going to win NBA title and team A was only given a 58% chance to do so by the free world, they would be wise to find outs to bet this.

5dimes won't let you win more then $500 on the NBA championship future. verified on live help chat. So 715 is the limit right now on the heat at -143.

To me, not being a huge fan of future's anyway, it's not worth the length of time and unknown variables like injury to win 500 bucks. I'm sure if someone had access to a lot of online sportsbooks or lived in vegas they could put quite a bit on it.

HacheMan · Apr 22, 2013

PatsFan1283 said:
If everyone thinks nobody has a chance beat the Heat, why not just pound the Heat future?

If you really think a team is that good, the equity you have in them at -150 or so far outweighhs the risk of injury. If they keep dominating this ship is going to leave the station very soon

Well because with this wager you are much more safe if something crazy happens and the Heat somehow get knocked out, you then still have OKC (and San Antonio) who will more than likely get through and I believe the Thunder beats any Eastern Team other than Miami.

I would prefer the wager to not have San Antonio in it at all for a smaller price but I haven't seen it.
It may show up though...

Miami Heat/OKC Thunder/SA Spurs To Win NBA Championship (-486)

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