| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.77 |
| Last 30 Days | 32 | 27 | 0.00 | +18.14 |
| Season to Date | 32 | 27 | 0.00 | +18.14 |
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All plays are 2 units
Cleveland +110 over CHICAGO
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The White Sox continue to struggle at the plate and with that comes added pressure on both the defense and the starters. Over their past four games the South Side has scored seven times. Overall, Chicago is batting .229 and its 63 runs scored ranks them last in the AL. Lefty Jose Quintana followed up a poor season debut with two quality starts but there is no single hallmark skill in his profile. Quintana does have 17’s in 18 frames but with just 98 K’s in 154 career innings, we’re going to have to see a larger sample this year before trusting that Quintana will be able to maintain that strikeout pace. Quintana is just 24-years old and he has growth potential but his batted ball profile of 40%/20%/40% (GB/LD/FB) says he’s walking a tight rope.[/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
The Indians have seen plenty of southpaws this year. Cleveland’s 286 AB’s against lefties is tops in the league by a wide margin (Cincinnati is second with 237 AB’s). The Indians have hit a solid .267 against lefties with a just as solid .342 OBP, .469 SLG % and .810 OPS. Zach McAllister went 6-8 with a 4.24 ERA with 110 Ks in 125 IP last season. There is a foundation here for something interesting. McAllister’s rising strikeout rate and solid control is promising. He has 16 K’s and just three walks in 17 frames. Additionally, McAllister dominated righties in the second half of last season and he’s carried that over to this season with a .206 BAA versus right-handed batters. The White Sox are loaded on the right side with seven of the nine starters batting right including the entire infield. McAllister is a pitcher on our radar and we’ll gladly step in on him here. [/FONT]
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SAN FRANCISCO -1 +118 over Arizona
[FONT=arial !important]T[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]he D-Backs are a feisty team but they are also one of those teams that play so much better at home than on the road. Arizona opened its third straight series on the road last night in San Fran and lost 5-4 for its fifth loss in in its past seven games. Playing at New York against the Yanks and at Colorado, the D-Backs scored more than four runs just twice in those six games and they’re hitting a combined .229 over that span. Patrick Corbin has only made 20 career starts, of which four have come against the Giants. He is 2-1 in those four starts but was hit especially hard in his two starts at AT&T park, where he has allowed 10 ER on 14 H in just eight IP. Road troubles have been a problem for the young Corbin, as he has a career 5.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the road. His fast start to 2013 looks good on the surface but has really been luck driven with a 23% hit rate and unsustainable 89% strand rate. A correction to Corbin’s 1.42 ERA is forthcoming.[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
The Giants have won four straight while holding the opposition to just six runs over those four games. In five of their past six games, Giants starters have gone at least six full innings, rendering the bullpen locked and loaded. Matt Cain is 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA and that combined with Corbin’s strong start has created this underlay. Is there a reason to worry about Cain? No way. Blame a 34% hit rate and 57% strand rate for his struggles. His base skills are not only fine, they are elite. In 32 starts last year, Cain had no disasters. He was in the top 10 in IP again and had a career-low in walks and a career high in Ks. He hasn’t slowed down this year. This is the profile of an ace in his prime. This year he has five walks and 20 K’s in 23 innings and it’s only a matter of time before he shuts down the opposition and Cain will welcome the Snakes. Cain has made 11 home starts versus Arizona in his career, where he has gone 5-2 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 79 IP. Expect another pure quality start here.
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Cleveland +110 over CHICAGO
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The White Sox continue to struggle at the plate and with that comes added pressure on both the defense and the starters. Over their past four games the South Side has scored seven times. Overall, Chicago is batting .229 and its 63 runs scored ranks them last in the AL. Lefty Jose Quintana followed up a poor season debut with two quality starts but there is no single hallmark skill in his profile. Quintana does have 17’s in 18 frames but with just 98 K’s in 154 career innings, we’re going to have to see a larger sample this year before trusting that Quintana will be able to maintain that strikeout pace. Quintana is just 24-years old and he has growth potential but his batted ball profile of 40%/20%/40% (GB/LD/FB) says he’s walking a tight rope.[/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
The Indians have seen plenty of southpaws this year. Cleveland’s 286 AB’s against lefties is tops in the league by a wide margin (Cincinnati is second with 237 AB’s). The Indians have hit a solid .267 against lefties with a just as solid .342 OBP, .469 SLG % and .810 OPS. Zach McAllister went 6-8 with a 4.24 ERA with 110 Ks in 125 IP last season. There is a foundation here for something interesting. McAllister’s rising strikeout rate and solid control is promising. He has 16 K’s and just three walks in 17 frames. Additionally, McAllister dominated righties in the second half of last season and he’s carried that over to this season with a .206 BAA versus right-handed batters. The White Sox are loaded on the right side with seven of the nine starters batting right including the entire infield. McAllister is a pitcher on our radar and we’ll gladly step in on him here. [/FONT]
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SAN FRANCISCO -1 +118 over Arizona
[FONT=arial !important]T[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]he D-Backs are a feisty team but they are also one of those teams that play so much better at home than on the road. Arizona opened its third straight series on the road last night in San Fran and lost 5-4 for its fifth loss in in its past seven games. Playing at New York against the Yanks and at Colorado, the D-Backs scored more than four runs just twice in those six games and they’re hitting a combined .229 over that span. Patrick Corbin has only made 20 career starts, of which four have come against the Giants. He is 2-1 in those four starts but was hit especially hard in his two starts at AT&T park, where he has allowed 10 ER on 14 H in just eight IP. Road troubles have been a problem for the young Corbin, as he has a career 5.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the road. His fast start to 2013 looks good on the surface but has really been luck driven with a 23% hit rate and unsustainable 89% strand rate. A correction to Corbin’s 1.42 ERA is forthcoming.[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
The Giants have won four straight while holding the opposition to just six runs over those four games. In five of their past six games, Giants starters have gone at least six full innings, rendering the bullpen locked and loaded. Matt Cain is 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA and that combined with Corbin’s strong start has created this underlay. Is there a reason to worry about Cain? No way. Blame a 34% hit rate and 57% strand rate for his struggles. His base skills are not only fine, they are elite. In 32 starts last year, Cain had no disasters. He was in the top 10 in IP again and had a career-low in walks and a career high in Ks. He hasn’t slowed down this year. This is the profile of an ace in his prime. This year he has five walks and 20 K’s in 23 innings and it’s only a matter of time before he shuts down the opposition and Cain will welcome the Snakes. Cain has made 11 home starts versus Arizona in his career, where he has gone 5-2 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 79 IP. Expect another pure quality start here.
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