Thursday: Luck Evens Out YTD: 53-48, + 19.00 units

ofred · Apr 24, 2013

Wednesday: 1-3, -.12 units. Have lost so many close games, late games, games where the team I'm betting against is sooo efficient in scoring runs- that the Mets win felt like justice.

NY Yankees-1 (+103). One unit. The Yankee hitters have such incredible numbers against Mark Buehrle that I have to take this game. And many of those numbers were when Buehrle was a better pitcher. Toronto did their usual Wednesday- 3 HRs vs. a rookie in his debut(lost that one), but I doubt they'll get to Kuroda. Toronto only hitting .228 vs. righties, and tend to follow a win with a loss. Kuroda has also been a great pitcher in Yankee Stadium. he keeps the ball down which will limit the Jays' power. Mostly I like this one, though, because of the familiarity the Yanks have with Buehrle, and the Jays' middle relief is pretty bad.

JustinCruise · Apr 24, 2013

I know how you feel. Lately it seems like every team I bet on has more hits and less runs then the other team. And errors have been absurd.

bol to you fred o

ofred · Apr 24, 2013

Cinn. ML (+118) One unit. the Reds have been hitting lefties better than anyone in the mlb, and right now Gio's mechanics are messed up. Gio tends to have bad innings, and this makes him hurry to the plate even more- which exacerbates the problem. The Nats are in their first hitting funk since some time last year. Bryce Harper has even cooled. Zimmerman's replacement, the tattoo king, has been a dud so far. This hitting slump is more prolonged than I can remember compared to any time last year. The Reds are not exactly killing the ball, but vs. LHP- they're getting it done. Votto, a lefty, hits LHp very well- and they have a stacked righty lineup that should give Gio problems. Arroyo has limited the HRs this year, better command, and still walks very few batters. He'll be pitching in a more pitcher friendly park.

ofred · Apr 24, 2013

Tampa ML (+117). One unit. Tampa has hit 16 HRs in the past week, and overall are doing everything better as a team. I'm going to ride the hot team vs. the cold team(White Sox). Adam Dunn is killing them in the middle of the border, Konerko is whiffing and not coming through for clutch hits, and the bottom of the lineup has been useless. Chris Sale is one of the best lefties in the AL, but his velocity is down a bit, and has not been as dominant so far. He has already given up 4 HRs. Hellickson is not nearly the pitcher as Sale, but is an early starter and right now, the way Chicago is hitting, and the fact the Sox hitters have seen him very little, I'll ride him while he is pitching very well- last 14 IPs, only 6 hits. Tampa's bullpen is also looking better this past week.

ofred · Apr 25, 2013

Red Sox RL (-120) One unit. A square bet that I can't resist. Humber has been struggling with the fictiveness of his breaking pitches, and since his fastball only touches 90, he could have rough Fenway outing. Also, Humber tends to have these bad games in bunches, and his last game was 8 runs in one inning- vs. the weak hitting Indians. Bucholz and Lester are the best 1-2 punch in baseball, and I like that for the reason that Bucholz will want to compete with his teammate, and prove that he is a top of the rotation starter. Red Sox have much better bullpen and defense. Astros have rarely, if ever played in Fenway, and might be a little in awe their first game. Astros might have beaten up on Seattle, but they still strike out too much and are now playing a top team, not a bottom dweller like themselves.