04/25/13 mlb info & pitchers ratings

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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ai8y0VjQSNzcdFNvRktWS3FVVUcxVXFzZTJibTVtcnc#gid=0

I'm playing all 5 qualifiers for Thursday:



Cubs (Jackson) -116
Reds/Nationals Under 7.5
Rays (Hellickson) +121
Twins (Worley) +118
Angels (Richards) -135

Don't forget the 1st 5 innings.

Qualified plays are GREEN against ORANGE, and BLUE against RED.

So far, GREEN vs ORANGE have been hitting at a higher rate than BLUE vs RED. Especially if the qualified play is an underdog -- there has been major value on the Reverse Run-Line.


On the other hand, be leery of qualified plays that are public favorites. This is why we need to keep a tab of the percentages on the sides. They might not be true numbers regarding moneys but the praxis is to be aware of what side is a public bet.


The algorithm of GREEN underdogs against ORANGE favorites have been overwhelming good hits; especially if you can get Reverse Run-Lines.
 

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