| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | -6.34 |
| Last 30 Days | 38 | 38 | 0.00 | +9.44 |
| Season to Date | 38 | 38 | 0.00 | +9.44 |
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Baltimore -111 over SEATTLE
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The Orioles are not getting the respect they deserve and we’ll keep riding them until they do. The O’s are coming off a four-game set in Oakland in which they were taking back a tag in each game. Baltimore was on the verge of a sweep until the A’s scored two in the ninth yesterday to tie it and eventually go on to win it in the 10th. Still, the Orioles scored 28 runs in four games at that pitcher-friendly venue. Now, as a small favorite in Seattle, the Orioles will face Joe Saunders. Saunders has one of the worst skills set in baseball. It was marginal for years but it can’t even be considered that anymore. Saunders has always had difficulty with righties. Last season, he had a staggering OPS split (.451 vL, .849 vR) and this year it’s even more staggering at .426 vL and 1.072 vR. In 27 innings this year, Saunders has walked 12 batters and struck out 12 batters. He has a WHIP of 1.78 an ERA of 6.33 and over his past two games, Saunders has been tagged for 20 hits, 15 runs and three bombs over 9.2 frames. Joe Saunders can’t get righties out and he can’t throw strikes this season.[/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
Zach Britton makes his first start of the year. He went 5-3 with a 5.07 ERA in 60 innings for the Orioles last year. Remnant of 2011, a shoulder injury shelved Britton until July and then he pitched brilliantly or dreadfully depending on how you perceive it. A sinkerballer, Britton induces tons of groundballs, strikes out some and walks too many. But has he ever been pain free? Health will define his value but the good news is that Britton possesses big league stuff and will have every opportunity to win a rotation spot. In three minor league starts this season, Britton went 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA and he doesn’t need to be flawless here. Five adequate innings by Britton gives us a great chance to cash this ticket because Joe Saunders can’t get folks out. Play Baltimore:Risking 2.22 units to win 2. [/FONT]
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DETROIT team total over 5 -104 over Minnesota
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The Tigers are seeing beach balls right now. They’re coming off a three-game sweep against the tough pitching of the Braves in which they scored seven runs or more in all three games. In total, Detroit scored 25 runs and now they’ll face the AL’s worst starting pitcher. Twins SP Mike Pelfrey has been a disappointment to start the season with a 7.94 ERA in 17 innings. Pelfrey has one or two starts left before he’s taken completely out of the rotation and relegated to the clean-up role. Pelfrey has seen a slight drop in velocity since the 2011 season but he's struggled to command the ball more than anything. Pitchers often have command as the last thing that returns when coming back from Tommy John surgery and Pelfrey has returned in less than 12 months. He has thrown only 39.8 percent of his pitches in the zone, which is the sixth-lowest in baseball. Pelfrey's sinker is not staying down in the zone, either, which has resulted in solid contact by opponents. Pelfrey's release point is also lower than it was back in 2011. The lower release point makes it unable for him to create downward movement on his pitches, with his sinker and slider flattening out when they reach the strike zone. Pelfrey is always constantly tweaking his mechanics in order to create more movement on his pitches and he recently shifted to the first base side of the pitching rubber this year. A very slow tempo on the mound for Pelfrey is a sure sign that he doesn't have confidence in his stuff. He’s walked five batters while striking out just six and even the Marlins got to him in his last start when Pelfrey lasted just 4.2 innings after surrendering nine hits and five runs. Pelfrey somehow managed to shut down the Tigers in his first start of the season. Lightning won’t strike twice. Play: Detroit TT over 5 -104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2). [/FONT][/FONT]
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Pittsburgh +112 over MILWAUKEE
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Yovani Gallardo posted a 6.08 ERA and 1.65 WHIP one week into May last year and he’s near duplicating that this year with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP. Gallardo is a slow starter but there are even more warning signs this time around. Gallardo’s strikeout rate is way down with just 17 in 29 frames. His groundball rate is dropping, his line-drive rate has increased to an unsightly 30% and in his last start at San Diego he walked five batters while striking out just a pair. Gallardo has an outstanding career record against the Pirates, as he and the Brewers are 14-1 against Pittsburgh over Gallardo’s career starts. However, this year’s Pirates are not the same team and the Brewers bullpen has trouble holding leads. [/FONT][/FONT][FONT=arial !important]
The Pirates rolled to a 9-0 victory at St. Louis on Sunday for their ninth win in 12 games. Over the past 15 games, the Pirates lead the majors with a team batting average of .283. Over that span they are second in runs scored in the NL with 71, just two behind the Rockies 73. Wandy Rodriguez has started the season with a splash, posting a 1.66 ERA and 0.78 WHIP after his first four starts. His skills have been really good due to elite command (3 walks, 16 K’s in 22 innings) and an elite groundball rate of 52%. The Brewers have lost three of four games at Miller Park against southpaws and they struck out 12 times yesterday in Los Angeles against lefty, Clayton Kershaw. The Bucs are red-hot while the Brewers are cooling down and returning home from a West Coast swing. That sets this pooch up very nicely. [/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Play Pittsburgh +112 :Risking 2 units. [/FONT] [/FONT][/FONT]
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