Service Plays Saturday 5/11/13

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NASCAR betting: Bojangles' Southern 500 preview

Nicknamed "Too Tough To Tame," Darlington Raceway always provides a fast and exciting race on Mother’s Day weekend. The 1.37-mile oval is the original superspeedway and has over a 60-year racing history.

Here's our Sprint Cup Series preview and odds for Saturday's race:

Favorite: Kyle Busch +500

Busch was the youngest driver to ever win at Darlington in 2008 (23 years, 8 days). He ranks fourth out of 49 drivers over the past eight seasons with an average place of 10, has two top-fives to his credit and four top-10 finishes.

Live dog: Jeff Gordon +1,200

Gordon's seven wins at this track is the most among active drivers and he ranks first out of 49 drivers with an average place of 8.3. The veteran also boasts 18 top-fives and 21-top 10s at Darlington.

Long shot: Regan Smith +15,000

Smith is fresh off a Nationwide win at Talladega and now gets to race at his self-proclaimed “favorite track.” Smith has a win at Darlington to his credit (2011) and finished 14th in the Sprint Cup event last season. Smith is the only driver who is entered in this race that scored his first career Sprint Cup victory at the track.

Key stat:

The race winner at Darlington has started from the pole 19 times, but no driver has won a race from the starting position since Dale Jarrett did it in 1997.

Notable quotable:

“You can’t really pass there. It’s so difficult. So you run your laps until you get to a pit stop and try to get your guys to have a good stop for you so you can jump a couple of guys. Pit stops become really important there, and track position and trying to stay up front.” – Kyle Busch on racing Darlington.

Odds to win the Bojangles’ Southern 500 courtesy of Bet365:

Kyle Busch +550
Jimmie Johnson +700
Matt Kenseth +750
Denny Hamlin +800
Kasey Kahne +900
Carl Edwards +1,000
Brad Keselowski +1,100
Greg Biffle +1,200
Martin Truex Jr. +1,200
Jeff Gordon +1,200
Tony Stewart +1,400
Kevin Harvick +1,600
Clint Bowyer +1,600
Dale Earnhardt Jr. +1,800
Joey Logano +2,200
Mark Martin +3,300
Ricky Stenhouse +3,300
Ryan Newman +3,500
Jamie McMurray +4,000
Kurt Busch +4,000
Marcos Ambrose +5,000
Paul Menard +5,000
Juan Montoya +5,000
Jeff Burton +6,000
Aric Almirola +10,000
Regan Smith +15,000
Danica Patrick +25,000
Bobby Labonte +30,000
David Ragan +35,000
Casey Mears +40,000
Scott Speed +50,000
David Reutimann +50,000
David Stremme +75,000
JJ Yeley +75,000
Travis Kvapil +75,000
David Gilliland +75,000
Landon Cassill +75,000
Josh Wise +100,000
Joe Nemechek +100,000
Brian Keselowski +100,000
Timmy Hill +100,000
Mike Bliss +100,000
Michael McDowell +100,000
Dave Blaney +100,000

Saturday's NBA action: What bettors need to know

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers (-4, 183.5)

Best-of-seven series tied 1-1.

The Indiana Pacers have had three days to get over the mental hurdle of Game 2’s breakdown. The Pacers will try to avoid another meltdown when they host Game 3 of the Eastern Conference semifinals against the New York Knicks on Saturday. The Knicks bridged the third and fourth quarters with a 30-2 run in Game 2 that buried Indiana and evened the series at a game apiece. Carmelo Anthony was at his best during the decisive spurt.

Anthony might be getting some more help in the form of Amar’e Stoudemire, who has been out since March 7 following knee debridement, is expected to play 10-15 minutes in Game 3. Stoudemire gives the Knicks another big body to bang around with Roy Hibbert and David West on the inside. Those two were a big part of Indiana’s Game 1 victory but could not stop the bleeding when New York started to get going in Game 2. The Pacers dominated the Atlanta Hawks in Indiana during the first round and had no problem bouncing back from some tough losses in that series.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE KNICKS: Anthony scored 16 of his 32 points during the decisive run in Game 2 as New York reached 100 points in a postseason game for the first time since 1999 with the 105-79 triumph. Anthony’s shooting was key, but coach Mike Woodson was quick to highlight the defensive effort. “The fourth quarter, we just defensively, we picked up,” he said. “We kept getting stop after stop and then we would rebound the ball and get it up and our offense began to flow like old times. It was kind of nice to see.” The scene was much different from Game 1, when the Knicks were outworked on the inside and outscored 59-38 in the middle two quarters. Stoudemire went through a full-contact four-on-four session on Thursday and will help off the bench.

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana lost Games 3 and 4 in Atlanta during the first round by an average of 16 points but had no trouble picking things back up in its own building. The Pacers won their three home games in the first round by 18.3 points and accomplished what they needed by taking a game in Madison Square Garden and grabbing homecourt advantage against the Knicks. Indiana committed 21 turnovers that led to 32 points in Game 2 and was outscored 52-40 in the paint after controlling that area in Game 1. “I like where we are,” Hibbert told reporters. “We were right there most of the game. But we gave them a sliver of hope late in the third, and obviously they’re so explosive. Obviously, a split is great.”

TRENDS:

* Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
* Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
* Over is 6-0 in Pacers’ last six home games.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. New York G J.R. Smith is 15-for-57 over the last four games.

2. Pacers F Paul George matched a season high (regular and playoffs) with seven turnovers in Game 2.

3. Anthony struggled to 7-for-21 from the field in his lone regular season appearance at Indiana.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-5, 186.5)

Best-of-seven series tied 1-1.

The Memphis Grizzlies had to settle for a split in Oklahoma City after letting a Game 1 lead get away and look to go on top in the Western Conference semifinal series when the Thunder visit in Saturday’s Game 3. Memphis rebounded from the devastating fourth-quarter collapse in the opener to notch a 99-93 victory in Game 2. Oklahoma City needs to split the two road games in order to regain the homecourt advantage.

Thunder star Kevin Durant averaged 35.5 points, 13 rebounds and 7.5 assists over the first two games as Oklahoma City continues to adjust to not having standout guard Russell Westbrook (knee). Splitting the contests at home was disappointing to Durant, but he doesn’t see it as an obstacle that can’t be overcome in a seven-game series. “I don’t think we’ve fallen off track,” Durant said. “We dug ourselves a hole. We’ve just got to go in there and worry about the next game and take it a possession at a time.” Memphis went 3-0 at home in the first-round series against the Los Angeles Clippers and has won 17 of its last 18 home games.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE THUNDER: You would think Durant would be requesting more help from his teammates after his two big games in this series. But the player who has averaged 35.5 points over his last six playoff games is calling on himself to pick up the pace. “I always can do more,” Durant said. “I’ve got to put my teammates in better positions to score. I turned the ball over some where I thought I could have made better passes, shot some shots (where) I should have drove or should have got closer. But I always can be better.” Durant has struggled from 3-point range in the postseason. He is 3-of-11 against the Grizzlies and 28.3 percent in Oklahoma City’s eight playoff games.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Point guard Mike Conley is often the third wheel behind post players Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol but he was the definitive star of Game 2. Conley had 26 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists and drained the go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:58 to play. His emergence as a go-to player looking to take pressure shots picked up after Memphis dealt Rudy Gay to Toronto in late January. Gay’s departure left the Grizzlies shy of players willingly to take the big shots and Conley hasn’t been shy about looking for the hoop in stressful situations. Conley is averaging 20.5 points over the last four games.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 10-2 in Thunder’s last 12 Saturday games.
* Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Memphis had 13 steals in Game 2, five from defensive standout Tony Allen.

2. Thunder reserve G Derek Fisher is 15-of-23 from 3-point range over his past five playoff games.

3. Gasol is averaging 22 points and shooting 59.3 percent from the field in the series.

The Grizzlies Return Home After Winning Game 2

Western Conference Playoffs Second Round
Game 3 - Series tied 1-1
Tip-off: Saturday, 5:00 p.m. ET
Line: Memphis -3.5 Total: 187.5

The Memphis Grizzlies return home to face the Thunder on Saturday looking for a win in order to go up 2-1.

The Oklahoma City snuck away with Game 1 but were unable to defeat the Grizzlies in their second home game. The Grizzlies won the game 99-93 behind a stellar performance from Mike Conley, who had 26 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists. To start this playoffs, the Grizzlies have gone 7-1 ATS while the Thunder are just 3-5. The Grizzlies were the underdog in Game 2, but that will not be the case when they head home, where they were 22-18-1 ATS during the regular season. In Game 2, the Grizzlies outworked the Thunder on the boards as they out-rebounded them by eight. Memphis was able to get 16 offensive rebounds in the game which was a huge difference maker. The Thunder were also careless with the basketball as they committed 19 turnovers in the game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder were right there at the end of Game 2, but just couldn’t put it together in the final three minutes of the game. Kevin Durant played an amazing game and put the Thunder on his back for the 43 minutes he played. Durant finished the game with 36 points (11-of-21 FG), 11 rebounds and nine assists. He did, however, miss an open three late in the game after freeing himself with a spectacular pump fake. Kevin Martin couldn’t get himself going in this game, as he scored just six points (2-of-11 FG) in 29 minutes. The only help Durant got offensively came from 38-year old Derek Fisher. Fisher played 26 minutes for Scott Brooks’ team and he scored 19 points (6-of-9 FG, 4-of-5 3PT) while hitting a number of clutch threes. The Thunder are going to need more out of Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins in this series. The two combined for just 15 (6-of-16 FG) points and 11 rebounds in the game.

After a tough loss in Oklahoma City in Game 1, the Grizzlies got right back at it with a 99-93 victory in Game 2. Mike Conley played one of the best games of his career, finishing with 26 points (11-of-22 FG, 2-of-7 3PT), 10 rebounds and nine assists. He hit a huge three late in the fourth quarter to take the lead for Memphis and then a deep two to put the game away. Marc Gasol also had a big game, as he dominated on both sides of the ball with 24 points (8-of-13 FG), five rebounds, five assists, two steals and a block. Despite missing two crucial free throws in the fourth quarter, Zach Randolph also had himself a good game. He was relentless on the boards with four offensive rebounds and he finished the game with 15 points (6-of-12 FG), eight rebounds and three assists. Tony Allen played the same lock down defense he has his whole career as he had five steals despite playing just 23 minutes due to foul trouble.

New York Looks to Steal Back a Win in Indiana in Game 3

Eastern Conference Playoffs Second Round
Game 3 - Series tied 1-1
Tip-off: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Indiana -4.0 Total: 184.0

After stealing Game 1 in New York, the Pacers head back to Indiana on Saturday to take on the Knicks in a 1-1 series.

The New York Knicks had to deal with a lot of media criticism after a poor effort in Game 1 against the Pacers, but they responded with an impressive victory in Game 2. New York outscored Indiana by 20 points in the fourth quarter, going on to win the game 105-79. The series is now tied at 1-1 both SU and ATS. The Knicks are winless in their last three games in Indiana, who were 22-19 ATS when playing at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in the regular season. New York was a solid road team ATS, going 21-19-1 in the regular season. Towards the end of Game 2, Raymond Felton tweaked his ankle. Felton was waving off head coach Mike Woodson when he tried to make a substitution for him, but he ended up coming out. Felton said that he should be ready to go in Game 3. Amar’e Stoudemire is also expected to play for New York after missing the past couple of months after a procedure on his knee.

The New York Knicks came out in Game 2 with a lot of heart after being called out for a miserable Game 1 effort. Carmelo Anthony played his best game of the playoffs so far, scoring 22 points in the second half for the Knicks, who desperately need him. Anthony finished the game with 32 points (13-of-26 FG, 2-of-5 3PT), nine rebounds and three assists in 35 minutes. The Knicks second best player in the game was Iman Shumpert. Shumpert provide the Knicks with a ton of energy and ended with 15 points (7-of-11 FG), six rebounds, three assists and a steal in 29 minutes. Raymond Felton continued his hot playoff shooting with 14 points (5-of-9 FG, 2-of-2 3PT) in 27 minutes. One concern for New York has been the play of J.R. Smith. After a miserable performance in Game 1, J.R. was even worse in Game 2 as he finished with just eight points (3-of-15 FG) in 30 minutes.

After stealing Game 1 in New York, the Pacers got away from the game that won it for them. Indiana allowed the Knicks to play at a fast pace and it really hurt the Pacers, who are an interior based team. Paul George was one of the only noticeable players for Frank Vogel’s team, as he finished the game with 20 points (8-of-16 FG). George did, however, turn the ball over seven times. Indiana as a team turned the ball over 21 times, which is something that can not be done in the playoffs. David West was the Pacers second leading scorer and he only had 13 points (4-of-7 FG) in the game. The Pacers starting five has been playing big minutes in this series and they have gotten little production from their bench.

MLB weather report: Winds blowing out at Fenway, Comerica

Various parks across the big leagues will have winds blowing out Saturday. Fenway Park in Boston and Comerica Park in Detroit could see gusts greater than 20 mph.

Here's our weather report:

Odds courtesy of BetOnline.com

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets (-122, 8)
Site: Citi Field

Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out to center field at 16 mph.

Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals (-182, 7.5)
Site: Busch Stadium

Wind will blow out to right field at 15 mph.

Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals (-210, 7)
Site: Nationals Park

Forecasts are calling for a 60 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds (n/a, n/a)
Site: Great American Ball Park

Partly cloudy skies and a 20 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out to left field at 11 mph.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (-190, 9)
Site: Fenway Park

Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out to left field at 21 mph.

Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers (-230, 7.5)
Site: Comerica Park

Partly cloudy skies and a 20 percent chance of rain is in the forecast for Detroit Saturday. Winds will blow out to left field at 21 mph.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins (-105, 8.5)
Site: Target Field

Strong winds will blow out to center field at 19 mph.

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals (-142, 7)
Site: Kauffman Stadium

Winds will blow in from left field at 11 mph.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox (n/a, n/a)
Site: U.S. Cellular Field

Winds will blow out to center field at 16 mph.

Three starters with 'over' value on the hill Saturday

Saturday's MLB schedule features three starters on the board that could be worth a look for over wagers. Why? Because their teams provide them with some of the best run support in the bigs.

Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox, (6-0, 1.60 ERA)

Buchholz is coming off the least impressive outing of his otherwise unblemished 2013 season. The Texan lasted six innings giving up four earned runs and seven hits versus the Minnesota Twins. His last two starts have gone over the number and the Sox supply the righty with an outstanding six runs of support per game.

Boston hosts the Toronto Blue Jays Saturday. The Red Sox defeated the Jays 10-1 with Buchholz on the mound on May 1.

Jonathon Niese, New York Mets (2-3, 4.66 ERA)

The Mets lefty has been a great over wager this season. He goes into Saturday's start with a 6-1 over/under record. Any $100 bettor would be up $539.02 if they had taken the over on each of Niese's starts this season. His 4.66 ERA, plus the fact that the Mets give him 6.29 runs per start, makes him a solid play on the over.

Niese and the Mets are home to face the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday. He was excellent in his lone start versus the Bucs in 2012, notching the victory with one earned run in 7 2/3 innings of work.

Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers, (5-1, 2.56 ERA)

Darvish gets the second-most run support in the American League with 6.71 runs per game. Two of his previous three starts have gone over the number and he is coming off a deep, 127-pitch effort versus the Red Sox on May 5.

The Rangers continue their series versus the Houston Astros Saturday. Darvish opened the season with a 7-0 victory versus Houston on April 2. He pitched 8 2/3 innings of one-hit ball.

English Breakfast: Premier League betting notes

The clock is ticking on the Premier League season. Clubs have just two games remaining and there is still some jockeying to be done for the final Champions League spots among Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham. There is also the final relegation spot to be settled at the bottom of the table. Here is a look at the 37th round of fixtures in the Barclay's Premier League.

Saturday also features the FA Cup final between giant Manchester City and minnow Wigan Athletic.

All lines courtesy of Bet365.com.

Saturday

Aston Villa (13th, 40 points) v Chelsea (3rd, 69) +350 +280 -118
Previous meeting: Chelsea 8, Aston Villa 0, December 23

* A Chelsea victory over Villa will guarantee at least fourth in the table and a coveted Champions League spot. They played to a 2-2 draw with Tottenham mid-week and have the Europa League final next week so some changes could be made in the starting lineup.

* Villa is still not mathematically eliminated from relegation and it should be gunning for points in front of its fans in the last game at Villa Park this season.

* There have been over 2.5 goals scored in seven of Aston Villa's previous eight matches.

* Chelsea is unbeaten in its previous six Premier League matches.

FA Cup

Manchester City v Wigan -300 +500 +850
Site: Wembley Stadium

* Manchester City should be able to field a full strength squad for the big FA Cup final. They will be looking for some silverware this season so expect the Citizens to out with guns blazing.

* The FA Cup run has bee a bright spot for Wigan this season. Especially considering the Latics are currently in a position to be relegated from the league.

* Manchester City has won its last seven matches versus Wigan in all competitions.

* Wigan has netted at least two goals in its last three FA Cup matches.

Sunday

Stoke (11th, 41) v Tottenham Hotspur (5th, 66) +350 +260 -110
Previous meeting: Tottenham 0, Stoke 0, December 22

* Tottenham must win both of its remaining matches to have any chance at a Champions League spot.

* Wigan's defeat last week means Stoke is safe and will return for another Premier League season.

* Tottenham is unbeaten in nine of its last 10 Premier League matches away from White Hart Lane.

* Stoke has scored the second-lowest amount of goals (32) in the Premier League.

Sunderland (15th, 38) v Southampton (14th, 39) +180 +220 +180
Previous meeting: Southampton 0, Sunderland 1, December 22

* A victory over Southampton will secure safety for Sunderland. The Black Cats managed a point in their last match versus Stoke.

* Southampton will also be looking for three points out of this fixture to secure a return to the Premier League.

* Southampton has not scored in its previous three matches.

* There have been under 2.5 goals in six of defensive-minded Sunderland's previous seven matches.

Norwich (16th, 38) v West Brom (8th, 48) +120 +240 +260
Previous meeting: West Brom 2, Norwich 1, December 22

* Norwich has just two wins in its previous 19 matches in the Premier League and will be desperate for the three points as it tries to avoid relegation.

* West Brom will close the season with a position in the top half of the table but will finish no higher than eighth.

* West Brom has beaten Norwich in its last three away matches at Carrow Road.

* The last three games at Norwich have all gone over 2.5 goals.

QPR (20th, 25) v Newcastle United (17th, 38) +240 +240 +130
Previous meeting: Newcastle United 1, QPR 0, December 22

* Like most of the campaign, don't expect much from QPR. it is already assured of relegation and has nothing to really play for here.

* Newcastle, on the other hand, will be hungry for three points and securing its safety in the Premier League.

* Newcastle is unbeaten in its last five matches versus QPR in all competitions. Four of those games were scoreless.

* QPR has not scored in seven of its previous nine home matches.

Everton (6th, 60) v West Ham (10th, 43) -200 +350 +650
Previous meeting: West Ham 1, Everton 2, December 22

* All of the focus will be on Everton gaffer David Moyes as he manages his last home game at Goodison Park. Moyes will take over at Manchester United once the season is complete.

* The Toffees sit sixth in the table and a victory will seal a Europa League spot.

* West Ham has little to play for, but will look to finish the season on a high note in its return to the top tier of English football.

* The Hammers have just one victory in their previous 13 matches away from home.

Fulham (12th, 40) v Liverpool (7th, 55) +290 +260 +105
Last meeting: Liverpool 4, Fulham 0, December 22

* Fulham will be desperate for points following a defeat to Reading in its last match. The Cottagers still need points to ensure safety.

* Liverpool is probably a lock to finish seventh, but will be without both midfielder Steven Gerrard and defender Daniel Agger.

* There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Liverpool's 12 matches away from Anfield.

* Fulham has lost its previous four matches in the Premier League.

Manchester United (1st, 85) v Swansea (9th, 46) -333 +475 +1100
Last meeting: Swansea 1, Manchester United 1, December 23

* Emotions will be high as this will be manager Alex Ferguson's last game at Old Trafford as Manchester United boss. The Red Devils have won 13 Premier League titles in Fergie's 26 seasons as manager.

* Swansea has nothing to play for as it will finish in the middle of the table.

* The Swans have allowed at least two goals in their last five away matches.

* Wayne Rooney could miss the game Sunday. Rumors are circulating that Rooney has handed in a transfer request to leave United.

Tuesday

Arsenal (4th, 67) v Wigan (18th, 35) -300 +400 +800
Previous meeting: Wigan 0, Arsenal 1, December 22

* Arsenal is in the hunt for Champions League football and will look to close the season with a pair of wins, starting with Wigan.

* Wigan will be fighting for survival and is desperate for a victory at the Emirates Stadium Tuesday.

* Arsenal is unbeaten in its last eight Premier League matches at home.

* Wigan defeated Arsenal 2-1 in this fixture last season.

Reading (19th, 28) v Manchester City (2nd, 75) +650 +320 -225
Last meeting: Manchester City 1, Reading 0, December 22

* Reading has already secured a relegation spot and will play in the Championship, the tier below the Premier League, next season.

* Manchester City will play in the F.A. Cup final versus Wigan Saturday.

* Reading has played under 2.5 goals in its past three games at home.

* Manchester City has given up a league-low 31 goals this season.

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Heat (-7) Friday.

Saturday it’s the Grizzlies. The deficit is 463 sirignanos.

JACK JONES

-= TOP PLAY =-

20* Thunder/Grizzlies ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on UNDER 188

I look for a defensive battle tonight between the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder. The longer a series goes, the more familiar teams become with one another, and the harder it is to score points.

Memphis and Oklahoma City combined for 184 points in Game 1 and 192 points in Game 2 for an average of 188 combined points. Given my theory, I believe there is a ton of value in the UNDER in Game 3 Saturday.

Neither team really can run, which is a huge edge towards the UNDER. Oklahoma City is playing at a much slower pace without Russell Westbrook, while Memphis is a half-court team at nature, and it will control the tempo playing at home tonight.

I look for a similar final score to the Memphis/LAC match-up in Game 3 of Round 1. The Grizzlies won that game 94-82 for 176 combined points. Memphis is scoring 94.1 points/game and allowing 87.2 points/game at home this season for a combined average of 181.3 points/game.

This play falls into a system that is 51-26 (66.2%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on any team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a playoff series which is tied, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma City is 12-4 to the UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. The Thunder are 17-3 to the UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Memphis is 11-1 to the UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.


15* Knicks/Pacers ABC Saturday ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -4

The Indiana Pacers are highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 after getting blown out in Game 2. They stole Game 1, and then proceeded to not show up in Game 2 because they were simply satisfied with taking home-court advantage from the Knicks.

That blowout in Game 2 will get their attention, and Indiana will be refocused and playing with a chip on its shoulder Saturday. The Pacers are one of the best home teams in the league this season, going 33-11 while outscoring opponents by 8.5 points/game. Indiana won its first three home playoff games over the Atlanta Hawks by 17, 15 and 13 points.

New York is expected to get Amare Stoudemire back in the line-up in this one, and he's likely to play 10-15 minutes. Stoudemire has been a huge plague on this team since Carmelo Anthony joined, and the Knicks for whatever reason struggle with him on the floor.

This play falls into a system that is 70-36 (66%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game).

Mike Woodson is 4-15 ATS in road games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996. Frank Vogel is 34-20 ATS off a road loss as the coach of Indiana. The Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The home team has won six of the last seven meetings with Indiana's Game 1 win in New York being the only exception. Roll with the Pacers Saturday.

Bettingcapper

PICK 1 :
Rapid Wien - WAC St. Andra
Today, 18:30
Football - Austria
Pick: Over 2.75
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 1.88 Bookmaker: PINNACLE

PICK 2 :
Manchester City - Wigan Athletic
Today, 18:15
Football - Eng. FA Cup
Pick: Manchester City -1.5
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 1.89 Bookmaker: PINNACLE


PICK 3 :
RCD Espanyol - Real Madrid
Today, 22:00
Football - Spa. Primera
Pick: Over 2.75
Stake: 10/10 Odds: 1.76 Bookmaker: PINNACLE

TD Pucks & Dunks
Long Ball #912 Arizona Diamondbacks -105 (2 Play)
Long Ball #919 Baltimore O's -110 (2 Play)

DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

05/11/13 Predictions

Season
Straight Up: 838-397 (.679)
ATS: 663-603 (.524)
ATS Vary Units: 1656-1548 (.517)
Over/Under: 651-615 (.514)
Over/Under Vary Units: 892-819 (.521)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game #3
INDIANA 94, New York 92

Western Conference Semifinals
Game #3
MEMPHIS 98, Oklahoma City 94

DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

05/11/13 Prediction

Season: 301-189 (.614)

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals
Game #6
Pittsburgh 4, N.Y. ISLANDERS 3

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Oklahoma City at Memphis[/h] The Grizzlies look to follow up their 99-93 win in Game 2 and build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games following an ATS victory. Memphis is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Pittsburgh at NY Islanders[/h] The Penguins look to follow up their 4-0 win in Game 5 and take advantage of an Islanders team that is 1-4 in its last 5 games when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in the previous game. Pittsburgh is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170). Here are all of today's picks.

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Atlanta at San Francisco[/h] The Braves look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 0-6 in Madison Bumgarner's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Atlanta is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

Cappers Access

Grizzlies -5
Knicks +4
Nationals(RL) -1.5(+108)

Hondo

WHITE SOX

Joe Wiz

Bonus Play Saturday Oakland/Seattle Over 7