Do write-ups on games really matter? Whats your opinion?

NFLTrends · May 10, 2013

They don't matter to me....

It seems you can make a write-up for ANY team and make it sound good. Its just a biased opinion on why someone likes a game, when on the other side, another person can make a write-up for the other team and make it sound good..

Seems like a waste of time for me, and some people seem to think they are a "God" because they give write-ups.

Betallsports · May 10, 2013

Lol, yeah some do want write ups if you are posting a pick. They say it because they want the reason for the pick.

doubledeuce22 · May 10, 2013

Agree, they are useless, often i find them annoying for lack of a better term. All that matters is the result.

Enfuego · May 10, 2013

I've said it before...

Don't care if you find a winning pick written on a pizza box, under the couch cushion or in the dog kennel. As long as it wins, who gives a shit?

Porcupine · May 10, 2013

Obviously if I knew they were winning picks in advance, I wouldn't care about the write-up, if the pick was on a pizza box, written in bird crap, etc. However, I do like to see why a capper is making a certain pick to see if I agree with that analysis. Right now I'm not a big fan of the "X team has lost 7 consecutive Tuesday games dating back to 1991" reasoning, but am into the match-ups, days of rest, motivation, etc.

Dave007inVegas · May 10, 2013

I someone doesn’t give an explanation, IE write-up, I assume he/she is throwing darts or flipping a coin.

Enfuego · May 10, 2013

Dave007inVegas said:
I someone doesn’t give an explanation, IE write-up, I assume he/she is throwing darts or flipping a coin.

And if a capper hit 58% I'm assuming you would care less if they provided a write up or not.

PatsFan1283 · May 10, 2013

Enfuego said:
And if a capper hit 58% I'm assuming you would care less if they provided a write up or not.

Well most people you can tell with their writeup if they have any chance of being +EV or not. So if someone wanted to trail someone that didn't have an impeccable long-term track record, they could use their writeup (or lackthereof) to determine if they had any clue or not.

Mr_Mark · May 10, 2013

Write ups can be annoying but I enjoy reading the well written ones

HacheMan · May 10, 2013

A winner is a winner, and you have to take 2 things into account regarding write-ups.

1. A guy could give thorough details as to why he is on the right side, and he may win the wager but the reasons for the victory could be something totally unrelated to his write-up. Nevertheless, he delivered a winning pick and the detailed explanation he gave prior to the game was irrelevant.

2. For every reason someone gives you in a write-up as to why the selection is the right one, you can counter with just as valid reasoning the other side will hit.

If someone is hot, or delivering winners more often than not through the years, then a write-up isn't necessary.

And don't forget this part...Almost every one of us who has been wagering through the years have been in a situation in which we liked one side initially, only to read something someone else wrote to change our mind and go the opposite of our original decision, and end up losing because that person's write-up changed our mind and cost us lol!

BostonBettor · May 10, 2013

Bottom line for me is how many units up or down I am with whatever capper I might be following. In the past, I have found some write ups useful in helping me figure out whether or not I agree with the play. I do think occasionally, one can spot strong arguments in favor of a play, or for that matter strong arguments not to go with the play depending on the capper's reasoning. Sometimes the logic is just flat out wrong -which steers me away or even puts me on the other side. Not essential to me, but occasionally useful.

casual · May 10, 2013

Mr_Mark said:
Write ups can be annoying but I enjoy reading the well written ones

agree

Dave007inVegas · May 10, 2013

Enfuego said:
And if a capper hit 58% I'm assuming you would care less if they provided a write up or not.

I don’t follow anyone. But I do enjoy reading opinions. In the end it’s my money and I make my own choices.

P.S. 58% is nothing special and it wouldn’t have gotten you in the money at the LVH Super Contest.

Enfuego · May 10, 2013

Dave007inVegas said:
I don’t follow anyone. But I do enjoy reading opinions. In the end it’s my money and I make my own choices.

P.S. 58% is nothing special and it wouldn’t have gotten you in the money at the LVH Super Contest.

And what percentage of handicappers actually reach 58% in any given sport in your opinion?

TyBounce · May 10, 2013

imo write-ups are useless , but for people giving write-ups the key is to keep it short and sweet. Get to the point and be done with it. Nobody wants to read 6 paragraphs of stats , trends , and innuendo.

GoBlue34 · May 10, 2013

I enjoy reading write-ups on a game (betting or not) but usually a case can be made for both sides.

Meaning someone on the Bulls Saturday could tell you all the reasons he is playing the Bulls and I will think "makes sense to me, let's play the Bulls." Then someone could write something on why they are taking the Heat with just as valid reasons and I would think "let's go Heat!"

Dave007inVegas · May 10, 2013

Enfuego said:
And what percentage of handicappers actually reach 58% in any given sport in your opinion?

I don’t know. My guess would be not many.

Enfuego · May 10, 2013

Dave007inVegas said:
I don’t know. My guess would be not many.

Why is it your opinion that 58% is nothing special if not many can do it?

Dave007inVegas · May 10, 2013

Enfuego said:
Why is it your opinion that 58% is nothing special if not many can do it?

There were 400+ entries in the LVH Super Contest (I don’t remember the exact number) of those 400+ only 22 finished in the money.

Those 22 picked between 61 to 63 percent. The rest picked between 11 to 58 percent.

Those who picked 58% won nothing. They are not special.

ERockMoney · May 10, 2013

Dave007inVegas said:
There were 400+ entries in the LVH Super Contest (I don’t remember the exact number) of those 400+ only 22 finished in the money.

Those 22 picked between 61 to 63 percent. The rest picked between 11 to 58 percent.

Those who picked 58% won nothing. They are not special.

The LVH Super Contest is also only 85 total selections, which is far from a credible sample size. If someone can hit 58% assuming -110 against a pointspread over a large sample of plays they are likely one of the most successful gamblers in the world.

Do write-ups on games really matter? Whats your opinion?

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