a system play for those into systems

Baseballstreak · May 11, 2013

Go against teams that won on the road in extras in previous same series game if those teams are not unbeaten and if they are not winners of 7 or more straight, as long as they outhit their opponent, overcome a deficit of 3 or more runs, and if their opponent biggest lead equals the runs scored. These teams lost 15 straight. Baltimore won on the road in extra innings yesterday, they are not unbeaten and they are not even close to a 7+ winnings streak, they outhit Minnesota 18-11 and Twins led by 6 and scored 6 runs.

Other than that, this is Johnson's first appearance of the season and his first career road start ever. I believe we have some value with Minnesota -101 today.

tkf18ny · May 11, 2013

lol why not bet based on the color of the first bike the starting pitcher ever had if you're gonna call this a system

boxgames · May 11, 2013

tkf18ny said:
lol why not bet based on the color of the first bike the starting pitcher ever had if you're gonna call this a system

hahahahaha

+1

AcesandFaces · May 11, 2013

tkf18ny said:
lol why not bet based on the color of the first bike the starting pitcher ever had if you're gonna call this a system

Because the color of the first bike the pitcher had is completely irrelevant; whereas EVERY parameter the original poster had is totally relevant for today's game between these two teams. The Twins are a powerful play today.

Baseballstreak · May 11, 2013

Aces and Faces said:
Because the color of the first bike the pitcher had is completely irrelevant; whereas EVERY parameter the original poster had is totally relevant for today's game between these two teams. The Twins are a powerful play today.

Exactly.

By the way, a simple version of this system looks like this:

Road favorites after winning the previous same series game are 0-8 if they trailed by 5 more in that game and if the opponents biggest lead in that game = opponents runs scored in that game.

The system is very simple and very specific.

Minnesota scored 6 runs yesterday and led 6-0 before losing it 9-6. Big come from behind win for Baltimore yesterday and now they are favored. Possible letdown.

TheBAZ · May 12, 2013

I don't know how or where you get data like that from, but great call. I read this earlier but just couldn't hit the "accept wager" button.

Baseballstreak · May 12, 2013

Winner

AcesandFaces · May 12, 2013

Baseballstreak said:
Winner

Great job identifying this play Streak. I appreciated your prior system plays that you posted as well (NBA Playoff totals mostly). Please keep posting these great system plays. They are invaluable. Thanks again.

Baseballstreak · May 12, 2013

Small & simple system for a Sunday game...

Series game 3 or 4 after winning by 1 as a big dog of more than +220...

These are on a 8-0 run since 2003...all 8 winners as road underdogs...some really big.

Cleveland +money

PizzyBaby14 · May 12, 2013

I'm on board with this one. This "system" sounds complicated as hell, but as long as youre making winning picks im game. BTW, I'm not on board because of your system but because the Indians are a hot team and Porcello is definitely hittable. Just going with the hotter team and a good line +122 on 5dimes.

AcesandFaces · May 12, 2013

Baseballstreak said:
Small & simple system for a Sunday game...

Series game 3 or 4 after winning by 1 as a big dog of more than +220...

These are on a 8-0 run since 2003...all 8 winners as road underdogs...some really big.

Cleveland +money

Love your database. Indians are a great dog today. Thank you

Baseballstreak · May 12, 2013

Cleveland came back to win it for us. So far so good with those systems. How did you do today tkf18ny ?

RussellPeters · May 12, 2013

Baseballstreak said:
Small & simple system for a Sunday game...

Series game 3 or 4 after winning by 1 as a big dog of more than +220...

These are on a 8-0 run since 2003...all 8 winners as road underdogs...some really big.

Cleveland +money

Thanks for the Cleveland winner. Just stick to posting your system plays bro!

LockedampLoaded · May 13, 2013

Nice job with the database. Anything today?

Baseballstreak · May 13, 2013

Lets keep it simple...

Same season road dog revenge May and later, lost last meeting as home underdogs in June or earlier, scoring 0 and allowing 6+ runs:

8-0 run since 2005 winning most of games by 3 or more (all as dogs).

Houston is the play but I will take the +2.5 alternative run-line to give myself some breathing room with a really bad team. I will post the odds for this line later today.

By the way, Sanchez lost last two decisions and he is no stranger to loses as huge favorite. He is 0-3 all time when favored by -220 or more. Norris has been solid in all but 1 start this season and he pitched very well against Detroit 10 days ago and had a chance to pick up a win if it was not for a blown save/loss in the 9th by his closer.

AcesandFaces · May 13, 2013

Baseballstreak said:
Cleveland came back to win it for us. So far so good with those systems. How did you do today tkf18ny ?

;-) He deserves it after his "first bicycle comment"...Systems are so much better than trends and yet, most gamblers don't understand their effectiveness. Thanks again Streak.

Baseballstreak · May 13, 2013

Got Houston +2.5 for 1.60. Not a big fan of those odds but will let it ride this time. Good luck all.

XSPower · May 13, 2013

Good luck today!!!!

XS

tkf18ny · May 13, 2013

Aces and Faces said:
;-) He deserves it after his "first bicycle comment"...Systems are so much better than trends and yet, most gamblers don't understand their effectiveness. Thanks again Streak.

systems and trends are both garbage and meaningless gimmicks

Baseballstreak · May 13, 2013

We all have our own opinion. The difference between two of us is this. i post my plays w/reasoning, regardless what that reasoning is, and you are not posting your plays. i am not going into other poster threads to tell them their style of handicapping is garbage, while you are doing just that. the question is, who is contributing to this site more, you or me ?

a system play for those into systems

New member

New member

Member

Member

New member

New member

New member

Member

New member

New member

Member

New member

Member

New member

New member

Member

New member

Your Bookies Worest Enemy

New member

New member

Forum statistics

Share this page