Finally, the UFC returns with a huge 13-fight card in Brazil. A highly anticipated battle between Vitor Belfort and Luke Rockhold is the main event. I’ve been waiting to break my 3-fight losing streak from UFC 159 and good news is here as i’ve found a top rated 3 unit play on this card. I’ve won 6 straight three unit plays and this one should be another winner. So lets get right to it, 3 official plays:
Luke Rockhold -140 vs Vitor Belfort +120 – grudge match now due to the trt comments made by Rockhold. Belfort is now 36 but still has fast and powerful hands. Rockhold is a rising star, still getting better with each fight. Key to the fight is the size of Rockhold, he is a very BIG middleweight with powerful long punches and kicks and has shown great reserve in recent fights. In the cage, Rockhold will impose his will and pick Belfort apart. Belfort won’t be able to get out of the way and he will take a lot of damage. I don’t think Belfort will react well when he realizes Rockhold is bigger and stronger than he is plus Vitor will get frustrated when he’s unable to land his power shots. Unlike Jacare and Tim Kennedy who were able to “survive” with good footwork and avoid Luke’s power, Vitor will get caught. Rockhold will be impressive.
3 units Luke Rockhold -140
Nik Lentz -170 vs Hacran Dias +150 – interesting fight here. Lentz has gone 2-0 as a featherweight but you can throw those fights out the window. This is a style matchup, 2 grapplers. My take though, Dias is just a better athlete and when they clinch I see him landing takedowns and having the advantage as far as ground control goes. Dias has terrible standup, but Lentz isn’t exactly a striker either. Lentz will shoot but Dias will avoid most takedown attempts. I just feel confident that Dias will control this fight from top and will win all the clinches. Probably one of the least exciting fights on this night, my money is on the underdog Dias who i thought would be a small favorite.
2 units Hacran Dias +150
Rafael Dos Anjos -180 vs Evan Dunham +160 – i gotta be honest, i really like Dunham but thats not why i’m taking him. I see Dos Anjos getting a little attention with his recent 3-fight win streak. Looking at the opponents of both fighters, I see Dunham right there even with Dos Anjos. So we’re getting a nice price with a guy who gives 100% effort each time out and has only really lost 1 fight. I don’t think Rafael is fast enough to pick Dunham apart and this will be a war where i see Dunham having the better chin. As far as wrestling goes, I will take my chances with the Dunham who will work to get back up if taken down.
1 unit Evan Dunham +160
“opinions” on other fights;
Ronaldo Souza -600 vs Chris Camozzi +475 – oh we got robbed on this matchup, Souva vs Philippou was going to be awesome. Letdown for Souza? sure, but still no chance of an upset here. Camozzi just doesn’t have the standup. I don’t think Camozzi has any chance because he can’t use his size advantage. Souza will easily do what he likes and will look to land something good and go for a submission. Can’t wait to see Jacare against the better middleweights in the ufc.
Jussier Formiga -140 vs Chris Cariaso +120 – a lot of hype for Formiga but once we see him, Dodson puts him on the canvas. Cariaso pretty durable fighter, i will go for the upset here as i am not feeling like Formiga is a top tier flyweight. Cariaso didn’t look good against Moraga but i believe that was more Moraga showing his best. A bounce-back effort for Cariaso as i see him earning a close decision win being more active in the fight.
good luck with your plays,
-boldtiger
Luke Rockhold -140 vs Vitor Belfort +120 – grudge match now due to the trt comments made by Rockhold. Belfort is now 36 but still has fast and powerful hands. Rockhold is a rising star, still getting better with each fight. Key to the fight is the size of Rockhold, he is a very BIG middleweight with powerful long punches and kicks and has shown great reserve in recent fights. In the cage, Rockhold will impose his will and pick Belfort apart. Belfort won’t be able to get out of the way and he will take a lot of damage. I don’t think Belfort will react well when he realizes Rockhold is bigger and stronger than he is plus Vitor will get frustrated when he’s unable to land his power shots. Unlike Jacare and Tim Kennedy who were able to “survive” with good footwork and avoid Luke’s power, Vitor will get caught. Rockhold will be impressive.
3 units Luke Rockhold -140
Nik Lentz -170 vs Hacran Dias +150 – interesting fight here. Lentz has gone 2-0 as a featherweight but you can throw those fights out the window. This is a style matchup, 2 grapplers. My take though, Dias is just a better athlete and when they clinch I see him landing takedowns and having the advantage as far as ground control goes. Dias has terrible standup, but Lentz isn’t exactly a striker either. Lentz will shoot but Dias will avoid most takedown attempts. I just feel confident that Dias will control this fight from top and will win all the clinches. Probably one of the least exciting fights on this night, my money is on the underdog Dias who i thought would be a small favorite.
2 units Hacran Dias +150
Rafael Dos Anjos -180 vs Evan Dunham +160 – i gotta be honest, i really like Dunham but thats not why i’m taking him. I see Dos Anjos getting a little attention with his recent 3-fight win streak. Looking at the opponents of both fighters, I see Dunham right there even with Dos Anjos. So we’re getting a nice price with a guy who gives 100% effort each time out and has only really lost 1 fight. I don’t think Rafael is fast enough to pick Dunham apart and this will be a war where i see Dunham having the better chin. As far as wrestling goes, I will take my chances with the Dunham who will work to get back up if taken down.
1 unit Evan Dunham +160
“opinions” on other fights;
Ronaldo Souza -600 vs Chris Camozzi +475 – oh we got robbed on this matchup, Souva vs Philippou was going to be awesome. Letdown for Souza? sure, but still no chance of an upset here. Camozzi just doesn’t have the standup. I don’t think Camozzi has any chance because he can’t use his size advantage. Souza will easily do what he likes and will look to land something good and go for a submission. Can’t wait to see Jacare against the better middleweights in the ufc.
Jussier Formiga -140 vs Chris Cariaso +120 – a lot of hype for Formiga but once we see him, Dodson puts him on the canvas. Cariaso pretty durable fighter, i will go for the upset here as i am not feeling like Formiga is a top tier flyweight. Cariaso didn’t look good against Moraga but i believe that was more Moraga showing his best. A bounce-back effort for Cariaso as i see him earning a close decision win being more active in the fight.
good luck with your plays,
-boldtiger
