UFC 161 Saturday - Give Us Some Winners Guys

I'll just go through the first 8. The last 3 I'd probably just parlay the faves (Yves, Maguire, Delorme) as I think those are all matches that heavily favor the betting favorite and are used to build up those guys.

Hendo v Rashad
These are two guys with very conflicting styles that both rely on a counter punch ability and clinch work. This one should probably be a pretty boring fight, unfortunately, where both guys stand out of range and try to jump into range to set up small combos. When either guy does get inside, one will clinch the other up and probably end up on the cage a lot. Rashad has been saying he's going for a UFC takedown record. I just don't see that, but either way, Hendo's not a guy that gets finished by strikes on the canvas and Rashad hasn't ever shown the ability to submit really anyone. Safe bet here is O2.5 -250, but I'm gonna save that for a parlay.

Miocic v Nelson
MMAth never works, but I'm gonna do it here. Nelson beat Struve who beat Miocic and both of those happened by brutal KO. Nelson's a better grappler than Stipe and can defend takedowns very well against most everyone. Nelson has shown time and again his overhand right is dangerous. Everyone knows this, and he still catches almost everyone with it. I'm going with a Nelson inside distance prop to reduce juice at -165.

Igor v Jimmo
Jimmo had a ton of hype when he came into the UFC. He was on an awesome unbeaten streak where he laid on opponents for 3 rounds and beat on them until the ref pulled him off or it went to a decision. Since coming to the UFC, he's KO'd Perosh and lost to James Te Huna. I don't believe the hype. I think Igor has a lot of value here at +220

Davis v Sexton
The women have a chip on their shoulders. Most of them are being paid peanuts and treated even worse. Because of this, I believe in every women's fight up to now in the UFC, a finish has occured. These women want to finish, they go all out, and throw the gameplans out the window to deliver excitement. I don't see anything different here. I like Under 2.5 -125.

Barry v Jordan
This fight is similar to Jimmo. Pat Barry may be even more hyped than Jimmo though. Shawn Jordan, on the other hand, has won 3 of his last 4 and can and will take Barry to the mat, grind him down, and get a win. I believe it will be by TKO, but just in case Jordan can't finish, I'll take Jordan at even money.

Shields v Woodley
Unless Shields' stand-up has improved incredibly over the last few months or Tyrone gets sick, Tyrone will have a striking advahtage and with his good wrestling and take down defense, he'll win this one. It seems like just yesterday that Jake Shields was beating the hell out of Dan Henderson in Strikeforce, but whatever, put Woodley -175 in a parlay with the first one.

Stout v Krause
I actually like Krause for value here. I think Stout's stand-up is a little better, but I think Krause is more crafty all-around and has good value at +200. I think it will be a decision win with a very close fight.

Pierson v Robertson
Robertson is getting disrespected in this one, is all I can say. The guy has lost 2 fights to Aaron Simpson and Mike Pierce. Everyone below the upper echelon of fighter, he has destroyed. I love Robertson to use his superior grappling and pick up the win at +125.

Thanks for your input Cowboy...

Hey matty, you got any bets for tonight,

CowboyT said:

Hey matty, you got any bets for tonight,

Click to expand...

I have a thread started, but kinda like you, I see a ton of value in some dogs...

-really like Igor. Hope he destroys Jimmo with a vicious knee/s.
-think Krause and Stout are a toss up, so def lay a little at +200
-I'm gonna go a little with Jake Shields though. At least I know he will take a beating if needed to give me a chance at some value.

may not be a bad little card.'enjoy