Service Plays Sunday 6/16/13

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NASCAR betting: Quicken Loans 400 preview

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads north to the Irish Hills and the Michigan International Speedway for the Quicken Loans 400 Sunday.

Michigan is one of the fastest racetracks on the circuit and the wide corners allow for passing.

Here’s our betting preview:

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+400). . . 521 points

Johnson, who leads all drivers with 521 points, dominated last week’s race at Pocono and picked up his third win of the season. Johnson has four top-fives and nine top-10s in 22 career starts at MIS.

Live dog: Clint Bowyer (+2500)

Bowyer has the highest driver’s rating for the last four races at Michigan. He finished in seventh place in both races at MIS last year and finished in eighth place in the pair of races in 2011.

Long shot: Ryan Newman (+4000)

Newman posted his second top-five finish of the season last week in Pocono. He has two wins, five top-fives and seven top-10s in 22 starts at MIS.

Key stat: Roush Fenway Racing has 12 Sprint Cup Series wins at Michigan, the most of any team.

Notable quotable:

“Regardless of new pavement or not, it’s wide-open racing, and you can run from top to bottom. The biggest thing used to be to find grip there. But with the new surface, there is a ton of grip now. Before, you had grip for maybe five laps, and then you’d just be out to lunch. But now the tire wear is all out the window, and the racetrack is very fast. And the wide racetrack is good. That’s what makes Michigan so exciting and so fun. That’s the biggest deal about it.” Kyle Bush on MIS.

Odds to win the Quicken Loans 400 courtesy of JustBet:

Jimmie Johnson 4-1
Matt Kenseth 7-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8-1
Denny Hamlin 10-1
Kyle Busch 10-1
Carl Edwards 12-1
Tony Stewart 12-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Greg Biffle 15-1
Kevin Harvick 18-1
Jeff Gordon 18-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Clint Bowyer 25-1
Ryan Newman 40-1
Joey Logano 40-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 40/1
Mark Martin 60-1
Jamie McMurray 60-1
Juan Montoya 60-1
 
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DCI Pro Basketball
The Daniel Curry Index

06/16/13 Prediction

Season
Straight Up: 855-406 (.678)
ATS: 670-623 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 1668-1585 (.513)
Over/Under: 664-629 (.514)
Over/Under Vary Units: 923-849 (.521)

NBA Finals
Game #5
SAN ANTONIO 99, Miami 96
 
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Heat, Spurs Try to Recapture Series Lead Sunday

"NBA Finals"
Game 5 - Series tied 2-2
Tip-off: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -1.5, Total: 187.5

With the Heat's Big Three putting on quite a show in Game 4, the NBA Finals series is now down to a best-of-3 scenario as the Spurs play their final home game of the season in Game 5 on Sunday night.

LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh combined for an amazing 85 points, 30 rebounds and nine assists to lead Miami to a 109-93 victory in Thursday's Game 4. The Heat made 53% FG and were the better team down low with a 50-38 points-in-paint advantage and 41-36 rebounding advantage. Offensively, the Spurs didn't shoot that bad, making 44.3% FG and 8-of-16 threes, but were done in by 19 turnovers. Game 4 was San Antonio's second home loss in the playoffs (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS), and ended Miami's three-game road skid in the playoffs, improving the club to 6-3 (SU and ATS) away from home this postseason. Like many great teams, the Spurs usually make adjustments after a loss, going 22-5 SU (82%) and 16-11 ATS (59%) following an SU defeat this season, outscoring these opponents by 9.4 PPG. And the Heat have now alternated wins and losses for 11 straight games, going 0-5 (SU and ATS) with a mere 85.4 PPG when following an SU victory since beating the Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Both teams will benefit from an extra day of rest, as Miami is 11-3 SU (9-5 ATS) with two days of rest this season, while San Antonio is 10-2 SU (7-5 ATS) in this same scenario of two off-days.

Miami is 14-6 SU and 11-9 ATS (55%) this postseason, but the offense has been really inconsistent. The team has shot below 41% FG in five games (1-4 record), but has connected on at least 49% FG nine times, winning all nine of those contests. After attempting 25 threes in their Game 1 loss, the Heat have reduced that in each game since, trying 19, 18 and then 12 shots from downtown. They have also done a fantastic job of protecting the basketball, committing single-digit turnovers in three of the four NBA Finals games. For the series, they have 21.5 APG and 10.0 TOPG (2.2 Ast/TO ratio). Miami has played exceptional defense for the majority of the NBA Finals, allowing only 89.2 PPG on 43% FG, but the team is not defending the three-point arc like it should. In the past three games, the Spurs are connecting on just half of their shots (34-for-68) from downtown. SF LeBron James (20.8 PPG, 12.0 RPG, 6.5 APG in series) is coming off his best game of the NBA Finals with 33 points (15-of-25 FG), 11 rebounds and four assists. In nine road games this postseason, he has 25.2 PPG (49% FG), 7.4 RPG and 5.7 APG. SG Dwyane Wade (18.8 PPG, 4.3 APG in series) had his best game of the entire postseason in Game 4 with 32 points (14-of-25 FG), six rebounds, four assists and an amazing six steals. In his brilliant NBA Finals career spanning 21 games, Wade is averaging 26.4 PPG (48.4% FG), 6.1 RPG and 4.6 APG. PF Chris Bosh (14.3 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 2.3 SPG in series) also had a strong Game 4, recording his third straight double-double with 20 points (8-of-14 FG) and 13 rebounds. He had posted just two double-doubles in his first 17 games of this postseason, and his work on the boards has been invaluable to his team. PG Mario Chalmers (8.3 PPG in series) who had zero points (0-for-5 FG), one assist and four turnovers in Game 3, played much stronger on Thursday. He scored just six points (2-of-3 threes), but had five assists and four rebounds to make up for another four turnovers. In his past three games, his ratings have been +30, minus-19 and +5. Although red-hot SG Mike Miller (7.3 PPG in series) was inserted in the starting lineup in Game 4, he took only one shot in his 21 minutes of action. For the series, Miller is an astounding 10-of-12 FG, including a blistering 9-of-11 on three-point attempts. SG Ray Allen (11.0 PPG in series) has also been on fire in the four games, making 15-of-24 shots (63%) and 7-of-13 threes (54%). He netted 14 points (5-of-10 FG) on Thursday, which was more points than he had in any of his previous 13 contests, where he averaged just 7.2 PPG. PF Chris Andersen (6.0 PPG on 7-of-9 FG in series) did not play in Game 4 because of a coach's decision, but he should be back contributing in some way on Sunday.

The Spurs fell to 14-4 SU and 12-6 ATS (67%), in these playoffs with the Game 4 loss, but they are still outscoring opponents by 8.2 PPG, and outshooting them 46.3% FG to 43.0% FG over these 18 contests. But after committing just four turnovers in the Game 1 win, the club has been much more sloppy with the basketball, producing 49 miscues (16.3 TOPG). The high number of assists (66) to made field goals (106) shows that this is still an unselfish basketball team willing to pass for the best possible shot though. Defensively, San Antonio has allowed 92.1 PPG on 43% FG (35% threes) in the postseason, but has not been able to stop Miami at times during the NBA Finals, allowing just 94.3 PPG, but on 47% FG and 41% threes. The Spurs have produced 8.8 SPG and 5.8 BPG, which has helped make up for a minus-1.5 RPG margin during this postseason. PF Tim Duncan (15.3 PPG, 11.0 RPG in series) had his most efficient offensive game of the NBA Finals on Thursday with 20 points on 6-of-10 FG and 8-of-10 FT, but had just five rebounds and one block in his 33 minutes. He also posted a minus-4 rating, a far cry from his +18 rating in Game 3. That being said, Duncan's NBA Finals career statistics are just amazing: 18-8 record, 21.5 PPG on 47% FG, 13.9 RPG, 3.1 APG and 2.8 BPG. PG Tony Parker (13.8 PPG, 7.0 APG in series) didn't seem too bothered by his hamstring injury in Game 4, producing 15 points (7-of-16 FG), nine assists and four rebounds in 32 minutes. Ten of those points came in the paint, which was a huge improvement from zero points in the paint in Game 3. SG Danny Green (16.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG in series) continues to sizzle during the NBA Finals, knocking down 19-of-28 threes (68%), although he's connected on just 3-of-10 from inside the arc. Green has scored in double-figures in all four NBA Finals games, and in each of the past seven home games (16.0 PPG on 53% FG and 59% threes). SG Gary Neal (13.5 PPG in series) has also been on fire this series, draining 12-of-22 threes (55%). During three straight double-figure scoring efforts, Neal has 15.7 PPG on 52% FG and 11-of-17 threes (65%). Both of these players have helped mask just how poorly SG Manu Ginobili (7.5 PPG, 3.0 APG in series) has performed. Despite being part of the team's "Big Three," the veteran has played extremely small this series (35% FG, 3-of-16 threes) and over his past 10 contests (35% FG, 9-of-37 threes, 24%). After a decent Game 1 (13 points on 4-of-11 FG), Ginobili has totaled 17 points on 6-of-18 FG (1-of-11 threes) in the past three games combined. If he can somehow break out of his rut, the Spurs will benefit greatly. SF Kawhi Leonard (11.3 PPG, 10.8 RPG in series) has been consistently good on both ends of the floor in the NBA Finals, finishing with 12 points and seven rebounds in Game 4. After starting the series off by going 7-for-21 from the floor in the two games in Miami, he's made 11-of-20 shots at AT&T Center over the past two contests. Reserve PF Boris Diaw (3.7 PPG in series) provided a nice spark off the bench in Game 4, scoring nine points with three rebounds in just 11 minutes of action. He was the only San Antonio player with a positive rating (+3) for the game.
 
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Heat at Spurs: What bettors need to know

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (1.5, 188)

Best-of-seven series tied 2-2.

There has been only one dramatic contest in the NBA Finals, which is now a best-of-3 series when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. The Spurs won a close game in the opener and put a 36-point drubbing on the Heat in Game 3, while Miami’s two victories have been by 19 and 16 points. Tony Parker’s hamstring is an issue for the Spurs, while the Heat crave another big effort from Dwyane Wade.

Wade rediscovered his form with a spectacular performance (32 points, six steals) in Game 4 that was easily his best of a postseason in which he has been severely hampered by a knee injury. “He’s willing to go out there and compete for his teammates and open himself up for criticism with expectations of something bigger,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said. “He’s giving us everything he has, and (Thursday) he was able to dig deeper and go to another place that we needed.” Parker has a strained right hamstring and revealed Saturday that it could tear at any time and that he would be sidelined for about 10 days if it were the regular season. Parker is hopeful that the two full days off between games will allow him to play better on Sunday after he gave a substandard performance in Game 4.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James had his best outing of the series with 33 points in Game 4 but his performance was just the third-most crucial behind those of Wade and center Chris Bosh. After a largely ineffective postseason, Bosh suddenly has three consecutive double-doubles and his 20 points matched his high of the postseason. He grabbed 13 rebounds and is averaging 14.3 points and 9.5 rebounds in the finals. “I don’t know really what the difference has been with Chris,” Spoelstra said. “All we know is we need it.” James was 15-of-25 from the field in Game 4 after going a combined 21-for-54 over the first three games.

ABOUT THE SPURS: Veteran guard Manu Ginobili is struggling through a woeful series. The 35-year-old Ginobili has scored seven or fewer points in each of the last three games and is averaging 7.5 points and shooting 34.5 percent from the field. “He’s having a tough playoffs, and hasn’t really found a rhythm or found his game yet,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “I think that he’s obviously not as confident as usual, and he knows full well he hasn’t performed the way he would like and the way he’s used to.” Power forward Tim Duncan is doing his part with two 20-point scoring games and three double-digit performances and guard Danny Green is 19-for-28 from 3-point range while averaging 16.5 points.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a win.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Heat’s last five road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs’ last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The NBA Finals has been tied at 2-2 on 27 previous occasions with the Game 5 winner claiming the title 20 times.

2. After matching the NBA Finals record with four turnovers in Game 1, San Antonio has committed 49 over the last three games.

3. Bosh was fined $5,000 for flopping in Game 4 after being lightly bumped by Duncan.
 
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Under trending in MLB Father's Day games

As we look forward to celebrating Father's Day this Sunday, we take a look at the over/under results during the past seven seasons in the MLB schedule on the day we celebrate dear old dad.

Over the past few seasons, Father's Day is a day on the calendar where we are used to a full slate of interleague games. This season, with the new IL format, the Washington Nationals at the Cleveland Indians is the only IL matchup on the board.

In total, there have been 105 games played on Father's Day. The over/under record is 49-54-2 in those games.

Since 2009, however, the trend is leaning toward the under. In that time, the under is 38-22 in the 60 Father's Day games.

Last year, the under went 11-4.

Here is a look at the O/U break down on Father's Day since 2006:

June 18, 2006: 8-7 O/U
June 17, 2007: 12-3 O/U
June 15, 2008: 7-6-2 O/U
June 21, 2009: 5-10 O/U
June 20, 2010: 5-10 O/U
June 19, 2011: 8-7 O/U
June 17, 2012: 4-11 O/U
 
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Sunday Night Baseball: Giants at Braves
By STEVE MERRIL

It's West vs. East on Sunday Night Baseball as the Giants take on the Braves in Atlanta.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves (-147, 8)

TIP TOP TIM NO MORE

Tim Lincecum is far from his ace days as he takes the mound on Sunday night. The righty is just 4-6 with a 4.70 ERA. He has given up 15 runs in his last three road starts against the Pirates, Rockies, and Diamondbacks. The Giants’ pitcher faced the Braves at home back on May 12 and gave up just two hits and three walks in seven innings while picking up a 5-1 win. Lincecum has been inconsistent this season; he has six starts in which he has allowed two earned runs or less. Those good outings have been mixed in with seven other starts where he has allowed four runs or more.

JULIO IS JARRING HITTERS

Julio Teheran is 4-3 with a 3.62 ERA on the year for the Braves. He has struck out 58 batters while walking just 15 hitters in 77 innings of work. The last time he was home, the righty nearly no-hit the Pirates. His next start was a rough one in San Diego as he gave up five runs in just six innings of work. He beat the Giants in San Francisco back on May 9. In that game, Teheran gave up three runs and seven hits striking out three while walking none. In his last 10 starts, Teheran has allowed six hits or more seven times.

INJURY REPORT

The Giants are a relatively healthy team. They have Angel Pagan and Pablo Sandoval on the disabled list. The Panda is expected to be activated around June 24th. They are also without Ryan Vogelsong who is dealing with a fractured right hand. Atlanta’s injury list is also short and about to become shorter with the return of Brandon Beachy on June 18. He had Tommy John surgery last year. The bullpen is without Jonny Venters and Eric O’Flaherty who both underwent Tommy John this season.

TRENDS

The under is 4-1-1 in the Giants’ last six Sunday games.
Giants are 4-1 in Lincecum’s last five Sunday starts

Braves are 12-4 in their last 16 Sunday games
The under is 5-1 in Teheran’s last six starts.

HITTERS TO WATCH

Brian McCann 10-for-30 vs. Lincecum
Justin Upton 11-for-47 vs. Lincecum

Buster Posey 2-for-3 vs. Teheran
Brandon Belt 2-for-3 vs. Teheran
 
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Confederations Cup betting: Day 2 matches

The FIFA Confederations Cup continues with two matches Sunday. Here is a quick cheat sheet for the two games kicking off Father's Day.

Mexico v Italy (+240, +210, +125)

Site: Rio De Janeiro

These two sides continue the action in Group A following the opening match between Brazil and Japan Saturday. Mexico has struggled to score in recent World Cup qualifying matches and is coming off a 0-0 draw against Costa Rica. The Italians might be without scoring-threat Stephan El Shaarawy due to a muscle strain. Italy had an underwhelming performance in a friendly against Haiti resulting in a 2-2 draw.

The last time the two nations played was a friendly in 2010. Mexico won 2-1.


Spain v Uruguay (-167, +275, +125)

Site: Recife

Spain is right behind Brazil for the tourney favorites at +163 and get action started in Group B. And with good reason. Spain has World Cup and European Championship trophies and is celebrated as the best team in the world. Oh. Also, the Spaniards haven't lost in 21 matches. Uruguay will have two of the best strikers in the world on display as Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez will lead a threatening strike force. However, Uruguay has suffered some bad losses in World Cup qualifying to teams like Bolivia, Colombia and Chile.

Spain defeated Uruguay 3-1 in a friendly in February as Pedro scored twice. In the six matches the two nations have played, Uruguay has never won.
 
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U.S. Open odds: Value in the field behind Mickelson

Phil Mickelson is the favorite heading into the final round of play at the U.S. Open and is the only player under par after 54 holes.

Par (70) was a good enough score for Mickelson to retain his lead and remain the favorite (+250) at Merion Golf Club with an overall score of 1-under. Lefty has never won the U.S. Open and will be celebrating his 43rd birthday Sunday.

Hunter Mahan (+600), Charl Schwartzel (+450) and Steve Stricker (+550) are all within stroke of Phil heading into the final round.

Justin Rose, Billy Horschel and Luke Donald are just two strokes back of the lead and also within striking distance Sunday.

Tiger Woods fell off the map Saturday after firing a 6-over 76 – his worst third-round score at the U.S. Open as a pro. He now sits at 9-over par for the tournament, making it virtually impossible for him to capture his fourth career U.S. Open title.

Here are the outright odds courtesy of Bet365:

Phil Mickelson +250
Charl Schwartzel +450
Steve Stricker +550
Hunter Mahan +600
Justin Rose +900
Luke Donald +1000
Billy Horschel +1400
Jason Day 1400
Rickie Fowler +2800
Ian Poulter +10000
Lee Westwood +10000
 
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Stephen Nover | NBA Sides - Sunday, Jun 16 2013 8:07PM
709 MIA -1.0(-110) Hilton vs 710 SAN triple-dime bet

Analysis:
The Heat have another gear. The Spurs don't. The Heat's Big Three are in their prime. Two of the Spurs' Big Three are past their prime and Tony Parker isn't 100 percent with hamstring and calf injuries. Miami has held Parker to an average of 11.3 points per game during the last 3 games. Ginobili is shooting 34.5 percent from the field during the series. Duncan is shooting 41.5 percent from the floor in the series. Contrast this with the Heat where LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh put together their best game of the series in Thursday's Game 4 109-93 victory. James was near unstoppable making 15 of 25 shots from the field, Wade was his old superstar self with 32 points and Bosh got his confidence going chipping in with 20 points. The Heat turned up the intensity and the difference was startling. The Heat stepped up in the fourth quarter in Game 4 finishing on an incredible stretch of scoring 51 points in 32 possession, which averages out to 159.4 points per 100 possessions. The Spurs can't match that kind of production. I see the Heat building on this. They have it together again. San Antonio doesn't and doesn't have the capability. The pressure is squarely on San Antonio to win this Game 5 home game. It's a new thing for some of the key San Antonio contributors such as Gary Neal and Danny Green. Not so for the Heat. They've been through this and their Big Three thrive on it. The Heat have covered 21 of their last 28 road games. They are 15-6 ATS on the road when playing an opponent with a winning home mark.
 
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NASCAR Sprint Cup Series
Quicken Loans 400

Sunday, June 16 – 1:00 p.m. EDT
Michigan International Speedway – Brooklyn, MI
The NASCAR circuit takes on a second straight long track on Sunday afternoon at Michigan International Speedway. This 2-mile D-shaped oval track was built in 1968 and remains one of the fastest tracks out there. Banking is 18° for all four turns, with a frontstretch of 3,600 feet (0.68 miles) banked at 12° and a much flatter 5° backstretch measuring 2,242 feet (0.43 miles). Since 2006, there has been only three repeat winners over these 14 races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Carl Edwards each have two wins during this stretch.

Odds to Win Race

Driver Odds
Jimmie Johnson 4-to-1
Kasey Kahne 7-to-1
Matt Kenseth 7-to-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 8-to-1
Carl Edwards 10-to-1
Kyle Busch 10-to-1
Denny Hamlin 10-to-1
Tony Stewart 12-to-1
Greg Biffle 12-to-1
Brad Keselowski 12-to-1
Kurt Busch 15-to-1
Jeff Gordon 18-to-1
Kevin Harvick 18-to-1
Martin Truex Jr. 22-to-1
Clint Bowyer 22-to-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 35-to-1
Ryan Newman 40-to-1
Joey Logano 40-to-1
Mark Martin 50-to-1
Juan Montoya 50-to-1
Jamie McMurray 60-to-1
Marcos Ambrose 75-to-1
FIELD (Any other driver) 75-to-1
Paul Menard 75-to-1
Aric Almirola 100-to-1
Jeff Burton 100-to-1
Trevor Bayne 500-to-1
Danica Patrick 500-to-1
Drivers to Watch

Denny Hamlin (10/1) - He is certainly back in the swing of things after missing four races with his back injury. Since his return, Hamlin has finished eighth or better in three of four races. The one exception was Dover, when he was racing from the pole position and leading for 41 laps before crashing. Hamlin's double-digit odds at Michigan are certainly favorable considering his history here (two wins, five top-5's in 14 starts). In the past four spring races at this track, he's finished 3rd, 1st, 1st and 34th last spring as the result of a crash. Expect a redemption performance and put your largest wager on Hamlin on Sunday.

Greg Biffle (12/1) - The defending champion of this track racked up his third career win at Michigan last fall, giving him an impressive nine top-5's in 20 starts at this venue. The streaky Biffle could be poised to go on a nice little run here as we approach the start of summer. After a 7.5 average finish over a four-race stretch, he then had six straight finishes outside the top-12 (25.0 average). Last week we predicted Biffle (35-to-1 odds) to contend at Pocono, and he made us look great with a second-place showing. You could certainly make the case of placing your largest wager on Biffle this weekend, as he and Hamlin appear to shine above the rest in terms of betting value.

Jimmie Johnson (4/1) - Maybe the weekly advice should be laying an automatic unit on Johnson, whose three wins in 14 races this season have come with 12-to-1 odds (Daytona), 4-to-1 odds (Martinsville) and 5-to-1 odds (Pocono). And even though he hadn't won at Pocono since 2004, we still picked Johnson as the best bet of the five chalkiest drivers last week (Hamlin, Kenseth, Kahne and Kyle Busch), and he sure came through. Johnson has never won at Michigan, but he's finished sixth or better five times in his past 11 starts at this track. In his past three starts, he came in 2nd place, 5th place and 27th last fall due to engine failure in a race he led for 23 laps. He's incredibly chalky for a driver that has never won at this venue, but Johnson is just too hot to ignore completely.

Matt Kenseth (7/1) - He has really struggled since winning at Darlington, placing 15th at Charlotte, 40th (engine problems) at Dover and 25th at Pocono. But this is exactly the setting to move back up the standings. His average finish is an impressive 9.6 in 27 career starts at Michigan, where he's finished outside the top-20 just once due to a crash in the 2007 spring race. The past two spring races, Kenseth finished runner-up in 2011 to Denny Hamlin, and then placed third last year. There is better value on the board, but Kenseth is still worthy of a small wager here.

Joey Logano (40/1) - There aren't a whole lot of darkhorses to choose from in this race, but Logano has performed well enough on all different sized tracks to like him again here. In the past eight races he's actually finished (excluding Kansas crash and Talladega engine problems) the 23-year-old has placed 10th or better six times (3rd, 3rd, 5th, 5th, 7th and 10th). He also has three top-10's in his past seven starts at Michigan.
 

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Basketball Crusher
San Antonio Spurs +1.5 over Miami Heat
System Record: 111-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 111-87-4
 

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Baseball Crusher
Arizona Diamondbacks -118 over San Diego Padres
(System Record: 41-4, won last 7 games)
Overall Record: 41-36-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Girona + ADAlcorcon OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Spain
Union + Velez Sarsfield OVER 2
This match is happening in Spain

(System Record: 412-15, lost last game)
Overall Record: 412-358-50
 

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MLB Report


Hot pitchers

-- Cueto was 2-0, 1.80 in his three starts between stints on the DL.
-- Cole won his MLB debut, allowing two runs in 6.1 IP. Greinke is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Hamels is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Teheran is 2-1, 1.57 in his last three home starts.

-- Strasburg was 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts before going on DL.

-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 1.29 in his last two starts.
-- Fister has a 2.31 RA in his last three starts, but Detroit lost all three, scoring a total of two runs.
-- Keuchel is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts. Santiago is 1-1, 2.92 in his last couple starts.
-- Holland is 4-1, 3.47 in his last eight starts.
-- Colon is 5-0, 0.75 in his last five starts. Iwakuma is 2-0, 0.88 in his last four outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Hefner is 1-2, 4.89 in his last six starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-2, 4.34 in his last three starts. Lyons is 0-2, 6.17 in his last two.
-- Peralta is 1-5, 7.82 in his last seven starts.
-- Garza is 1-1, 7.66 in his last four starts.
-- Chacin has a 6.61 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-1, 7.71 in his last four starts. San Diego lost last six Richard starts (0-4, 10.87).
-- Lincecum is 1-4, 6.75 in his last five starts.

-- Cleveland is 0-3 in Kluber's home starts (0-2, 3.86).

-- Lester is 0-3, 7.04 in his last five starts.
-- Davis is 0-4, 6.57 in his last seven starts. Hernandez is 2-2, 4.88 in his last four starts.
-- Walters is 1-1, 4.19 in his last three starts.
-- Wang allowed five runs in 7.1 IP in his first '13 start.
-- Sabathia is 2-2, 5.55 in his last five starts. Weaver is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts since coming off the DL.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Lyons 1-4; Nolasco 5-13
-- Peralta 4-14; Cueto 0-6
-- Garza 0-5; Hefner 5-12
-- Lincecum 6-13 (3 of last 4); Teheran 6-12
-- Greinke 2-8; Cole 0-1
-- Hamels 3-14; Chacin 2-12 (0 of last 7)
-- Kennedy 6-13; Richard 4-9

-- Strasburg 4-12; Kluber 1-9

-- Lester 4-14; Gonzalez 4-11
-- Davis 3-13; Hernandez 4-12
-- Fister 2-13; Walters 1-4
-- Santiago 1-6; Keuchel 1-7
-- Wang 0-1; Holland 0-13
-- Iwakuma 4-14; Colon 3-13
-- Sabathia 5-14; Weaver 2-5

Totals
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Cincinnati games stayed under total.
-- Four of Cubs' last six games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve St Louis games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Giant games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Colorado games.
-- Eight of last eleven San Diego games went over total.

-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Washington games.

-- Five of last six Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Tampa Bay games.
-- Eight of last nine Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven A's games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six road games.
-- Pirates won ten of their last fourteen home games.
-- Brewers won six of their last eight games. Cincinnati won four of its last six.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 away games. Miami won five of its last eight home games.
-- San Francisco won four of its last seven games.
-- Padres won eight of their last ten games.

-- Nationals won five of their last seven games. Cleveland won three of its last four games.

-- Baltimore won five of its last seven games.
-- Royals won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
-- Detroit won six of its last nine games. Twins won five of their last seven home games.
-- Astros won their last three games, allowing five runs.
-- Angels won their last three games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Oakland won 11 of its last 13 home games, but lost last two. Mariners won four of their last five games overall.

Cold teams
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Braves lost six of their last nine games.
-- Phillies lost six of their last eight games. Rockies are 6-8 in their last 14 home games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven games.

-- Red Sox lost three of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
-- Rangers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Bronx lost its last five games, scoring total of 12 runs.

Umpires
-- Chi-NY-- Five of last six LBarrett games stayed under total.
-- StL-Mia-- Last six Guccione games went over the total.
-- LA-Pitt-- Last three Estabrook games stayed under total.
-- SF-Atl-- Last five Emmel games stayed under the total.
-- Mil-Cin-- Six of last nine Holbrook games stayed under.
-- Phil-Col-- Five of last six McClelland games went over.
-- Az-SD-- Eight of last ten Scott games stayed under total.

-- Wsh-Cle-- Home side won eight of last eleven Carlson games.

-- Bos-Blt-- Five of last seven Rackley games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Tex-- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Fairchild games.
-- KC-TB-- Underdogs are 8-4 in last twelve Diaz games.
-- Det-Min-- Six of last nine Hoye games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Hst-- Eight of last eleven Baker games stayed under.
-- NY-LA-- Underdogs won eight of last eleven Vanover games.
-- Sea-A's-- Home team won six of last eight Culbreth games.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Detroit at Minnesota[/h] The Twins look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 2-6 in Doug Fister's last 8 starts as a road favorite. Minnesota is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, JUNE 16
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: St. Louis at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lyons) 13.543; Miami (Nolasco) 14.695
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Over
Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.371; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.445
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Under
Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Garza) 13.415; NY Mets (Hefner) 14.502
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Under
Game 907-908: San Francisco at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.030; Atlanta (Teheran) 15.142
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+135); Over
Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 14.370; Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.828
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over
Game 911-912: Arizona at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 15.814; San Diego (Richard) 14.216
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Under
Game 913-914: Philadelphia at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 13.922; Colorado (Chacin) 15.193
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Under
Game 915-916: Boston at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.804; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.637
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Over
Game 917-918: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davis) 16.777; Tampa Bay (Hernandez) 15.760
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+140); Under
Game 919-920: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 14.499; Minnesota (Walters) 15.404
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over
Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 14.874; Houston (Keuchel) 16.088
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Over
Game 923-924: Toronto at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Wang) 16.404; Texas (Holland) 15.497
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160); Under
Game 925-926: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.160; Oakland (Colon) 15.717
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under
Game 927-928: NY Yankees at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.976; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.953
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+130); Over
Game 929-930: Washington at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.291; Cleveland (Kluber) 16.131
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Over
 
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[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Miami at San Antonio[/h] The Spurs look to bounce back from their 109-93 loss in Game 4 and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. San Antonio is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, JUNE 16
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 709-710: Miami at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.185; San Antonio 134.285
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over
 
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[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Chicago at Atlanta[/h] The Sky look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Chicago is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4). Here are all of today's picks
SUNDAY, JUNE 16
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Indiana at Washington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.417; Washington 107.537
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Chicago at Atlanta (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.188; Atlanta 118.057
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 153
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+4); Under
Game 605-606: Phoenix at Tulsa (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.967; Tulsa 102.651
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 166
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 169 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6 1/2); Under
Game 607-608: Seattle at Connecticut (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 105.471; Connecticut 116.533
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 11; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 8 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-8 1/2); Over
 

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