Service Plays Monday 6/24/13

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Wimbledon 2013: Men's betting preview

It's time to break out the white duds and save some room for some strawberries and cream as Wimbledon is finally upon us.

World No. 1 Novak Djokovic is the favorite to win the event at +110 and owns the 2011 Wimbledon championship title.

Roger Federer is the defending champion having defeated Andy Murray in four sets in 2012.

Here's a quick preview for Wimbledon which gets underway Monday, June 24.

(All odds courtesy of bet365)

The favorites:

Novak Djokovic (+110): The top-seeded player in men's tennis is the fave and will look to rebound after a loss in the final in the French Open. Much like last year, however, Djoker is foregoing the opportunity to play in a grass-court warm-up tournament ahead of Wimbledon. He was ousted in the semifinal last year by Federer. The Serb is 33-5 on the year with three of those losses coming in clay-court tournaments.

Andy Murray (+333): Murray made a deep run to the final in 2012 before being defeated by Federer. The Scot has had a tough time during the clay-court season, going just 3-3 in three events. He had to skip the French Open due to a back injury, but will look to capture his second grand-slam event at the All England Club. Murray has been busy fine-tuning his grass game after posting a title victory in the Aegon Championship.

Rafael Nadal (+400): It isn't clay season any longer so Rafa is no sure thing, but he's still just about as good as it gets. The Spaniard was so dominant on clay that it's difficult to envision him losing another match. Rafa finished the clay season 38-2 and the winner of six titles. But he does not own such a sparkling resume on grass. He was upset in the second round last year by Lukáš Rosol. He does own two Wimbledon crowns (2008 and 2010) and has made the final three other times.

Roger Federer (+750): It is Wimbledon after all, so if Federer is playing, he's in the mix. The defending champion is going into the event having played some grass-court matches this season. Federer is coming off a title at the Gerry Weber Open in Halle, Germany and will give his all to please an adoring crowd in London.

The dark horse:

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (+2500): To be successful at the All England Club, you must possess a booming first serve. Tsonga has that and then some. Not only can his first reach speeds up to 140 mph, but he ranks 10th in first serve points won (76 percent) and second in service games won (88 percent). He has reached the semifinal in 2012 and 2011 and reached the quarterfinal in 2010. Perhaps this is the year where he gets his Grand Slam title.

Next:

Grigor Dimitrov (+12500): Dubbed "Baby Federer", Dimitrov is a name on the tongues of many tennis experts. He was a junior champion at Wimbledon in 2008 and has reached the second round in back-to-back Wimbledon's on the senior circuit. The Bulgarian has yet to win a title on the men's tour but with plenty of fairy tales written on the grass courts of the All England Club, perhaps Dimitrov's time is now.
 
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Wimbledon 2013: Women's betting preview

Odds on the ladies' draw are a bit more lop-sided as Serena is the favorite in England. The name Williams is synonymous with success at the All England Club. Either Serena or Venus has won 10 of the previous 13 Wimbledon championships and Serena is the defending champ.

Here's a look at some betting notes ahead of the ladies action.

Wimbledon begins Monday, June 24.

(Odds courtesy of bet365)

The favorite:

Serena Williams (+100): Is there a more dominant force in tennis? 23-0 on clay. 21-3 on hardcourts. It doesn't seem to matter the surface, Serena just wins. She is the overwhelming favorite heading into Wimbledon and deservedly so. She's stroked her way to 31 straight victories on the ladies' tour and has won three of the last four Wimbly championships.

Almost there:

Petra Kvitova (+1000): The 2011 Wimbledon champion has the talent to compete for the championship, but she has had a very up-and-down year in 2013. The Czech is 28-14 overall and is coming off a very underwhelming clay-court season where she went 11-6. Kvitova only reached the second round of the Aussie Open and the third round of the French Open, but will look to turn her game around on the more comfortable grass courts of the All England Club.

Perhaps...

Li Na (+1400): She has the game to compete and has reached the final of the Aussie Open already this year, but she went through a terrible spell during the clay season going just 5-4. Na has reached three finals this year and at 31 years of age, her window is closing.

If you're daring:

Sloane Stephens (+3300): Some good showings in the Grand Slam events this season with a semifinal in the Aussie and a fourth-round appearance in the French. Sloane has definitely peaked in the big tourneys this year, as she has been bounced early from events in Madrid, Charleston, Indian Wells and Dubai. She has talent and perhaps Wimbledon is where she polishes her game and takes the next step.
 
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Blackhawks at Bruins: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins (-125, 4.5)

Blackhawks lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

The Boston Bruins have been here before - facing elimination prior to hosting Game 6 of the Stanley Cup final against the reigning Presidents' Trophy winner. After responding admirably with a pair of wins against Vancouver in 2011, the Bruins will look to take the first step in that regard on Monday when they host the Chicago Blackhawks. Adding to Boston's uphill climb is the uncertain status of two-way center Patrice Bergeron, who is listed as day-to-day with what coach Claude Julien referred to as a "body" injury.

"I don't know if he will skate (Monday)," Julien said of the King Clancy Memorial Trophy recipient. "He may. That's what day-to-day is. I'm trying to be as clear as I can be here." Chicago has its own injury issue to address as captain Jonanthan Toews sat out the entire third period of the team's 3-1 triumph in Game 5 with an upper-body injury. "Johnny is doing much better today," coach Joel Quenneville said the reigning Selke Trophy winner. "He's progressed, and we're optimistic that he'll be playing (Monday) night."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: With two goals on Saturday, Patrick Kane has scored seven times in as many games to seize a share of the NHL lead. Game 6 of the Stanley Cup brings about fond memories for the 24-year-old Kane, who beat then-Philadelphia goaltender Michael Leighton from a sharp angle to ignite a wild celebration in 2010. Kane's knack for the big goal isn't lost on his teammates. "That's the type of player he is," defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson said. "When it comes down to the wire in big games, that's when he wants the puck. That's when he wants to score the big goals."

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Should Bergeron be a spectator, Julien can take solace in knowing that rookie Carl Soderberg stepped up admirably in his absence on Saturday. Brad Marchand, however, has struggled mightily in the Stanley Cup final as the Nova Scotia native is still searching for his first point. "Pucks aren't finding their way into the net and I'm not making many plays," Marchand admitted on Sunday. That's a far cry from his five-goal effort versus the Canucks in 2011.

TRENDS:

* Bruins are 7-1 in their last eight home games.
* Under is 11-2-2 in Blackhawks’ last 15 road games.
* Under is 4-1 in Bruins’ last five home games.

OVERTIME

1. Kane is tied with Boston C David Krejci and Bergeron with an NHL-leading nine goals. He also shares top honors with Bruins RW Nathan Horton with 19 points.

2. Boston captain Zdeno Chara was on the ice for all three of Chicago's goals in Game 5 and eight of the last nine.

3. Should the Bruins win on Monday, the series shifts back to the United Center for Game 7 on Wednesday.
 
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Bruins favorites in Game 6; big series underdogs

The Chicago Blackhawks have moved from -130 Stanley Cup Final series favorites to -340 after their 3-1 victory in Game 5 Saturday.

The Blackhawks now have a commanding 3-2 series lead, but are +115 underdogs for Game 6 Monday night in Boston, which is now a +280 series dog.

Game 5 winners in a 2-2 Cup Final scenario have gone on to win the Cup nearly 70 percent of the time since 1939.

Chicago captain Jonathan Toews sustained an upper-body injury Saturday night after taking a hit in the third period and is questionable for Monday. Toews has two goals and 12 points for Chicago in 22 playoff games this season.

The Bruins responded with a thrilling come-from-behind victory over the Toronto Maple Leafs in their only previous elimination game this year. The B’s erased a three-goal deficit late in the third period to force overtime and set up Patrice Bergeron for the game-winner.

Bergeron suffered an undisclosed injury during Game 5 and was taken to a local hospital for evaluation. He has since been released, but his status for Game 6 is unknown. The 27-year-old has been a key cog for the Bruins, netting nine goals and adding six assists this postseason.

Boston is 8-3 in elimination games over the past five seasons (6-4-1 over/under).
 
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Rounding the bases: The best bets in the bigs

Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in Major League Baseball.

For the week of June 17-23.

Hot team: Toronto Blue Jays
Last week: 6-0
Season: 38-36
Upcoming schedule: at Rays, at Red Sox

Skinny: The Blue Jays have won a franchise record-tying 11 consecutive games heading into a three-game set with the Tampa Bay Rays.

Cold team: Kansas City Royals
Last week: 2-4
Season: 35-38
Upcoming schedule: vs. Braves, at Twins

Skinny: The Royals halted a four-game slide with a 7-6 win over the Chicago White Sox Sunday. They were only able to conjure up two wins behind James Shields last week. Kansas City’s other four starters went 0-4.

Over team: Oakland Athletics
Last week: 5-1-1 over/under
Season: 43-34-1
Upcoming schedule: vs. Reds, vs. Cardinals

Skinny: The A’s averaged 5.3 runs per game and allowed 5.1 in seven games last week .

Under team: St. Louis Cardinals
Last week: 1-5 over/under (not including Sunday night game)
Season: 38-34-3 over/under
Upcoming schedule: at Astros, at A’s

Skinny: Cardinals pitchers held the opposition to an average of three runs per game last week.
 
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NL Central teams a great under play last week

National League Central teams were an awesome under play last week.

The Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers had a combined 7-24-2 over/under record (not including the Cardinals' Sunday night game).

Here is a breakdown of how each team fared:

Chicago Cubs: 1-6 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $441.81

Pittsburgh Pirates: 1-5-1 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $394.74

Cincinnati Reds: 1-5-1 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $359.20

St. Louis Cardinals: 1-5 over/under (not including results from Sunday nighter)
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: $342.65

Milwaukee Brewers: 3-3 over/under
Profit for $100 under bettor on each game: -$20.12

Every team in the division has Monday off and all five teams will be back in action Tuesday.
 
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Confederations Cup odds: Spain the team to beat

Spain (+110) is the new favorite at the Confederations Cup.

The Spaniards wrapped up Group B play with a convincing 3-nil win over Nigeria and will square off with Italy on Thursday in the semifinals.

Brazil, which was the pre-tournament favorite (+140), will take on Uruguay in the other semifinal matchup on Wednesday.

Here are the outright odds courtesy of UWIN:

Spain +110
Brazil +140
Italy +550
Uruguay +1200
 
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DCI Pro Hockey
The Daniel Curry Index

06/24/13 Prediction

Season: 321-198 (.618)

Stanley Cup Finals
Game 6, best-of-7
BOSTON 3, Chicago 2
 

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LA Syndicate Monday Top Play
Saturday 4-1 & Sunday 3-1 - Last 2 Days 7-2 Run
Los Angeles Dodgers -106
 

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Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks + Boston Bruins OVER 4.5
(System Record: 78-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 78-55-4
 

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Baseball Crusher
Toronto Blue Jays +105 over Tampa
(System Record: 45-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 45-40-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Malmo FF+ Elfsborg UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Sweden

(System Record: 416-15, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 416-361-52
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Hondo

Philadelphia Phillies

"Hondo connected with the Mets and Reds yesterday and could have made it a trey, if not for the brutal, bumbling and boneheaded Bosawx, whose flop in Detroit caused a reduction in the deficit to only 420 conleys.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch expects Cliffy to provide some cheers in San Diego — 10 units on the Phillies."
 

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MLB Report

Hot pitchers

-- Ryu is 3-0, 1.78 in his last five home starts. Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 5-0, 2.31 in his last six starts. Stults is 4-1, 1.58 in his last seven.


-- Jimenez is 1-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Rogers is 2-0, 2.11 in four starts this season.


Cold pitchers
-- Britton is 1-1, 5.56 in two starts this season.
-- Hellickson has a 7.43 RA in his last four home starts.


Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........

-- Bumgarner 0-15; Ryu 3-14 (0 of last 7)
-- Lee 1-15; Stults 4-15 (3 of last 4)

-- Jimenez 4-14 (0 of last 4); Britton 1-2
-- Rogers 1-4; Hellickson 7-15 (0 of last 5)


Totals
-- Over is 11-5-2 in last eighteen San Diego games.
-- Last four Dodger home games went over the total.

-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cleveland won four of its last five games.
-- Blue Jays won their last eleven games, scoring 70 runs.

Cold teams
-- San Diego lost four of its last six games. Phillies lost three of last four.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine games. Dodgers lost four of their last five home games.

-- Orioles lost their last three games, allowing 24 runs.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last twelve games.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Toronto at Tampa Bay[/h] The Rays look to build on their 5-0 record in Jeremy Hellickson's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, JUNE 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.568; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.712
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Over
Game 903-904: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.513; San Diego (Stults) 15.226
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under
Game 905-906: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 16.972; Baltimore (Britton) 16.053
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over
Game 907-908: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 14.864; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.226
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under
 
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[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Chicago at Boston[/h] The Blackhawks look to follow up their 3-1 win in Game 5 and build on their 16-7 record in their last 23 games after a win by two goals or more in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, JUNE 24
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 61-62: Chicago at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.704; Boston 12.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-130); 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110); Over
 
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1048-787 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner Mon Baltimore -130
 

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