Service Plays Tuesday 6/25/13

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GL!

Nadal's early exit shakes up Wimbledon futures

Rafael Nadal’s early exit at Wimbledon Monday has shaken up the outright futures odds heading into Day 2.

Andy Murray opened at +333 and is now being dealt at +225 after cruising through his opening match.

Roger Federer is now +400 after his path to the semis became much easier with Nadal’s loss. The two rivals were on a collision course to meet in the quarters. The seven-time Wimbledon champ opened at +700.

Novak Djokovic, who opened as the favorite at +110, is now -110 before even seeing action at the All England Club. He opens against Florian Mayer Tuesday morning.

Rangers at Yankees: What bettors need to know

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees (+123, 7.5)

Yu Darvish will vie for his first victory in nearly six weeks on Tuesday when the Texas Rangers open a three-game series against the host New York Yankees. The major-league leader in strikeouts fanned 10 batters in his lone career outing versus New York on April 24, 2012. Darvish would be smart to keep an eye on promising rookie Zoilo Almonte, who wrapped up his first major-league series against Tampa Bay by going 7-for-11 with a home run and four RBIs.

Darvish will be opposed by Japanese countryman Hiroki Kuroda, who recorded his first victory since May 17 when he blanked his former team - the Los Angeles Dodgers - in his last trip to the mound. That victory was just the fourth in 12 games for the Yankees, who have mustered three runs or fewer in seven of those contests. Texas enjoyed a well-deserved day off after going 20 without one - capped by a fifth straight victory with a 2-1 triumph over St. Louis on Sunday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSSW (Texas), YES, WWOR (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Yu Darvish (7-3, 2.84 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (7-5, 2.78)

Darvish, who last won on May 16, was originally slated to pitch on Sunday against St. Louis, but saw his start pushed back to make room for Martin Perez. The young fireballer yielded five runs on six hits in as many innings to take the loss versus Oakland in his last turn. Darvish has pitched well on the road, winning three of four decisions while brandishing a 0.76 WHIP and limiting the opposition to a .155 batting average.

Prior to defeating the Dodgers, Kuroda posted an 0-3 mark in his previous five starts despite permitting just 14 runs. The 38-year-old is just 1-2 in his career versus Texas, despite striking out 16 batters and registering a 2.57 ERA. Kuroda is 5-2 with a 2.08 ERA at Yankee Stadium this season.

TRENDS:

* Rangers are 1-5 in Darvish’s last six starts.
* Under is 7-0 in Darvish’s last seven starts vs. American League East foes.
* Yankees are 5-1 in Kuroda’s last six home starts.

WALK-OFFS

1. New York 1B Mark Teixeira is still experiencing pain in his right wrist after more than a week removed from receiving a cortisone shot.

2. Texas 2B Ian Kinsler, who had the tiebreaking RBI single in the seventh on Sunday, has 11 singles during his seven-game hitting streak. Kinsler is 2-for-9 in his career versus Kuroda.

3. The Yankees have won 15 of their last 20 home games versus the Rangers.

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners - UNDER 7 RUNS (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Locke vs Saunders
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays.

Tuesday: Red Sox. Deficit: 708 sirignanos.

Chicago Syndicate Top Plays Tuesday (Nice 1-0 Night Monday on Over Bruins)

Brewers
Tigers
White Sox

LA Syndicate Top Plays Tuesday (1-0 Night on Monday with the Dodgers also 8-2 last 3 days)

Yankees
Tigers
Rockies
A's
Mariners/Pirates Under 7

ScLiveDogs

Why we like the Tigers on Tuesday
at -125...here we have two teams that are playing at two different levels at
this point in the season. The Angels are experiencing a 8-13 June with a 33-43
overall record while the Tigers are experiencing a 13-8 June with a 42-32
overall record. The Angels will be pitching CJ Wilson who comes into Tuesdays
game with a respectable 3.61 era on the season but does have a bloated road era
of 4.91 through 40 innings. There are a few negatives that jump off of the page
with Wilson; first off, he carries a 4.80 era in first innings this season where
he has allowed 4 Doubles, 3 HRs, 11 BBs & 10 Ks through his 15 1st innings.
Next, Wilson will be pitching this game on 5 days of rest, and on the season he
has a 3.98 era on 5 days of rest where he has allowed 32 hits in 31 innings
while allowing 5 HRs. Lastly, Wilson has made two starts IN Detroit since 2011
where he allowed a combined 15 hits, 11 runs & 8 BBs through 12 innings of
work. This Tigers team has a combined .247 average against Wilson with 3 HRs
through 158 ABs while Miguel Cabrera & Prince Fielder have a combined .445
average off of Wilson through 31 ABs. The Tigers will be pitching Rick Porcello
who comes into this game with a 4.74 overall era but does come in with a 3.32
era over his last 19 innings of work where he allowed 15 hits on 2 BBs and 16
Ks. Porcello does have a 4.46 era at home on the season but there is room for
encouragement as he has allowed just 3 HRs at home compared to the 10 HRs that
he has allowed overall on the season. From a bullpen standpoint, the Tigers have
the edge with a 3.99 era compared the Angels 4.15 era. With Porcello pitching
deeper into games at home compared to Wilson on the road, the Tigers pen will
have the advantage. From an offensive standpoint, the Angels are averaging 5.1
rpg over their last seven games with a .294 average while the Tigers are
averaging 5.3 rpg over their last seven games with a .317 average as well as
averaging 5.4 rpg with a .281 average and 18 HRs against LHPs on the season. A
few trends to keep in mind is that the Angels are 2-3 after playing with a day
off while the Tigers are 5-1 after playing with a day off. The Angels are 13-20
in road games while the Tigers are 26-13 in home games. Play on the Tigers on
Tuesday at -125.

Handicapping Kings

PJ ( Our resident Tennis Capper)

ATP TENNIS

Bernard Tomic +115 Sam Querrey (8am)

Blaz Kavcic +205 Jan-Lennard Struff (630am)

Philipp Petzschner +120 Michal Przysiezny (630am)

WTA TENNIS

Kimiko Date Krumm +115 Carina Witthoeft (630am)

Daniela Hantuchova -225 Klara Zakopalova (11am)

[h=1]WNBA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]Indiana at Atlanta[/h] The Dream look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games in Atlanta. Atlanta is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-13). Here are all of today's picks

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Bonus Plays are 1048-788 (58 + %) over the last 5 1/2 years !

Free winner TUES Tigers -140

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Tuesday

Cards/Astros over 8.5

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Minnesota at Miami[/h] The Marlins look to build on their 5-1 record in Jose Fernandez' last 6 starts against a team with a losing record. Miami is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

WNBA PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO

Play Over - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 an explosive offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good offensive team (72-76 PPG), after allowing 70 points or more in 2 straight games
49-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.0% 27.0 units )

WNBA PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO

Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG), after scoring 90 points or more
67-39 since 1997. ( 63.2% 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

WNBA PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO

Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 after allowing 70 points or more in 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 75 points or more
109-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.3% 45.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )

StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at SEATTLE

Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PITTSBURGH) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
151-71 since 1997. ( 68.0% 56.9 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% -3.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends - FoxSheets

MLB PITTSBURGH at SEATTLE

PITTSBURGH is 41-24 (+28.1 Units) against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.

The average score was: PITTSBURGH (4.0) , OPPONENT (3.1)

DAVE ESSLER

Tuesday MLB Thoughts

Arizona at Washington: Tons of disrespect for Cahill and the 'Zona bats here, and there is simply no chance of lay -150 on the Nats anemic offense.

In Wrigley I can't back Jackson, and as I predicted he'd get killed there and is allowing opposing hitters to bat .324 against him, and only about .232 on the road. I see the early money is on the Cubs, too. Lohse is hittable and the last game against Houston can be thrown out and chalked up to the fact it was Houston. Cubs RL perhaps.

Kendrick doesn't walk very many, but his WHIP is 1.22 meaning hits. He's been able to make the key pitch, but I can't go to that well on the road, so Padres or nothing.

A little surprised Darvish opened at -140 at the Yankees, even given it's the Yankees offense. And so it seems are the bettors since it's down in most shops already. Tough not to take Kuroda as a home dog here.

They are STILL giving CJ Wilson too much credit, although I have never been a Porcello fan. With that in mind and not having checked the weather, I do lean over but would watch that number carefully. Given the Angels woes (the Brewers pitchers are hitting about the same as Josh Hamilton) I cannot take them.

Masterson is a different pitcher away from home, and Tillman has been, if nothing else, consistent. Haven't checked this weather either but the Indians simply don't fare as well against RHP this season, so I lean Baltimore and under.

Matt Moore has seriously regressed to the point where I cannot back him, especially when combined with one of the worst bullpens in baseball this season. Probably taking Bruno's Birds here.

Jose Fernandez is the only backable starter the Fish have, and given that the Twins won't have a DH the Marlins are probably favored for a reason.

There is zero chance of laying -160 with Dempster against the Rockies with a DH in Fenway. Unless there's some injury I haven't seen yet, I'll take the Rockies, and with a big total the RL isn't too expensive.

Only bet I could make in the Royals game is under. Too tempting at 7.5 to take the over, but these are the two best bullpens in baseball.

The Mets are a better bet on the road and with Wheeler, who of course Chicago hasn't seen, taking them is not out of the question, and neither is the under.

In a big park like the A's, any pop the Reds might have had is somewhat mitigated. A's or nothing.

They all of a sudden love the Pirates and Locke enough to make the significant road favorites at Seattle. Saunders hasn't given up more than three earned runs in a month, so this should stay under, given the Pirates pen and with a DH Locke can pitch a few extra innings.

Cappers Access

Royals+100
Reds+120