Quaker State 400 @ Kentucky

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CUP YTD: +10.01 units
Weather has me a little hesitant tonight, but went through with these plays and hoping to go full distance
MATCH-UPS
2.00 units Brad Keselowksi (-125) over Denny Hamlin
This Blue Deuce team has been on a downward spiral with all the turmoil the last few months (only 1 Top 10 last 8 starts) but this looks to be the race to get back on track, it has to be for their sake. Top 10 starting spot, good practice numbers and Kez won here last year
2.00 units Martin Truex (-115) over Tony Stewart
Going with the hot driver in this one, he may be a little undervalued this week
1.50 units Martin Truex (+215) over Carl Edwards
Speaking of undervalued, got to try this one
1.50 units Brian Vickers (-115) over Jamie McMurray
Love it when Vickers is in the 55 for MWR

PROPS
2.00 units Kevin Harvick (-115) under 10.5
You have to go back 7 races since Harvick finished outside the Top 10
1.50 units Martin Truex (+150) Top 10
Once again like the value in this line

OUTRIGHTS
1.66 units Jimmie Johnson (+425)
I don't like playing the favorite but on paper this looks like another Pocono
0.60 unit Brad Keselowski (+1000)
Needs a great finish badly....a win would be even better
0.50 unit Kasey Kahne (+1200)
KK finished 2nd here last year and ran 2nd at somewhat similar 1.5 tracks at Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte
0.40 unit Kevin Harvick (+2000)
Maybe Top 5 or better
Good luck

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New member
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Forgive me as I vent........but I am no Jimmie Johnson fan and I dislike Knaus..........but my hatred multiplies when they cost me!!!!! Would have had a second straight 12 unit race if not for "5 time" screwing up!!!!!!! OK, I'll shut-up now
 

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